Tearsheet

Apple (AAPL)


Market Price (12/9/2025): $277.12 | Market Cap: $4.1 Tril
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Apple (AAPL)


Market Price (12/9/2025): $277.12
Market Cap: $4.1 Tril
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


Our Take: Apple benefits from robust services and iPhone growth, fueled by strong customer loyalty and emerging market expansion. However, high valuation multiples and rising regulatory scrutiny present headwinds.

0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 32%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.9%, Dist 3Y High is -2.9%
High Valuation
P/S of 9.3 and P/E of 38.2 are above peer medians (5.6 and 28.4).
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 109 Bil, FCF LTM is 96 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.7%
Regulatory Scrutiny
App Store policies face increasing antitrust pressure from EU and US DOJ.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
Significant Max Drawdown
Stock experienced a -31.3% loss during the 2022 Inflation Shock.
Slower Revenue Growth
3-year average revenue growth of 1.8% trails S&P 500's 5.5% average.
3 Strong Services Growth
Revenue climbed 15% YoY to $28.8 billion in FY25, driven by subscriptions.
Opportunity Cost
Technology Hardware peers like WDC show higher LTM revenue growth at 39.2%.
 
4 New iPhone Demand
iPhone 17 lineup projected to drive double-digit sales growth in fiscal Q1 2026.
Analysts Neutral
Consensus suggests limited upside of 3.3%, with average price target of $287.0
 

Show more

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AAPL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 8, 2025, Apple's (AAPL) stock experienced an approximate increase of 19.25%, moving from a closing price of $232.56 on August 28, 2025, to $277.34 on December 8, 2025. The key factors influencing this movement include:

1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2025 Earnings: Apple reported robust fiscal third-quarter results, ending June 28, 2025, which exceeded revenue and earnings per share expectations. Revenue reached $94 billion, nearly 10% higher than the previous year, and earnings per share were $1.57, topping forecasts. This strong performance, particularly in iPhone revenue and services growth, contributed to a significant stock rebound in August.

2. Successful iPhone 17 Launch and Demand: The anticipation surrounding and the subsequent launch of the iPhone 17 series, along with updated Apple Watch models, in September 2025, significantly boosted investor confidence. Reports indicated strong early sales and continued demand for the iPhone 17 lineup in key markets, including China and the U.S., outperforming previous iPhone generations.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AAPL Return82%35%-26%49%31%11%292%
Peers Return43%46%-34%62%32%18%248%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AAPL Win Rate67%67%25%75%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate62%70%32%73%62%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AAPL Max Drawdown-23%-12%-29%-4%-14%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-4%-40%-4%-5%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, DELL, HPQ. See AAPL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/8/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAAPLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven158 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven74 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven281 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven155.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven274 days1480 days

Compare to MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, DELL, HPQ


In The Past

Apple's stock fell -31.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/3/2022. A -31.3% loss requires a 45.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Apple (AAPL)

Interactive Breakdown

Apple Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than Apple (AAPL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AAPL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.3%8.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.2%8.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.3%14.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.9%9.9%0.0%
AAPL_12312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper12312022AAPLAppleMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
49.7%49.0%-3.8%
AAPL_12312018_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper12312018AAPLAppleMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
28.8%89.0%-9.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.3%8.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.2%8.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.3%14.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.9%9.9%0.0%
AAPL_12312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper12312022AAPLAppleMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
49.7%49.0%-3.8%
AAPL_12312018_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper12312018AAPLAppleMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
28.8%89.0%-9.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Apple

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AAPLMSFTGOOGLAMZNDELLHPQMedian
NameApple MicrosoftAlphabet Amazon.c.Dell Tec.HP  
Mkt Price277.89491.02313.72226.89140.4125.07252.39
Mkt Cap4,141.43,649.83,791.62,413.495.223.73,031.6
Rev LTM408,625293,812385,477670,038101,45154,711339,644
Op Inc LTM130,214135,937124,07776,1906,9133,672100,134
FCF LTM96,18478,01773,55213,4814,8602,84343,516
FCF 3Y Avg100,50371,30268,99821,6774,4963,09845,337
CFO LTM108,565147,039151,424121,1377,4773,696114,851
CFO 3Y Avg111,559121,384120,99096,9777,2153,766104,268

