Tearsheet

Citigroup (C)


Market Price (2/11/2026): $122.11 | Market Cap: $222.3 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks

Citigroup (C)


Market Price (2/11/2026): $122.11
Market Cap: $222.3 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -81%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -97%
  Key risks
C key risks include [1] persistent failures to remediate deficiencies in its enterprise-wide risk management and internal controls, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
3 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -97%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -81%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%
7 Key risks
C key risks include [1] persistent failures to remediate deficiencies in its enterprise-wide risk management and internal controls, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Citigroup (C) stock has gained about 20% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q4 2025 Earnings and Positive Forward Guidance.

Citigroup reported robust fourth-quarter 2025 results on January 14, 2026, with adjusted revenues increasing by 8% year-over-year. The company's net income for the quarter was $2.5 billion on revenues of $19.9 billion. Notably, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.81 surpassed analyst estimates. Furthermore, Citigroup provided a positive outlook, projecting net interest income (NII) excluding markets to grow by 5-6% through 2026, targeting a total NII of $62.5 billion. The bank also saw its book value per share increase by 8.3% year-over-year.

2. Significant Progress in Resolving Regulatory Consent Orders.

Citigroup is nearing the completion of its long-standing compliance efforts related to regulatory demands issued more than five years ago. Executives have expressed confidence that the work on these consent orders will be finalized in 2026, a sentiment also being communicated to clients. This progress is anticipated to reduce regulatory constraints, allowing the bank to shift its focus from intensive transformation work back to growth initiatives. A notable step in this direction was the removal by the OCC in December 2025 of a July 2024 amendment to a 2020 consent order, indicating improved compliance. Completing these orders would also enable Citigroup to pursue acquisitions currently prohibited.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 22.0% change in C stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252102026Change
Stock Price ($)100.11122.1522.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)83,30885,2442.3%
Net Income Margin (%)17.0%17.2%1.3%
P/E Multiple13.115.115.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,8561,8202.0%
Cumulative Contribution22.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
C22.0% 
Market (SPY)1.5%65.5%
Sector (XLF)2.3%72.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 32.7% change in C stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252102026Change
Stock Price ($)92.06122.1532.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)81,68485,2444.4%
Net Income Margin (%)16.4%17.2%5.3%
P/E Multiple12.915.117.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,8791,8203.2%
Cumulative Contribution32.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
C32.7% 
Market (SPY)9.8%62.1%
Sector (XLF)2.6%76.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 55.0% change in C stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 69.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120252102026Change
Stock Price ($)78.82122.1555.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)78,64285,2448.4%
Net Income Margin (%)10.2%17.2%69.7%
P/E Multiple18.715.1-19.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,9001,8204.4%
Cumulative Contribution55.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
C55.0% 
Market (SPY)16.0%75.3%
Sector (XLF)5.1%82.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 162.2% change in C stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 160.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232102026Change
Stock Price ($)46.58122.15162.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)73,64585,24415.7%
Net Income Margin (%)21.1%17.2%-18.1%
P/E Multiple5.815.1160.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,9371,8206.4%
Cumulative Contribution162.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
C162.2% 
Market (SPY)76.6%64.2%
Sector (XLF)53.2%79.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
C Return1%-22%19%42%70%7%141%
Peers Return47%-13%18%43%41%3%210%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%2%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
C Win Rate33%42%50%58%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate70%43%53%65%72%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
C Max Drawdown-5%-31%-13%-1%-17%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%-27%-14%-5%-17%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, WFC, MS, GS. See C Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven448 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,767 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven374 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5311.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to JPM, BAC, WFC, MS, GS

In The Past

Citigroup's stock fell -52.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2021. A -52.1% loss requires a 108.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Citigroup (C)

Citigroup Inc., a diversified financial services holding company, provides various financial products and services to consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions in North America, Latin America, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates in two segments, Global Consumer Banking (GCB) and Institutional Clients Group (ICG). The GCB segment offers traditional banking services to retail customers through retail banking, Citi-branded cards, and Citi retail services. It also provides various banking, credit card, lending, and investment services through a network of local branches, offices, and electronic delivery systems. The ICG segment offers wholesale banking products and services, including fixed income and equity sales and trading, foreign exchange, prime brokerage, derivative, equity and fixed income research, corporate lending, investment banking and advisory, private banking, cash management, trade finance, and securities services to corporate, institutional, public sector, and high-net-worth clients. As of December 31, 2020, it operated 2,303 branches primarily in the United States, Mexico, and Asia. Citigroup Inc. was founded in 1812 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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A global financial supermarket, much like JPMorgan Chase.

