Western Union (WU)
Market Price (10/27/2025): $8.9 | Market Cap: $2.9 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Western Union (WU)
Market Price (10/27/2025): $8.9Market Cap: $2.9 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 41%, Dividend Yield is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 37%, FCF Yield is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.8% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 41%, Dividend Yield is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 37%, FCF Yield is 13% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.8% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
WU Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WU Return | -15% | -15% | -18% | -6% | -4% | -8% | -55% |
| Peers Return | 30% | 2% | -16% | 19% | 40% | -3% | 81% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WU Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 42% | 22% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 55% | 40% | 60% | 67% | 51% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WU Max Drawdown | -34% | -26% | -27% | -25% | -6% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -14% | -27% | -7% | -3% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: V, MA, AXP, PYPL, FI. See WU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 155.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 255 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 171.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to V, MA, AXP, PYPL, FI
In The Past
Western Union's stock fell -60.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/29/2021. A -60.8% loss requires a 155.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Western Union Earnings Notes | |||
| Western Union Stock Rallied 10% - Have You Assessed the Risk | Return | ||
| Western Union vs Interactive Brokers: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Better Bet Than WU Stock: Pay Less Than Western Union To Get More From CHTR, IBKR | |||
| Better Bet Than WU Stock: Pay Less Than Western Union To Get More From IBKR, JEF | |||
| Western Union (WU) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Western Union (WU) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Western Union (WU) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Western Union (WU) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Western Union (WU) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | July 19th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | July 18th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09302025 | HLNE | Hamilton Lane | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.9% | -11.9% | -12.7% |
| 09302025 | CNS | Cohen & Steers | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.7% | 8.7% | -1.6% |
| 09262025 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.3% | 4.3% | -2.1% |
| 09192025 | FDS | FactSet Research Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -4.9% |
| 09052025 | IBKR | Interactive Brokers | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| 10312023 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 23.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| 04302022 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.4% | -30.1% | -35.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09302025 | HLNE | Hamilton Lane | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.9% | -11.9% | -12.7% |
| 09302025 | CNS | Cohen & Steers | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.7% | 8.7% | -1.6% |
| 09262025 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.3% | 4.3% | -2.1% |
| 09192025 | FDS | FactSet Research Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -4.9% |
| 09052025 | IBKR | Interactive Brokers | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| 10312023 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 23.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| 04302022 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.4% | -30.1% | -35.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Western Union
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 236.28 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.2 |
| Rev LTM | 30,680 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,344 |
| FCF LTM | 9,804 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,460 |
| CFO LTM | 11,130 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 9,375 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 30.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 158.2 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/EBIT | 11.2 |
| P/E | 21.9 |
| P/CFO | 11.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 50.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -23.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Money Transfer | 4,005 | 3,994 | 4,394 | 4,220 | 4,408 |
| Consumer Services | 322 | 285 | 255 | 259 | 496 |
| Business Solutions | 30 | 197 | 422 | 356 | 389 |
| Total | 4,357 | 4,476 | 5,071 | 4,835 | 5,292 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Money Transfer | 751 | 765 | 978 | 925 | 975 |
| Consumer Services | 92 | 101 | 50 | 55 | 27 |
| Business Solutions | 4 | 58 | 96 | 24 | 47 |
| Redeployment program costs | -30 | -22 | 0 | ||
| Business Solutions exit costs | -8 | 0 | |||
| Russia/Belarus exit costs | -10 | 0 | |||
| Acquisition, separation, and integration costs | -37 | -116 | |||
| Total | 818 | 885 | 1,123 | 967 | 934 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/23/2025 | 10.2% | ||
| 7/28/2025 | -4.1% | -4.9% | 1.7% |
| 4/23/2025 | 0.7% | -2.0% | -4.7% |
| 2/4/2025 | 6.1% | -1.2% | 6.6% |
| 10/23/2024 | -3.4% | -6.5% | -6.0% |
| 7/30/2024 | -8.3% | -11.3% | -6.6% |
| 4/24/2024 | -2.2% | -3.7% | -5.9% |
| 2/6/2024 | -5.6% | 0.6% | 12.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 14 | 18 | 17 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 2.3% | 7.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.6% | -3.7% | -5.9% |
| Max Positive | 10.2% | 15.5% | 21.4% |
| Max Negative | -12.6% | -11.8% | -26.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 7282025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4232025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10232024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4242024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10252023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11022021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |