Wendy's (WEN)
Market Price (5/6/2026): $6.6 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Wendy's (WEN)
Market Price (5/6/2026): $6.6Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 23%, Dividend Yield is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%, FCF Yield is 19% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Last-Mile Delivery. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 306% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5% Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23% Key risksWEN key risks include [1] challenges related to its predominantly franchised business model, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 23%, Dividend Yield is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%, FCF Yield is 19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Last-Mile Delivery. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 306% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23% |
| Key risksWEN key risks include [1] challenges related to its predominantly franchised business model, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Disappointing Q4 2025 Revenue and U.S. Same-Restaurant Sales Decline.
Wendy's reported its Q4 2025 earnings on February 13, 2026, which showed a mixed performance. While adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.16 surpassed analyst estimates of $0.14 by 14.29%, quarterly revenue decreased by 5.5% year-over-year to $543 million, narrowly beating analyst consensus of $541.3 million. More significantly, global systemwide sales for the fourth quarter declined by 8.3%, and U.S. same-restaurant sales plunged 11.3%. This decline in top-line sales, coupled with a 380 basis point contraction in operating margins to 12.7%, created investor concern, leading to an approximate 6.2% drop in the stock price in pre-market trading following the report.
2. Weak 2026 Financial Outlook and Subsequent Analyst Downgrades.
The company's guidance for fiscal year 2026 projected a significant decrease in profitability, with adjusted EPS guidance of $0.56 to $0.60, a notable drop from $0.88 per share in 2025. The adjusted EBITDA guidance for FY 2026, at a midpoint of $470 million, also fell below analyst expectations of $516.8 million. This cautious outlook led to a series of analyst downgrades and price target reductions for WEN stock. For instance, Citigroup lowered its price target from $8.00 to $7.25 on April 24, 2026, and Barclays reduced its target from $9.00 to $8.00 on February 17, 2026. The average price target has been revised downward by 16.87% in the past three months.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.6% change in WEN stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.65 | 6.61 | -13.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,208 | 2,177 | -1.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.4% | 7.6% | -10.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.8 | 7.6 | -2.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 191 | 190 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.6% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WEN | -13.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 14.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.4% | 22.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -19.8% change in WEN stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.24 | 6.61 | -19.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,225 | 2,177 | -2.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.6% | 7.6% | -12.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.2 | 7.6 | -7.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 192 | 190 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -19.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WEN | -19.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 12.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.2% | 24.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -43.8% change in WEN stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.76 | 6.61 | -43.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,246 | 2,177 | -3.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.7% | 7.6% | -12.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.3 | 7.6 | -38.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 204 | 190 | 7.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -43.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WEN | -43.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 16.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 20.7% | 28.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -64.5% change in WEN stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -65.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.63 | 6.61 | -64.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,096 | 2,177 | 3.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.5% | 7.6% | -10.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.4 | 7.6 | -65.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 213 | 190 | 11.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -64.5% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WEN | -64.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 24.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 63.7% | 27.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WEN Return | 11% | -3% | -10% | -11% | -46% | -20% | -63% |
| Peers Return | 27% | -11% | 26% | 5% | -1% | -4% | 43% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 92% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WEN Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 43% | 57% | 52% | 47% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 40% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WEN Max Drawdown | -11% | -32% | -16% | -16% | -50% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -28% | -7% | -8% | -15% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MCD, QSR, YUM, CMG, DPZ. See WEN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/5/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WEN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -12.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 370 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 215 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -67.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 210.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -12.5% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.3% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -14.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -19.9% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 88 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Wendy's's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | WEN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 215 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -67.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 210.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 140 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.4% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 366 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.4% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 197.6% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1745 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -22.1% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.4% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3386 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Wendy's's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Wendy's (WEN)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Wendy's:
- Like a McDonald's or Burger King, but known for its fresh, never-frozen beef hamburgers.
- Similar to McDonald's, it's a global fast-food company primarily operating through franchised hamburger restaurants.
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- Quick-Service Restaurant Food Items: Wendy's offers a menu of ready-to-eat food and beverage items, primarily specializing in hamburger sandwiches, for direct sale to consumers.
- Franchise Operations & Support: The company provides opportunities and support for independent operators to develop and run Wendy's restaurants under its brand and system.