Growth & Margins

AAPLMSFTGOOGLAMZNDELLHPQMedian
NameApple MicrosoftAlphabet Amazon.c.Dell Tec.HP  
Rev Chg LTM6.0%15.6%13.4%10.9%10.5%2.6%10.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.8%13.2%11.0%11.3%-1.3%-5.2%6.4%
Rev Chg Q9.6%18.4%15.9%13.3%19.0%3.1%14.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%4.3%3.8%3.0%4.9%0.8%3.4%
Op Mgn LTM31.9%46.3%32.2%11.4%6.8%6.7%21.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg30.8%44.6%29.9%7.9%6.1%7.4%18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.6%-0.5%0.3%0.1%-0.4%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM26.6%50.0%39.3%18.1%7.4%6.8%22.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.4%47.2%35.3%15.8%7.5%6.9%22.1%
FCF/Rev LTM23.5%26.6%19.1%2.0%4.8%5.2%12.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg25.6%28.0%20.5%3.5%4.7%5.7%13.1%

Valuation

AAPLMSFTGOOGLAMZNDELLHPQMedian
NameApple MicrosoftAlphabet Amazon.c.Dell Tec.HP  
Mkt Cap4,141.43,649.83,791.62,413.495.223.73,031.6
P/S9.313.17.63.50.80.45.6
P/EBIT29.129.619.327.411.17.123.4
P/E38.236.723.633.116.98.828.4
P/CFO35.026.219.419.311.16.319.3
Total Yield3.0%3.4%4.6%3.0%7.6%13.7%4.0%
Dividend Yield0.4%0.6%0.3%0.0%1.7%2.3%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.1%2.3%3.3%1.1%7.6%10.7%3.2%
D/E0.00.00.00.10.30.50.0
Net D/E0.0-0.0-0.00.00.20.30.0

Returns

AAPLMSFTGOOGLAMZNDELLHPQMedian
NameApple MicrosoftAlphabet Amazon.c.Dell Tec.HP  
1M Rtn3.6%-1.0%12.6%-7.2%-4.3%-4.6%-2.6%
3M Rtn16.9%-1.3%34.1%-3.8%14.6%-14.6%6.7%
6M Rtn38.2%4.2%78.4%4.6%23.9%2.0%14.2%
12M Rtn15.0%11.5%80.5%-0.1%15.9%-27.9%13.2%
3Y Rtn98.4%104.9%240.5%154.7%257.4%-0.8%129.8%
1M Excs Rtn1.2%-2.9%8.4%-8.5%-7.8%-6.1%-4.5%
3M Excs Rtn13.6%-6.4%25.9%-9.9%11.0%-18.8%2.3%
6M Excs Rtn24.2%-9.8%64.4%-9.4%9.9%-12.0%0.2%
12M Excs Rtn2.4%0.6%68.3%-8.5%0.9%-40.7%0.7%
3Y Excs Rtn22.2%29.5%145.0%69.6%165.0%-74.2%49.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
iPhone200,583205,489191,973137,781101,991
Services85,20078,12968,42553,76818,063
Wearables, Home and Accessories39,84541,24138,36730,620 
Mac29,35740,17735,19028,62224,079
iPad28,30029,29231,86223,72430,283
Other Products    8,379
Total383,285394,328365,817274,515182,795


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity114,913,396
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.6%
Average Daily Volume47,053,455
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.44
Basic Shares Quantity14,902,886,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-0.4%-0.6%5.6%
7/31/2025-2.5%6.0%12.0%
5/1/2025-3.7%-7.4%-5.3%
1/30/2025-0.7%-1.8%0.3%
10/31/2024-1.3%0.7%6.2%
8/1/20240.7%-2.3%5.0%
5/2/20246.0%6.7%12.3%
2/1/2024-0.5%0.8%-6.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91416
# Negative15108
Median Positive4.7%3.3%5.4%
Median Negative-1.6%-4.1%-6.1%
Max Positive10.5%18.4%30.0%
Max Negative-5.6%-7.4%-14.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-K 9/27/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024131202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241101202410-K 9/28/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023202202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231103202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023505202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022203202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-K 9/24/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021128202210-Q 12/25/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KONDO CHRISPrincipal Accounting Officer11122025Sell271.233,7521,017,6554,095,031Form

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET