Alarm.com (ALRM)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $51.82 | Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Alarm.com (ALRM)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $51.82Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76% | Key risksALRM key risks include [1] the significant revenue decline from key partner ADT due to its new partnership with Google and [2] a high revenue concentration, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.9% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Cloud Computing. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.9% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Cloud Computing. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76% |
| Key risksALRM key risks include [1] the significant revenue decline from key partner ADT due to its new partnership with Google and [2] a high revenue concentration, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
**1. Challenging Market Conditions for the Tech Sector**Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) experienced a significant downturn, with its stock touching a 52-week low of $51.08 in April 2025. This decline was attributed to prevailing market conditions that continued to challenge the technology sector. **2. Underperformance Compared to the Broader Market**
The company's stock demonstrated underperformance relative to the broader market. Over the last year, ALRM saw a decrease of -18.2%, contrasting with a +18.1% gain for the SPY ETF during the same period. **3. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions**
Analyst sentiment contributed to negative pressure on the stock. J.P. Morgan maintained a "Sell" rating for Alarm.com, and Goldman Sachs lowered its price target for ALRM from $63 to $56. **4. Investor Concerns Despite Positive Earnings**
Despite reporting fourth-quarter 2024 earnings and revenue that exceeded analyst expectations and providing an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2025, Alarm.com's stock still experienced a slight decline. This suggested underlying investor concerns about future challenges facing the company. **5. Volatility and Reassessment of Market Position**
Investors were closely monitoring Alarm.com's stock as it navigated a period of volatility. There was a continuous reassessment of its position within the competitive landscape of home security and automation solutions, indicating ongoing uncertainties for the company. Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.2% change in ALRM stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -2.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 9242025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 51.96 | 51.88 | -0.15% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 975.87 | 991.77 | 1.63% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.27% | 12.92% | -2.62% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.98 | 20.20 | 1.08% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49.81 | 49.90 | -0.18% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.15% |
Market Drivers
9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALRM | -0.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 38.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 5.1% | 28.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.0% change in ALRM stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -8.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6252025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 57.00 | 51.88 | -8.98% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 955.37 | 991.77 | 3.81% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.45% | 12.92% | -3.90% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.03 | 20.20 | -8.33% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49.66 | 49.90 | -0.48% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.98% |
Market Drivers
6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALRM | -9.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.0% | 44.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 17.5% | 31.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.7% change in ALRM stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -17.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12242024 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 62.30 | 51.88 | -16.73% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 923.82 | 991.77 | 7.35% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.54% | 12.92% | -4.56% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.54 | 20.20 | -17.71% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49.28 | 49.90 | -1.25% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.74% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALRM | -16.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 60.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 22.2% | 53.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.0% change in ALRM stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 126.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12252022 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 48.96 | 51.88 | 5.96% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 829.71 | 991.77 | 19.53% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.71% | 12.92% | 126.22% |
| P/E Multiple | 51.43 | 20.20 | -60.73% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49.79 | 49.90 | -0.21% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.96% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALRM | -16.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.9% | 53.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 54.1% | 45.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALRM Return | 141% | -18% | -42% | 31% | -6% | -15% | 20% |
| Peers Return | 41% | 35% | -27% | 25% | 29% | 41% | 215% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALRM Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 25% | 67% | 25% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 68% | 37% | 55% | 57% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALRM Max Drawdown | -20% | -27% | -44% | -8% | -19% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -5% | -40% | -17% | -8% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADT, REZI, GOOGL, AMZN, JCI. See ALRM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALRM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 222 days | 120 days |
Compare to CWAN, SOUN, DGII, AIB, BMR
In The Past
Alarm.com's stock fell -57.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/13/2021. A -57.9% loss requires a 137.6% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Alarm.com (ALRM):
- It's like the smart home evolution of ADT, offering app-controlled security and automation.
- It's like the Salesforce for professional smart home security dealers, providing the essential software platform.
- It's like a professionally installed and monitored version of a Ring or Nest system, but with a wider range of integrated smart home features.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Smart Security Platform: A comprehensive cloud-based platform providing professional monitoring and proactive protection for homes and businesses through integrated security devices.
- Smart Home & Business Automation: Enables users to remotely control and automate connected devices like lights, locks, thermostats, and garage doors from a single application.
- Video Monitoring & Analytics: Offers live and recorded video surveillance, doorbell cameras, and intelligent video analytics to enhance security and provide visual insights.
- Access Control Solutions: Provides cloud-managed systems for businesses to control and monitor entry points, manage user permissions, and track activity.
- Energy Management: Integrates smart thermostats and other devices to help users monitor, control, and optimize energy consumption for cost savings and efficiency.
- Water Management: Features sensors and systems designed to detect water leaks and floods, providing alerts to help prevent property damage.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Alarm.com (ALRM) primarily sells its technology and services to other companies, specifically a network of authorized service providers. These providers, which include security dealers, alarm monitoring companies, and smart home integrators, then sell and install Alarm.com-powered solutions to residential and commercial end-users.
Due to Alarm.com's business model, which relies on a diversified network of thousands of such providers rather than a few dominant ones, the company does not publicly disclose the names of individual major customer companies. No single customer is reported to account for a significant portion of Alarm.com's revenue in its financial filings, making it impossible to list specific named customer companies and their symbols.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- FIH Mobile Limited (2038)
- Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (601231)
- Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM)
- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
- AT&T Inc. (T)
- Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)
- T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Stephen Trundle Chief Executive Officer
Stephen Trundle has served as Chief Executive Officer of Alarm.com since May 2003 and as a member of its Board since October 2003. Prior to joining Alarm.com, Mr. Trundle held various positions with MicroStrategy Incorporated, including Vice President of Technology and Chief Technology Officer. Alarm.com was founded in 2000 as part of MicroStrategy's research and development unit. Under his leadership, Alarm.com was acquired by venture capital firm ABS Capital Partners in February 2009 for $27.7 million, and he then led the company through its initial public offering in 2015. He began his career with Bath Iron Works. Mr. Trundle holds an A.B. in Engineering and an A.B. in Government from Dartmouth College.
Kevin Bradley Chief Financial Officer
Kevin Bradley was promoted to Chief Financial Officer of Alarm.com in March 2025. He joined Alarm.com in May 2009 and has held various accounting and finance roles, including Director of Financial Planning from December 2013 to May 2017 and Vice President of Financial Planning and Analysis from May 2017 to March 2025. As Vice President of Financial Planning and Analysis, he contributed to corporate strategy development and operational decision-making. Before joining Alarm.com, Mr. Bradley worked at Morgan Stanley in New York City from 2007 to 2008. He holds a Bachelor of Business Administration from the University of Notre Dame and a Master of Science in Finance from American University.
Jeffrey Bedell President, Ventures Business and Corporate Strategy
Jeffrey Bedell joined Alarm.com in April 2013. He previously served as the company's Chief Strategy and Innovation Officer. Prior to Alarm.com, Mr. Bedell was the Chief Technology Officer at MicroStrategy Incorporated from 2001 to October 2012, and Executive Vice President of Technology from 2007 to March 2013. Mr. Bedell holds a B.A. in Religion from Dartmouth College.
Daniel Kerzner President, Platforms Business
Daniel Kerzner joined Alarm.com in December 2013, having previously served as Chief Product Officer. From April 2013 to December 2013, Mr. Kerzner was the Chief Executive Officer of Emotive Communications Inc., a software company. He also served as Senior Vice President and General Manager of Mobile at MicroStrategy Incorporated from March 2010 to April 2013, and as Vice President of Platform and Emerging Technologies at MicroStrategy. From July 2009 to February 2010, Mr. Kerzner was the Regional Director for PJM Interconnection at EnerNOC, Inc.
