Tearsheet

Exact Sciences (EXAS)


Market Price (2/18/2026): $103.31 | Market Cap: $19.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Exact Sciences (EXAS)


Market Price (2/18/2026): $103.31
Market Cap: $19.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -199 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.1%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 40x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 126%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2%
5   Key risks
EXAS key risks include [1] dependence on regulatory approval and reimbursement success for its product pipeline, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -199 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.1%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 40x
7 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 126%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2%
10 Key risks
EXAS key risks include [1] dependence on regulatory approval and reimbursement success for its product pipeline, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Exact Sciences (EXAS) stock has gained about 60% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Abbott's Acquisition Offer Significantly Boosted Share Price. On November 20, 2025, Abbott announced a definitive agreement to acquire Exact Sciences for $105 per common share, representing an approximate total equity value of $21 billion. This acquisition, which is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026, was immediately accretive to Abbott's revenue growth and gross margin, and is set to position Abbott as a leader in the cancer diagnostics segment. The stock price saw a substantial increase from a closing low of $62.74 on October 29, 2025, to a peak close of $101.87 on November 20, 2025, following this announcement.

2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance and Upgraded Guidance. Exact Sciences reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on November 3, 2025, with record total revenue of $851 million, marking a 20% year-over-year increase. This strong performance was driven by a 22% increase in screening revenue, primarily from the Cologuard test, and an increase in precision oncology revenue. The company also raised its full-year 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, and generated record cash from operations and free cash flow, instilling greater investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 59.7% change in EXAS stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 45.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252172026Change
Stock Price ($)64.69103.3159.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,9403,24710.4%
P/S Multiple4.26.045.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)189190-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution59.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EXAS59.7% 
Market (SPY)0.1%-8.2%
Sector (XLV)9.1%-3.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 120.0% change in EXAS stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 94.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252172026Change
Stock Price ($)46.95103.31120.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,8283,24714.8%
P/S Multiple3.16.094.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)187190-1.5%
Cumulative Contribution120.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EXAS120.0% 
Market (SPY)8.3%-1.3%
Sector (XLV)21.2%14.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 84.3% change in EXAS stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 56.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252172026Change
Stock Price ($)56.05103.3184.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,6923,24720.6%
P/S Multiple3.86.056.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)185190-2.6%
Cumulative Contribution84.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EXAS84.3% 
Market (SPY)14.5%30.3%
Sector (XLV)8.6%27.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 53.0% change in EXAS stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 61.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120232172026Change
Stock Price ($)67.52103.3153.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,0053,24761.9%
P/S Multiple6.06.01.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)177190-6.7%
Cumulative Contribution53.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
EXAS53.0% 
Market (SPY)74.2%27.0%
Sector (XLV)23.5%25.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
EXAS Return-41%-36%49%-24%81%2%-22%
Peers Return3%-56%14%28%120%-6%37%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EXAS Win Rate25%42%58%42%58%100% 
Peers Win Rate56%27%48%52%52%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EXAS Max Drawdown-45%-61%-5%-44%-28%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-61%-23%-26%-28%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GH, ILMN, NTRA, MYGN, GRAL. See EXAS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/17/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEXASS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven410.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven197 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven59 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1620.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven661 days1,480 days

Compare to GH, ILMN, NTRA, MYGN, GRAL

In The Past

Exact Sciences's stock fell -80.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -80.4% loss requires a 410.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Exact Sciences (EXAS)

Exact Sciences Corporation provides cancer screening and diagnostic test products in the United States and internationally. The company offers Cologuard, a non-invasive stool-based DNA screening test to detect DNA and hemoglobin biomarkers associated with colorectal cancer and pre-cancer. It also provides Oncotype DX, a gene expression tests for breast, prostate, and colon cancers; Oncotype Test, a tissue test delivering tumor profiling to aid therapy selection for patients with advanced, metastatic, refractory, or recurrent cancer; Oncotype DX AR-V7 Nucleus Detect Test, a liquid-based test for advanced stage prostate cancer; Oncomap ExTra, that provides a complete biological picture of certain refractory, rare, or aggressive cancers; and Covid-19 testing services. The company's pipeline products focus on enhancing the Cologuard test's performance characteristics and developing blood and other fluid-based tests. It has license agreements with MAYO Foundation for Medical Education and Research; and Hologic, Inc. Exact Sciences Corporation was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Madison, Wisconsin.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a couple of brief analogies for Exact Sciences (EXAS):

  • The Quest Diagnostics of specialized cancer screening and diagnostics.

