Tearsheet

D.R. Horton (DHI)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $155.5 | Market Cap: $47.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

D.R. Horton (DHI)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $155.5
Market Cap: $47.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%, FCF Yield is 5.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.8%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%, FCF Yield is 5.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.8%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.4%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

DHI Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DHI Return32%59%-17%72%-7%12%205%
Peers Return18%46%-21%73%13%6%182%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DHI Win Rate67%75%42%58%58%56% 
Peers Win Rate72%72%42%62%65%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DHI Max Drawdown-45%-4%-44%0%-11%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-48%-5%-37%-2%-4%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LEN, PHM, NVR, J, TOL. See DHI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/15/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventDHIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven315 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven120 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven288 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-85.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven611.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2460 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

D.R. Horton's stock fell -44.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -44.8% loss requires a 81.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than D.R. Horton (DHI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DHI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.9%-16.9%-16.9%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.9%-4.9%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.4%-7.4%-7.6%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-9.3%-9.3%-11.7%
DHI_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018DHID.R. HortonDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
26.8%54.3%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.9%-16.9%-16.9%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.9%-4.9%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.4%-7.4%-7.6%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-9.3%-9.3%-11.7%
DHI_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018DHID.R. HortonDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
26.8%54.3%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for D.R. Horton

Financials

DHILENPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Mkt Price155.24122.44124.687,645.22160.63134.30144.77
Mkt Cap47.231.324.822.319.313.223.6
Rev LTM34,57534,76617,69510,59911,83510,87714,765
Op Inc LTM4,8923,4703,5251,8658481,7682,667
FCF LTM2,785-7131,3181,2094129181,064
FCF 3Y Avg2,7072,7831,5131,4867521,2011,500
CFO LTM2,911-5681,4451,2385009951,117
CFO 3Y Avg2,8562,9181,6221,5138701,2741,567

Growth & Margins

DHILENPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Rev Chg LTM-7.3%-4.7%5.0%6.4%61.5%3.3%4.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.9%3.0%6.6%3.1%1.1%4.4%3.1%
Rev Chg Q-7.4%-6.4%-4.3%-0.5%5.1%8.0%-2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.1%-1.7%-1.1%-0.1%1.3%2.0%-0.6%
Op Mgn LTM14.2%10.0%19.9%17.6%7.2%16.3%15.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.3%13.6%21.0%18.7%6.3%17.5%16.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%-1.5%-1.0%-0.7%0.5%-0.4%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM8.4%-1.6%8.2%11.7%4.2%9.1%8.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.1%8.4%9.5%14.9%9.5%11.9%9.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.1%-2.1%7.4%11.4%3.5%8.4%7.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.7%8.0%8.9%14.6%8.2%11.2%8.6%

Valuation

DHILENPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Mkt Cap47.231.324.822.319.313.223.6
P/S1.40.91.42.11.61.21.4
P/EBIT9.69.06.911.221.67.59.3
P/E11.911.79.114.739.29.611.8
P/CFO16.2-55.117.218.038.613.316.7
Total Yield9.4%10.3%11.7%6.8%2.9%10.8%9.8%
Dividend Yield1.0%1.7%0.7%0.0%0.4%0.4%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.5%7.3%7.7%6.8%4.7%12.1%7.0%
D/E0.20.20.10.00.20.20.2
Net D/E0.10.10.0-0.00.10.20.1

Returns

DHILENPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
1M Rtn-9.8%-8.1%-7.5%-7.6%9.5%-5.0%-7.6%
3M Rtn18.4%12.4%14.3%3.6%16.9%15.3%14.8%
6M Rtn32.8%20.7%34.8%8.5%39.9%46.9%33.8%
12M Rtn-17.1%-32.7%-13.1%-21.7%18.4%-12.7%-15.1%
3Y Rtn132.8%74.0%240.3%93.8%81.6%234.9%113.3%
1M Excs Rtn-10.6%-9.1%-7.8%-7.9%8.9%-5.7%-7.8%
3M Excs Rtn12.3%6.2%8.3%-3.2%9.6%8.6%8.5%
6M Excs Rtn6.7%-5.5%8.4%-17.5%15.1%19.8%7.6%
12M Excs Rtn-28.9%-44.8%-24.5%-34.5%3.6%-24.3%-26.7%
3Y Excs Rtn36.7%-20.4%136.1%-2.3%-7.6%127.3%17.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,748,829
Short Interest: % Change Since 91520252.5%
Average Daily Volume3,331,170
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.23
Basic Shares Quantity304,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/22/202517.0%11.4%28.4%
4/17/20253.2%7.2%7.3%
1/21/20252.2%0.2%-10.2%
10/29/2024-7.2%-5.3%-6.2%
7/18/20240.2%-0.4%2.8%
4/18/20240.1%0.3%3.8%
1/23/2024-2.7%0.1%1.6%
11/7/20230.5%6.4%12.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151715
# Negative10810
Median Positive3.1%3.7%6.1%
Median Negative-2.7%-0.6%-4.8%
Max Positive17.0%11.4%29.1%
Max Negative-7.2%-5.3%-10.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024123202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241119202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023124202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231117202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023724202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023424202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022125202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221118202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022722202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211118202110-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0BUCHANAN MICHAEL R 9092025Sell180.741,000180,740215,623Form
1Odom Aron M.SVP, Controller and PAO9092025Sell183.001,376251,8081,181,631Form
2Odom Aron M.SVP, Controller and PAO8142025Sell166.201,233204,9251,301,845Form
3Allen Barbara K 11212024Sell163.105,650921,515 Form