Applied Materials (AMAT)
Market Price (11/27/2025): $250.37 | Market Cap: $199.8 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Applied Materials (AMAT)
Market Price (11/27/2025): $250.37Market Cap: $199.8 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 30% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 7.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.8 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Materials. Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 30% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 7.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.8 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Materials. Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AMAT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the movement of Applied Materials (AMAT) stock between July 31, 2025, and November 27, 2025:
1. Applied Materials reported strong annual performance and highlighted significant opportunities in AI-driven semiconductor growth for fiscal year 2025. The company achieved its sixth consecutive year of revenue growth, with record annual revenue reaching $28.37 billion, a 4% increase year-over-year, and record non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $9.42, up 9% year-over-year. Management consistently emphasized the company's strategic positioning in AI-driven advanced semiconductors, leading-edge logic, DRAM, and advanced packaging, positioning it for future demand.
2. The company's Q3 fiscal year 2025 earnings, reported in August, exceeded analyst expectations for revenue and EPS but were met with a negative market reaction due to cautious future guidance. Applied Materials delivered record financial results for its third fiscal quarter, which ended July 27, 2025, with revenue of $7.3 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $2.48, both surpassing analyst estimates. However, the stock saw a notable decline, including a 13.13% drop in premarket trading, as investors reacted to the company's cautious guidance for the subsequent fourth quarter, primarily citing uncertainties in the China market, including capacity digestion and non-linear demand from leading-edge customers.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMAT Return | 43% | 84% | -38% | 68% | 1% | 51% | 320% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 31% | -26% | 20% | -15% | 223% | 288% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMAT Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 33% | 75% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 45% | 30% | 43% | 30% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMAT Max Drawdown | -38% | 0% | -52% | -1% | -8% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -2% | -36% | -11% | -21% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TXN, MCHP, PXLW, Q, LRCX. See AMAT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMAT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -55.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 459 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -52.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 112.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -64.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 182.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2055 days | 1480 days |
Compare to TXN, MCHP, PXLW, Q, LRCX
In The Past
Applied Materials's stock fell -55.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -55.4% loss requires a 124.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AMAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.4% | -7.4% | -15.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.3% | -0.3% | -4.0% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.1% | -6.1% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.2% | 0.2% | -5.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.8% | -0.8% | -8.9% |
| 08312025 | AMAT | Applied Materials | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 51.1% | 51.1% | -2.8% |
| 02282025 | AMAT | Applied Materials | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.3% | 54.6% | -19.7% |
| 08312022 | AMAT | Applied Materials | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.2% | 63.9% | -20.9% |
| 05312019 | AMAT | Applied Materials | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 50.8% | 47.4% | -0.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.4% | -7.4% | -15.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.3% | -0.3% | -4.0% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.1% | -6.1% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.2% | 0.2% | -5.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.8% | -0.8% | -8.9% |
| 08312025 | AMAT | Applied Materials | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 51.1% | 51.1% | -2.8% |
| 02282025 | AMAT | Applied Materials | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.3% | 54.6% | -19.7% |
| 08312022 | AMAT | Applied Materials | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.2% | 63.9% | -20.9% |
| 05312019 | AMAT | Applied Materials | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 50.8% | 47.4% | -0.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Applied Materials
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 117.19 |
| Mkt Cap | 150.3 |
| Rev LTM | 10,820 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,438 |
| FCF LTM | 1,417 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,807 |
| CFO LTM | 3,650 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,531 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 29.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 150.3 |
| P/S | 7.0 |
| P/EBIT | 24.1 |
| P/E | 29.2 |
| P/CFO | 25.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 39.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 15.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 72.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 10.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | 1.2% | -1.3% | |
| 8/14/2025 | -14.1% | -14.8% | -8.9% |
| 5/15/2025 | -5.3% | -7.9% | 1.3% |
| 2/13/2025 | -8.2% | -6.5% | -15.4% |
| 11/14/2024 | -9.2% | -5.3% | -8.7% |
| 8/15/2024 | -1.9% | -5.3% | -11.3% |
| 2/15/2024 | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% |
| 11/16/2023 | -4.0% | -2.7% | 3.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -5.2% | -11.3% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 11.0% | 27.2% |
| Max Negative | -14.1% | -14.8% | -21.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8212025 | 10-Q 7/27/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5222025 | 10-Q 4/27/2025 |
| 1312025 | 2202025 | 10-Q 1/26/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12132024 | 10-K 10/27/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8222024 | 10-Q 7/28/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5232024 | 10-Q 4/28/2024 |
| 1312024 | 2272024 | 10-Q 1/28/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12152023 | 10-K 10/29/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8242023 | 10-Q 7/30/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5262023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 2232023 | 10-Q 1/29/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12162022 | 10-K 10/30/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8252022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5262022 | 10-Q 5/1/2022 |
| 1312022 | 2242022 | 10-Q 1/30/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12172021 | 10-K 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
