Alaska Air (ALK)


Market Price (9/4/2026): $41.425 | Market Cap: $4.6 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Alaska Air (ALK)


Market Price (9/4/2026): $41.425
Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.2 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Sustainable Aviation.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -44 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 108%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.2%

Key risks
ALK key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the troubled Boeing 737 MAX fleet for operations and growth and [2] operational disruptions from recent, Show more.

0 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.2 Bil
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Sustainable Aviation.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -44 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 108%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.2%
7 Key risks
ALK key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the troubled Boeing 737 MAX fleet for operations and growth and [2] operational disruptions from recent, Show more.

ALK in ETFs

Weight = ALK's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.13%
VB0.07%
AVUV0.62%
IYT0.59%
IJJ0.28%
+19 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/1/2026

Alaska Air (ALK) stock has lost about 10% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Soaring fuel costs significantly impacted profitability in fiscal Q2 2026. Alaska Air Group experienced an 85% surge in jet fuel costs to $4.43 per gallon in fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. This macroeconomic headwind, partly attributed to the U.S.-Iran war driving crude prices, added approximately $600 million in costs during the quarter. Despite a 10% year-over-year increase in total operating revenue to $4.1 billion, these elevated fuel expenses led to a GAAP net loss of $76 million and an adjusted net loss of $102 million for the quarter.

2. Weakened earnings outlook and significant analyst estimate revisions. The company reported an adjusted loss of $0.92 per share for fiscal Q2 2026, although this was narrower than analysts' consensus estimate of a $0.98 to $0.99 loss. However, this still represented a substantial decline from a profit of $1.78 per share in fiscal Q2 2025. Furthermore, Alaska Air suspended its full-year 2026 earnings guidance due to ongoing fuel price volatility, limiting future earnings visibility. This uncertainty contributed to a 142.05% decrease in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate over the month leading up to August 31, 2026, for upcoming periods. Analysts now project fiscal year 2026 earnings of -$1.76 per share, a 172.13% decline from the prior year.

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Updated on 9/1/2026

Alaska Air (ALK) stock has lost about 10% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Soaring fuel costs significantly impacted profitability in fiscal Q2 2026. Alaska Air Group experienced an 85% surge in jet fuel costs to $4.43 per gallon in fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. This macroeconomic headwind, partly attributed to the U.S.-Iran war driving crude prices, added approximately $600 million in costs during the quarter. Despite a 10% year-over-year increase in total operating revenue to $4.1 billion, these elevated fuel expenses led to a GAAP net loss of $76 million and an adjusted net loss of $102 million for the quarter.

2. Weakened earnings outlook and significant analyst estimate revisions. The company reported an adjusted loss of $0.92 per share for fiscal Q2 2026, although this was narrower than analysts' consensus estimate of a $0.98 to $0.99 loss. However, this still represented a substantial decline from a profit of $1.78 per share in fiscal Q2 2025. Furthermore, Alaska Air suspended its full-year 2026 earnings guidance due to ongoing fuel price volatility, limiting future earnings visibility. This uncertainty contributed to a 142.05% decrease in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate over the month leading up to August 31, 2026, for upcoming periods. Analysts now project fiscal year 2026 earnings of -$1.76 per share, a 172.13% decline from the prior year.

3. Broader underperformance compared to the market and sector. Alaska Air Group's stock lagged both the broader market and its sector during the period. As of August 31, 2026, while the S&P 500 gained 3.87%, Alaska Air's shares had fallen 10.81%. The stock also underperformed the Transportation sector, which experienced a loss of 1.96% over the same period. The Transportation - Airline industry itself holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 176, placing it in the bottom 29% of all 250+ industries, indicating a challenging macroeconomic environment for the sector as a whole.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.0% change in ALK stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120269032026Change
Stock Price ($)46.0241.40-10.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,40214,7632.5%
P/S Multiple0.40.3-14.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1141112.8%
Cumulative Contribution-10.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALK-10.0% 
Market (SPY)2.2%47.7%
Sector (XLI)0.8%63.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -19.8% change in ALK stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820269032026Change
Stock Price ($)51.6041.40-19.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,23914,7633.7%
P/S Multiple0.40.3-25.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1161113.9%
Cumulative Contribution-19.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALK-19.8% 
Market (SPY)13.0%60.0%
Sector (XLI)-1.2%68.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -34.1% change in ALK stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120259032026Change
Stock Price ($)62.7841.40-34.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)13,44714,7639.8%
P/S Multiple0.60.3-43.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1191116.9%
Cumulative Contribution-34.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALK-34.1% 
Market (SPY)20.9%53.2%
Sector (XLI)16.0%60.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -1.4% change in ALK stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -39.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120239032026Change
Stock Price ($)41.9741.40-1.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,34114,76342.8%
P/S Multiple0.50.3-39.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)12711114.7%
Cumulative Contribution-1.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALK-1.4% 
Market (SPY)77.7%53.4%
Sector (XLI)68.0%58.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ALK Return0%-18%-9%66%-22%-17%-20%
Peers Return0%-27%3%55%1%-2%16%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALK Win Rate42%50%50%58%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate45%47%42%63%52%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALK Max Drawdown-37%-36%-45%-28%-51%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-43%-45%-35%-47%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DAL, UAL, LUV, AAL, JBLU. See ALK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/3/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventALKS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-11.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.6%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven31 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-35.5%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven366 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-24.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven81 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-28.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven389 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-63.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven176.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven340 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-13.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.3%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven50 days105 days

Compare to DAL, UAL, LUV, AAL, JBLU

In The Past

Alaska Air's stock fell -11.2% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 12.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventALKS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-35.5%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven366 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-24.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven81 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-28.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven389 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-63.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven176.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven340 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.9%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven39 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-20.2%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven15 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-60.1%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven150.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven143 days1085 days

Compare to DAL, UAL, LUV, AAL, JBLU

In The Past

Alaska Air's stock fell -11.2% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 12.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alaska Air (ALK)

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) is an airline holding company primarily engaged in providing passenger and cargo air transportation services. The company operates through its Mainline, Regional, and Horizon segments, which collectively manage its flight operations across North America. Its core business revolves around facilitating air travel for individuals and transporting goods.

The company's main products and services include commercial flights for passengers, catering to both leisure and business travelers, as well as air cargo services for shipping goods. Alaska Air Group serves a broad customer base, primarily within the North American market, connecting approximately 120 destinations throughout the continent.

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  • The JetBlue of the West Coast.
  • A major US domestic airline, similar to a more geographically focused Delta or United.
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  • Passenger Air Transportation: Alaska Air provides scheduled air travel services for individuals and groups to approximately 120 destinations across North America.
  • Cargo Air Transportation: The company offers freight and express parcel delivery services utilizing its air network.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) primarily sells its services to individuals, although it also provides cargo services. Its major customer categories include:

  • Leisure Travelers: Individuals traveling for vacations, holidays, family visits, and other non-business related reasons.
  • Business Travelers: Individuals traveling for work, conferences, meetings, and corporate events. While often funded by companies, the direct customers are the individuals utilizing the flight services.
  • Cargo Customers: Businesses and individuals utilizing Alaska Air's cargo services to transport goods and freight across its network.

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  • The Boeing Company (BA)
  • Embraer S.A. (ERJ)
  • GE Aerospace (GE)

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Here is the management team for Alaska Air (symbol: ALK):

Ben Minicucci President and Chief Executive Officer

Ben Minicucci was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Alaska Air Group on March 31, 2021. He joined Alaska Airlines in 2004, holding various leadership roles including staff vice president of maintenance, executive vice president of operations, and chief operating officer. In 2016, he became President of Alaska Airlines and also served as CEO of Virgin America during its acquisition by Alaska Air Group. Before his tenure at Alaska, Minicucci served 14 years in the Canadian Armed Forces and held several technical operations positions at Air Canada, where he rose to vice president of heavy maintenance. He holds bachelor's and master's degrees in mechanical engineering from the Royal Military College of Canada and completed the advanced management program at Harvard Business School.

