Tearsheet

Wells Fargo (WFC)


Market Price (11/12/2025): $86.44 | Market Cap: $275.1 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks

Wells Fargo (WFC)


Market Price (11/12/2025): $86.44
Market Cap: $275.1 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -61%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -61%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

WFC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Wells Fargo (WFC) experienced an 8.1% stock movement from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 12, 2025, driven by several key factors:

1. Lifting of the Asset Cap: The Federal Reserve removed the $1.95 trillion asset cap in June 2025, which had been in place since 2018. This significant regulatory change unlocked growth opportunities, allowing Wells Fargo to expand its loan book, increase deposits, and boost fee-based revenues.

2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: The company reported robust third-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations. Earnings per share (EPS) reached $1.66 against a forecast of $1.55, and revenue hit $21.43 billion, surpassing the expected $21.14 billion. Net income for Q3 2025 rose by 9% year-over-year to $5.6 billion, and non-interest income also increased by 9%. This strong performance led to a notable surge in the stock price following the announcement on October 14, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WFC Return-42%61%-12%23%46%25%87%
Peers Return-3%30%-18%15%35%29%107%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WFC Win Rate25%67%50%67%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate55%62%42%50%62%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WFC Max Drawdown-59%-2%-21%-12%-6%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-4%-30%-18%-6%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, MS, C, USB. See WFC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/11/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWFCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven392 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven435 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2144 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven390.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1534 days1480 days

Compare to JPM, BAC, MS, C, USB


In The Past

Wells Fargo's stock fell -38.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -38.7% loss requires a 63.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Wells Fargo (WFC)

Better Bets than Wells Fargo (WFC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WFC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.4%0.4%-4.2%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.6%11.6%0.0%
EEFT_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025EEFTEuronet WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-5.6%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-2.7%
APO_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025APOApollo Asset ManagementDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.4%0.4%-4.2%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.6%11.6%0.0%
EEFT_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025EEFTEuronet WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-5.6%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-2.7%
APO_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025APOApollo Asset ManagementDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Wells Fargo

Financials

WFCJPMBACMSCUSBMedian
NameWells Fa.JPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
Mkt Price86.19315.6253.63166.50100.7647.6293.47
Mkt Cap274.3871.9400.4261.6183.474.1267.9
Rev LTM82,532179,430107,26464,24785,24428,18283,888
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-14,218-119,74861,472-6,747-75,9689,900-10,482
FCF 3Y Avg9,172-65,10734,244-23,827-64,79910,581-7,328
CFO LTM-14,218-119,74861,472-3,679-69,3919,900-8,948
CFO 3Y Avg9,172-65,10734,244-20,550-58,15310,581-5,689

Growth & Margins

WFCJPMBACMSCUSBMedian
NameWells Fa.JPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
Rev Chg LTM0.2%8.6%8.9%17.6%8.4%4.0%8.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.9%13.4%5.2%7.6%5.0%6.5%5.9%
Rev Chg Q5.3%8.8%10.8%19.1%9.6%6.8%9.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%2.1%2.6%4.5%2.3%1.7%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-17.2%-66.7%57.3%-5.7%-81.4%35.1%-11.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.2%-36.4%32.7%-38.8%-72.0%38.2%-12.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-17.2%-66.7%57.3%-10.5%-89.1%35.1%-13.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.2%-36.4%32.7%-44.6%-80.3%38.2%-12.6%

Valuation

WFCJPMBACMSCUSBMedian
NameWells Fa.JPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
Mkt Cap274.3871.9400.4261.6183.474.1267.9
P/S3.34.93.74.12.22.63.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E13.015.013.516.212.510.313.3
P/CFO-19.3-7.36.5-71.1-2.67.5-5.0
Total Yield9.6%6.7%7.4%6.2%8.0%13.9%7.7%
Dividend Yield2.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.9%-7.5%11.7%-15.6%-55.7%17.3%-0.3%
D/E0.80.60.91.32.01.11.0
Net D/E-0.6-0.3-0.71.0-1.2-1.0-0.7

Returns

WFCJPMBACMSCUSBMedian
NameWells Fa.JPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
1M Rtn11.6%4.9%10.2%10.3%7.9%5.2%9.1%
3M Rtn9.0%8.3%13.5%13.7%5.9%5.2%8.7%
6M Rtn14.7%21.2%22.5%30.4%35.0%9.7%21.8%
12M Rtn21.4%34.7%19.1%28.2%48.4%-2.5%24.8%
3Y Rtn96.0%151.2%51.2%103.0%123.9%22.5%99.5%
1M Excs Rtn6.9%-0.4%6.9%5.1%2.6%0.3%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn5.4%3.3%8.3%7.5%1.2%-2.6%4.3%
6M Excs Rtn-1.6%4.9%6.2%14.1%18.7%-6.6%5.5%
12M Excs Rtn12.2%21.7%8.0%18.6%37.4%-14.2%15.4%
3Y Excs Rtn17.9%78.5%-23.8%35.6%67.4%-53.1%26.7%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate641,455601,218721,335728,667608,712
Corporate and Investment Banking557,642550,177546,549508,518538,383
Consumer Banking and Lending376,151387,710378,620420,995448,971
Commercial Banking245,159250,198210,810206,953244,984
Wealth and Investment Management88,85491,71790,75487,77886,505
Reconciling Items00   
Total1,909,2611,881,0201,948,0681,952,9111,927,555


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity30,037,679
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-6.0%
Average Daily Volume16,287,605
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.84
Basic Shares Quantity3,182,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/14/20257.1%9.0% 
7/15/2025-5.5%-3.8%-4.2%
4/11/2025-1.0%2.5%19.3%
1/15/20256.7%8.9%11.3%
10/11/20245.6%11.5%22.0%
7/12/2024-6.0%-1.5%-11.6%
4/12/2024-0.4%3.6%9.8%
1/12/2024-3.3%-1.9%0.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101416
# Negative14108
Median Positive4.8%6.0%10.8%
Median Negative-4.2%-4.0%-7.3%
Max Positive7.1%11.7%22.0%
Max Negative-7.8%-11.9%-22.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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