Similar to Bank of America, but with a much larger international presence and a major division serving corporations and institutions worldwide.

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  • Credit Cards: Offers various credit card products to consumers, enabling purchases and providing revolving credit lines.
  • Retail Banking: Provides traditional banking services to individuals, including checking and savings accounts, and personal lending solutions.
  • Investment Banking: Delivers advisory services for corporate mergers and acquisitions, and assists clients with capital raising through equity and debt markets.
  • Corporate Lending: Extends loans and credit facilities to corporations, institutions, and governments for various financial needs.
  • Treasury and Trade Solutions (TTS): Offers integrated cash management, payment processing, and trade finance solutions to corporate and institutional clients globally.
  • Markets Services: Provides execution and access to global financial markets for clients trading in fixed income, equities, currencies, and commodities.
  • Wealth Management: Offers financial planning, advisory, and investment services to help high-net-worth clients manage and grow their assets.

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Citigroup (symbol: C) serves a diverse range of customers across various segments, rather than having a few identifiable "major customers" in the traditional sense. It sells primarily to both individuals and a vast array of institutional clients. Therefore, we will describe the categories of customers it serves.

The up to three major categories of customers that Citigroup serves are:

  1. Individual Consumers: This category includes millions of retail banking customers who use checking and savings accounts, credit card holders, individuals seeking mortgages and personal loans, and clients utilizing wealth management services.
  2. Corporations: Citigroup provides a wide array of services to multinational corporations, mid-sized companies, and other commercial clients. These services include corporate banking, investment banking (advisory, underwriting), treasury and trade solutions, and commercial lending.
  3. Governments and Other Financial Institutions: This customer base includes sovereign entities, public sector bodies, and central banks, as well as other financial institutions such as banks, asset managers, hedge funds, and insurance companies. Citi provides them with services like markets and securities services, prime brokerage, correspondent banking, and debt capital markets solutions.

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  • Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
  • Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
  • Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
  • International Business Machines Corporation (IBM)
  • Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
  • London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEG)
  • Bloomberg L.P.

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Jane Fraser Chief Executive Officer and Chair of the Board

Jane Fraser is the Chief Executive Officer and Chair of the Board of Citigroup. She was appointed CEO in March 2021, becoming the first woman to lead a major Wall Street bank. Fraser joined Citigroup in 2004, initially as Head of Client Strategy in the investment and global banking division. She swiftly advanced through various leadership roles, including Global Head of Strategy and Mergers & Acquisitions from 2007 to 2009, a period during which she was part of the executive team responsible for restructuring the group during the 2008 financial crisis. Her career at Citi also includes serving as CEO of Citi Private Bank, CEO of Citigroup Latin America, and President of Citi and CEO of Global Consumer Banking. Fraser has overseen the divestiture of several retail banking and credit card operations in various markets as part of efforts to simplify the bank. Prior to joining Citi, she worked as a mergers and acquisitions analyst at Goldman Sachs in London and was a Partner at McKinsey & Company.

Mark Mason Chief Financial Officer

Mark Mason is the Chief Financial Officer of Citigroup, a position he has held since February 2019. He is responsible for the financial management of the company, overseeing Strategy and M&A, Treasury, and Controllers. Mason joined Citigroup in 2001 and has held numerous executive positions within the firm, including Chief Financial Officer of Citi's Institutional Clients Group, Chief Executive Officer of Citi Private Bank, Chief Executive Officer of Citi Holdings, and CFO and Head of Strategy and M&A for Citi's Global Wealth Management Division. Before his tenure at Citi, Mason was Director of Strategy and Business Development at Lucent Technologies, a strategy consultant with Marakon Associates, and had investment banking experience with Goldman Sachs & Co. Mason earned a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance from Howard University and an MBA from Harvard Business School.

Anand Selvakesari Chief Operating Officer

Anand Selvakesari is the Chief Operating Officer of Citigroup, a role he took on in March 2023. He is also head of consumer banking operations and is tasked with overseeing the group's ongoing transformation program. Selvakesari began his career with Citi India in 1991 and has over 30 years of experience across Consumer Banking, Wealth Management, and Commercial Banking, all with Citi and across multiple global markets. His previous roles include CEO of Global Consumer Bank (responsible for consumer banking businesses across 19 markets globally), Head of U.S. Consumer Bank, Head of Consumer Banking for Asia Pacific, and Head of Consumer Banking in China.

