Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $70.61 | Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $70.61Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -49% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 10% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ANF Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) experienced a -25.8% stock movement between July 31, 2025, and November 13, 2025, driven by several key factors:
1. Mixed Q2 2025 Earnings Report and Brand-Specific Weakness.
While Abercrombie & Fitch reported Q2 2025 earnings on August 27, 2025, that surpassed consensus estimates for both EPS and revenue, underlying details revealed challenges. The Abercrombie brand saw a 5% decline in net sales and an 11% drop in comparable sales, largely due to lower average unit retail (AUR) as the company managed carryover inventory. Additionally, the EMEA region experienced a 1% decline in net sales.
2. Downward Revision of FY 2025 and Q3 2025 Guidance.
The company revised its full-year 2025 earnings per share (EPS) guidance downward to $9.50–$10.50 from an earlier projection of $10.40–$11.40. Q3 2025 guidance was also set at $2.05–$2.25 EPS. This lowered outlook signaled a less optimistic financial trajectory for the remainder of the fiscal year.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ANF Return | 19% | 71% | -34% | 285% | 69% | -52% | 318% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 13% | -13% | 28% | 7% | 5% | 55% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ANF Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 50% | 83% | 50% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 45% | 30% | 50% | 40% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ANF Max Drawdown | -53% | 0% | -59% | -5% | 0% | -55% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -5% | -33% | -10% | -12% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TJX, URBN, AEO, GES, BRIA. See ANF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ANF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -69.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 232.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 357 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 221 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 552 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 497.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5506 days | 1480 days |
Compare to TJX, URBN, AEO, GES, BRIA
In The Past
Abercrombie & Fitch's stock fell -69.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -69.9% loss requires a 232.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Abercrombie & Fitch Earnings Notes | |||
| ANF: Strong Cash Flow Poised for a Re-Rating? | Actionable | ||
| ANF Growing and Cash Generating - What's Stopping You? | Actionable | ||
| Is 25.2% Fall In Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| Why ANF's Cash Flow Makes It Worth Considering | Actionable | ||
| How Low Can Abercrombie & Fitch Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Is 20.3% Fall In Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| null | |||
| Better Bet Than ANF Stock: Pay Less Than Abercrombie & Fitch To Get More From CALM, PTCT | |||
| ANF Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Could Abercrombie & Fitch Stock’s Cash Flow Spark the Next Rally? | November 8th, 2025 | ||
| ANF Tops Guess Stock on Price & Potential | November 6th, 2025 | ||
| Better Value & Growth: ANF Leads American Eagle Outfitters Stock | November 5th, 2025 | ||
| Cash Rich, Low Price – Abercrombie & Fitch Stock to Break Out? | October 25th, 2025 | ||
| Abercrombie & Fitch Stock To $94? | October 15th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ANF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.5% | 1.5% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.5% | -1.5% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.4% | -1.4% | -2.5% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.6% | 17.6% | -6.2% |
| 09122025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.3% | -20.3% | -23.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.5% | 1.5% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.5% | -1.5% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.4% | -1.4% | -2.5% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.6% | 17.6% | -6.2% |
| 09122025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.3% | -20.3% | -23.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Abercrombie & Fitch
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.4 |
| Rev LTM | 5,267 |
| Op Inc LTM | 557 |
| FCF LTM | 345 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 293 |
| CFO LTM | 563 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 514 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.4 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 10.1 |
| P/E | 15.4 |
| P/CFO | 8.6 |
| Total Yield | 8.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.8% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 7.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 107.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 33.1% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/28/2025 | -3.1% | -12.2% | |
| 5/29/2025 | -5.5% | -4.2% | -0.2% |
| 3/6/2025 | 2.9% | -9.2% | -12.3% |
| 11/27/2024 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 4.1% |
| 8/29/2024 | 3.8% | -7.9% | -1.6% |
| 5/30/2024 | -3.1% | -1.5% | 3.4% |
| 3/7/2024 | -7.2% | -1.9% | -6.5% |
| 11/22/2023 | 0.7% | 4.2% | 27.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| # Negative | 16 | 16 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -7.7% | -9.9% |
| Max Positive | 5.7% | 19.0% | 31.2% |
| Max Negative | -9.5% | -13.7% | -30.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9052025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6062025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3312025 | 10-K 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12062024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9062024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6072024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 4012024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12042023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9012023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6062023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3272023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12062022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9072022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6082022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3282022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12062021 | 10-Q 10/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Robinson Kenneth B. | 9082025 | Sell | 94.60 | 1,392 | 131,683 | 556,248 | Form | |
| 1 | Rust Jay | EVP Human Resources | 9032025 | Sell | 93.15 | 1,500 | 139,725 | 619,261 | Form |
| 2 | GOLDMAN JAMES A | 9032025 | Sell | 96.18 | 5,072 | 487,825 | 727,602 | Form | |
| 3 | ANDERSON KERRII B | 9032025 | Sell | 95.12 | 4,292 | 408,234 | 3,534,291 | Form | |
| 4 | Coulter Suzanne M | 12052024 | Sell | 160.00 | 2,870 | 459,200 | 1,024,800 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