  • The Dexcom for early cancer detection.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Cologuard: A non-invasive stool DNA test used for colorectal cancer screening in average-risk individuals.
  • Oncotype DX: A portfolio of genomic tests that analyze tumor biology to help guide personalized treatment decisions for various cancers, including breast, prostate, and colon cancer.
  • Reflexion: A blood-based test for minimal residual disease (MRD) detection in various cancer types, aiding in recurrence monitoring and treatment response assessment.
  • OncoEx: A comprehensive liquid biopsy test designed for advanced cancer patients to identify actionable mutations and guide targeted therapy selection.
  • Riskguard: A multi-cancer early detection blood test currently in development, aiming to screen for multiple cancer types from a single sample.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Exact Sciences (EXAS) primarily serves individuals through its diagnostic tests, although its revenue stream is largely derived from third-party payers and healthcare systems.

The company's customer base can be described through the following categories:

  • Individual Patients: These are the ultimate recipients and beneficiaries of Exact Sciences' cancer screening and diagnostic tests, such as Cologuard for colorectal cancer screening and Oncotype DX for breast, prostate, and colon cancer. Physicians prescribe these tests for individual patients based on medical need.
  • Healthcare Providers: This category includes physicians, clinics, hospitals, and other healthcare organizations. These entities are critical decision-makers who order Exact Sciences' tests for their patients and integrate them into clinical practice. They facilitate the use of the tests, acting as a gateway to the patient population.
  • Third-Party Payers: This category encompasses commercial health insurance companies (e.g., UnitedHealth Group (UNH), Elevance Health (ELV), CVS Health's (CVS) Aetna), government programs (such as Medicare and Medicaid), and managed care organizations. These entities reimburse Exact Sciences for the tests performed on individual patients, covering a significant portion of the company's revenue. While these are often large corporations, Exact Sciences interacts with a broad network of them rather than relying on a few dominant ones as primary "customers" in a direct, large-volume B2B transaction sense.

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  • Illumina, Inc. (ILMN)
  • Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO)

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Kevin Conroy, Chairman and CEO

Kevin Conroy joined Exact Sciences as CEO in 2009 and became Chairman in 2014, playing a pivotal role in transforming the organization into a leading cancer diagnostics company. He led the development and commercialization of the Cologuard test and has overseen the acquisition of more than 10 companies, including the $2.8 billion acquisition of Genomic Health in 2019. Before joining Exact Sciences, Conroy served as CEO and President of Third Wave Technologies, a molecular diagnostics company that was acquired by Hologic for $582 million in 2008. His prior experience also includes leadership positions at GE Healthcare and practicing intellectual property law.

Aaron Bloomer, Chief Financial Officer

Aaron Bloomer was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Exact Sciences in 2024. He brings over 15 years of finance and accounting experience, having previously served as Vice President of Corporate Financial Planning, Reporting, and Analytics for Baxter International. Prior to Baxter, Bloomer spent more than a decade at 3M, where his roles included Senior Vice President of Financial Planning, Reporting and Analytics, CFO for 3M China, and CFO for the company's display materials division in Tokyo, Japan. His experience encompasses leading financial transformations, driving operational rigor, and playing key roles in acquisitions, divestitures, and portfolio management.

Sarah Condella, Executive Vice President, Human Resources

Sarah Condella serves as the Executive Vice President of Human Resources at Exact Sciences. In this role, she is part of the executive team that leads financial, operational, and strategic decision-making to help the company achieve its business goals.

Brian Baranick, Executive Vice President, General Manager, Precision Oncology

Brian Baranick holds the position of Executive Vice President, General Manager of Precision Oncology at Exact Sciences. He is a member of the executive team responsible for guiding the company's financial, operational, and strategic decisions to meet business objectives.