Shane Tackett Executive Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer

Shane Tackett currently serves as the Executive Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer for Alaska Air Group, a position he was promoted to in March 2020. He joined Alaska in 2000 as an analyst in the real estate division and steadily advanced through various roles, including director and managing director of corporate financial planning and analysis. He also served as vice president of labor relations, where he negotiated six long-term labor contracts, and later as vice president of revenue management and e-commerce. Tackett earned a Bachelor of Business Administration with a Finance concentration from Pacific Lutheran University and an MBA from the University of Washington's Foster School of Business.

Jason Berry Chief Operating Officer, Alaska Airlines

Jason Berry became the Chief Operating Officer of Alaska Airlines, effective November 3, 2025. Prior to this role, he served as President of Horizon Air and Executive Vice President of Cargo for Alaska Air Group. His role is crucial for integrating operations, particularly with the ongoing Hawaiian Airlines acquisition.

Andy Schneider President and Chief Executive Officer, Horizon Air

Andy Schneider was appointed CEO and President of Horizon Air, a subsidiary of Alaska Air Group, in September 2025. He brings more than 35 years of experience with Alaska Air Group, having held various operations roles, and previously served as Senior Vice President of People at Alaska Airlines.

Constance von Muehlen Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, Alaska Airlines (transitioning to advisory role)

Constance von Muehlen served as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Alaska Airlines, a position she assumed on April 3, 2021. She is transitioning from this role, remaining with the company in an advisory capacity until February 2026. With over 30 years of aviation experience, she previously served as a Captain in the U.S. Army, flying Black Hawk helicopters. Von Muehlen joined Alaska in 2011 as Director of Engine Maintenance and later served as COO of Horizon Air from 2018 to 2019, and as senior vice president of maintenance and engineering for Alaska Airlines.

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Here are the key risks to Alaska Air (symbol: ALK):

  1. Rising Operating Expenses: Alaska Air Group faces significant pressure from surging operating expenses, particularly related to fuel, labor, and maintenance costs. The company's operating expenses surged, driven primarily by escalating labor and maintenance costs, impacting its profitability. Rising oil prices are a key cost driver for airlines, and concerns exist that higher fuel expenses could pressure margins, especially since many carriers, including Alaska Air, may have limited fuel hedging in place, leaving them more exposed to spot-price swings.
  2. Boeing 737 MAX Fleet Issues: Alaska Air's fleet primarily consists of Boeing 737 aircraft, including the 737 MAX models. Recent safety incidents and temporary groundings of Boeing 737 MAX aircraft due to structural issues pose operational challenges and potential reputational damage for the airline. A heavy reliance on this particular aircraft type means that further issues could lead to significant disruptions in operations and financial vulnerabilities.
  3. Technology, Cybersecurity, and Loyalty Program Vulnerabilities: Alaska Air faces risks related to structural failures in its loyalty program, weak technology controls, and potential cybersecurity vulnerabilities. There have been allegations of repeated compromises of the mileage program, allowing unauthorized access and redemption of miles, with concerns about the company's response to underlying system vulnerabilities. Given that the loyalty program is a substantial revenue generator, mismanagement or security breaches could lead to significant financial risk, regulatory scrutiny, and damage to brand reputation. Additionally, the company has experienced recent IT system disruptions that have impacted profit outlooks.

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The addressable markets for Alaska Air's main products and services in North America are as follows:

  • North America Passenger Air Transportation Market: The North American airlines industry, which covers passenger air transportation, recorded revenues of $482.5 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow.
  • North America Air Cargo Market: This market was valued at USD 54.12 billion in 2023 and USD 55.45 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach US$ 43.20 billion by 2028.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Alaska Air (ALK) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Synergies from the Hawaiian Airlines Acquisition: Alaska Air Group completed its acquisition of Hawaiian Airlines in September 2024, a strategic move expected to unlock significant value. The "Alaska Accelerate" three-year strategic plan aims to deliver $1 billion in incremental profit by 2027, with acquisition synergy estimates increasing to at least $500 million by 2027. This integration is a pivotal driver for expanding long-haul capabilities and entering new international markets.
  2. Expanded International Network and Seattle Global Gateway: The company is establishing Seattle as a new global gateway, launching nonstop routes to Tokyo Narita (NRT) in May 2025 and Seoul Incheon (ICN) in October 2025. Further international expansion includes transatlantic routes to London Heathrow and Reykjavik planned for Spring 2026, followed by Rome in May 2026. This network expansion, supported by the integration of Hawaiian Airlines' widebody aircraft, is expected to significantly bolster commercial growth.
  3. Growth in Premium Cabin Offerings and Enhanced Loyalty Program: Alaska Air is actively scaling its premium experience by increasing the premium seat mix on its Boeing narrowbody fleet to 29% and developing plans for widebody fleet premium cabins. Premium cabin demand has been robust, with revenue increasing 7.1% year-over-year in Q4 2025 and now contributing 36% of total revenue. Additionally, the company is introducing a premium credit card with enhanced benefits and expanding its lounge program, and the revamped "Atmos Rewards" loyalty program post-Hawaiian Airlines acquisition is designed to attract higher-value travelers.
  4. Recovery in Corporate Travel Demand: Alaska Air has observed a strong rebound in corporate travel. Managed corporate revenue for Q1 2026 saw a year-over-year increase of approximately 20% in bookings, driven by higher volume rather than just price increases. This sustained recovery in corporate demand is anticipated to be a significant contributor to revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • Alaska Air Group approved a new $1 billion share repurchase program in December 2024, to be executed over the following four years.
  • The company repurchased $570 million of common stock in 2025.
  • Share buybacks amounted to $312 million in 2024 and $137 million in 2023.

Share Issuance

  • Share issuance primarily consisted of equity compensation to executives, such as Performance Stock Unit (PSU) vesting and Restricted Stock Unit (RSU) grants, with some shares disposed to cover tax obligations.

Outbound Investments

  • Alaska Air Group acquired Hawaiian Airlines, an investment anticipated to generate at least $500 million in synergies.
  • The company plans to invest over $3 billion in hub airports to enhance the guest experience and expand global operations, including into Europe, starting in early 2026.
  • Hawaiian Airlines, a subsidiary, intends to invest more than $600 million over the next five years from January 2026 to modernize infrastructure and improve the guest experience in Hawaii.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were projected to be between $1.4 billion and $1.5 billion for 2025, with similar forecasts for 2026.
  • A primary focus of capital expenditures is fleet expansion, marked by the largest-ever order in January 2026 for 110 new Boeing jets (105 737-10 and 5 787 aircraft), with deliveries extending through 2035.
  • The company also opened a new 660,000-square-foot global training facility in early 2026.

Better Bets vs. Alaska Air (ALK)

Peer Outperformance in Passenger Airlines

ALK has outperformed 50% of its 10 Passenger Airlines peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are LTM and SKYW. Passenger Airlines ranks 18th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Passenger Airlines constituents that ALK has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
18%
of 11 industry peers · -33.8% return
3Y
55%
of 11 industry peers · -0.9% return
5Y
50%
of 10 industry peers · -27.5% return
Passenger Airlines peers with revenue growth within 4pp of ALK's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
ALK Alaska Air 13.1% -26.3x -33.8%-0.9%-27.5%
LTM LATAM Airlines 14.3% 9.5x 3.9%8876.2%2467.8% +2,495pp
SKYW SkyWest 13.3% 9.3x -21.4%116.9%111.0% +138pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Passenger Airlines is ALK's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 17.5%99.4%187.0% CDNL 2619% · FIX 2009% · STRL 1891%
Marine Transportation 5 69.1%70.3%169.4% HOS 49321% · MATX 184% · KEX 169%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 15.9%55.6%114.4% CAT 315% · ALSN 262% · WAB 220%
Aerospace & Defense 55 0.1%55.2%71.1% ATI 1040% · FTAI 901% · HWM 742%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -11.8%40.0%57.9% UBER 88% · CAR 58% · LYFT -64%
Rail Transportation 7 30.7%66.8%45.4% FSTR 131% · CSX 64% · UNP 51%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 9.5%45.8%43.3% CRS 1386% · PSIX 846% · EROC 573%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 35.9%1.1%32.1% R 249% · XPO 242% · CVLG 202%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 1.6%30.1%31.7% DXPE 523% · AIT 285% · WCC 202%
Diversified Support Services 33 12.3%29.7%26.7% LIME 4415% · WLFC 355% · TH 348%
Electrical Components & Equipment 41 17.1%44.4%20.1% POWL 2125% · BE 976% · VRT 858%
Building Products 33 -7.1%4.3%17.8% LMB 571% · GFF 389% · PPIH 288%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -5.9%-19.7%-3.9% HURN 220% · CRAI 91% · GRNQ 81%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 12.5%10.9%-5.0% RCMT 667% · CSW 138% · CSL 76%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 13.7%-6.0%-10.4% BLBD 213% · DE 90% · GENC 57%
Environmental & Facilities Services 29 -6.3%20.5%-12.5% CECO 883% · ADUR 572% · NVRI 360%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -29.6%-11.5%-24.8% EXLS 51% · BR 15% · G -22%
Passenger Airlines ← 11 -0.6%-4.9%-27.5% LTM 2468% · UAL 135% · SKYW 111%
Office Services & Supplies 9 13.1%19.0%-31.6% PBI 189% · TILE 151% · HNI 54%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 8.1%-19.4%-37.1% BBSI 85% · ADP 53% · KFY 31%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -7.7%-26.9%-39.4% CHRW 82% · FDX 68% · EXPD 60%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -33.9%7.3%-44.9% CIX 143% · MG 95% · NL 56%
Airport Services 3 -67.0%-75.3%-58.7% JOBY -32% · ASLE -59% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALKDALUALLUVAALJBLUMedian
NameAlaska A.Delta Ai.United A.Southwes.American.JetBlue . 
Mkt Price41.4078.75108.6638.7312.974.6140.06
Mkt Cap4.651.535.318.98.61.713.8
Rev LTM14,76368,28762,90130,07258,3379,50344,204
Op Inc LTM-445,5164,2561,0411,070-5591,056
FCF LTM-3503,4102,544-455285-1,129-32
FCF 3Y Avg-2382,2821,948-822159-1,371-40
CFO LTM1,0208,1348,9132,5304,374-1283,452
CFO 3Y Avg1,1797,3388,0851,7653,271-832,518

Growth & Margins

ALKDALUALLUVAALJBLUMedian
NameAlaska A.Delta Ai.United A.Southwes.American.JetBlue . 
Rev Chg LTM9.8%10.3%8.5%9.5%7.5%4.0%9.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.1%7.0%7.3%6.2%3.4%-1.3%6.6%
Rev Chg Q9.7%18.7%16.0%16.4%16.3%14.5%16.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%4.8%4.0%4.1%4.2%3.7%4.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM-105.5%-4.6%-21.2%227.4%-61.0%-305.1%-41.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-36.6%3.1%-5.7%95.3%-35.8%-142.2%-20.7%
Op Mgn LTM-0.3%8.1%6.8%3.5%1.8%-5.9%2.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.3%9.2%8.3%1.2%4.1%-3.4%4.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.2%-0.8%-1.6%0.1%-1.4%-1.6%-1.5%
CFO/Rev LTM6.9%11.9%14.2%8.4%7.5%-1.3%8.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.3%11.5%13.7%6.2%5.9%-0.9%7.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.4%5.0%4.0%-1.5%0.5%-11.9%-0.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.9%3.5%3.2%-3.0%0.3%-14.7%-0.8%

Valuation

ALKDALUALLUVAALJBLUMedian
NameAlaska A.Delta Ai.United A.Southwes.American.JetBlue . 
Mkt Cap4.651.535.318.98.61.713.8
P/S0.30.80.60.60.10.20.4
P/Op Inc-104.69.38.318.28.0-3.18.2
P/EBIT-36.29.06.315.66.7-4.06.5
P/E-26.313.010.122.6-26.3-2.04.1
P/CFO4.56.34.07.52.0-13.54.2
Total Yield-3.8%8.6%9.9%6.4%-3.8%-51.1%1.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.0%0.0%2.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.4%5.5%5.6%-4.5%1.7%-72.2%-1.4%
D/E1.70.41.00.44.25.41.3
Net D/E1.10.30.50.23.34.30.8

Returns

ALKDALUALLUVAALJBLUMedian
NameAlaska A.Delta Ai.United A.Southwes.American.JetBlue . 
1M Rtn-21.2%-15.1%-18.1%-20.1%-21.7%-28.1%-20.7%
3M Rtn-3.0%-0.7%3.5%-5.4%-2.5%-4.8%-2.8%
6M Rtn-5.5%29.1%13.9%-10.6%10.0%1.1%5.6%
12M Rtn-33.8%29.9%2.4%21.9%-3.5%-15.4%-0.6%
3Y Rtn-0.9%89.9%118.5%32.2%-11.6%-22.3%15.6%
1M Excs Rtn-20.8%-15.8%-18.5%-20.6%-22.1%-27.8%-20.7%
3M Excs Rtn-5.2%-2.9%1.4%-7.5%-4.6%-6.9%-4.9%
6M Excs Rtn-18.9%15.7%0.4%-24.0%-3.4%-12.3%-7.9%
12M Excs Rtn-53.9%9.8%-17.8%1.8%-23.6%-35.6%-20.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-74.4%13.7%43.8%-41.7%-85.2%-96.6%-58.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Alaska Airlines9,0909,0518,8538,081 
Hawaiian Airlines3,28386900 
Regional1,8531,8051,5651,5611,147
Consolidating & Other13108 -402
Other Revenue   4 
Horizon    406
Mainline    5,025
Special Items    0
Total14,23911,73510,4269,6466,176


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20042003200220012000
Horizon1725-13-42-6
Alaska-2712-87-14-8
Other -8-2  
Air Group    -2
Total-1029-102-55-16


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Alaska Airlines24,98524,664   
Hawaiian Airlines4,9114,423   
Consolidating & Other-9,535-9,319-6,676-6,704-6,519
Horizon  1,3521,1571,212
Mainline  19,93719,73319,258
Total20,36119,76814,61314,18613,951


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$41.40 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.6 
First Trading Date01/03/1983 
Distance from 52W High-35.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$46.97$45.95
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA-11.9%-9.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility53.7%51.8%
Downside Capture219.15269.54
Upside Capture185.31164.00
Correlation (SPY)47.8%53.3%
ALK Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.842.491.902.522.161.64
Up Beta3.872.112.443.452.831.93
Down Beta0.871.851.101.521.541.50
Up Capture97%175%183%245%225%260%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days8183158118368
Down Capture495%366%208%221%170%110%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days13243369133381

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALK
ALK-33.9%51.8%-0.62-
Sector ETF (XLI)17.8%17.1%0.7960.9%
Equity (SPY)21.2%12.8%1.2353.3%
Gold (GLD)25.1%29.1%0.7720.3%
Commodities (DBC)42.9%20.4%1.64-45.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)10.7%13.6%0.5039.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.0%43.5%-0.7318.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALK
ALK-6.1%43.3%-0.02-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.5%17.6%0.5459.5%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5855.0%
Gold (GLD)19.6%18.8%0.8510.0%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.5%0.44-5.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.0%18.9%0.0042.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.5%52.6%0.3824.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALK
ALK-4.1%43.9%0.06-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.4%20.0%0.5964.1%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7355.7%
Gold (GLD)12.5%16.3%0.635.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%18.1%0.368.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2049.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.1%66.1%1.0315.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 73120260.8%
Average Daily Volume2.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity111.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares9.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/21/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/21/2026-2.4%6.9%-9.3%
4/20/2026-4.8%-7.1%-16.8%
1/22/20264.1%9.1%3.6%
10/24/20252.3%-4.7%-8.0%
7/23/2025-5.7%-1.0%1.9%
4/23/2025-10.0%-4.0%8.7%
1/22/20252.2%7.1%4.1%
10/31/20241.4%9.2%11.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121214
# Negative121210
Median Positive2.2%3.4%7.3%
Median Negative-1.9%-5.1%-8.8%
Max Positive4.5%9.2%27.5%
Max Negative-10.0%-9.4%-20.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/21/2026-2.4%6.9%-9.3%
4/20/2026-4.8%-7.1%-16.8%
1/22/20264.1%9.1%3.6%
10/24/20252.3%-4.7%-8.0%
7/23/2025-5.7%-1.0%1.9%
4/23/2025-10.0%-4.0%8.7%
1/22/20252.2%7.1%4.1%
10/31/20241.4%9.2%11.3%
7/17/2024-6.9%-5.5%-11.8%
4/18/20241.3%0.2%-2.6%
1/25/20244.5%0.0%7.9%
10/19/2023-0.4%-1.2%14.3%
7/25/2023-0.7%-0.6%-11.5%
4/20/20232.0%-1.4%2.2%
1/26/2023-0.6%4.4%-6.6%
10/20/20222.8%8.5%17.1%
7/21/2022-1.0%1.9%5.2%
4/21/20220.2%-7.5%-20.3%
1/27/2022-0.7%1.2%6.7%
10/21/2021-1.8%-7.9%-8.2%
7/22/20210.5%1.5%-6.3%
4/22/20213.4%2.4%1.7%
1/26/2021-2.0%-5.7%27.5%
10/22/20202.4%-9.4%17.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121214
# Negative121210
Median Positive2.2%3.4%7.3%
Median Negative-1.9%-5.1%-8.8%
Max Positive4.5%9.2%27.5%
Max Negative-10.0%-9.4%-20.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/14/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/13/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/14/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/13/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/11/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/03/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/04/202010-Q
03/31/202005/14/202010-Q
12/31/201902/12/202010-K
09/30/201911/07/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/22/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/21/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Capacity (ASMs) % changeReported0.020.030.03 1.5%Higher NewGuidance: 0.01 for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 RASM % changeReported      
Q3 2026 CASMex % changeReported      
Q3 2026 Economic fuel cost per gallonReported 3.75 -16.7% Lower NewGuidance: 4.5 for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Adjusted earnings (loss) per shareReported00.51  Higher NewGuidance: -1 for Q2 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/20/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Capacity (ASMs) % changeReported 0.01 -33.3%-0.5%Lower NewGuidance: 0.01 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Fuel cost per gallonReported 4.5    
Q2 2026 Fuel consumptionReported 297.00 Mil    
Q2 2026 Adjusted loss per shareReported -1 0.0% Same NewGuidance: -1 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Unit Revenue % changeReported 0.1    

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/22/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Capacity (ASMs) % changeReported0.010.010.02 -1.0%LoweredGuidance: 0.03 for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted earnings (loss) per shareReported-1.5-1-0.5 -140.0%Lower NewGuidance: 0.4 for Q4 2025
2026 Capacity (ASMs) % changeReported0.020.030.03 0.5%Higher NewGuidance: 0.02 for 2025
2026 Adjusted earnings (loss) per shareReported3.556.5 260.0%Higher NewGuidance: 2.4 for 2025
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported1.40 Bil1.45 Bil1.50 Bil   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/24/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Capacity (ASMs) % changeReported0.020.030.03 3.5%Higher NewActual: -0.01 for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Adjusted earnings per shareReported 0.4 -66.7% Lower NewActual: 1.2 for Q3 2025
2025 Capacity (ASMs) % changeReported 0.02  0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.02 for 2025
2025 Adjusted earnings per shareReported 2.4 -26.2% LoweredGuidance: 3.25 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/21/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Minicucci, BenitoCEO AND PRESIDENTDirectBuy821202640.0625,0001,001,51010,278,778Form
2Harrison, Andrew REVP AND CCODirectSell804202649.675,300263,2561,268,001Form
3Harrison, Andrew REVP AND CCODirectSell219202656.635,500311,4871,745,913Form
4Tackett, Shane REVP AND CFODirectSell219202657.1524,0001,371,5332,478,874Form
5Harrison, Andrew REVP AND CCODirectSell217202654.8114,500794,7621,106,912Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Minicucci, BenitoCEO AND PRESIDENTDirectBuy821202640.0625,0001,001,51010,278,778Form
2Harrison, Andrew REVP AND CCODirectSell804202649.675,300263,2561,268,001Form
3Harrison, Andrew REVP AND CCODirectSell219202656.635,500311,4871,745,913Form
4Tackett, Shane REVP AND CFODirectSell219202657.1524,0001,371,5332,478,874Form
5Harrison, Andrew REVP AND CCODirectSell217202654.8114,500794,7621,106,912Form
6Levine, Kyle BEVP Corp Pub Aff & Chf Leg OffDirectSell211202660.022,945176,7471,258,956Form
7Tackett, Shane REVP AND CFODirectSell206202655.0010,000550,0071,844,173Form
8Levine, Kyle BSVP LEGAL & GEN COUNSELDirectSell819202557.755,914341,5341,207,957Form
9Tackett, Shane REVP AND CFODirectSell814202557.065,000285,3152,472,825Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 4, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Semper Augustus Investments Group LLC$62.3 Mil7.4%44ADD +314.2%13F
Lodge Hill Capital, LLC$18.7 Mil3.6%22ADD +32.7%13F
Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP$12.5 Mil1.8%20New13F
First Washington CORP$6.0 Mil1.7%50Hold13F
Par Capital Management Inc$58.2 Mil1.7%45Hold13F
Turas Capital Management LP$6.0 Mil1.5%37New13F
Owl Creek Asset Management, L.P.$5.8 Mil1.1%21New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP$12.5 Mil1.8%20New13F
Turas Capital Management LP$6.0 Mil1.5%37New13F
Owl Creek Asset Management, L.P.$5.8 Mil1.1%21New13F
Semper Augustus Investments Group LLC$62.3 Mil7.4%44ADD +314.2%13F
Lodge Hill Capital, LLC$18.7 Mil3.6%22ADD +32.7%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Towle & Co$6.7 Mil1.8%44Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Semper Augustus Investments Group LLC$62.3 Mil7.4%44ADD +314.2%13F
Par Capital Management Inc$58.2 Mil1.7%45Hold13F
Lodge Hill Capital, LLC$18.7 Mil3.6%22ADD +32.7%13F
Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP$12.5 Mil1.8%20New13F
First Washington CORP$6.0 Mil1.7%50Hold13F
Turas Capital Management LP$6.0 Mil1.5%37New13F
Owl Creek Asset Management, L.P.$5.8 Mil1.1%21New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/3/2026