Daniel Ramos Chief Legal and Compliance Officer and Senior Vice President of Corporate Operations
Daniel Ramos joined Alarm.com in June 2010. Before his tenure at Alarm.com, he served as a senior transactional attorney with the law firm of Shaw Pittman LLP (now Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman LLP). Mr. Ramos holds an A.B. in Government from Harvard University and a J.D. from Stanford Law School.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Alarm.com's business are:1. Intense Competition from Tech Giants and DIY Solutions
Alarm.com faces significant and increasing competition in the smart home and business security market, particularly from large technology companies such as Google (Nest), Amazon (Ring), and Apple, as well as from lower-cost do-it-yourself (DIY) security solutions. This competitive pressure can lead to price wars, impact profit margins, and potentially constrain Alarm.com's revenue growth, especially given that its residential market segment constituted 58.6% of its revenue in 2024. Furthermore, ADT's partnership with Google presents a substantial risk, as it is expected to gradually decrease revenue from ADT, which previously accounted for 15% to 20% of Alarm.com's total revenue in FY24.2. High Revenue Concentration and Partner Strategy Shifts
A considerable portion of Alarm.com's revenue, specifically 46% in FY24, is derived from its top ten customers. This high concentration exposes the company to risks associated with changes in the strategies of these key partners or an increase in the availability of alternative services. Although Alarm.com's business model, which relies on service providers, offers a cost-efficient structure, it can become a vulnerability if these partners alter their strategies in response to a growing supply of competing services, potentially negatively affecting Alarm.com's revenue.3. Tariffs and Supply Chain Disruptions
The company faces risks related to elevated import tariffs on Chinese goods and broader supply chain disruptions, which could increase hardware expenses and pressure margins in its hardware segment. While Alarm.com has proactively worked to mitigate this by diversifying its supply chain and reducing its exposure to Chinese-manufactured hardware to less than 10% of hardware revenue by Q1 2025, and maintains a nine-month inventory buffer, uncertainties surrounding tariff policy changes could still impact hardware profitability. The hardware segment accounted for 32.8% of Alarm.com's total sales in FY24.AI Analysis | Feedback
The increasing market penetration and technological sophistication of direct-to-consumer (DIY) smart home security and automation systems, primarily offered by tech giants such as Amazon (Ring), Google (Nest), and Apple (HomeKit). These companies leverage vast customer bases, extensive marketing budgets, and deep integration into broader consumer technology ecosystems (e.g., voice assistants, smart displays). Their offerings provide increasingly comprehensive security, monitoring, and home automation functionalities at lower price points and with easier self-installation, directly challenging Alarm.com's reliance on a professional dealer network and recurring monitoring service model. This trend threatens to capture a significant portion of the residential and small business security market, potentially commoditizing or diminishing the perceived value of Alarm.com's professionally installed and monitored platform.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Alarm.com (ALRM) primarily offers cloud-based services for remote control, home automation, and alarm monitoring for both residential and commercial properties, including interactive security, video monitoring, and energy management.
Based on company estimates, the total addressable market (TAM) for Alarm.com's security solutions in the U.S. is approximately $52 billion per year.
- For the residential market in the U.S., the addressable market is estimated at approximately $24 billion per year.
- For the commercial market in the U.S., the addressable market is estimated at approximately $28 billion per year.
More broadly, various market research reports provide the following global and regional market sizes for categories relevant to Alarm.com's offerings:
- The global residential security market was valued at approximately USD 54.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 116.5 billion by 2035.
- The global commercial security system market was valued at approximately USD 204.23 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 381.66 billion by 2030.
- The North America smart home security market accounted for over 37% of the global share in 2024, with the U.S. alone representing over 80% of the North American market.
- The global video surveillance market was valued at approximately USD 54.42 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 88.71 billion by 2030. The North America video surveillance market is expected to reach USD 35 billion by 2032.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Alarm.com (ALRM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several strategic initiatives and market dynamics:- SaaS and License Revenue Growth: Alarm.com consistently identifies its Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and license revenue as a primary growth driver. The company projects sustained increases in this segment, with an outlook of $722 million to $724 million for SaaS and license revenue in 2026. This growth is fueled by expanding its cloud-based platform and Internet of Things (IoT) solutions across residential and commercial markets.
- Expansion into New Markets: Alarm.com is actively pursuing growth by expanding into new and adjacent markets. This includes a significant focus on the commercial sector, where the company is enhancing its solutions portfolio. The acquisition of CHeKT and OpenEye further bolsters its capabilities in proactive and remote video monitoring for these markets. Additionally, Alarm.com is expanding its Energy Hub platform, acquiring Bridge to Renewables to strengthen its managed charging solutions for electric vehicles. International expansion, particularly in Latin America and Europe, is also contributing to growth at a faster rate than in the U.S. The launch of the EPX500 Fire Communicator signifies an entry into the commercial fire category.
- Launch of New AI-Driven Products and Services: Product innovation, especially in artificial intelligence, is a key driver. Alarm.com has launched new AI-driven offerings such as AI Deterrence (AID), an automated audio response service designed to prevent crime, and intelligent video monitoring tools. These innovations aim to expand the addressable market and provide differentiated services through their provider partners. The company also introduced the V730 outdoor Wi-Fi spotlight camera to enhance outdoor surveillance capabilities.
- Growth of Recently Launched Products and Platform Expansion: The scaling and increased adoption of recently introduced products and services, particularly those integrated into its platform, will contribute to revenue growth. The acquisition and integration of companies like CHeKT have expanded subscription-based remote video monitoring services. Alarm.com's strategy involves leveraging its existing software ecosystem to scale operations without significant new investments, which helps to drive profitable growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions for Alarm.com (ALRM) over the Last 3-5 Years
Share Repurchases
- Alarm.com authorized a share repurchase program in February 2023 to buy back up to $100 million of its common stock, valid until February 23, 2025.
- During the year ended December 31, 2023, the company repurchased 487,918 shares for $27.3 million at an average price of $55.95 per share.
- In May 2024, Alarm.com expected to use approximately $75.0 million from the net proceeds of a convertible senior notes offering to repurchase common stock.
Share Issuance
- As of November 2025, Alarm.com had 49.91 million shares outstanding, which increased by 8.66% in one year.
- As of June 30, 2025, institutional investors held approximately 59.54 million shares of Alarm.com.
Outbound Investments
- Alarm.com has made a total of 8 acquisitions, with activity peaking in 2023 (2 acquisitions) and 2025 (1 acquisition).
- The company acquired chekt.com in February 2025, a U.S.-based provider of video security systems integrating AI with alarm monitoring.
- Other acquisitions within the last few years include EBS (Poland) in May 2023, Vintra in April 2023, and Noonlight in October 2022.
Capital Expenditures
- In the last 12 months as of November 2025, capital expenditures were approximately $15.74 million.
- Alarm.com projects capital expenditures to be $24 million for 2025, increasing to $31 million by 2029, consistently representing about 2% of its revenue.
- The company continues to invest in innovation to build for the future and expand its market opportunities.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ALRM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.2% | 16.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Alarm.com
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 86.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 41.6 |
| Rev LTM | 15,516 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,067 |
| FCF LTM | 1,176 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,306 |
| CFO LTM | 1,685 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,890 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 41.6 |
| P/S | 2.9 |
| P/EBIT | 19.7 |
| P/E | 21.7 |
| P/CFO | 17.6 |
| Total Yield | 4.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 110.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 16.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 28.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $51.86 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/26/2015 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -18.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $50.85 | $54.37 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 2.0% | -4.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.6% | 27.8% |
| Downside Capture | 72.60 | 113.74 |
| Upside Capture | 56.85 | 78.81 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.0% | 60.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.14 | 0.99 | 1.14 | 1.28 | 0.88 | 1.04 |
| Up Beta | 1.89 | 1.55 | 1.71 | 1.82 | 0.86 | 0.96 |
| Down Beta | 0.02 | 1.41 | 1.01 | 0.89 | 0.71 | 0.92 |
| Up Capture | 158% | 48% | 48% | 83% | 74% | 105% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 18 | 25 | 54 | 116 | 366 |
| Down Capture | 83% | 78% | 142% | 158% | 112% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 23 | 37 | 70 | 131 | 382 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of ALRM With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALRM | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -19.4% | 26.7% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 27.9% | 27.6% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.79 | 0.84 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 52.7% | 59.5% | -7.2% | 13.2% | 52.1% | 28.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of ALRM With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALRM | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -9.8% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 35.1% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.22 | 0.69 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.59 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 52.2% | 54.2% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 44.5% | 28.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of ALRM With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALRM | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 11.7% | 22.3% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 38.2% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.41 | 0.84 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 47.3% | 47.8% | 2.6% | 14.4% | 36.4% | 18.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.4% |
| 8/7/2025 | 0.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% |
| 5/8/2025 | 1.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% |
| 2/20/2025 | -1.7% | -4.0% | -6.6% |
| 11/7/2024 | 11.1% | 4.9% | 19.5% |
| 8/8/2024 | -6.8% | -8.0% | -15.5% |
| 5/9/2024 | -1.3% | 1.3% | -9.0% |
| 2/22/2024 | 2.7% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 5.5% | 6.1% | 11.4% |
| Median Negative | -3.2% | -4.5% | -6.1% |
| Max Positive | 24.1% | 16.8% | 26.9% |
| Max Negative | -9.7% | -17.7% | -29.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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