Albemarle (ALB)
Market Price (11/23/2025): $116.62 | Market Cap: $13.7 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Albemarle (ALB)
Market Price (11/23/2025): $116.62Market Cap: $13.7 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Specialty Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 3256x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 105% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.5% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 3256x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 105% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.5% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ALB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Albemarle (ALB) stock moved by 73.1% from July 31, 2025, to November 24, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Upgraded Outlook. Albemarle reported Q3 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.19, significantly outperforming the forecasted -$0.90, and revenue of $1.31 billion, exceeding the anticipated $1.27 billion. This performance was largely driven by record production in its lithium conversion network and robust demand within the Energy Storage segment, resulting in a 7% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA and a 57% surge in cash from operations. The company subsequently raised its full-year 2025 outlook, anticipating results at the higher end of its guidance with lithium market pricing expected to average $9.50/kg.
2. Growing Optimism for Lithium Demand and Market Recovery. The global lithium market showed signs of recovery and increased demand throughout the period. Global electric vehicle (EV) sales surged 30% year over year through September 2025, directly contributing to a 30% rise in lithium demand. Forecasts from industry leaders, such as Ganfeng Lithium Group's chairman, predicted a 30% growth in lithium demand by 2026, which positively impacted lithium prices in China, with the most-active lithium carbonate contract increasing by 9%. Analysts also began to anticipate a structural deficit in the lithium market, expecting prices to recover and be driven higher by strong demand in 2025 and beyond.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALB Return | 105% | 60% | -7% | -33% | -39% | 38% | 72% |
| Peers Return | 14% | 22% | -14% | 10% | -5% | -15% | 6% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALB Win Rate | 83% | 58% | 42% | 33% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 47% | 30% | 37% | 40% | 26% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALB Max Drawdown | -30% | -5% | -26% | -47% | -49% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -5% | -26% | -9% | -12% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, PPG, HUN, VRDE, SHW. See ALB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/21/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -65.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 187.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -59.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 143.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 483 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 202.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 579 days | 1480 days |
Compare to HON, PPG, HUN, VRDE, SHW
In The Past
Albemarle's stock fell -65.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2022. A -65.2% loss requires a 187.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.7% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -21.2% | -21.2% | -25.2% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.1% | 0.1% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.2% | 1.2% | -7.3% |
| 11302023 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | -9.9% | -39.3% |
| 12312022 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | -32.8% | -47.5% |
| 11302019 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.3% | 114.7% | -21.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.7% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -21.2% | -21.2% | -25.2% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.1% | 0.1% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.2% | 1.2% | -7.3% |
| 11302023 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | -9.9% | -39.3% |
| 12312022 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | -32.8% | -47.5% |
| 11302019 | ALB | Albemarle | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.3% | 114.7% | -21.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Storage | 7,079 | 4,661 | |||
| Specialties | 1,482 | 1,760 | |||
| Ketjen | 1,056 | 900 | |||
| All Other | 0 | 75 | 221 | 165 | |
| Bromine | 1,128 | 965 | 1,004 | ||
| Catalysts | 761 | 798 | 1,062 | ||
| Lithium | 1,363 | 1,145 | 1,358 | ||
| Total | 9,617 | 7,320 | 3,328 | 3,129 | 3,589 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Storage | 13,246 | 10,472 | |||
| Corporate | 1,972 | 2,374 | 1,208 | 1,246 | 1,181 |
| Specialties | 1,696 | 1,397 | |||
| Ketjen | 1,356 | 1,214 | |||
| Bromine | 940 | 868 | 799 | ||
| Catalysts | 1,150 | 1,066 | 1,164 | ||
| Lithium | 7,676 | 7,134 | 6,571 | ||
| All Other | 137 | 146 | |||
| Total | 18,271 | 15,457 | 10,974 | 10,451 | 9,861 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -0.8% | 20.0% | |
| 7/30/2025 | -1.5% | -2.3% | 23.3% |
| 4/30/2025 | 1.3% | -4.3% | -4.8% |
| 2/12/2025 | 3.5% | 7.7% | -1.2% |
| 11/6/2024 | 3.5% | 12.0% | 8.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | -0.5% | -15.6% | -2.2% |
| 5/1/2024 | 5.3% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
| 2/14/2024 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 7.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -1.9% | -4.3% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 12.9% | 26.9% | 49.0% |
| Max Negative | -19.9% | -25.1% | -30.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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