Tearsheet

Estee Lauder Companies (EL)


Market Price (10/19/2025): $100.97 | Market Cap: $36.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Personal Care Products

Estee Lauder Companies (EL)


Market Price (10/19/2025): $100.97
Market Cap: $36.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Personal Care Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0  Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x
1  Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7%
0 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

EL Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EL Return30%40%-32%-40%-48%36%-47%
Peers Return17%12%-6%7%1%5%40%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EL Win Rate58%75%33%42%42%44% 
Peers Win Rate47%47%33%50%57%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EL Max Drawdown-30%-11%-48%-57%-56%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-7%-17%-7%-11%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JNJ, PG, LRLCY, CL, KVUE. See EL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventELS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven255.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven158 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven169.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven329 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Estee Lauder Companies's stock fell -71.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -71.9% loss requires a 255.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Estee Lauder Companies (EL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.9%-15.9%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.5%-12.5%-22.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.9%-15.9%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.5%-12.5%-22.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Estee Lauder Companies

Financials

ELJNJPGLRLCYCLKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Johnson .Procter .L'Oreal Colgate-.Kenvue  
Mkt Price100.78193.22151.4091.6379.1215.2996.20
Mkt Cap36.4464.9355.0255.564.129.3159.8
Rev LTM14,32690,62784,284-19,99915,14119,999
Op Inc LTM1,14122,22820,450-4,3462,6304,346
FCF LTM67016,39714,044-3,3701,6333,370
FCF 3Y Avg18416,92614,785-3,0281,9783,028
CFO LTM1,27223,02817,817-3,9202,0913,920
CFO 3Y Avg1,78822,24818,170-3,6592,4553,659

Growth & Margins

ELJNJPGLRLCYCLKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Johnson .Procter .L'Oreal Colgate-.Kenvue  
Rev Chg LTM-8.2%4.7%0.3%-0.1%-2.2%0.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.8%4.0%1.7%-4.2%-2.8%
Rev Chg Q-11.9%5.8%1.7%-1.0%-4.0%1.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.1%1.5%0.4%-0.3%-1.1%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM8.0%24.5%24.3%-21.7%17.4%21.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.7%26.3%23.3%-21.2%16.9%21.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%-0.2%0.5%--0.1%0.4%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM8.9%25.4%21.1%-19.6%13.8%19.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%25.7%21.8%-18.7%16.0%18.7%
FCF/Rev LTM4.7%18.1%16.7%-16.9%10.8%16.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.4%19.6%17.7%-15.4%12.9%15.4%

Valuation

ELJNJPGLRLCYCLKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Johnson .Procter .L'Oreal Colgate-.Kenvue  
Mkt Cap36.4464.9355.0255.564.129.3159.8
P/S2.55.14.2-3.21.93.2
P/EBIT-53.216.516.8-15.212.115.2
P/E-32.120.522.2-22.020.720.7
P/CFO28.620.219.9-16.414.019.9
Total Yield-3.1%7.5%4.5%-7.3%10.2%7.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.6%0.0%0.0%2.8%5.4%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.3%4.5%3.9%-4.2%4.8%4.2%
D/E0.30.10.10.00.10.30.1
Net D/E0.20.10.1-0.00.10.30.1

Returns

ELJNJPGLRLCYCLKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Johnson .Procter .L'Oreal Colgate-.Kenvue  
1M Rtn14.5%10.9%-3.8%3.0%-2.3%-15.5%0.3%
3M Rtn16.0%18.9%-2.4%9.0%-8.3%-29.8%3.3%
6M Rtn86.7%24.7%-10.1%15.4%-16.1%-33.4%2.7%
12M Rtn14.0%20.8%-9.9%15.1%-19.3%-27.0%2.1%
3Y Rtn-48.7%28.5%26.1%50.0%19.2%-26.1%
1M Excs Rtn14.0%10.5%-4.2%2.5%-2.8%-16.0%-0.1%
3M Excs Rtn11.9%12.7%-8.0%2.9%-13.8%-35.9%-2.6%
6M Excs Rtn60.5%-1.5%-36.3%-10.7%-42.2%-59.6%-23.5%
12M Excs Rtn-2.3%7.0%-25.2%0.3%-34.4%-41.7%-13.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-136.8%-56.2%-55.0%-36.1%-62.6%--56.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,129,695
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-27.2%
Average Daily Volume3,034,251
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.01
Basic Shares Quantity360,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/20/2025-3.7%-0.1%-1.7%
5/1/2025-1.8%-1.2%12.2%
2/4/2025-16.1%-17.0%-12.7%
10/31/2024-20.9%-27.4%-16.9%
8/19/2024-2.2%-1.3%-6.6%
5/1/2024-13.2%-11.7%-17.3%
2/5/202412.0%6.9%10.3%
11/1/2023-18.9%-10.4%-0.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive7910
# Negative171514
Median Positive4.1%6.7%10.6%
Median Negative-5.8%-7.0%-8.1%
Max Positive12.0%14.5%13.6%
Max Negative-20.9%-27.4%-25.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025820202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024204202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024819202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023818202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022824202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211102202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0FRIBOURG PAUL J 2102025Buy64.9944,9002,918,05133,775,303Form
1Shrivastava AkhilEVP & CFO2072025Buy65.7970046,053156,648Form
2FRIBOURG PAUL J 2072025Buy65.6325,7001,686,69127,138,005Form
3FRIBOURG PAUL J 11202024Buy64.3557,4853,699,16023,647,660Form
4FRIBOURG PAUL J 11192024Buy64.0076,2004,876,80014,924,800Form