Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 12%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 61x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 24 Bil, FCF LTM is 11 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 24 Bil, FCF LTM is 11 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 61x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.3%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

BP Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BP Return-41%36%39%6%-12%27%31%
Peers Return-36%63%63%-3%-1%5%72%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BP Win Rate25%75%58%67%42%80% 
Peers Win Rate32%72%62%53%50%66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BP Max Drawdown-58%0%-0%-3%-16%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-59%-0%-0%-14%-10%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XOM, CVX, COP, EOG, BP. See BP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/6/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-23.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven167.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven835 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven133.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to XOM, CVX, COP, EOG, BP


In The Past

BP's stock fell -23.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -23.9% loss requires a 31.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BP (BP)

Interactive Breakdown

BP Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than BP (BP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.3%-2.3%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.4%24.4%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.4%-4.4%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.3%-2.3%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.4%24.4%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.4%-4.4%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BP

Financials

BPXOMCVXCOPEOGMedian
NameBP Exxon Mo.Chevron ConocoPh.EOG Reso. 
Mkt Price35.82114.50152.9485.66105.00105.00
Mkt Cap92.6495.9296.5106.757.0106.7
Rev LTM187,704329,385186,97959,78822,712186,979
Op Inc LTM13,97537,57215,06712,5497,76213,975
FCF LTM10,66729,12315,4247,0884,52910,667
FCF 3Y Avg15,58735,95818,1858,9105,87415,587
CFO LTM24,31854,30131,84519,93510,67224,318
CFO 3Y Avg29,93358,98034,25020,72012,00729,933

Growth & Margins

BPXOMCVXCOPEOGMedian
NameBP Exxon Mo.Chevron ConocoPh.EOG Reso. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.0%-3.3%-3.6%8.2%-5.4%-3.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.3%-2.1%-6.2%-6.6%-5.1%-5.3%
Rev Chg Q2.5%-11.7%-1.5%15.3%-11.2%-1.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%-3.1%-0.4%3.4%-2.9%-0.4%
Op Mgn LTM7.4%11.4%8.1%21.0%34.2%11.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.0%13.4%11.2%24.1%38.1%13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%-0.2%-0.3%-1.0%-1.4%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM13.0%16.5%17.0%33.3%47.0%17.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.6%17.1%17.6%35.6%50.0%17.6%
FCF/Rev LTM5.7%8.8%8.2%11.9%19.9%8.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.5%10.4%9.3%15.3%24.3%10.4%

Valuation

BPXOMCVXCOPEOGMedian
NameBP Exxon Mo.Chevron ConocoPh.EOG Reso. 
Mkt Cap92.6495.9296.5106.757.0106.7
P/S0.51.51.61.82.51.6
P/EBIT6.710.813.37.37.57.5
P/E61.016.023.212.19.916.0
P/CFO3.89.19.35.45.35.4
Total Yield5.7%9.7%8.4%11.9%13.8%9.7%
Dividend Yield4.1%3.5%4.1%3.6%3.7%3.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg16.1%7.8%6.2%6.9%8.7%7.8%
D/E0.80.10.10.20.10.1
Net D/E0.40.00.10.2-0.00.1

Returns

BPXOMCVXCOPEOGMedian
NameBP Exxon Mo.Chevron ConocoPh.EOG Reso. 
1M Rtn2.4%0.2%-1.3%-10.0%-4.0%-1.3%
3M Rtn6.3%9.1%1.0%-6.7%-8.6%1.0%
6M Rtn29.2%10.0%14.2%-1.9%-2.6%10.0%
12M Rtn26.2%-2.0%1.4%-22.2%-14.6%-2.0%
3Y Rtn23.1%11.6%-6.9%-29.8%-18.7%-6.9%
1M Excs Rtn4.3%0.9%-0.0%-8.1%-3.6%-0.0%
3M Excs Rtn-0.3%2.0%-5.4%-13.2%-14.0%-5.4%
6M Excs Rtn10.5%-8.7%-4.4%-20.6%-21.2%-8.7%
12M Excs Rtn10.4%-17.6%-13.8%-36.4%-29.3%-17.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-46.9%-60.9%-79.4%-100.2%-87.2%-79.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Customers & products160,2152,299130,09590,744 
Gas & low carbon energy50,29733,19330,84016,275 
Oil production & operations24,904188,62324,51917,234 
Other businesses and corporate2,657-38,9781,7241,6661,788
Consolidation adjustment and Eliminations-27,94356,255 -19,975-28,789
Sales and other operating revenues between segments  -29,439  
Downstream    250,897
Upstream    54,501
Total210,130241,392157,739105,944278,397


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil production & operations10,72111,370   
Customers & products5,3273,875   
Gas & low carbon energy4,1735,299   
Other businesses and corporate2857   
Consolidation adjustment and Eliminations00   
Total20,24920,601   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,061,289
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-16.2%
Average Daily Volume5,960,139
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.18
Basic Shares Quantity2,586,490,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580520256-K 6/30/2025
331202542920256-K 3/31/2025
12312024306202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024102920246-K 9/30/2024
9302023103120236-K 9/30/2023
630202380120236-K 6/30/2023
12312022310202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022110120226-K 9/30/2022
630202280220226-K 6/30/2022
331202250320226-K 3/31/2022
9302021110220216-K 9/30/2021
630202180320216-K 6/30/2021
331202142720216-K 3/31/2021
630202080420206-K 6/30/2020
331202042820206-K 3/31/2020
12312019318202020-F 12/31/2019

Insider Activity

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