Tearsheet

Airbnb (ABNB)


Market Price (10/21/2025): $127.02 | Market Cap: $78.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Airbnb (ABNB)


Market Price (10/21/2025): $127.02
Market Cap: $78.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.8x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 30x
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, CFO LTM is 4.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.3 Bil
  
4 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.5%
  
5 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, CFO LTM is 4.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.3 Bil
4 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.5%
5 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.8x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 30x

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ABNB Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ABNB Return-13%-49%59%-3%-3%-14%
Peers Return-3%24%-35%53%25%-5%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ABNB Win Rate 58%33%67%58%56% 
Peers Win Rate50%50%42%52%55%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ABNB Max Drawdown--10%-50%-1%-17%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-62%-10%-41%-7%-22%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MAR, EXPE, HGV, TRIP, TZOO. See ABNB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/20/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventABNBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-62.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven162.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-13.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven16.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2 days148 days


How Low Can It Go?

Airbnb's stock fell -62.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -62.0% loss requires a 162.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Airbnb (ABNB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ABNB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.0%-20.0%-20.0%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.5%-1.5%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.8%-6.8%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-8.1%-8.1%-11.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.0%-20.0%-20.0%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.5%-1.5%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.8%-6.8%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-8.1%-8.1%-11.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Airbnb

Financials

ABNBMAREXPEHGVTRIPTZOOMedian
NameAirbnb Marriott.Expedia Hilton G.Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
Mkt Price127.21260.00218.2542.7716.5810.0584.99
Mkt Cap78.271.327.64.12.10.115.8
Rev LTM11,58025,69114,0184,9731,870888,276
Op Inc LTM2,6053,9501,703628143151,166
FCF LTM4,3081,6821,99720817118945
FCF 3Y Avg4,1832,2732,108273164101,191
CFO LTM4,3082,4882,778347258181,418
CFO 3Y Avg4,1982,8412,890379234101,610

Growth & Margins

ABNBMAREXPEHGVTRIPTZOOMedian
NameAirbnb Marriott.Expedia Hilton G.Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
Rev Chg LTM10.2%5.1%5.7%18.4%3.0%3.5%5.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.3%13.2%9.6%20.8%16.1%10.4%14.7%
Rev Chg Q12.7%4.7%6.4%-0.7%6.4%13.1%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%1.2%1.7%-0.2%1.7%3.3%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM22.5%15.4%12.1%12.6%7.6%16.8%14.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.7%16.4%11.6%16.0%6.9%17.5%16.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.0%0.1%-1.8%1.1%-2.8%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM37.2%9.7%19.8%7.0%13.8%20.2%16.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg40.6%11.7%22.1%8.8%13.2%11.6%12.4%
FCF/Rev LTM37.2%6.5%14.2%4.2%9.1%20.1%11.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg40.5%9.4%16.1%6.4%9.3%11.3%10.4%

Valuation

ABNBMAREXPEHGVTRIPTZOOMedian
NameAirbnb Marriott.Expedia Hilton G.Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
Mkt Cap78.271.327.64.12.10.115.8
P/S6.82.82.00.81.11.31.6
P/EBIT30.018.016.78.714.37.615.5
P/E29.828.924.8120.131.910.229.4
P/CFO18.228.79.911.88.06.310.9
Total Yield3.4%4.5%4.4%0.8%3.1%9.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.0%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%3.5%11.9%6.0%8.0%8.2%7.0%
D/E0.00.20.21.70.60.10.2
Net D/E-0.10.2-0.01.70.0-0.00.0

Returns

ABNBMAREXPEHGVTRIPTZOOMedian
NameAirbnb Marriott.Expedia Hilton G.Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
1M Rtn0.1%-3.2%-1.9%-4.0%-11.9%-1.6%-2.5%
3M Rtn-7.9%-4.0%17.9%-10.2%-4.3%-23.6%-6.1%
6M Rtn14.0%21.2%49.4%29.9%45.2%-19.6%25.5%
12M Rtn-6.8%-1.2%37.6%10.3%6.9%-20.8%2.9%
3Y Rtn6.1%74.6%125.8%14.6%-32.2%101.4%44.6%
1M Excs Rtn-0.9%-4.2%-2.9%-5.0%-13.0%-2.6%-3.6%
3M Excs Rtn-15.5%-11.3%8.7%-19.0%-13.5%-33.4%-14.5%
6M Excs Rtn-16.6%-9.4%18.9%-0.7%14.6%-50.2%-5.0%
12M Excs Rtn-21.2%-15.3%30.3%-3.0%-5.1%-35.6%-10.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-70.6%3.6%56.6%-67.2%-110.4%35.0%-31.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment9,9178,3995,9923,3784,805
Total9,9178,3995,9923,3784,805


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,167,430
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-2.4%
Average Daily Volume4,741,028
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.46
Basic Shares Quantity615,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/2025-8.0%-4.6%-5.1%
5/1/20251.0%1.9%4.5%
2/13/202514.4%3.6%-10.0%
11/7/2024-8.7%-8.7%-6.9%
8/6/2024-13.4%-10.4%-11.0%
5/8/2024-6.9%-7.7%-7.1%
2/13/2024-1.7%-1.0%10.4%
11/1/2023-3.3%-1.5%13.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive956
# Negative101413
Median Positive7.7%3.6%8.0%
Median Negative-7.4%-6.6%-7.1%
Max Positive14.4%7.4%13.0%
Max Negative-13.4%-19.9%-16.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211105202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0BALOGH ARISTOTLE NChief Technology Officer9292025Sell122.9160073,74624,459,824Form
1BALOGH ARISTOTLE NChief Technology Officer9152025Sell123.6860074,20824,761,475Form
2BALOGH ARISTOTLE NChief Technology Officer9082025Sell124.6560074,79025,030,465Form
3Mertz ElinorChief Financial Officer9042025Sell128.424,630594,58557,027,482Form
4Gebbia Joseph 9042025Sell126.7650,1676,359,008202,538,099Form