Tearsheet

Expedia (EXPE)


Market Price (11/12/2025): $265.5 | Market Cap: $32.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Expedia (EXPE)


Market Price (11/12/2025): $265.5
Market Cap: $32.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.0 Bil
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%
 
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.1%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Travel & Leisure Tech.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.0 Bil
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.1%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Travel & Leisure Tech.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

EXPE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Expedia (EXPE) stock experienced a significant movement of 47.5% from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 12, 2025, primarily driven by strong third-quarter earnings and an optimistic outlook. 1. Expedia's robust third-quarter 2025 financial results exceeded analyst expectations for both adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company reported an adjusted EPS of $7.57, surpassing forecasts, and revenues reached $4.41 billion, marking an 8.7% increase year-over-year, which also beat estimates.

2. The company raised its full-year 2025 guidance for gross bookings and revenue growth following the strong Q3 performance. This upward revision signaled management's confidence in continued business momentum and an improved demand environment, which positively impacted investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EXPE Return23%36%-52%73%23%43%148%
Peers Return13%20%-36%55%40%8%105%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EXPE Win Rate67%58%33%50%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%55%37%60%55%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EXPE Max Drawdown-58%-7%-54%0%-28%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-8%-42%-6%-16%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOOGL, BKNG, EBAY, TRIP, TZOO. See EXPE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/11/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEXPES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven155.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven968 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven169.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven236 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven460 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven479.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1874 days1480 days

Compare to GOOGL, BKNG, EBAY, TRIP, TZOO


In The Past

Expedia's stock fell -60.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -60.9% loss requires a 155.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Expedia (EXPE)

Better Bets than Expedia (EXPE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EXPE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-2.0%-2.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-2.9%-2.9%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.0%17.0%-6.2%
EXPE_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG06302022EXPEExpediaDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.1%15.4%-11.7%
EXPE_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020EXPEExpediaDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
63.1%205.9%-14.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-2.0%-2.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-2.9%-2.9%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.0%17.0%-6.2%
EXPE_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG06302022EXPEExpediaDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.1%15.4%-11.7%
EXPE_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020EXPEExpediaDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
63.1%205.9%-14.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Expedia

Financials

EXPEGOOGLBKNGEBAYTRIPTZOOMedian
NameExpedia Alphabet Booking eBay Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
Mkt Price265.32291.315,050.6587.2615.467.57176.29
Mkt Cap32.83,520.8163.640.21.80.136.5
Rev LTM14,370385,47726,03910,4701,8918812,420
Op Inc LTM1,977124,0778,9812,238145152,108
FCF LTM2,99873,5528,3151,409259182,204
FCF 3Y Avg2,26868,9988,2201,762157102,015
CFO LTM3,774151,4248,6401,912345182,843
CFO 3Y Avg3,056120,9908,5862,244229102,650

Growth & Margins

EXPEGOOGLBKNGEBAYTRIPTZOOMedian
NameExpedia Alphabet Booking eBay Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
Rev Chg LTM7.3%13.4%13.0%2.7%4.2%3.5%5.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.3%11.0%17.8%1.5%11.6%10.4%10.7%
Rev Chg Q8.7%15.9%12.7%6.1%3.9%13.1%10.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%3.8%4.1%1.5%1.1%3.3%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM13.8%32.2%34.5%21.4%7.7%16.8%19.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.2%29.9%31.4%21.2%6.8%17.5%19.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.6%-0.5%1.6%-1.0%-0.0%-2.8%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM26.3%39.3%33.2%18.3%18.2%20.2%23.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.6%35.3%37.2%22.1%12.5%11.6%22.4%
FCF/Rev LTM20.9%19.1%31.9%13.5%13.7%20.1%19.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.7%20.5%35.6%17.4%8.6%11.3%17.1%

Valuation

EXPEGOOGLBKNGEBAYTRIPTZOOMedian
NameExpedia Alphabet Booking eBay Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
Mkt Cap32.83,520.8163.640.21.80.136.5
P/S2.39.16.33.80.91.03.1
P/EBIT17.223.119.514.512.35.715.8
P/E23.628.332.418.422.77.723.2
P/CFO8.723.318.921.05.24.713.8
Total Yield4.7%3.8%3.8%6.7%4.4%13.0%4.5%
Dividend Yield0.5%0.3%0.8%1.3%0.0%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.4%3.3%6.0%6.0%7.8%8.2%6.9%
D/E0.20.00.10.20.70.10.1
Net D/E0.0-0.00.00.10.0-0.00.0

Returns

EXPEGOOGLBKNGEBAYTRIPTZOOMedian
NameExpedia Alphabet Booking eBay Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
1M Rtn26.1%23.1%-2.2%-1.5%3.7%-23.5%1.1%
3M Rtn30.8%43.4%-7.4%-9.8%-14.0%-24.8%-8.6%
6M Rtn57.3%83.0%-3.7%27.1%-1.3%-47.8%12.9%
12M Rtn44.9%62.2%0.4%42.0%4.5%-60.9%23.2%
3Y Rtn159.8%204.2%154.2%99.0%-30.3%31.7%126.6%
1M Excs Rtn20.2%16.4%-6.8%-5.2%-2.4%-28.8%-3.8%
3M Excs Rtn20.9%38.5%-13.0%-19.0%-20.8%-33.4%-16.0%
6M Excs Rtn41.0%66.7%-20.0%10.7%-17.6%-64.1%-3.5%
12M Excs Rtn38.7%47.3%-11.3%28.3%-14.6%-71.0%8.5%
3Y Excs Rtn106.7%157.2%91.8%49.4%-116.4%-32.6%70.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business-to-customer (B2C)9,1138,7416,8213,9938,808
Business-to-business (B2B)3,3882,5461,4609422,579
trivago525561423280938
Corporate & Eliminations-187-181-106-16-258
Total12,83911,6678,5985,19912,067


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business-to-customer (B2C)1,8101,6171,277-2851,601
Business-to-business (B2B)6815188-321323
trivago5110529-2674
Corporate & Eliminations-1,509-1,155-1,128-2,087-1,095
Total1,0331,085186-2,719903


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,703,775
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520250.6%
Average Daily Volume1,542,110
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.35
Basic Shares Quantity123,699,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.4%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/202517.5%  
8/7/20254.1%10.4%16.0%
5/8/2025-7.3%-1.6%4.8%
2/6/202517.3%17.7%2.6%
11/7/20243.8%4.7%8.8%
8/8/202410.2%12.1%12.6%
5/2/2024-15.3%-17.3%-16.2%
2/8/2024-17.8%-13.1%-14.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131314
# Negative998
Median Positive5.7%10.4%13.7%
Median Negative-7.9%-7.0%-14.1%
Max Positive18.8%21.5%47.4%
Max Negative-17.8%-26.9%-50.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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