Airbnb (ABNB)
Market Price (3/27/2026): $131.94 | Market Cap: $79.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Airbnb (ABNB)
Market Price (3/27/2026): $131.94Market Cap: $79.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.5x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 31x |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.6 Bil | Key risksABNB key risks include [1] escalating global regulatory pressure on short-term rentals that directly threatens its host supply and profitability and [2] intensifying competition from traditional hotels and rival online platforms. | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.9% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.6 Bil |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.9% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.5x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 31x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Key risksABNB key risks include [1] escalating global regulatory pressure on short-term rentals that directly threatens its host supply and profitability and [2] intensifying competition from traditional hotels and rival online platforms. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Better-than-expected Q4 2025 Revenue and Optimistic Q1 2026 Guidance.
Airbnb reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $2.78 billion, exceeding analyst estimates of $2.72 billion by 2.3% and representing a 12% year-over-year increase. Despite an earnings per share (EPS) miss, the company provided an optimistic revenue guidance for Q1 2026 at a midpoint of $2.61 billion, which was 3% above analysts' estimates of $2.54 billion. This positive revenue performance and outlook likely fueled investor confidence, contributing to a 4.65% stock gain on February 13, 2026, and a peak move of +14.6% during that trading session.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Increased Price Targets.
Analysts maintained a generally favorable outlook for Airbnb, with a "Buy" consensus rating from 28 analysts as of March 11, 2026. On March 3, 2026, the average 12-month price target for ABNB increased by 5.78% to $144.83, surpassing the previous average of $136.91. This upward revision in price targets signaled growing analyst confidence in Airbnb's future performance and growth trajectory.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.0% change in ABNB stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 116.99 | 131.06 | 12.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,943 | 12,241 | 2.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.0% | 20.5% | -6.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.2 | 31.5 | 16.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 611 | 604 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 12.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 50.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -7.8% | 59.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.4% change in ABNB stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 130.53 | 131.06 | 0.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,580 | 12,241 | 5.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.7% | 20.5% | -9.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.6 | 31.5 | 3.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 615 | 604 | 1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.4% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 0.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 46.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | -5.7% | 54.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.6% change in ABNB stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 138.87 | 131.06 | -5.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,102 | 12,241 | 10.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.9% | 20.5% | -14.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 32.8 | 31.5 | -4.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 626 | 604 | 3.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABNB | -5.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 69.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.7% | 69.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.3% change in ABNB stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 45.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 123.28 | 131.06 | 6.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,399 | 12,241 | 45.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.5% | 20.5% | -9.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 41.5 | 31.5 | -24.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 637 | 604 | 5.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 6.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 56.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 53.4% | 58.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ABNB Return | 13% | -49% | 59% | -3% | 3% | -3% | -10% |
| Peers Return | 28% | -20% | 58% | 29% | 19% | -7% | 131% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ABNB Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 67% | 58% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 45% | 62% | 63% | 60% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ABNB Max Drawdown | -10% | -50% | -1% | -17% | -20% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -11% | -32% | -1% | -9% | -24% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BKNG, EXPE, MAR, HLT, H. See ABNB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/26/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ABNB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -62.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 162.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -13.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2 days | 148 days |
Compare to BKNG, EXPE, MAR, HLT, H
In The Past
Airbnb's stock fell -62.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -62.0% loss requires a 162.9% gain to breakeven.
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About Airbnb (ABNB)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. eBay for private accommodations
2. Expedia for unique stays and experiences
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Products and Services of Airbnb (ABNB)
- Stays: A global marketplace connecting guests with hosts offering a diverse range of accommodations, including private rooms, entire homes, and vacation rentals.
- Experiences: A platform for hosts to offer unique activities and tours, allowing guests to discover and book immersive local experiences.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Airbnb (ABNB) sells primarily to individuals. Its major customer categories include:
- Leisure Travelers: Individuals, couples, families, and groups seeking short-term accommodations for vacations, holidays, and recreational trips.
- Business Travelers: Professionals and teams utilizing the platform for work-related travel, including individual business trips, team off-sites, and project-based stays.
- Long-Term Stay Guests: Individuals and families requiring extended accommodations for purposes such as relocation, temporary assignments, or extended personal travel.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
- PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Brian Chesky, Chief Executive Officer
Brian Chesky is the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Airbnb. He sets the vision and strategy for the company. In 2007, he and Joe Gebbia became Airbnb's first hosts. A graduate of the Rhode Island School of Design, Chesky has embedded his creative roots in Airbnb's culture, product, and community. Prior to co-founding Airbnb, he worked as an industrial designer.
Ellie Mertz, Chief Financial Officer
Ellie Mertz has served as Chief Financial Officer of Airbnb since March 2024. She oversees Airbnb's global finance team, including financial planning and analysis, accounting, tax, treasury, and investor relations. Mertz joined Airbnb in 2013 as Head of Global Financial Planning & Analysis and became Vice President of Finance in 2019. Before joining Airbnb, she held various finance roles, including Vice President of Finance, at Netflix from 2006 to 2013. She also serves on the boards of directors for DoorDash, Faire Wholesale, and Netflix.
Dave Stephenson, Chief Business Officer and Head of Employee Experience
Dave Stephenson is currently the Chief Business Officer and Head of Employee Experience at Airbnb. In this role, he focuses on growing global businesses, recruiting and developing supply, and executing global in-market strategy, while also overseeing talent, leadership development, and diversity initiatives. He previously served as Airbnb's Chief Financial Officer for five years. Prior to joining Airbnb in January 2019, Stephenson spent 17 years at Amazon, where he was Vice President and CFO of their Worldwide Consumer Organization and CFO of Amazon's International Consumer business. He also led the finance function across areas like Amazon Web Services. Earlier in his career, he was President and CFO of Big Fish Games and started as a manufacturing engineer and finance manager at Procter and Gamble. Stephenson serves on the boards of Lyft and SiriusXM.
Nathan Blecharczyk, Co-founder and Chief Strategy Officer
Nathan (Nate) Blecharczyk is a co-founder of Airbnb and serves as its Chief Strategy Officer. He also holds the position of Chairman of Airbnb China. Blecharczyk received a Bachelor of Arts degree in Computer Science from Harvard University. He is a signatory to the Giving Pledge.
Aristotle Balogh, Chief Technology Officer
Aristotle Balogh serves as the Chief Technology Officer at Airbnb. Further background details were not readily available in the provided search results.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Airbnb (ABNB) are primarily centered around evolving regulatory environments, intense competition, and the critical need to maintain a strong base of hosts and guests.
- Regulatory and Compliance Risks: Airbnb faces significant and ever-changing regulatory challenges globally. Numerous cities and governments have implemented or are considering strict laws, zoning restrictions, permit requirements, and taxes specifically targeting short-term rentals. These regulations aim to address concerns such as housing affordability, neighborhood impact, and safety. Non-compliance can lead to substantial fines, operational disruptions, and in some cases, outright prohibitions on short-term rentals, directly impacting Airbnb's ability to operate in key markets and potentially reducing its host supply.
- Competition: The travel and hospitality industry is highly competitive, posing a significant risk to Airbnb's market share and pricing power. The company faces formidable competition from traditional hotel chains, many of which are expanding their own vacation rental offerings, as well as from other established online travel agencies (OTAs) like Booking.com and Expedia Group. These competitors often possess substantial financial resources, established brand recognition, and extensive customer loyalty programs. This intense competitive landscape can lead to pressure on Average Daily Rates (ADR) and a constant need for innovation to differentiate its platform.
- Host and Guest Retention and Supply/Demand Dynamics: Airbnb's marketplace model is highly dependent on its ability to attract and retain a diverse base of high-quality hosts and a consistent flow of guests. Risks include potential host dissatisfaction due to evolving platform policies, increasing fees, or stringent guest-first rules, which could lead some hosts to seek alternative platforms or exit the short-term rental market altogether. On the guest side, maintaining the platform's appeal and ensuring consistent quality experiences are crucial. The business is also sensitive to broader macroeconomic conditions, changes in discretionary travel spending, and general fluctuations in supply and demand within the travel and hospitality industries.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The increasing global trend of stringent regulations and restrictions on short-term rentals in major cities and tourist destinations represents a clear emerging threat to Airbnb. Governments and local authorities worldwide are implementing new laws, higher taxes, registration requirements, and even outright bans or strict caps on rental days (e.g., New York, Paris, Barcelona, London), directly impacting the supply of listings, operational costs for hosts, and Airbnb's ability to operate and expand in key markets. This regulatory environment is becoming more widespread and aggressive, posing a significant challenge to Airbnb's core business model and growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
For the public company Airbnb (symbol: ABNB), the addressable markets for its main products and services are as follows:
Stays (Accommodation Market)
Airbnb's total addressable market (TAM) for stays is estimated to be approximately $2.01 trillion globally. This figure is based on their IPO documents, which identified a market of $1.8 trillion for short-term stays and $210 billion for long-term stays.
Other estimates for the global accommodation market include:
- The global travel accommodation market was valued at $961.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $2,187.5 billion by 2034.
- The global alternative accommodation market was estimated at $127.28 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach $504.95 billion by 2030.
- The global travel accommodation market was valued at $797.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $3,144.7 billion by 2035.
Experiences Market
Airbnb's IPO documents claimed a total addressable market (TAM) for Experiences of a striking $1.4 trillion globally. This figure includes $239 billion in recreational leisure spend by tourists and another $1.1 trillion in non-travel-related recreational spend.
Other analyses of the global experiences market indicate:
- The global market for tours, activities, and attractions is projected to reach $271 billion in 2025 and $342 billion by 2029.
- The global market for travel experiences (destination visitors) could be more than $1 trillion.
- The global experience travel services market size was valued at USD 138.00 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 372.93 billion by 2034.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Airbnb (ABNB) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Expansion of Offerings and Services: Airbnb plans to significantly broaden its platform beyond traditional short-term stays to include a wider range of services and experiences. This includes an expansion into boutique and independent hotel offerings, as well as the ambition to launch two new business lines annually, such as a "Host Services Marketplace" for cleaners and chefs. The company is also focusing on local experiences, positioning itself as a "weekend lifestyle app" rather than solely a travel tool, and testing new services like grocery delivery and airport pickup.
- Product Innovations and Enhanced User Experience: Airbnb is focused on continuous product improvements and pricing initiatives to simplify booking and improve overall satisfaction for both guests and hosts. Initiatives such as "Reserve Now, Pay Later," simplified fee structures, and updated cancellation policies have already driven positive shifts in booking dynamics and contributed to Gross Booking Value (GBV) growth. "Project Hawaii," aimed at making it easier to find and book homes, is also expected to generate significant revenue in 2026, building on its 2025 success.
- Global Market Expansion and Penetration: The company is actively expanding its presence in new and existing international markets. This strategy is evident in the strong performance and increased first-time bookers in regions like Brazil, which has entered Airbnb's top five markets, as well as significant growth in India and Japan. Strategic market penetration is also being leveraged through global events such as the Olympics and FIFA World Cup, presenting opportunities to increase both demand and supply diversity.
- Leveraging Artificial Intelligence (AI): Airbnb considers AI a central pillar of its strategy to enhance user experience and operational efficiency. AI is being utilized to drive discovery and personalize recommendations. Furthermore, an in-house AI agent is already resolving a substantial portion of customer support tickets, which streamlines operations and improves service delivery.
- Growth in Nights and Seats Booked & Gross Booking Value (GBV): As a culmination of the aforementioned strategies, Airbnb anticipates continued growth in its core metrics: the number of nights and seats booked, and Gross Booking Value. The company's Q4 2025 results showed a 10% increase in nights and seats booked and a 16% increase in GBV, with management projecting continued high-single-digit growth in nights and seats booked for Q1 2026. The disciplined investment in technology, product, and marketing is aimed at sustaining this momentum.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Airbnb announced a new share repurchase program with authorization to purchase up to an additional $6 billion of its Class A common stock in August 2025, with no expiration date.
- As of December 31, 2025, $5.6 billion remained available under the share repurchase program.
- The company repurchased 29.7 million shares of Class A common stock for $3.8 billion in 2025, following $3.4 billion in 2024 and $2.252 billion in 2023.
Share Issuance
- Share repurchases since the program's inception in August 2022 have helped to offset dilution from employee stock programs.
- Stock-based compensation, a form of share issuance, was approximately $1.59 billion recently, contributing to increased compensation expenses.
- Insider sales, such as those by Elinor Mertz in late 2025 and early 2026 and Joseph Gebbia's associated Sycamore Trust in late 2025 and March 2026, reflect the disposition of Class A common shares.
Outbound Investments
- Airbnb's most recent acquisition was GamePlanner.AI in November 2023 for $200 million, a provider of artificial intelligence development services.
- In April 2023, Airbnb acquired Letting Cloud for an undisclosed amount.
- The average number of acquisitions per year over the last five years (2020–2025) is 0.4.
Capital Expenditures
- Airbnb's capital expenditures have been consistently very low, with a capital expenditures margin of 0.0% for fiscal years ending December 2021 through 2025.
- The capital expenditure for the three months ended December 2025 was $0.00 million.
- This reflects Airbnb's asset-light, platform-based business model.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Better Value & Growth: BKNG, GBTG Top Airbnb Stock | 03/21/2026 | |
| How Does Airbnb Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | 03/16/2026 | |
| ABNB Stock Surges 10% With A 5-day Winning Spree On Strong Guidance | 02/21/2026 | |
| Could Cash Machine Airbnb Stock Be Your Next Buy? | 02/13/2026 | |
| Is Booking a Better Buy Than Airbnb? | 02/13/2026 | |
| The Smart Way to Own ABNB: Collect 8.3% Before You Even Buy | 01/14/2026 | |
| Airbnb Earnings Notes | 12/27/2025 | |
| Airbnb Stock On Fire: Up 11% With 9-Day Winning Streak | 12/20/2025 | |
| Airbnb Stock 8-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 9.8% | 12/19/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Pay Less, Gain More: BKNG Tops Airbnb Stock | 03/21/2026 | |
| Stronger Bet Than Airbnb Stock: BKNG Delivers More | 03/10/2026 | |
| Why BKNG Could Outperform Airbnb Stock | 02/26/2026 | |
| Strong Cash Yield: Is Airbnb Stock A Buy? | 02/13/2026 | |
| Booking or Airbnb: Which Stock Has More Upside? | 02/13/2026 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ABNB.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | MBLY | Mobileye Global | Dip Buy | DB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % EquityBuying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | SAH | Sonic Automotive | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.9% | -5.9% | -6.1% |
| 02132026 | MAT | Mattel | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | SONO | Sonos | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.7% | -0.7% | -4.6% |
| 02062026 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.6% | 1.6% | -0.8% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.2% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 267.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 74.7 |
| Rev LTM | 13,487 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,618 |
| FCF LTM | 2,859 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,435 |
| CFO LTM | 3,546 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,131 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 74.7 |
| P/S | 4.2 |
| P/EBIT | 23.5 |
| P/E | 28.3 |
| P/CFO | 22.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 22.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 92.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 10.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 21.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $131.06 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 79.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/10/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $129.21 | $128.46 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 1.4% | 2.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 34.6% | 34.6% |
| Downside Capture | 151.96 | 135.77 |
| Upside Capture | 191.69 | 118.55 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 55.6% | 70.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.00 | 1.56 | 1.29 | 1.04 | 1.27 | 1.36 |
| Up Beta | -0.82 | 0.96 | 0.86 | 0.71 | 1.34 | 1.40 |
| Down Beta | 3.11 | 1.41 | 1.36 | 1.31 | 1.20 | 1.37 |
| Up Capture | 309% | 187% | 197% | 95% | 120% | 171% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 22 | 38 | 67 | 136 | 391 |
| Down Capture | 193% | 176% | 94% | 104% | 121% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 23 | 57 | 114 | 359 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABNB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | -0.3% | 34.6% | 0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.3% | 23.5% | 0.20 | 70.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 18.9% | 0.52 | 70.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 45.0% | 27.5% | 1.34 | -5.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.7% | 17.5% | 0.84 | 18.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.7% | 16.4% | -0.07 | 49.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -18.7% | 43.9% | -0.35 | 23.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABNB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | -7.8% | 44.2% | -0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.4% | 23.6% | 0.23 | 63.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.0% | 17.0% | 0.55 | 58.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.8% | 17.6% | 0.92 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 15.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 39.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.1% | 56.7% | 0.29 | 25.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABNB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | -1.1% | 46.5% | 0.11 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.0% | 21.9% | 0.50 | 59.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 54.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.9% | 15.8% | 0.67 | 2.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 15.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 36.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.1% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 22.4% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/12/2026 | 4.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% |
| 11/6/2025 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 4.0% |
| 8/6/2025 | -8.0% | -4.6% | -5.1% |
| 5/1/2025 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.5% |
| 2/13/2025 | 14.4% | 3.6% | -10.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | -8.7% | -8.7% | -6.9% |
| 8/6/2024 | -13.4% | -10.4% | -11.0% |
| 5/8/2024 | -6.9% | -7.7% | -7.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 3.6% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | -6.6% | -7.1% |
| Max Positive | 14.4% | 10.3% | 13.0% |
| Max Negative | -13.4% | -19.9% | -16.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/16/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026 | Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 2.59 Bil | 2.61 Bil | 2.63 Bil | ||||
| Q1 2026 Revenue Growth | 14.0% | 15.0% | 16.0% | ||||
| Q1 2026 GBV Growth | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | ||||
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 0.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 10.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 0.0% | ||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 135.94 | 3,750 | 509,775 | 56,317,210 | Form |
| 2 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 12312025 | 136.70 | 58,000 | 7,928,858 | 78,743,809 | Form | |
| 3 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 134.79 | 2,565 | 345,745 | 22,252,562 | Form |
| 4 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 135.00 | 15,263 | 2,060,505 | 22,374,393 | Form |
| 5 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 12172025 | 130.56 | 58,000 | 7,572,587 | 82,778,171 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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