Amazon.com (AMZN)
Market Price (11/23/2025): $220.25 | Market Cap: $2.3 TrilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail
Amazon.com (AMZN)
Market Price (11/23/2025): $220.25Market Cap: $2.3 TrilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Broadline Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 28x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 121 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cloud Computing, E-commerce & Digital Retail, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 121 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cloud Computing, E-commerce & Digital Retail, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 28x |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
AMZN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for Amazon.com (AMZN) stock analysis, from July 31, 2025, to November 24, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, factual information detailing specific stock movements and their causes for this period is not available.
While specific data for the requested future period is unavailable, recent trends and analyst outlooks for Amazon (AMZN) in late 2024 and early 2025 indicate a focus on several key areas. Amazon reported strong financial results for Q3 2024, with revenue increasing 11% year-over-year to $158.9 billion and operating income surging by 56% to $17.4 billion. This performance was driven by robust growth in North America, international retail, Amazon Web Services (AWS), and advertising. Analysts have generally maintained a "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for AMZN stock, with an average 12-month price target indicating potential upside from its current price.
Key areas of strategic focus for Amazon that could influence future stock performance include:
1. Continued Expansion and Dominance of Amazon Web Services (AWS): AWS remains a significant growth driver, with its revenue growing by 19.1% to $27.5 billion in Q3 2024. Its leadership in cloud and AI, along with deep integration and enterprise relationships, positions Amazon for strong high-margin growth. Investments in AWS infrastructure and AI services are projected to continue in 2024, with capital investments estimated at $75 billion.
2. Strong Performance in E-commerce and Retail Segments: Amazon's North America retail sales increased by 9% year-over-year in Q3 2024, reaching $95.5 billion. The company has focused on optimizing delivery times and enhancing customer experience through investments in regional fulfillment centers, robotics, and same-day delivery capabilities, which have led to increased inventory placement efficiency.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMZN Return | 76% | 2% | -50% | 81% | 44% | 1% | 139% |
| Peers Return | 60% | 15% | -28% | 42% | 18% | 35% | 199% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMZN Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 25% | 83% | 75% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 23% | 53% | 50% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMZN Max Drawdown | -9% | -9% | -51% | -1% | -5% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -9% | -33% | -4% | -11% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AAPL, MSFT, WMT, W, BGO. See AMZN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/21/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMZN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 128.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 470 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -22.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 33 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 407 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -65.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 187.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 337 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AAPL, MSFT, WMT, W, BGO
In The Past
Amazon.com's stock fell -56.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/8/2021. A -56.1% loss requires a 128.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Amazon.com Earnings Notes | |||
| What Could Send Amazon.com Stock Soaring | |||
| With Amazon.com Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | ||
| Amazon.com Stock Slides -11% With A 5-Day Losing Spree | Notification | ||
| Should You Buy Amazon.com Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| What Could Light a Fire Under Amazon.com Stock | |||
| Amazon Stock On The Edge: 3 Threats You Need to Know | |||
| Amazon.com vs Royal Caribbean: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Better Bet Than AMZN Stock: Pay Less Than Amazon.com To Get More From VST, BMRN | |||
| Why MSFT With 26% Upside May Beat AMZN? | Peer Comparison | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| The Next Big Rally in Amazon.com Stock Could Start Like This | November 19th, 2025 | ||
| How Does Amazon.com Stock Compare With Peers? | November 19th, 2025 | ||
| What’s The Downside Risk For Amazon Stock? | November 19th, 2025 | ||
| Ollie’s Bargain Outlet vs Amazon.com: Which Is the Stronger Buy Today? | November 19th, 2025 | ||
| With Amazon.com Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | November 19th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AMZN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.6% | -3.6% | -7.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -4.7% | -4.7% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -7.7% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.6% | -3.6% | -7.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -4.7% | -4.7% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -7.7% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America | 352,828 | ||||
| International | 131,200 | ||||
| Amazon Web Services (AWS) | 90,757 | 80,096 | 62,202 | 45,370 | 35,026 |
| Advertising services | 37,739 | 31,160 | 19,773 | ||
| Online stores | 220,004 | 222,075 | 197,346 | 141,247 | |
| Other | 4,247 | 2,176 | 1,680 | 14,085 | |
| Physical stores | 18,963 | 17,075 | 16,227 | 17,192 | |
| Subscription services | 35,218 | 31,768 | 25,207 | 19,210 | |
| Third-party seller services | 117,716 | 103,366 | 80,461 | 53,762 | |
| Total | 574,785 | 513,983 | 469,822 | 386,064 | 280,522 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon Web Services (AWS) | 24,631 | ||||
| North America | 14,877 | ||||
| International | -2,656 | ||||
| Total | 36,852 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America | 196,029 | ||||
| Corporate | 153,574 | ||||
| Amazon Web Services (AWS) | 108,533 | ||||
| International | 69,718 | ||||
| Total | 527,854 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 9.6% | 9.1% | |
| 7/31/2025 | -8.3% | -4.7% | -2.2% |
| 5/1/2025 | -0.1% | 1.0% | 8.6% |
| 2/6/2025 | -4.1% | -3.5% | -18.5% |
| 10/31/2024 | 6.2% | 12.7% | 13.0% |
| 8/1/2024 | -8.8% | -9.9% | -3.0% |
| 4/30/2024 | 2.3% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| 2/1/2024 | 7.9% | 6.6% | 11.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| # Negative | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% |
| Median Negative | -6.1% | -5.3% | -7.1% |
| Max Positive | 13.5% | 16.6% | 23.6% |
| Max Negative | -14.0% | -19.5% | -20.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2072025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2022024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2032023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Herrington Douglas J | CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores | 9042025 | Sell | 223.49 | 2,500 | 558,725 | 115,769,384 | Form |
| 1 | Herrington Douglas J | CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores | 8052025 | Sell | 217.00 | 2,500 | 542,500 | 111,114,850 | Form |
| 2 | BEZOS JEFFREY P | Executive Chair | 7252025 | Sell | 228.48 | 1,510,956 | 345,219,752 | 202,527,898,092 | Form |
| 3 | BEZOS JEFFREY P | Executive Chair | 7232025 | Sell | 227.55 | 2,602,336 | 592,164,680 | 202,963,011,727 | Form |
| 4 | BEZOS JEFFREY P | Executive Chair | 7172025 | Sell | 227.02 | 733,195 | 166,449,709 | 203,079,724,832 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
