Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.2%, Dist 3Y High is -2.2%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -105%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -113%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -101%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
3 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -101%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14%
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.2%, Dist 3Y High is -2.2%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -105%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -113%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

C Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Citigroup (C) stock moved by approximately 7.4% from July 31, 2025, to November 3, 2025:

1. Strong Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat: Citigroup reported better-than-expected financial results for the second quarter of 2025 on July 15, 2025. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $1.96, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.61 by 21.74%. This positive earnings surprise indicated strong underlying business performance.

2. Significant Share Repurchase Plan: During the second quarter earnings call, Citigroup highlighted its commitment to returning capital to shareholders, having returned over $3 billion, which included $2 billion in share repurchases as part of an ongoing $20 billion buyback program. The company also committed to at least $4 billion in buybacks for the subsequent quarter, signaling confidence in its valuation and a strategy to enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
C Return-20%1%-22%19%42%47%57%
Peers Return4%39%-15%14%37%26%144%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
C Win Rate42%33%42%50%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate60%70%42%48%63%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
C Max Drawdown-55%-5%-31%-13%-1%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-3%-29%-18%-6%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, MS, GS, USB. See C Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/31/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven448 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1767 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven374 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5311.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to JPM, BAC, MS, GS, USB


In The Past

Citigroup's stock fell -52.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2021. A -52.1% loss requires a 108.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Citigroup (C)

Better Bets than Citigroup (C)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to C. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
EEFT_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025EEFTEuronet WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
APO_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025APOApollo Asset ManagementDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
EEFT_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025EEFTEuronet WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
APO_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025APOApollo Asset ManagementDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Citigroup

Financials

CJPMBACMSGSUSBMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.Goldman .U.S. Ban. 
Mkt Price101.23311.1253.45164.00789.3746.68132.62
Mkt Cap187.9867.6399.1258.6244.472.8251.5
Rev LTM83,113175,656107,26461,50358,69827,71572,308
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-93,686-148,61561,472-20,94115,7697,484-6,728
FCF 3Y Avg-65,690-56,10434,244-25,282-31,51110,620-28,397
CFO LTM-87,165-148,61561,472-17,67017,8887,484-5,093
CFO 3Y Avg-59,182-56,10434,244-21,957-29,28010,620-25,618

Growth & Margins

CJPMBACMSGSUSBMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.Goldman .U.S. Ban. 
Rev Chg LTM6.3%8.2%8.9%16.7%15.2%1.7%8.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.3%13.5%5.2%5.0%6.4%6.5%5.8%
Rev Chg Q8.1%6.7%10.8%11.3%19.6%2.0%9.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%1.6%2.6%2.6%4.4%0.5%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-104.9%-84.6%57.3%-28.7%30.5%27.0%-0.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-74.6%-32.5%32.7%-41.3%-60.4%39.0%-36.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-112.7%-84.6%57.3%-34.0%26.9%27.0%-3.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-82.8%-32.5%32.7%-47.4%-64.7%39.0%-40.0%

Valuation

CJPMBACMSGSUSBMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.Goldman .U.S. Ban. 
Mkt Cap187.9867.6399.1258.6244.472.8251.5
P/S2.34.93.74.24.22.63.9
P/EBIT-------
P/E13.315.313.517.514.710.514.1
P/CFO-2.2-5.86.5-14.613.79.72.2
Total Yield7.5%6.5%7.4%5.7%6.8%13.8%7.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-56.0%-7.4%11.7%-16.0%-22.7%18.4%-11.7%
D/E2.00.60.91.41.51.11.2
Net D/E-1.0-0.5-0.70.90.8-0.9-0.6

Returns

CJPMBACMSGSUSBMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.Goldman .U.S. Ban. 
1M Rtn3.6%0.4%5.5%4.7%-0.1%-2.9%2.0%
3M Rtn10.2%8.0%17.7%18.6%11.8%7.4%11.0%
6M Rtn45.5%24.4%31.6%38.2%40.9%15.0%34.9%
12M Rtn63.8%42.5%31.0%44.3%55.1%2.0%43.4%
3Y Rtn154.7%163.4%61.2%117.1%144.4%29.9%130.7%
1M Excs Rtn2.1%-0.7%4.0%4.4%-0.6%-4.4%0.8%
3M Excs Rtn1.9%-1.8%9.2%8.7%1.2%-1.8%1.6%
6M Excs Rtn25.2%4.1%11.4%17.9%20.6%-5.3%14.6%
12M Excs Rtn44.0%25.3%11.4%25.2%36.4%-16.1%25.2%
3Y Excs Rtn71.4%91.3%-16.5%47.9%75.4%-51.4%59.7%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
United States Personal Banking (USPB)19,18716,87215,845  
Markets18,64919,94519,399  
Services18,10215,66512,523  
All Other9,4429,1209,462  
Wealth7,0217,3557,542  
Banking4,7155,5277,783  
Reconciling Items1,346854-670  
Corporate/Other   712,014
Global Consumer Banking   30,34232,971
Institutional Clients Group (ICG)   45,08839,301
Total78,46275,33871,88475,50174,286


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Services4,7014,9483,768  
Markets3,9385,8526,661  
United States Personal Banking (USPB)1,8202,7706,099  
Reconciling Items659-184-1,642  
Wealth4199951,968  
Banking-313344,105  
All Other-2,1244501,059  
Corporate/Other   -1,109825
Global Consumer Banking   6635,702
Institutional Clients Group (ICG)   11,55312,944
Total9,38215,16522,01811,10719,471


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Markets1,008,000963,000895,000  
Services586,000600,000547,000  
United States Personal Banking (USPB)242,000231,000211,000  
Wealth229,000256,000250,000  
All Other199,000215,000243,000  
Banking148,000152,000145,000  
Corporate/Other   96,00097,000
Global Consumer Banking   434,000407,000
Institutional Clients Group (ICG)   1,730,0001,447,000
Total2,412,0002,417,0002,291,0002,260,0001,951,000


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity29,370,584
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-3.6%
Average Daily Volume15,169,147
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.94
Basic Shares Quantity1,855,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/14/20253.9%3.3% 
7/15/20253.7%5.9%10.1%
4/15/20251.8%2.1%20.0%
1/15/20256.5%11.1%12.5%
10/15/2024-5.1%-6.3%5.5%
4/12/2024-1.7%-3.9%5.6%
1/10/2024-1.8%-3.6%2.8%
10/13/2023-0.2%-3.5%2.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11913
# Negative11139
Median Positive1.8%4.4%5.6%
Median Negative-3.9%-3.9%-3.4%
Max Positive13.2%19.1%24.4%
Max Negative-6.9%-11.1%-9.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211108202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More