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Exact Sciences (EXAS)


Market Price (12/10/2025): $101.09 | Market Cap: $19.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Exact Sciences (EXAS)


Market Price (12/10/2025): $101.09
Market Cap: $19.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -155 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.0%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -155 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.0%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EXAS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EXAS Return43%-41%-36%49%-24%80%9%
Peers Return49%3%-45%11%27%137%183%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EXAS Win Rate67%25%42%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%45%22%38%53%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EXAS Max Drawdown-59%-45%-61%-5%-44%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-10%-49%-18%-21%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GH, ILMN, NTRA, MYGN, GRAL. See EXAS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/9/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEXASS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven410.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven197 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven59 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1620.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven661 days1480 days

Compare to TNDM, SKIN, CTSO, NMTC, AVRT


In The Past

Exact Sciences's stock fell -80.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -80.4% loss requires a 410.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Exact Sciences (EXAS)

Better Bets than Exact Sciences (EXAS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EXAS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%10.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.1%-9.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.8%-0.8%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.9%13.9%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.0%20.0%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%10.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.1%-9.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.8%-0.8%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.9%13.9%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.0%20.0%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Exact Sciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EXASGHILMNNTRAMYGNGRALMedian
NameExact Sc.Guardant.Illumina Natera Myriad G.GRAIL  
Mkt Price101.25103.21132.13235.537.3597.46102.23
Mkt Cap19.212.920.232.30.73.516.0
Rev LTM3,0829034,2882,1178251421,510
Op Inc LTM-155-442798-352-82-547-253
FCF LTM247-2621,00094-30-33032
FCF 3Y Avg107-300572-87-92--87
CFO LTM387-2231,122194-2-32996
CFO 3Y Avg253-271740-17-45--17

Growth & Margins

EXASGHILMNNTRAMYGNGRALMedian
NameExact Sc.Guardant.Illumina Natera Myriad G.GRAIL  
Rev Chg LTM14.5%30.4%-2.3%38.2%0.2%20.5%17.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.5%28.0%-3.0%40.2%7.8%-15.5%
Rev Chg Q20.0%38.5%0.4%34.7%-3.6%26.3%23.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%8.9%0.1%7.8%-0.9%5.6%5.2%
Op Mgn LTM-5.0%-49.0%18.6%-16.6%-9.9%-385.5%-13.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.9%-73.1%6.6%-27.8%-14.7%--14.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%6.6%-0.6%-1.7%-0.8%65.0%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM12.6%-24.7%26.2%9.2%-0.3%-231.8%4.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%-41.4%17.0%-5.5%-5.8%--5.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.0%-29.1%23.3%4.4%-3.6%-232.6%0.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.6%-45.5%13.2%-10.0%-11.8%--10.0%

Valuation

EXASGHILMNNTRAMYGNGRALMedian
NameExact Sc.Guardant.Illumina Natera Myriad G.GRAIL  
Mkt Cap19.212.920.232.30.73.516.0
P/S3.48.63.410.40.824.86.0
P/EBIT-10.7-19.814.6-72.3-1.6-3.9-7.3
P/E-10.5-19.620.7-71.4-1.7-8.7-9.6
P/CFO26.8-35.013.0113.7-306.0-10.71.1
Total Yield-9.5%-5.1%4.8%-1.4%-59.5%-11.5%-7.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.0%-7.8%3.4%-2.0%-6.4%--2.0%
D/E0.20.20.20.00.30.00.2
Net D/E0.10.10.1-0.00.1-0.20.1

Returns

EXASGHILMNNTRAMYGNGRALMedian
NameExact Sc.Guardant.Illumina Natera Myriad G.GRAIL  
1M Rtn53.0%6.7%8.4%18.0%16.7%22.7%17.3%
3M Rtn82.7%73.6%34.5%33.5%5.5%159.7%54.1%
6M Rtn80.2%106.0%50.2%42.6%40.5%131.2%65.2%
12M Rtn63.8%183.8%-10.4%40.4%-50.6%346.7%52.1%
3Y Rtn127.0%122.4%-33.9%517.5%-61.0%-122.4%
1M Excs Rtn51.3%5.0%6.7%16.4%15.0%21.1%15.7%
3M Excs Rtn80.1%77.7%33.6%34.0%1.8%170.4%55.9%
6M Excs Rtn66.9%92.8%36.9%29.3%27.3%117.9%51.9%
12M Excs Rtn49.1%165.5%-18.2%26.8%-67.7%322.3%37.9%
3Y Excs Rtn50.4%23.8%-105.9%394.9%-132.9%-23.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development and global commercialization of clinical laboratory services2,500    
COVID-19 Testing 58143236 
Commercial 921750596398
International 1181107711
Medicare parts B & C 743636523429
Other 2451286038
Total2,5002,0841,7671,491876


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development and global commercialization of clinical laboratory services-204    
Total-204    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,098,820
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-30.7%
Average Daily Volume16,034,394
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity189,262,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/20253.9%-0.6%51.0%
8/6/2025-8.0%-4.3%14.7%
5/1/20259.3%12.5%19.0%
2/19/2025-1.9%-3.9%-12.3%
11/5/2024-23.5%-29.9%-12.4%
7/31/202426.8%22.6%36.3%
5/8/2024-9.0%-10.3%-27.8%
2/21/2024-6.0%-11.0%-2.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81011
# Negative151312
Median Positive10.1%12.2%14.7%
Median Negative-4.6%-10.2%-12.5%
Max Positive26.8%35.9%51.0%
Max Negative-23.5%-29.9%-27.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021