Tearsheet

Airbnb (ABNB)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $124.05 | Market Cap: $75.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Airbnb (ABNB)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $124.05
Market Cap: $75.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.2x
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.6 Bil
  
4 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.2%
  
5 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.6 Bil
4 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.2%
5 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
8 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.2x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ABNB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining significant movements in Airbnb (ABNB) stock during the latter half of 2025: 1. Management's Cautious Outlook on Future Growth and Margins. Airbnb management cautioned investors about an expectation of slower growth and reduced margins for the latter half of 2025. This outlook likely dampened investor enthusiasm, contributing to a stock decline. 2. Increased Investment in Costly Expansion Initiatives. The company is undertaking ambitious and costly expansion initiatives, including investing between $200 million and $250 million in 2025 to develop new business ventures. These ventures, such as AI-driven personalization, broadening into "Services & Experiences," and hosting high-profile celebrity events, require significant capital and time to scale, which can impact short-term profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ABNB Return-13%-49%59%-3%-7%-17%
Peers Return0%28%-20%58%29%13%136%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ABNB Win Rate 58%33%67%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate52%53%45%62%63%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ABNB Max Drawdown--10%-50%-1%-17%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-11%-32%-1%-9%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BKNG, EXPE, MAR, HLT, H. See ABNB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/8/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventABNBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-62.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven162.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-13.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven16.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2 days148 days

Compare to MAR, EXPE, HGV, TRIP, TZOO


In The Past

Airbnb's stock fell -62.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -62.0% loss requires a 162.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Airbnb (ABNB)

Better Bets than Airbnb (ABNB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ABNB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
8.2%8.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.8%8.8%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
8.2%8.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.8%8.8%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Airbnb

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ABNBBKNGEXPEMARHLTHMedian
NameAirbnb Booking Expedia Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
Mkt Price121.765,185.99264.00286.67270.00153.09267.00
Mkt Cap74.4167.932.777.963.214.668.8
Rev LTM11,94326,03914,37025,92511,7356,91413,156
Op Inc LTM2,7058,9811,9774,1372,5804492,642
FCF LTM4,5868,3152,9981,9272,2961072,647
FCF 3Y Avg4,3168,2202,2682,3231,9163972,296
CFO LTM4,5868,6403,7742,7012,5083013,238
CFO 3Y Avg4,3288,5863,0562,9142,1225902,985

Growth & Margins

ABNBBKNGEXPEMARHLTHMedian
NameAirbnb Booking Expedia Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
Rev Chg LTM10.2%13.0%7.3%4.7%6.7%3.1%7.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.2%17.8%8.3%10.6%13.1%9.1%11.9%
Rev Chg Q9.7%12.7%8.7%3.7%8.8%9.6%9.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%4.1%2.5%0.9%2.2%2.3%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM22.6%34.5%13.8%16.0%22.0%6.5%19.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.4%31.4%12.2%16.3%22.0%5.8%18.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%1.6%1.6%0.6%0.8%0.0%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM38.4%33.2%26.3%10.4%21.4%4.4%23.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg40.3%37.2%22.6%11.8%19.4%8.8%21.0%
FCF/Rev LTM38.4%31.9%20.9%7.4%19.6%1.5%20.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg40.2%35.6%16.7%9.4%17.5%5.9%17.1%

Valuation

ABNBBKNGEXPEMARHLTHMedian
NameAirbnb Booking Expedia Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
Mkt Cap74.4167.932.777.963.214.668.8
P/S6.26.71.82.75.22.03.9
P/EBIT27.420.813.816.823.444.222.1
P/E28.134.719.027.036.5-154.127.6
P/CFO16.120.37.026.124.245.022.2
Total Yield3.5%3.6%5.8%4.7%2.9%-0.2%3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%0.6%1.0%0.1%0.4%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.4%6.0%11.4%3.5%3.8%3.1%4.6%
D/E0.00.10.20.20.20.50.2
Net D/E-0.10.00.00.20.20.40.1

Returns

ABNBBKNGEXPEMARHLTHMedian
NameAirbnb Booking Expedia Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
1M Rtn0.7%5.2%2.4%-1.3%-1.2%-1.4%-0.2%
3M Rtn-2.3%-6.7%21.7%7.2%-2.8%5.4%1.5%
6M Rtn-12.4%-6.0%50.0%8.3%7.2%14.5%7.8%
12M Rtn-11.1%-1.4%39.5%-1.1%4.7%-5.9%-1.2%
3Y Rtn28.6%160.9%182.8%83.3%98.2%57.1%90.8%
1M Excs Rtn-0.9%4.2%18.5%0.3%-0.0%2.8%1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-6.8%-11.9%16.4%3.7%-6.9%1.1%-2.8%
6M Excs Rtn-26.4%-20.1%36.0%-5.6%-6.8%0.5%-6.2%
12M Excs Rtn-24.9%-12.7%28.9%-12.5%-6.0%-17.5%-12.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.6%87.8%83.4%11.2%23.5%-14.4%17.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment9,9178,3995,9923,3784,805
Total9,9178,3995,9923,3784,805


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,199,745
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.8%
Average Daily Volume5,915,962
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.08
Basic Shares Quantity611,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20250.3%0.5% 
8/6/2025-8.0%-4.6%-5.1%
5/1/20251.0%1.9%4.5%
2/13/202514.4%3.6%-10.0%
11/7/2024-8.7%-8.7%-6.9%
8/6/2024-13.4%-10.4%-11.0%
5/8/2024-6.9%-7.7%-7.1%
2/13/2024-1.7%-1.0%10.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1066
# Negative101414
Median Positive5.9%2.7%8.0%
Median Negative-7.4%-6.6%-7.1%
Max Positive14.4%7.4%13.0%
Max Negative-13.4%-19.9%-16.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021