Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 3.2 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 3.2 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AEE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Performance. Ameren reported robust adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.17 for the third quarter of 2025, a significant increase from $1.87 in the same period of 2024, surpassing analyst expectations. This growth was attributed to increased infrastructure investments, new electric service rates in Ameren Missouri, and higher retail sales driven by warmer July weather. 2. Raised Earnings Guidance and Solid Long-Term Growth Outlook. Management increased its adjusted EPS guidance for 2025 to a range of $4.90 to $5.10 and set the diluted EPS guidance for 2026 between $5.25 and $5.45. The company anticipates a 6% to 8% compound annual earnings growth rate from 2025 through 2029, reflecting confidence in its sustained financial performance. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AEE Return4%17%3%-16%27%20%61%
Peers Return0%10%1%-10%20%15%39%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AEE Win Rate50%50%50%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate55%52%58%53%55%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AEE Max Drawdown-20%-10%-14%-18%-6%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-9%-15%-22%-8%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SRE, DTE, PNW, NEE, D. See AEE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAEES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-27.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven508 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven504 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven190 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2909 days1480 days

Compare to SRE, DTE, PNW, NEE, D


In The Past

Ameren's stock fell -27.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -27.8% loss requires a 38.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ameren (AEE)

Better Bets than Ameren (AEE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AEE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.2%8.2%-3.2%
VST_5312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312025VSTVistraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.6%6.6%0.0%
AEE_8312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312023AEEAmerenMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.7%7.8%-12.9%
AEE_2282023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282023AEEAmerenMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.1%-10.8%-15.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.2%8.2%-3.2%
VST_5312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312025VSTVistraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.6%6.6%0.0%
AEE_8312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312023AEEAmerenMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.7%7.8%-12.9%
AEE_2282023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282023AEEAmerenMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.1%-10.8%-15.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ameren

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AEESREDTEPNWNEEDMedian
NameAmeren Sempra DTE Ener.Pinnacle.NextEra .Dominion. 
Mkt Price106.0293.79136.7890.5985.5462.5492.19
Mkt Cap28.761.228.310.8176.653.341.0
Rev LTM8,95813,71114,8225,30726,29815,22714,266
Op Inc LTM1,8643,0862,4101,0317,4044,5282,748
FCF LTM-1,248-6,210-868-7193,073-8,071-1,058
FCF 3Y Avg-1,284-4,947-886-7092,421-5,691-1,085
CFO LTM3,2144,8073,4451,76811,9674,6094,027
CFO 3Y Avg2,7964,0523,2631,45211,8475,6773,657

Growth & Margins

AEESREDTEPNWNEEDMedian
NameAmeren Sempra DTE Ener.Pinnacle.NextEra .Dominion. 
Rev Chg LTM22.7%6.1%19.4%5.7%0.2%5.3%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.0%-1.3%-6.5%8.9%11.4%7.5%7.3%
Rev Chg Q24.2%13.5%21.4%2.9%5.3%9.3%11.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.2%2.8%4.4%1.0%1.5%2.2%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM20.8%22.5%16.3%19.4%28.2%29.7%21.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.8%21.0%16.5%18.8%31.5%27.0%20.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.5%-0.3%0.4%0.5%-1.4%1.2%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM35.9%35.1%23.2%33.3%45.5%30.3%34.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.6%27.8%24.0%28.7%44.6%38.4%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-13.9%-45.3%-5.9%-13.5%11.7%-53.0%-13.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-16.2%-35.6%-6.5%-14.2%9.3%-38.2%-15.2%

Valuation

AEESREDTEPNWNEEDMedian
NameAmeren Sempra DTE Ener.Pinnacle.NextEra .Dominion. 
Mkt Cap28.761.228.310.8176.653.341.0
P/S3.24.51.92.06.73.53.4
P/EBIT12.818.511.79.723.510.412.2
P/E20.328.320.418.227.223.421.9
P/CFO8.912.78.26.114.811.610.2
Total Yield7.6%5.6%7.9%9.3%6.3%8.5%7.7%
Dividend Yield2.6%2.1%3.0%3.8%2.6%4.2%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.4%-9.4%-3.6%-7.4%1.3%-12.2%-6.4%
D/E0.70.50.91.30.50.90.8
Net D/E0.70.50.91.30.50.90.8

Returns

AEESREDTEPNWNEEDMedian
NameAmeren Sempra DTE Ener.Pinnacle.NextEra .Dominion. 
1M Rtn1.2%0.7%-3.4%-1.3%0.1%2.9%0.4%
3M Rtn5.8%14.8%-0.4%1.2%17.5%4.8%5.3%
6M Rtn12.9%23.0%3.0%2.6%30.2%14.6%13.7%
12M Rtn15.8%3.8%12.7%0.5%13.8%10.8%11.8%
3Y Rtn31.1%26.4%32.1%34.9%9.4%18.0%28.7%
1M Excs Rtn3.7%2.5%-0.9%1.0%4.2%6.0%3.1%
3M Excs Rtn2.3%11.2%-3.8%-2.3%14.7%1.0%1.6%
6M Excs Rtn-3.4%7.0%-13.2%-13.5%11.6%-2.3%-2.8%
12M Excs Rtn2.2%-11.4%-0.6%-12.7%1.9%-1.4%-1.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-38.3%-42.4%-38.3%-35.3%-60.3%-50.5%-40.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ameren Missouri3,8594,0463,3533,1093,243
Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution2,2182,2561,6391,4981,504
Ameren Illinois Natural Gas8971,180957760797
Ameren Transmission677615562523464
Other00000
Intersegment Eliminations-151-140-117-96-98
Total7,5007,9576,3945,7945,910


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ameren Missouri545562518436426
Ameren Transmission296263230216185
Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution258202165143146
Ameren Illinois Natural Gas1341231089984
Intersegment Eliminations00000
Other-81-76-31-23-13
Total1,1521,074990871828


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,470,697
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.5%
Average Daily Volume1,734,856
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.88
Basic Shares Quantity270,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20250.7%4.4% 
7/31/20251.0%1.2%-1.3%
5/1/20251.4%-0.4%-1.0%
2/13/2025-0.2%0.3%3.2%
11/6/2024-1.4%4.1%4.6%
8/1/20241.6%-1.3%1.5%
5/2/2024-1.5%-0.6%-2.0%
2/22/20241.1%0.5%2.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121313
# Negative121111
Median Positive0.9%1.8%2.3%
Median Negative-1.5%-1.0%-2.3%
Max Positive2.0%5.1%8.6%
Max Negative-2.9%-4.0%-18.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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