Tearsheet

Estee Lauder Companies (EL)


Market Price (11/28/2025): $94.03 | Market Cap: $33.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Personal Care Products

Estee Lauder Companies (EL)


Market Price (11/28/2025): $94.03
Market Cap: $33.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Personal Care Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7%
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Estee Lauder Companies (EL) stock experienced a slight movement of 0.4% during the approximate period from July 31, 2025, to November 28, 2025, influenced by a mix of financial results, analyst sentiment, and strategic corporate actions.

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Exceed Expectations: Estee Lauder reported its fiscal first-quarter 2026 results on October 30, 2025, which significantly surpassed analyst expectations. The company announced a doubling of adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to $0.32 and a 3% increase in organic net sales, demonstrating positive momentum in its "Beauty Reimagined" strategy. Despite this positive news, the stock saw a slight pre-market decline of 2.35%, suggesting that some investor caution persisted.

2. Fiscal Q4 2025 Losses Offset by Optimistic FY2026 Outlook: On August 20, 2025, Estee Lauder reported a substantial loss of $546 million for its fiscal fourth quarter of 2025, primarily due to a restructuring plan and a significant decline in global travel retail sales. However, the company simultaneously affirmed an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2026, forecasting a return to positive sales growth and improved operating profitability, which likely tempered further negative stock reaction.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EL Return30%40%-32%-40%-48%24%-52%
Peers Return16%15%-7%-9%-3%7%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EL Win Rate58%75%33%42%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%48%35%47%57%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EL Max Drawdown-30%-11%-48%-57%-56%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-8%-19%-19%-16%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JNJ, PG, CL, EL, KVUE. See EL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventELS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven255.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven158 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven169.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven329 days1480 days

Compare to JNJ, PG, CL, EL, KVUE


In The Past

Estee Lauder Companies's stock fell -71.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -71.9% loss requires a 255.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Estee Lauder Companies (EL)

Better Bets than Estee Lauder Companies (EL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CLX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-12.5%
IPAR_10032025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10032025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-15.8%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.0%4.0%-3.6%
GIS_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.1%
SMPL_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025SMPLSimply Good FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-27.3%-27.3%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CLX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-12.5%
IPAR_10032025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10032025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-15.8%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.0%4.0%-3.6%
GIS_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.1%
SMPL_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025SMPLSimply Good FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-27.3%-27.3%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Estee Lauder Companies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ELJNJPGCLKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Johnson .Procter .Colgate-.Kenvue  
Mkt Price93.70207.56148.2580.0417.2293.70
Mkt Cap33.8499.9347.264.833.064.8
Rev LTM14,32692,14984,93319,99915,00619,999
Op Inc LTM1,14124,14620,5094,3462,6414,346
FCF LTM67018,67914,9433,3701,6393,370
FCF 3Y Avg18417,81415,1273,0281,8323,028
CFO LTM1,27224,20418,9233,9202,1363,920
CFO 3Y Avg1,78823,20918,6163,6592,3083,659

Growth & Margins

ELJNJPGCLKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Johnson .Procter .Colgate-.Kenvue  
Rev Chg LTM-8.2%5.1%1.2%0.1%-2.9%0.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.8%6.1%1.8%4.2%0.2%1.8%
Rev Chg Q-11.9%6.8%3.0%1.0%-3.5%1.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.1%1.7%0.8%0.3%-0.9%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM8.0%26.2%24.1%21.7%17.6%21.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.7%26.4%23.6%21.2%16.8%21.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%1.7%-0.1%-0.1%0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM8.9%26.3%22.3%19.6%14.2%19.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%26.4%22.2%18.7%15.0%18.7%
FCF/Rev LTM4.7%20.3%17.6%16.9%10.9%16.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.4%20.3%18.0%15.4%11.9%15.4%

Valuation

ELJNJPGCLKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Johnson .Procter .Colgate-.Kenvue  
Mkt Cap33.8499.9347.264.833.064.8
P/S2.24.84.23.22.13.2
P/EBIT-46.513.816.415.413.313.8
P/E-28.117.821.522.321.721.5
P/CFO25.018.419.016.514.618.4
Total Yield-3.6%8.4%4.7%7.3%9.7%7.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.7%0.0%2.8%5.1%2.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.0%4.4%4.1%4.4%4.9%4.4%
D/E0.30.10.10.10.30.1
Net D/E0.20.10.10.10.30.1

Returns

ELJNJPGCLKVUEMedian
NameEstee La.Johnson .Procter .Colgate-.Kenvue  
1M Rtn-5.1%11.7%-2.1%3.8%20.2%3.8%
3M Rtn2.5%19.1%-4.1%-3.4%-15.1%-3.4%
6M Rtn37.7%37.0%-10.8%-12.2%-25.3%-10.8%
12M Rtn29.1%37.7%-15.2%-15.3%-25.7%-15.2%
3Y Rtn-54.5%28.2%9.1%12.5%-10.8%
1M Excs Rtn-4.0%12.9%-0.9%4.9%21.3%4.9%
3M Excs Rtn-2.3%14.3%-8.9%-8.2%-19.9%-8.2%
6M Excs Rtn22.4%21.8%-26.1%-27.4%-40.6%-26.1%
12M Excs Rtn22.4%24.8%-27.8%-27.8%-39.7%-27.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-127.3%-43.3%-61.7%-60.7%--61.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Skin Care7,9088,2499,8869,4847,382
Makeup4,4704,5324,6674,2034,794
Fragrance2,4872,4512,5081,9261,563
Hair Care629652631571515
Other11553494540
Returns associated with restructuring and other activities-1-27-4-14 
Total15,60815,91017,73716,21514,294


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Skin Care7351,2772,7533,0362,125
Fragrance26537045621517
Makeup93-21133-384-1,438
Other5340-24
Hair Care-52-36-28-19-19
Charges associated with restructuring and other activities-124-85-144-228-83
Total9701,5093,1702,618606


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,893,759
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202524.7%
Average Daily Volume4,443,452
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2
Basic Shares Quantity360,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20250.3%-6.4% 
8/20/2025-3.7%-0.1%-1.7%
5/1/2025-1.8%-1.2%12.2%
2/4/2025-16.1%-17.0%-12.7%
10/31/2024-20.9%-27.4%-16.9%
8/19/2024-2.2%-1.3%-6.6%
5/1/2024-13.2%-11.7%-17.3%
2/5/202412.0%6.9%10.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive899
# Negative161515
Median Positive3.4%6.7%10.9%
Median Negative-6.2%-7.0%-8.1%
Max Positive12.0%14.5%13.6%
Max Negative-20.9%-27.4%-25.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025820202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024204202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024819202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023818202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022824202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0FRIBOURG PAUL J 2102025Buy64.9944,9002,918,05133,775,303Form
1Shrivastava AkhilEVP & CFO2072025Buy65.7970046,053156,648Form
2FRIBOURG PAUL J 2072025Buy65.6325,7001,686,69127,138,005Form
3FRIBOURG PAUL J 11202024Buy64.3557,4853,699,16023,647,660Form
4FRIBOURG PAUL J 11192024Buy64.0076,2004,876,80014,924,800Form