Viswas Raghavan Head of Banking and Executive Vice Chair

Viswas Raghavan serves as the Head of Banking and Executive Vice Chair at Citigroup. He is a member of the Executive Management Team.

Andrew Morton Head of Markets

Andrew Morton is the Head of Markets at Citigroup. He is part of Citigroup's Executive Management Team.

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Key Risks to Citigroup (C)

  1. Regulatory Scrutiny, Risk Management, and Internal Controls: Citigroup faces significant ongoing challenges and regulatory scrutiny regarding its enterprise-wide risk management, compliance, internal controls, and data quality management. The company has been operating under consent orders from the Federal Reserve Board and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency since 2020, which mandate substantial improvements in these areas. Failure to fully remediate these deficiencies has resulted in financial penalties and could continue to impact its ability to return capital to shareholders. The company's own management has acknowledged insufficient progress in certain aspects, particularly data quality and regulatory reporting, which led to further regulatory actions in July 2024.
  2. Credit Risk: As a global financial institution, Citigroup is inherently exposed to significant credit risk arising from its extensive consumer, corporate, and public sector loan portfolios across various countries and jurisdictions. Unexpected or increased losses from these credit exposures, particularly in the event of an economic downturn or normalization of credit losses to pre-pandemic levels in segments like its cards business, could materially impact its financial results.
  3. Cybersecurity Risk: Citigroup is continuously exposed to cybersecurity risks, which encompass the threat of cyberattacks, data breaches, or failures in protecting its vital business information assets and operations. Given the evolving threat landscape, increasing sophistication of cyber threats, and ongoing geopolitical conflicts, such incidents could lead to significant financial losses and reputational damage for the company and its clients.

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The following are clear emerging threats for Citigroup:

  • The increasing market penetration and adoption of Fintech companies and Neobanks. These agile, digitally native financial service providers offer lower fees, superior user experiences, and tailored products (e.g., mobile-first banking, advanced budgeting tools, peer-to-peer payments) that directly compete with Citigroup's Global Consumer Banking segment, particularly for deposits, consumer lending, and payment services, eroding market share among younger and digitally-savvy demographics.
  • The expansion of Big Tech companies into financial services. Giants like Apple, Google, and Amazon are leveraging their vast customer bases, robust ecosystems, and extensive data to offer financial products and services (e.g., credit cards, payment solutions, lending to small businesses). While often partnering with traditional banks, these tech companies typically own the customer interface and data, positioning themselves as the primary financial relationship and potentially relegating traditional banks like Citigroup to back-end infrastructure providers.
  • The rise of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and digital assets. The development and increasing institutional adoption of blockchain-based financial systems, cryptocurrencies, and stablecoins present an emerging long-term threat. DeFi platforms enable peer-to-peer lending, borrowing, trading, and asset management without traditional intermediaries, potentially disintermediating Citigroup's core banking, capital markets, and treasury services, especially for cross-border transactions and wholesale finance, as regulatory frameworks evolve and the technology matures.

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Citigroup operates across several main product and service areas, each addressing significant global and regional markets.

Addressable Markets for Citigroup's Main Products and Services:

  • Retail Banking / Personal Banking: The global retail banking market size was estimated at USD 2,039.25 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach USD 3,373.43 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.8% from 2025 to 2033.
  • Credit Cards: The global credit card payment market size was valued at USD 690.6 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1,316.4 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.66% during 2025-2033. North America currently dominates this market, holding a significant market share of over 43.7% in 2024.
  • Wealth Management: The global wealth management market reached a value of approximately USD 1.8 trillion in 2023. It is expected to grow to USD 2.5 trillion by 2028 and further to USD 3.5 trillion by 2033. North America held the highest market share in terms of revenue for wealth management in 2020.
  • Investment Banking (including Corporate and Investment Banking): The global investment banking and trading services market size accounted for USD 397.11 billion in 2024. This market is predicted to increase to approximately USD 765.98 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 6.79% from 2025 to 2034. North America dominated the global investment banking and trading services market with the largest share in 2024.
  • Treasury and Trade Solutions (TTS): null

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Citigroup (symbol: C) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies across its core businesses:

