Tearsheet

Delta Air Lines (DAL)


Market Price (10/22/2025): $62.25 | Market Cap: $40.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Delta Air Lines (DAL)


Market Price (10/22/2025): $62.25
Market Cap: $40.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.7%, FCF Yield is 7.6%
  
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 8.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.1 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.7%, FCF Yield is 7.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 8.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.1 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

DAL Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DAL Return-31%-3%-16%23%52%4%6%
Peers Return-23%0%-11%3%52%-8%-0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DAL Win Rate33%50%50%42%58%56% 
Peers Win Rate19%38%31%37%44%39% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DAL Max Drawdown-67%-17%-28%-6%-8%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-7%-25%-20%-18%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UAL, OSW, ULCC, CAKR, RJET. See DAL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/21/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDALS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven588 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1636 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven190 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven447.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1604 days1480 days

Compare to UAL, OSW, ULCC, CAKR, RJET


In The Past

Delta Air Lines's stock fell -45.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2021. A -45.8% loss requires a 84.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Delta Air Lines (DAL)

Better Bets than Delta Air Lines (DAL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DAL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.6%-5.6%-6.2%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.9%-2.9%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.2%-6.2%-8.5%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.3%-3.3%-5.6%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
28.2%28.2%-1.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.6%-5.6%-6.2%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.9%-2.9%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.2%-6.2%-8.5%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.3%-3.3%-5.6%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
28.2%28.2%-1.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Delta Air Lines

Financials

DALUALOSWULCCCAKRRJETMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Cambodia.Republic. 
Mkt Price62.32100.1120.904.36--41.61
Mkt Cap40.432.42.21.0--17.3
Rev LTM62,92058,3689193,778--31,073
Op Inc LTM6,0725,16582-57--2,623
FCF LTM3,0743,71067-429--1,570
FCF 3Y Avg1,8351,78358-316--921
CFO LTM7,9769,36976-288--4,026
CFO 3Y Avg7,2538,22064-191--3,659

Growth & Margins

DALUALOSWULCCCAKRRJETMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Cambodia.Republic. 
Rev Chg LTM4.3%4.2%8.5%4.6%--4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.8%13.2%44.8%12.0%--12.6%
Rev Chg Q6.4%2.6%7.0%-4.5%--4.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%0.7%1.8%-1.2%--1.1%
Op Mgn LTM9.7%8.8%8.9%-1.5%--8.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.5%9.2%7.7%0.3%--8.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.5%0.2%-2.6%---0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.7%16.1%8.2%-7.6%--10.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.1%14.8%7.7%-5.2%--9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM4.9%6.4%7.3%-11.4%--5.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%3.1%6.9%-8.6%--3.1%

Valuation

DALUALOSWULCCCAKRRJETMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Cambodia.Republic. 
Mkt Cap40.432.42.21.0--17.3
P/S0.60.62.30.3--0.6
P/EBIT6.25.926.2-38.2--6.0
P/E8.79.830.3-30.1--9.3
P/CFO5.13.528.5-3.5--4.3
Total Yield12.0%10.2%4.1%-3.3%--7.1%
Dividend Yield0.5%0.0%0.8%0.0%--0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.7%7.7%3.6%-30.4%--4.7%
D/E0.51.00.14.9--0.7
Net D/E0.40.60.04.3--0.5

Returns

DALUALOSWULCCCAKRRJETMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Cambodia.Republic. 
1M Rtn4.6%-5.8%-5.5%-16.0%---5.7%
3M Rtn12.7%10.3%-3.4%2.1%--6.2%
6M Rtn56.0%49.5%26.1%37.5%--43.5%
12M Rtn14.5%35.3%24.6%-36.9%--19.5%
3Y Rtn96.6%147.6%141.1%-54.4%--118.8%
1M Excs Rtn5.5%-4.5%-6.4%-19.6%---5.5%
3M Excs Rtn6.1%4.8%-11.4%-10.9%---3.1%
6M Excs Rtn28.6%22.1%-1.3%10.2%--16.1%
12M Excs Rtn-1.2%21.2%2.8%-46.6%--0.8%
3Y Excs Rtn18.1%94.3%71.8%-139.2%--45.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline54,66945,60526,67015,94546,910
Refinery7,57210,7066,0543,1435,558
Intersegment Sales/Other-4,193-5,729-2,825-1,993-5,461
Total58,04850,58229,89917,09547,007


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline5,1362,8841,888-12,2536,542
Refinery385777-2-21676
Total5,5213,6611,886-12,4696,618


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline71,52969,35570,41770,54862,793
Refinery2,1743,0392,0991,4481,739
Intersegment Sales/Other-59-106-57  
Total73,64472,28872,45971,99664,532


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,825,668
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-22.6%
Average Daily Volume7,810,407
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.15
Basic Shares Quantity649,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/9/20254.6%8.3% 
7/10/202512.0%9.6%6.2%
4/9/202523.4%13.8%35.3%
1/10/20259.0%7.7%7.8%
10/10/2024-1.1%10.8%18.9%
7/11/2024-4.0%-2.3%-15.2%
4/10/2024-2.3%-1.6%10.5%
1/12/2024-9.0%-11.8%-4.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91312
# Negative151112
Median Positive4.6%7.7%9.8%
Median Negative-2.7%-3.5%-4.0%
Max Positive23.4%13.8%35.3%
Max Negative-9.0%-11.8%-15.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251009202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025710202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025409202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024211202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241010202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024711202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024410202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023212202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231012202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023713202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023413202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221013202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022713202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022413202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0HAUENSTEIN GLEN WPresident8292025Sell61.3110,000613,07013,324,893Form
1HUERTA MICHAEL P8202025Sell60.702,500151,7622,018,138Form
2Bastian Edward HChief Executive Officer7242025Sell56.2835,0001,969,97535,618,443Form
3Carter Peter WEVP - External Affairs7162025Sell57.1917,5501,003,68410,948,568Form
4Sear Steven MEVP - Global Sales & Distrib7152025Sell55.9618,0001,007,3525,456,770Form