Jake Orville, Executive Vice President, General Manager, Screening

Jake Orville is the Executive Vice President, General Manager of Screening at Exact Sciences. He is a seasoned executive in the diagnostics industry and previously sold Cleveland HeartLab to Quest Diagnostics.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key risks to Exact Sciences' business include:

  1. Regulatory and Reimbursement Dependence: A primary risk for Exact Sciences is its heavy reliance on regulatory approvals and favorable guideline recommendations for its pipeline products, such as Cancerguard and its blood-based colorectal cancer test. These products require clearance from bodies like the FDA and inclusion in clinical guidelines to achieve meaningful reimbursement and widespread adoption. Without broad insurance acceptance and adequate payer coverage, patients may be unwilling or unable to bear out-of-pocket costs, thereby limiting uptake of these tests. Changes in reimbursement policies and healthcare reform can also significantly impact the commercial success and demand for the company's products.
  2. Intense Competition: The market for non-invasive cancer screening and diagnostic tests is highly competitive, with numerous established companies and new entrants vying for market share. Direct competitors, such as Guardant and Grail, pose significant challenges, particularly in the rapidly evolving blood-based cancer testing segment. Guardant's Shield, for example, has already received FDA approval and Medicare coverage for colorectal cancer screening, placing it ahead in this crucial area. Exact Sciences must continuously innovate and differentiate its offerings to maintain its competitive edge against rivals developing similar products or employing aggressive pricing and marketing strategies.
  3. Path to Profitability and Net Losses: Despite demonstrating strong revenue growth, Exact Sciences has consistently reported net losses and incurred substantial operating expenses. The company's significant investments in research and development, as well as sales and marketing, contribute to these high expenses. Concerns exist among investors regarding the company's timeline to achieve sustained profitability, with an accumulated deficit exceeding $3.6 billion as of Q2 2024. The ability to manage these expenses efficiently and transition to profitability remains a critical financial risk.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The primary clear emerging threat to Exact Sciences is the development and potential market penetration of blood-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening tests.

Companies such as Guardant Health, with its Shield test, are advancing liquid biopsy technologies into late-stage clinical trials for CRC screening. These blood-based tests offer a potentially simpler, more convenient, and less invasive alternative to Exact Sciences' flagship Cologuard stool DNA test. If these blood tests achieve regulatory approval, demonstrate comparable or superior clinical performance, and gain widespread adoption by healthcare providers and patients due to their ease of use, they could significantly disrupt Cologuard's dominant market share in non-invasive CRC screening, posing a direct competitive threat to Exact Sciences' core revenue stream.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Exact Sciences (symbol: EXAS) operates in several significant addressable markets for its main products and services:

  • Cologuard: The total available U.S. screening market for colorectal cancer, which Cologuard addresses, is estimated at $15 billion, with an additional potential $3 billion opportunity among individuals aged 45-49, bringing the combined total to $18 billion in the United States.
  • Oncotype DX: The Oncotype IQ portfolio, which includes Oncotype DX genomic tests for breast, prostate, and colon cancers, has an estimated total available market of $2 billion globally.
  • Oncodetect: Null
  • Cancerguard: The multi-cancer early detection (MCED) market, which Cancerguard addresses, is projected to eventually reach $150 billion in the United States alone.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Exact Sciences (EXAS) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and product expansions:

  1. Launch and Adoption of Cologuard Plus: The company received FDA approval for Cologuard Plus, its next-generation colorectal cancer screening test, with a planned launch in Q2 2025. This updated test is expected to redefine screening standards and offers higher sensitivity and specificity, contributing to increased adoption and a growing pool of eligible individuals for re-screening.
  2. Expansion into Multi-Cancer Early Detection (MCED) with Cancerguard: Exact Sciences launched Cancerguard in September 2025, a blood-based screening test designed to detect over 50 types of cancer from a single blood draw. This product targets a significant unmet need in cancer screening and represents a substantial new market opportunity.
  3. Growth of the Oncotype DX Franchise and International Expansion: The Oncotype DX product line, a key component of the Precision Oncology segment, continues to see revenue growth, particularly driven by strong international expansion. Notably, international revenue for Oncotype DX increased, with significant growth observed in key markets like Japan.
  4. Launch and Adoption of Oncodetect (Molecular Residual Disease - MRD Testing): Exact Sciences plans to launch Oncodetect, its molecular residual disease (MRD) test, with reimbursement for colon cancer, with intentions to expand into other solid tumor types. The acceptance of its first publication in a peer-reviewed journal supports its clinical validation and future commercialization.
  5. Increased Penetration and Re-screening with Cologuard: Continued growth in the adoption of the original Cologuard test, driven by increased test volumes, high customer satisfaction, brand awareness, and deepened relationships with payers and health systems, particularly through care gap programs, will remain a significant revenue driver. The eligible population for Cologuard re-screening is also growing, further contributing to sustained revenue.

