Tearsheet

D.R. Horton (DHI)


Market Price (11/7/2025): $144.55 | Market Cap: $44.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

D.R. Horton (DHI)


Market Price (11/7/2025): $144.55
Market Cap: $44.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 6.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 6.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.4%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

DHI Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DHI Return32%59%-17%72%-7%5%192%
Peers Return18%46%-21%73%13%2%172%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DHI Win Rate67%75%42%58%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate72%72%42%62%65%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DHI Max Drawdown-45%-4%-44%0%-11%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-48%-5%-37%-2%-4%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LEN, PHM, NVR, J, TOL. See DHI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/6/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDHIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven315 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven120 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven288 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-85.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven611.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2460 days1480 days

Compare to LEN, PHM, NVR, J, TOL


In The Past

D.R. Horton's stock fell -44.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -44.8% loss requires a 81.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About D.R. Horton (DHI)

Better Bets than D.R. Horton (DHI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DHI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-2.1%-2.1%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-2.9%-2.9%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-6.2%
DHI_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018DHID.R. HortonDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
26.8%54.3%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-2.1%-2.1%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-2.9%-2.9%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-6.2%
DHI_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018DHID.R. HortonDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
26.8%54.3%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for D.R. Horton

Financials

DHILENPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Mkt Price145.22120.33118.937,195.05153.49132.66138.94
Mkt Cap44.230.823.420.718.413.122.0
Rev LTM34,57534,76617,62310,47611,83510,87714,729
Op Inc LTM4,8923,4703,3951,7828481,7682,589
FCF LTM2,785-7131,5521,2924129181,105
FCF 3Y Avg2,7072,7831,8751,4307521,2011,652
CFO LTM2,911-5681,6681,3195009951,157
CFO 3Y Avg2,8562,9181,9831,4578701,2741,720

Growth & Margins

DHILENPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Rev Chg LTM-7.3%-4.7%1.8%3.4%61.5%3.3%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.9%3.0%5.4%1.4%1.1%4.4%3.0%
Rev Chg Q-7.4%-6.4%-1.6%-4.5%5.1%8.0%-3.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.1%-1.7%-0.4%-1.2%1.3%2.0%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM14.2%10.0%19.3%17.0%7.2%16.3%15.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.3%13.6%20.6%18.4%6.3%17.5%16.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%-1.5%-0.7%-0.6%0.5%-0.4%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM8.4%-1.6%9.5%12.6%4.2%9.1%8.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.1%8.4%11.6%14.4%9.5%11.9%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.1%-2.1%8.8%12.3%3.5%8.4%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.7%8.0%10.9%14.2%8.2%11.2%9.6%

Valuation

DHILENPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Mkt Cap44.230.823.420.718.413.122.0
P/S1.30.91.32.01.61.21.3
P/EBIT9.08.96.810.920.67.48.9
P/E11.111.58.914.437.49.511.3
P/CFO15.2-54.114.015.736.913.114.6
Total Yield10.0%10.4%12.0%6.9%3.1%10.9%10.2%
Dividend Yield1.1%1.7%0.7%0.0%0.4%0.4%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.5%7.3%9.2%6.3%4.7%12.1%6.9%
D/E0.20.20.10.00.20.20.2
Net D/E0.10.10.0-0.00.10.20.1

Returns

DHILENPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
1M Rtn-9.9%-1.5%-8.2%-8.2%-1.2%-0.2%-4.9%
3M Rtn-5.6%1.1%-1.3%-8.1%4.7%5.6%-0.1%
6M Rtn17.6%10.8%15.5%-0.5%26.7%28.2%16.5%
12M Rtn-11.9%-27.5%-7.2%-21.8%5.8%-11.6%-11.8%
3Y Rtn99.0%58.5%215.0%73.9%60.7%219.5%86.5%
1M Excs Rtn-8.0%0.7%-6.3%-6.7%-2.0%0.9%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-12.4%-5.2%-7.2%-13.6%-1.4%0.5%-6.2%
6M Excs Rtn-1.1%-7.9%-3.2%-19.1%8.1%9.6%-2.1%
12M Excs Rtn-31.6%-46.7%-25.1%-39.9%-6.0%-27.1%-29.4%
3Y Excs Rtn19.0%-20.3%132.2%-5.0%-7.4%137.9%7.0%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,253,468
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020254.7%
Average Daily Volume3,480,634
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.23
Basic Shares Quantity304,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/2025-3.2%-8.7% 
7/22/202517.0%11.4%28.4%
4/17/20253.2%7.2%7.3%
1/21/20252.2%0.2%-10.2%
10/29/2024-7.2%-5.3%-6.2%
7/18/20240.2%-0.4%2.8%
4/18/20240.1%0.3%3.8%
1/23/2024-2.7%0.1%1.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151714
# Negative10811
Median Positive3.1%3.7%6.7%
Median Negative-2.8%-1.1%-4.8%
Max Positive17.0%11.4%29.1%
Max Negative-7.2%-8.7%-10.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024123202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241119202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023124202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231117202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023724202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023424202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022125202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221118202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022722202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211118202110-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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