  1. Growth in Services Sector: Citigroup anticipates continued revenue expansion in its Services sector, particularly within Treasury and Trade Solutions (TTS) and Securities Services. This growth is expected to be fueled by building on established leadership in cross-border payments, improving client experience, offering integrated solutions, and increasing average deposits and transaction volumes. The Services business has consistently delivered strong performance and gained market share.
  2. Scaling Wealth Management: The company is focused on expanding its Wealth Management business globally. This includes strategic initiatives such as hiring client advisors, enhancing the client and advisor experience, and driving record net new investment assets. Citigroup's private bank and wealth management revenues saw double-digit growth in the first nine months of 2025.
  3. Targeted Share Gains in Banking and Markets: Citigroup aims for targeted share gains in its Banking and Markets segments. In Banking, this involves investing in talent in key growth areas and providing seamless client experiences to increase market share in M&A, ECM, and DCM. For Markets, the focus is on capital productivity, digital solutions, and achieving share gains in Fixed Income and Equities, capitalizing on strong franchise performance and increased dealmaking and trading activity.
  4. Growth in U.S. Personal Banking (USPB): Revenue growth in U.S. Personal Banking is projected, driven by the strong performance of its cards portfolio, increased customer engagement, a rise in interest-earning balances, and fee growth. Citigroup is also maximizing the value of its retail bank through investments in digital capabilities.
  5. Strategic Investments in Technology and Digital Capabilities: Citigroup is making significant investments in technology, digital assets, and artificial intelligence to drive innovation and enhance capabilities across its franchise. These investments are crucial for improving client experience, operational efficiency, and supporting growth across all business segments, contributing to an improved returns profile.

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Share Repurchases

  • Citigroup authorized a new multi-year $20 billion share repurchase program in January 2025, with plans to buy back $1.5 billion in shares in Q1 2025.
  • The company conducted approximately $1.999 billion in share buybacks in the quarter ending September 30, 2025, and $2.474 billion in 2024.
  • In 2023, Citigroup's annual share buybacks totaled $1.977 billion, following $3.25 billion in 2022.

Share Issuance

  • Citigroup's shares outstanding have generally declined over the past few years, with a 4% decline year-over-year to 1.863 billion for the quarter ending September 30, 2025.
  • Shares outstanding decreased by 0.8% in 2024 to 1.94 billion and by 0.43% in 2023 to 1.956 billion.

Outbound Investments

  • Citigroup announced an innovative $25 billion private credit partnership with Apollo in 2024.
  • The company continues to make investments in its technology and client experience, particularly within its Services business, to deepen client relationships.
  • Citi is focusing on high-growth sectors like technology, healthcare, and leverage finance, and aims to capitalize on a favorable market environment in 2025, especially in M&A and debt and equity underwriting.

Capital Expenditures

  • Citigroup's capital expenditures for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, were $1.8 billion.
  • The company has been investing heavily in its infrastructure as part of an enterprise-wide transformation, enhancing governance, overhauling risk management structures, and automating processes.
  • These investments also focus on data governance and quality to leverage the vast amounts of data the bank holds.

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Unique Key

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

CJPMBACWFCMSGSMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.Goldman . 
Mkt Price122.15318.2855.3991.91177.89948.99150.02
Mkt Cap222.3879.2413.5292.5279.5293.8293.1
Rev LTM85,244179,430107,26482,53264,24758,69883,888
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-75,968-119,74861,472-14,218-6,74715,769-10,482
FCF 3Y Avg-64,799-65,10734,2449,172-23,827-31,511-27,669
CFO LTM-69,391-119,74861,472-14,218-3,67917,888-8,948
CFO 3Y Avg-58,153-65,10734,2449,172-20,550-29,280-24,915

Growth & Margins

CJPMBACWFCMSGSMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.Goldman . 
Rev Chg LTM8.4%8.6%8.9%0.2%17.6%15.2%8.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.0%13.4%5.2%2.9%7.6%6.4%5.8%
Rev Chg Q9.6%8.8%10.8%5.3%19.1%19.6%10.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%2.1%2.6%1.3%4.5%4.4%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-81.4%-66.7%57.3%-17.2%-5.7%30.5%-11.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-72.0%-36.4%32.7%11.2%-38.8%-60.4%-37.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-89.1%-66.7%57.3%-17.2%-10.5%26.9%-13.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-80.3%-36.4%32.7%11.2%-44.6%-64.7%-40.5%

