Crocs (CROX)
Market Price (10/16/2025): $82.51 | Market Cap: $4.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Footwear
Crocs (CROX)
Market Price (10/16/2025): $82.51Market Cap: $4.6 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Footwear
Investment Highlights
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 17% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72% | |
Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | |
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 17% |
Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% |
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72% |
Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
CROX Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
CROX Return | 50% | 105% | -15% | -14% | 17% | -24% | 83% |
Peers Return | 30% | 18% | -10% | 31% | 1% | -23% | 42% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
CROX Win Rate | 67% | 92% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 22% | |
Peers Win Rate | 65% | 53% | 43% | 67% | 50% | 42% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
CROX Max Drawdown | -74% | -2% | -63% | -29% | -7% | -32% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -8% | -38% | -18% | -27% | -44% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NKE, LULU, DECK, SKX, FL. See CROX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/15/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | CROX | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -73.9% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 282.5% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -75.2% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 303.0% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 178 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -43.4% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 76.6% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 118 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -98.7% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 7852.1% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 4435 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
Crocs's stock fell -73.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -73.9% loss requires a 282.5% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Title | Topic | Date | |
---|---|---|---|
DASHBOARDS | |||
Crocs Earnings Notes | |||
Is The 23.4% Decline In Crocs (CROX) Stock A Dip Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
CROX's 13% Single Week Rise Brings Valuations Into Focus - Is IBKR a Better Deal? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
As CROX Surges 13% in a Week, RRR's Story Stands Out | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
Is The 23.3% Decline In Crocs (CROX) Stock A Dip Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
Better Bet Than CROX Stock: Pay Less Than Crocs To Get More From IBKR, PR | |||
CROX Dip Buy Analysis | |||
Crocs vs. EchoStar: With Return Forecast Of 20%, Crocs Is A Better Bet | Peer Comparison | ||
Crocs vs. Repligen: With Return Forecast Of 20%, Crocs Is A Better Bet | Peer Comparison | ||
Crocs vs. Vornado Realty Trust: With Return Forecast Of 20%, Crocs Is A Better Bet | Peer Comparison | ||
ARTICLES | |||
Is The 23% Drop In CROX Stock, A Buying Opportunity? | August 20th, 2025 | ||
CROX Stock Sinks 23%, Is A Rebound Coming? | August 14th, 2025 | ||
What’s The Deal With Crocs Stock? | August 8th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CROX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -16.9% | -16.9% | -16.9% |
09302025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.9% | -4.9% | -6.2% |
09302025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.4% | -7.4% | -7.6% |
09302025 | VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -6.1% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -9.3% | -9.3% | -11.7% |
02282025 | CROX | Crocs | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.4% | -16.8% | -25.3% |
12312023 | CROX | Crocs | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 56.2% | 16.4% | -7.4% |
04302023 | CROX | Crocs | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -30.5% | 3.3% | -37.5% |
10312022 | CROX | Crocs | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 71.0% | 26.2% | -5.2% |
04302022 | CROX | Crocs | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.1% | 86.2% | -28.9% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -16.9% | -16.9% | -16.9% |
09302025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.9% | -4.9% | -6.2% |
09302025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.4% | -7.4% | -7.6% |
09302025 | VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -6.1% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -9.3% | -9.3% | -11.7% |
02282025 | CROX | Crocs | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.4% | -16.8% | -25.3% |
12312023 | CROX | Crocs | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 56.2% | 16.4% | -7.4% |
04302023 | CROX | Crocs | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -30.5% | 3.3% | -37.5% |
10312022 | CROX | Crocs | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 71.0% | 26.2% | -5.2% |
04302022 | CROX | Crocs | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.1% | 86.2% | -28.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Crocs
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 89.64 |
Mkt Cap | 17.3 |
Rev LTM | 7,945 |
Op Inc LTM | 1,837 |
FCF LTM | 1,063 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 1,039 |
CFO LTM | 1,478 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 1,425 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 5.6% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.1% |
Rev Chg Q | 4.9% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
Op Mgn LTM | 23.3% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.9% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 18.9% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.9% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.4% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 17.3 |
P/S | 2.0 |
P/EBIT | 14.4 |
P/E | 17.3 |
P/CFO | 12.2 |
Total Yield | 5.9% |
Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
D/E | 0.1 |
Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | -0.9% |
3M Rtn | -12.1% |
6M Rtn | -6.5% |
12M Rtn | -40.7% |
3Y Rtn | -5.5% |
1M Excs Rtn | -2.5% |
3M Excs Rtn | -19.9% |
6M Excs Rtn | -31.3% |
12M Excs Rtn | -54.8% |
3Y Excs Rtn | -86.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crocs Brand | 3,013 | 2,659 | 2,313 | ||
HEYDUDE Brand | 949 | 896 | 0 | ||
Direct-to-consumer | 693 | ||||
Wholesale | 693 | 656 | |||
E-commerce | 227 | ||||
Retail | 347 | ||||
Total | 3,962 | 3,555 | 2,313 | 1,386 | 1,231 |
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crocs Brand | 1,079 | 852 | 861 | ||
HEYDUDE Brand | 212 | 211 | 0 | ||
Enterprise corporate costs | -255 | -213 | -178 | ||
Total | 1,037 | 851 | 683 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
8/7/2025 | -29.2% | -20.7% | -17.8% |
5/8/2025 | 9.8% | 17.4% | 0.7% |
2/13/2025 | 23.9% | 22.6% | 11.0% |
10/29/2024 | -19.2% | -23.0% | -24.6% |
8/1/2024 | -2.6% | -6.1% | 8.1% |
5/7/2024 | 7.8% | 12.9% | 16.9% |
2/15/2024 | 12.2% | 8.2% | 18.3% |
11/2/2023 | -5.3% | -5.1% | 21.9% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 11 | 10 | 12 |
# Negative | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Median Positive | 9.8% | 10.6% | 15.3% |
Median Negative | -10.7% | -15.8% | -19.2% |
Max Positive | 23.9% | 22.6% | 55.1% |
Max Negative | -29.2% | -27.5% | -45.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
9302021 | 10212021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for MoreOwner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | Healy Susan L. | EVP, Chief Financial Officer | 8142025 | Buy | 76.56 | 2,000 | 153,120 | 3,833,972 | Form |
1 | REPLOGLE JOHN B | 8132025 | Buy | 76.30 | 336 | 25,637 | 953,165 | Form | |
2 | SMACH THOMAS J | 5132025 | Sell | 109.47 | 9,139 | 1,000,446 | 11,982,367 | Form | |
3 | Bickley Ian | 5132025 | Sell | 115.89 | 3,044 | 352,784 | 3,187,692 | Form | |
4 | SISLER SHANNON | EVP, Chief People Officer | 2212025 | Sell | 109.75 | 4,659 | 511,325 | 3,215,565 | Form |
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