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Share Issuance

  • In October 2020, Exact Sciences completed a registered direct offering, selling 8,605,483 shares of common stock at $101.00 per share, resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $869.2 million and net proceeds of around $866.0 million. These proceeds were intended for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment, working capital, and funding business acquisitions, specifically the pending acquisition of Thrive Earlier Detection Corp..

Outbound Investments

  • Exact Sciences acquired PreventionGenetics in December 2021, gaining expertise in germline sequencing and hereditary cancer testing.
  • In the second quarter of 2025, the company entered into an exclusive license agreement with Freenome for blood-based colorectal cancer screening tests.

Capital Expenditures

  • Exact Sciences is consistently investing in its product pipeline, commercial expansion, payer relationships, and product innovation.
  • Research and development expenses increased by 15.6% to $117.3 million in Q3 2025, primarily to support pipeline tests nearing commercialization.
  • The company's strategic initiatives include investments in increasing laboratory, manufacturing, and customer service capacities, alongside the development of advanced cancer diagnostics.

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EXASGHILMNNTRAMYGNGRALMedian
NameExact Sc.Guardant.Illumina Natera Myriad G.GRAIL  
Mkt Price103.31107.11116.51211.254.5099.03105.21
Mkt Cap19.613.417.729.00.43.615.5
Rev LTM3,2479034,3432,1178251421,510
Op Inc LTM-199-442816-352-82-547-275
FCF LTM357-26293194-30-33032
FCF 3Y Avg154-300641-87-92--87
CFO LTM491-2231,079194-2-32996
CFO 3Y Avg286-271798-17-45--17

Growth & Margins

EXASGHILMNNTRAMYGNGRALMedian
NameExact Sc.Guardant.Illumina Natera Myriad G.GRAIL  
Rev Chg LTM17.7%30.4%-0.7%38.2%0.2%20.5%19.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.0%28.0%-1.8%40.2%7.8%-16.0%
Rev Chg Q23.1%38.5%5.0%34.7%-3.6%26.3%24.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.4%8.9%1.3%7.8%-0.9%5.6%5.5%
Op Mgn LTM-6.1%-49.0%18.8%-16.6%-9.9%-385.5%-13.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.1%-73.1%9.0%-27.8%-14.7%--14.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%6.6%0.2%-1.7%-0.8%65.0%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM15.1%-24.7%24.8%9.2%-0.3%-231.8%4.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.7%-41.4%18.2%-5.5%-5.8%--5.5%
FCF/Rev LTM11.0%-29.1%21.4%4.4%-3.6%-232.6%0.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.0%-45.5%14.6%-10.0%-11.8%--10.0%

Valuation

EXASGHILMNNTRAMYGNGRALMedian
NameExact Sc.Guardant.Illumina Natera Myriad G.GRAIL  
Mkt Cap19.613.417.729.00.43.615.5
P/S6.014.84.113.70.525.29.9
P/EBIT-107.6-33.914.9-94.9-1.0-6.5-20.2
P/E-94.3-33.520.8-93.7-1.0-8.8-21.2
P/CFO39.9-60.016.4149.2-190.4-10.92.8
Total Yield-1.1%-3.0%4.8%-1.1%-95.6%-11.4%-2.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.9%-6.9%3.1%-1.4%-7.5%--1.4%
D/E0.10.10.10.00.50.00.1
Net D/E0.10.10.1-0.00.2-0.10.1

Returns

EXASGHILMNNTRAMYGNGRALMedian
NameExact Sc.Guardant.Illumina Natera Myriad G.GRAIL  
1M Rtn0.9%-4.5%-17.7%-8.6%-24.0%2.4%-6.6%
3M Rtn48.3%12.1%-4.5%-1.1%-32.1%21.6%5.5%
6M Rtn126.2%82.9%14.7%31.9%-18.3%215.2%57.4%
12M Rtn109.5%122.6%16.2%21.8%-69.1%80.0%50.9%
3Y Rtn62.7%276.5%-43.4%323.2%-76.8%482.5%169.6%
1M Excs Rtn2.4%-2.9%-18.4%-10.6%-24.0%3.1%-6.8%
3M Excs Rtn50.9%12.2%-4.4%3.7%-30.7%17.5%8.0%
6M Excs Rtn120.5%75.8%10.3%23.5%-27.3%199.3%49.6%
12M Excs Rtn92.3%116.1%2.6%11.8%-81.2%76.4%44.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-12.5%209.5%-106.5%312.1%-143.6%414.9%98.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Development and global commercialization of clinical laboratory services2,500    
COVID-19 Testing 58143236 
Commercial 921750596398
International 1181107711
Medicare parts B & C 743636523429
Other 2451286038
Total2,5002,0841,7671,491876


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Development and global commercialization of clinical laboratory services-204    
Total-204    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$103.31 
Market Cap ($ Bil)19.6 
First Trading Date02/01/2001 
Distance from 52W High-0.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$102.10$68.66
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA1.2%50.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility59.0%46.6%
Downside Capture-113.2428.76
Upside Capture131.21101.39
Correlation (SPY)-11.6%30.6%
EXAS Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.060.04-0.57-0.070.740.90
Up Beta0.090.09-0.68-0.491.050.84
Down Beta0.060.10-1.99-1.110.420.71
Up Capture11%5%171%178%94%98%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days13223675130370
Down Capture-5%-8%-138%-71%51%102%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days7162247117374

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with EXAS
EXAS110.2%46.5%1.74-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.0%17.4%0.3426.5%
Equity (SPY)13.0%19.4%0.5130.4%
Gold (GLD)67.2%25.5%1.995.9%
Commodities (DBC)5.2%16.8%0.136.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.8%16.6%0.2824.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.8%44.9%-0.6211.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with EXAS
EXAS-6.9%55.2%0.08-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.9%14.5%0.3629.7%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.0%0.6239.1%
Gold (GLD)21.3%17.1%1.0211.4%
Commodities (DBC)10.2%18.9%0.428.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%18.8%0.1934.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.2%57.2%0.3615.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with EXAS
EXAS33.3%60.7%0.72-
Sector ETF (XLV)11.3%16.5%0.5733.9%
Equity (SPY)15.8%17.9%0.7638.1%
Gold (GLD)14.8%15.6%0.796.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%17.6%0.3711.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.8%20.7%0.2929.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.5%66.7%1.0813.7%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1152026-11.9%
Average Daily Volume2.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity189.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/13/20260.1%  
11/3/20253.9%-0.6%51.0%
8/6/2025-8.0%-4.3%14.7%
5/1/20259.3%12.5%19.0%
2/19/2025-1.9%-3.9%-12.3%
11/5/2024-23.5%-29.9%-12.4%
7/31/202426.8%22.6%36.3%
5/8/2024-9.0%-10.3%-27.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91011
# Negative141211
Median Positive9.3%12.2%14.7%
Median Negative-4.1%-9.5%-12.6%
Max Positive26.8%35.9%51.0%
Max Negative-23.5%-29.9%-27.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202202/21/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202204/26/202210-Q

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Orville, Jacob AEVP, GM, ScreeningDirectSell1121202575.005,000375,0001,742,775Form
2Herriott, JamesSVP, General Counsel & SecDirectSell1121202570.001,00070,000810,950Form
3Herriott, JamesSVP, General Counsel & SecDirectSell1106202570.081,500105,120881,957Form
4Baranick, BrianEVP, GM, Precision OncologyDirectSell1106202570.082,858200,2891,567,549Form
5Zanotti, Katherine S DirectSell1027202565.0012,000780,0003,949,335Form

EXAS Trade Sentinel


Core Investment Debate

Incumbent Moat vs. Challenger Convenience

BULL VIEW

Cologuard's 42% precancerous polyp detection rate is a durable clinical advantage that a blood test cannot match, locking in health system adoption.

CORE TENSION

Can Cologuard's superior clinical data and infrastructure defend its market share against the convenience of new, FDA-approved blood-based tests?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
NEUTRAL

Sentiment is Neutral. While Q3 2025 Screening revenue accelerated to +22% YoY, Guardant Health's 'Shield' blood test gained FDA approval in July 2024.

BEAR VIEW

Physician and patient preference will rapidly shift to the simpler blood draw, causing faster-than-expected Cologuard volume deceleration and margin pressure.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
Late February 2026
Q4 2025 Earnings Call & 2026 Guidance
Watch: 2026 Screening revenue growth guidance and commentary on initial market share impact from Guardant's Shield.
Q2 2026
Abbott Acquisition Closing
Watch: Successful completion of shareholder and regulatory approvals for the acquisition by Abbott.
Next 3-6 Months
Adverse Update to USPSTF Screening Guidelines
Watch: Draft or final recommendation language that positions blood-based tests as equivalent or superior to stool-based tests.
April-May 2026
Competitor Data at Medical Conferences (AACR/DDW)
Watch: Presentation of data showing a blood-based test with significantly higher sensitivity for advanced adenomas.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
8/6/2025
Q2 2025 Earnings Results
Details: The company reported its second-quarter results. Despite recent positive news on product launches, the stock reacted negatively, indicating potential concerns about underlying growth or profitability trends.
Plummeted -8.0%
$46.91 -> $43.16
8/28/2025
Competitor Guardant Health Commences Shield Commercial Launch
Details: Key competitor Guardant Health celebrated the commercial availability of its competing Shield blood test, but EXAS stock reaction was muted, suggesting minimal immediate market concern.
Muted (1.0%)
$46.95 -> $47.42
9/5/2025
Presents at Wells Fargo Healthcare Conference
Details: Management presented at an investor conference, likely reinforcing confidence in the company's growth trajectory and pipeline ahead of strong Q3 results.
Rose significantly by 4.7%
$51.41 -> $53.81
11/3/2025
Q3 2025 Earnings Beat & Raise
Details: Reported record Q3 revenue of $851M vs. $810M est, beating estimates. Raised full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, driven by accelerating Screening segment growth of 22%.
Rose significantly by 3.9%
$66.98 -> $69.59
11/20/2025
Abbott Announces Definitive Agreement to Acquire Exact Sciences
Details: Abbott announced it would acquire Exact Sciences for $105 per share, an approximate $21 billion all-cash deal, causing the stock to surge dramatically over two trading sessions.
Surged +44.5%
$69.68 -> $100.67
1/20/2026
Sets Post-Acquisition High
Details: Stock traded to its highest level following the Abbott acquisition announcement, showing sustained market confidence in the deal's strategic rationale despite a flat trading day.
Muted (-0.1%)
$102.43 -> $102.35
Risk Management
Position Sizing

1% - 3%

CONSERVATIVE

Stock is in an Explosive Volatility regime (4.3x S&P) with Spiking near-term fear. The Neutral sentiment and Contested moat from blood-based competitors limit conviction, mandating a Conservative sizing.

Diversification Alternatives
IDXX
SECTOR

Unlike EXAS, IDXX has a durable moat in veterinary diagnostics, insulated from human healthcare reimbursement battles and single-product technological obsolescence risk.

Core Thesis: Dominant razor/razorblade model in the structurally growing pet care market, with high switching costs from its integrated ecosystem of analyzers and practice management software.
HOLX
SECTOR

More diversified portfolio in women's health diagnostics, with a large installed base of 'Panther' systems creating a sticky revenue stream, reducing single-product risk.

Core Thesis: A mature, profitable diagnostics leader with a strong franchise in women's health. Less susceptible to a single competitive technology shift compared to EXAS.