Valuation

CJPMBACWFCMSGSMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.Goldman . 
Mkt Cap222.3879.2413.5292.5279.5293.8293.1
P/S2.64.93.93.54.35.04.1
P/EBIT-------
P/E15.115.213.913.917.317.615.1
P/CFO-3.2-7.36.7-20.6-76.016.4-5.3
Total Yield6.6%6.6%7.2%9.0%5.8%5.7%6.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-46.9%-7.2%10.1%5.6%-13.4%-19.3%-10.3%
D/E1.70.60.90.71.31.31.1
Net D/E-1.0-0.3-0.7-0.60.90.6-0.4

Returns

CJPMBACWFCMSGSMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.Goldman . 
1M Rtn1.2%-3.3%-0.8%-3.7%-4.0%1.1%-2.1%
3M Rtn21.9%1.3%3.8%7.2%7.4%17.7%7.3%
6M Rtn29.0%9.7%17.9%16.8%22.2%29.0%20.0%
12M Rtn55.2%19.8%21.4%18.7%33.0%48.9%27.2%
3Y Rtn170.6%142.3%68.4%108.9%99.5%175.6%125.6%
1M Excs Rtn1.6%-3.0%-0.5%-3.4%-3.6%1.4%-1.7%
3M Excs Rtn18.7%-1.4%1.5%4.2%7.0%18.1%5.6%
6M Excs Rtn24.9%2.0%12.4%10.7%16.2%24.4%14.3%
12M Excs Rtn38.2%2.6%4.4%1.2%15.3%32.4%9.8%
3Y Excs Rtn98.3%74.4%-3.3%40.8%29.7%108.8%57.6%

Comparison Analyses

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FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Markets1,007,000    
Services586,000    
United States Personal Banking (USPB)242,000    
Wealth232,000    
All Other196,000    
Banking149,000    
Corporate/Other 96,00089,00096,00097,000
Institutional Clients Group (ICG) 1,730,0001,613,0001,730,0001,447,000
Legacy Franchises 97,000125,000  
Personal Banking and Wealth Management (PBWM) 494,000464,000  
Global Consumer Banking   434,000407,000
Total2,412,0002,417,0002,291,0002,260,0001,951,000


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$122.15 
Market Cap ($ Bil)222.3 
First Trading Date01/03/1977 
Distance from 52W High-1.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$114.68$95.47
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA6.5%28.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility28.9%32.0%
Downside Capture139.34120.49
Upside Capture242.54147.90
Correlation (SPY)66.9%75.8%
C Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.131.841.411.341.241.19
Up Beta1.951.590.591.480.971.07
Down Beta2.241.401.201.081.501.36
Up Capture170%284%230%173%184%192%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days10263772142404
Down Capture249%163%138%123%113%103%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days10152453108341

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with C
C53.6%32.0%1.37-
Sector ETF (XLF)4.4%19.2%0.1082.7%
Equity (SPY)16.3%19.3%0.6575.8%
Gold (GLD)76.7%25.0%2.250.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.4%16.6%0.3722.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.5%16.6%0.2150.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.3%44.7%-0.5827.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with C
C19.0%28.6%0.63-
Sector ETF (XLF)14.0%18.7%0.6180.4%
Equity (SPY)14.1%17.0%0.6663.5%
Gold (GLD)22.1%16.9%1.064.4%
Commodities (DBC)11.3%18.9%0.4822.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%18.8%0.1945.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.4%57.9%0.4524.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with C
C15.1%33.3%0.51-
Sector ETF (XLF)14.2%22.2%0.5987.7%
Equity (SPY)15.7%17.9%0.7570.9%
Gold (GLD)15.7%15.5%0.84-6.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%17.6%0.3931.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.2%20.7%0.2754.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.8%66.7%1.0818.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity25.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 11520262.4%
Average Daily Volume13.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,820.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/14/2026-3.3%-2.1% 
10/14/20253.9%3.3%5.5%
7/15/20253.7%5.9%10.1%
4/15/20251.8%2.1%20.0%
1/15/20256.5%11.1%12.5%
10/15/2024-5.1%-6.3%5.5%
4/12/2024-1.7%-3.9%5.6%
1/10/2024-1.8%-3.6%2.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10914
# Negative12137
Median Positive2.7%4.4%5.5%
Median Negative-3.6%-3.9%-4.0%
Max Positive13.2%19.1%24.4%
Max Negative-6.9%-11.1%-9.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q
12/31/202102/28/202210-K

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Henry, Peter B DirectSell718202590.403,000271,209193,500Form
2Dugan, John Cunningham DirectSell502202568.264,417301,493890,645Form
3Wechter, SaraChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell218202581.0115,1251,225,2848,893,366Form
4Skyler, EdwardHd of Ent Svc & Public AffairsDirectSell218202582.4135,5452,929,26316,871,512Form
5Selvakesari, AnandChief Operating OfficerDirectSell218202581.1030,0002,433,14718,587,595Form

C Trade Sentinel


Core Investment Debate

The Transformation vs. Turnaround Trap

BULL VIEW

Management's 'Simplification' strategy will achieve its ~60% efficiency and 10-11% RoTCE targets, unlocking significant value via margin expansion and buybacks.

CORE TENSION

Can a complex restructuring close the profitability gap with peers, or will execution risk and regulatory drag perennially impair returns?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BEARISH

The high probability assigned to 'Execution Risk in Remediation of Regulatory Consent Orders' and the recent Q4 2025 revenue miss give credence to the bear case.

BEAR VIEW

Ongoing regulatory consent orders, legacy asset divestiture risk (Banamex), and potential credit deterioration will prevent management from hitting its targets.

Potential Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
Mid-April 2026
Q1 2026 Earnings & Guidance Update
Watch: Progress on Efficiency Ratio (~60% target) and Net Charge-Offs in U.S. Personal Banking (guidance: 5.75%-6.25%).
H1 2026
Regulatory Update on Consent Orders
Watch: Any announcement from the Federal Reserve or OCC regarding lifting the 2020 consent orders.
May 7, 2026
Investor Day / Banamex IPO Update
Watch: Clarity on the Banamex IPO timeline and updated costs associated with winding down legacy franchises.
H1 2026
Finalization of Basel III Endgame Rules
Watch: The final rule's stringency on risk-weighted assets (RWA) and operational risk capital charges.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
Feb 6, 2026
Report on Consent Order Progress
Details: A media report indicated executives are increasingly confident they will complete the compliance work on legacy consent orders within the year.
Surged +6.0%
Jan 14, 2026
Q4 2025 Earnings Release
Details: Reported adjusted EPS of $1.81, beating estimates of $1.70, but revenue of $19.9 billion fell short of the anticipated $20.55 billion.
Rose significantly by 4.5%
Dec 24, 2025
Stock Reaches 52-Week High
Details: Shares hit a new 52-week high, continuing a strong year-end rally fueled by optimism over the bank's strategic simplification and a favorable market backdrop.
Modest 1.8% gain
Nov 12, 2025
Strategic Update on Simplification
Details: Management provided further details on its restructuring, including plans to cut 20,000 jobs by 2026, which investors viewed as a positive step towards improving efficiency.
Rose significantly by 2.1%
Oct 14, 2025
Q3 2025 Earnings Release
Details: The bank reported strong quarterly results, with positive momentum noted in the core Services and Wealth Management divisions, reinforcing the strategic pivot.
Rose significantly by 3.9%
Sep 9, 2025
Barclays Global Financial Services Conference
Details: Management presented at a major industry conference, reiterating the firm's commitment to its transformation strategy and medium-term financial targets.
Modest 1.5% gain
Risk Management
Position Sizing

1% - 3%

CONSERVATIVE

Stock is trading in a Moderate Volatility regime. However, the Bearish sentiment, driven by significant execution risk and a contested moat, reduces conviction. Therefore, we cap exposure to Conservative (1-3%) until visibility on the turnaround improves.

Diversification Alternatives
JPM
INDUSTRY

Avoids Citigroup's execution risk by already operating at a best-in-class level. Offers superior profitability (RoTCE), a higher efficiency ratio, and a more robust 'fortress balance sheet'.

Core Thesis: The core thesis is based on being the undisputed market leader across most segments, benefiting from scale, diversification, and superior operational execution.
BAC
INDUSTRY

Provides a cleaner, more direct investment thesis. Its massive, low-cost US consumer deposit base makes it a primary beneficiary of a high interest rate environment, avoiding C's complex turnaround narrative.

Core Thesis: The thesis is built on its dominant US retail and commercial franchise and its premier wealth management business (Merrill), making it highly levered to the US economy and interest rates.