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Axsome Therapeutics (AXSM)


Market Price (11/13/2025): $140.9 | Market Cap: $7.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Axsome Therapeutics (AXSM)


Market Price (11/13/2025): $140.9
Market Cap: $7.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -195 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -35%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -195 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -35%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

AXSM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Axsome Therapeutics (AXSM) stock moved by 38.9% between approximately July 31, 2025, and November 13, 2025: **1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Revenue Growth and Product Performance.** Axsome Therapeutics reported total net product revenue of $171.0 million for the third quarter of 2025, marking a 63% year-over-year increase and surpassing analyst estimates. This was primarily driven by robust sales of AUVELITY®, which generated $136.1 million (up 69% year-over-year), and SUNOSI®, contributing $32.8 million (up 35% year-over-year).

**2. Submission of Supplemental New Drug Application (sNDA) for AXS-05 in Alzheimer's Disease Agitation.** The company submitted an sNDA for AXS-05 for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease agitation to the FDA in the third quarter of 2025. Given that AXS-05 has received Breakthrough Therapy designation for this indication, the application is eligible for Priority Review, potentially accelerating its path to market and addressing a significant unmet medical need.

**3. Successful Commercial Launch and Initial Sales of SYMBRAVO®.** Following its FDA approval on January 30, 2025, SYMBRAVO® for the acute treatment of migraine became commercially available in June 2025. The third quarter of 2025 marked its first full quarter of commercialization, with the product contributing $2.1 million in net product sales, demonstrating successful integration into Axsome's commercial portfolio.

**4. Advancements and Expansion of the Late-Stage Neuroscience Pipeline.** Axsome Therapeutics provided updates on its diverse late-stage pipeline, including plans for an NDA submission for AXS-12 in narcolepsy with cataplexy in the fourth quarter of 2025. Additionally, the company is preparing to launch a Phase 3 trial for AXS-14 in fibromyalgia before the end of 2025 and plans to initiate Phase 3 trials for solriamfetol in major depressive disorder with excessive daytime sleepiness and AXS-05 in smoking cessation in the fourth quarter of 2025.

**5. Achievement of Cash Flow Positivity and Strong Financial Position.** The company achieved a positive cash flow of approximately $1 million in the third quarter of 2025. As of September 30, 2025, Axsome reported a solid cash and cash equivalents position of $325.3 million, which management indicated is sufficient to fund anticipated operations into cash flow positivity.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AXSM Return-21%-54%104%3%6%66%36%
Peers Return-7%9%-2%8%-2%2%7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AXSM Win Rate42%50%67%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate38%48%54%58%46%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AXSM Max Drawdown-60%-76%-42%-26%-17%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-8%-20%-16%-16%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX. See AXSM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAXSMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-75.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven309.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven665 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1772 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-70.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven237.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven11 days120 days

Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX


In The Past

Axsome Therapeutics's stock fell -75.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -75.6% loss requires a 309.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Axsome Therapeutics (AXSM)

Better Bets than Axsome Therapeutics (AXSM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AXSM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-10.1%-10.1%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.0%-22.0%-22.3%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-10.1%-10.1%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.0%-22.0%-22.3%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Axsome Therapeutics

Financials

AXSMACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameAxsome T.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Mkt Price140.8637.6431.4156.6214.1623.8634.52
Mkt Cap7.05.55.23.12.01.14.1
Rev LTM5611,2251,5211,3494,2827171,287
Op Inc LTM-195-35919439360194
FCF LTM-101704491191271124231
FCF 3Y Avg-126672353103235149192
CFO LTM-101704541251376141313
CFO 3Y Avg-125672397150339165252

Growth & Margins

AXSMACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameAxsome T.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Rev Chg LTM65.8%2.4%1.1%8.6%-2.5%3.1%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg296.0%3.9%12.1%9.9%-0.8%3.1%6.9%
Rev Chg Q63.2%0.6%4.2%12.5%-4.1%6.5%5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.4%0.2%1.1%3.0%-1.0%1.6%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-34.7%-23.6%14.4%9.2%8.4%9.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-63.2%-24.7%8.3%6.5%11.1%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.3%--1.3%1.0%-0.4%-1.4%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-18.0%57.5%35.6%18.6%8.8%19.7%19.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-40.3%56.6%25.9%11.6%7.6%23.8%17.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-18.1%57.5%32.3%14.2%6.3%17.3%15.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-40.4%56.6%23.1%7.9%5.3%21.6%14.7%

Valuation

AXSMACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameAxsome T.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Mkt Cap7.05.55.23.12.01.14.1
P/S12.64.53.42.30.51.52.9
P/EBIT-31.66.212.8-22.57.418.56.8
P/E-30.78.415.3-14.2-37.949.0-2.9
P/CFO-69.87.99.612.35.27.47.7
Total Yield-3.3%14.0%6.5%-7.0%-0.6%2.0%0.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.0%12.9%7.4%3.6%6.5%16.0%7.0%
D/E0.00.10.00.21.90.40.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.3-0.2-0.11.60.2-0.0

Returns

AXSMACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameAxsome T.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
1M Rtn16.3%5.4%-2.4%9.3%-33.2%7.2%6.3%
3M Rtn28.8%-1.4%9.7%6.7%-39.4%-4.7%2.7%
6M Rtn35.9%7.3%2.6%30.0%-44.3%-2.4%4.9%
12M Rtn41.6%11.2%7.4%6.8%-44.0%42.0%9.3%
3Y Rtn138.7%67.9%43.2%8.7%-52.6%-54.9%25.9%
1M Excs Rtn10.9%0.5%-4.8%4.2%-37.7%1.9%1.2%
3M Excs Rtn23.6%-7.5%5.2%-1.3%-43.7%-10.4%-4.4%
6M Excs Rtn19.6%-9.0%-13.7%13.7%-60.6%-18.7%-11.3%
12M Excs Rtn42.1%-0.2%-5.4%-4.6%-58.2%24.1%-2.4%
3Y Excs Rtn67.9%-12.6%-35.1%-66.3%-139.6%-132.6%-50.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Auvelity1305   
Sunosi7245   
Sunosi license revenue660   
Sunosi royalty revenue20   
Total27150   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of developing and delivering novel therapies for the management of CNS disorders  88186221
Total  88186221


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,604,602
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520254.9%
Average Daily Volume455,208
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.92
Basic Shares Quantity50,021,851
Short % of Basic Shares7.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/20250.6%  
8/4/20253.4%1.7%19.9%
5/5/20253.8%-4.0%-1.9%
2/18/2025-2.3%-0.3%-4.9%
11/12/20249.4%1.6%7.4%
8/5/2024-1.4%-1.6%6.2%
5/6/20241.5%-3.1%-3.4%
2/20/2024-12.6%-11.3%-17.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131012
# Negative91210
Median Positive4.8%3.0%15.6%
Median Negative-4.2%-3.5%-15.0%
Max Positive10.2%8.4%76.4%
Max Negative-46.5%-55.3%-48.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Coleman Mark 9092025Buy127.20800101,7606,033,986Form
1JEFFS ROGER 9022025Sell123.6813,4641,665,2287,112,837Form
2JEFFS ROGER 8292025Sell122.3020,0002,446,00013,572,120Form
3JEFFS ROGER 8262025Sell120.0816,6942,004,61618,128,958Form
4Coleman Mark 5292025Sell105.473,750395,5125,314,317Form