- Real Estate Leasing: Wendy's owns and leases properties that are subsequently leased or subleased to its franchisees for their restaurant locations.
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Wendy's (WEN) primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its network of company-operated and franchised restaurants. Its major customer categories include:
- Families and Casual Diners: Individuals and groups, including families, who are looking for convenient, affordable, and quick meal solutions for various dining occasions, often attracted by family-friendly options and value.
- On-the-Go Consumers: Customers, such as office workers, commuters, and travelers, who prioritize speed, convenience, and accessibility for a quick meal during busy schedules, often utilizing drive-thru services or mobile ordering.
- Younger Demographics and Value Seekers: Teenagers, young adults, and other price-conscious individuals who are often drawn to value menus, promotional offers, late-night options, and engage with the brand through digital platforms.
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- Coca-Cola (KO)
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Ken Cook, Interim Chief Executive Officer & Chief Financial Officer
Ken Cook was appointed Interim Chief Executive Officer of The Wendy's Company in July 2025, following Kirk Tanner's departure to The Hershey Company. He has also served as Chief Financial Officer since December 2024. Prior to his time at Wendy's, Mr. Cook spent 20 years at United Parcel Service (UPS), holding various finance roles including Head of Financial Planning and Analysis and CFO for the U.S. Domestic segment. He is credited with playing a significant role in developing Wendy's long-term growth strategy.
Liliana M. Esposito, Chief Corporate Affairs & Sustainability Officer
Liliana M. Esposito joined The Wendy's Company in June 2014 and has served as Chief Corporate Affairs & Sustainability Officer since February 2021. In this role, she is responsible for communications, quality assurance, customer care, public affairs, and corporate responsibility. Previously, she served as Wendy's Chief Communications Officer from June 2014 to February 2021. Before joining Wendy's, Ms. Esposito was the Vice President of Corporate Communications and Public Affairs at Dean Foods. Her experience also includes serving as Public Affairs Manager with Mars, Incorporated and working as a public relations consultant for eight years in New York City. She serves on the board of trustees of the Mid-Ohio Food Collective and is the President of The Wendy's Foundation.
John Min, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
John Min joined Wendy's in September 2024 as Chief Legal Officer and Secretary. In this position, he is responsible for guiding the company's global legal strategy and operations. Mr. Min brought a wealth of experience from his 14-year tenure at Kellanova and its predecessor, Kellogg Company, where he served as Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, and Secretary. He also held roles as General Counsel in Europe and for the Asia Pacific, Middle East, and Africa region at Kellogg/Kellanova. Before his time at Kellogg/Kellanova, Mr. Min practiced law at Jenner & Block LLP and Jones Day. He holds a law degree from the University of Chicago Law School and a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from the University of Chicago.
M. Coley O'Brien, Chief People Officer
Coley O'Brien has served as Wendy's Chief People Officer since March 2018. He joined Wendy's in 2007 as National Director of Operations Training and was promoted to Vice President of Training in 2011, and Vice President of Human Resources and Field Capability in 2013. Mr. O'Brien is focused on company culture, talent development, and inclusion efforts, and he established the "Top General Manager" program at Wendy's. Before joining Wendy's, he worked at Sears Holdings Corporation for five years as Director of Retail Training. He began his business career with Arthur Andersen LLP as a Senior Consultant. Mr. O'Brien holds a Bachelor of Science in Education and a Master's in Instructional Systems Technology from Indiana University.
Lindsay Radkoski, Chief Marketing Officer, U.S.
Lindsay Radkoski joined The Wendy's Company Senior Leadership team in May 2024 and has served as Chief Marketing Officer, U.S., since March 2023. In this role, she directs all marketing efforts for the U.S. business and oversees Global Marketing Centers of Excellence, including Culinary Innovation, Digital Marketing, Customer Experience, Creative Strategy & Storytelling, and Partnerships and Social. Ms. Radkoski joined Wendy's in 2011 as Manager, Investor Relations, and advanced through various roles in Finance and Marketing, including Vice President, National Marketing. She co-founded Wendy's first employee resource group, "Women of Wendy's," in 2014. She has received industry recognition, including the Women's Foodservice Forum "Change Maker" award in 2019, QSR Magazine's "Young Restaurant Leader to Watch," and was an Ad Age 40 Under 40 honoree in 2023. Ms. Radkoski holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Marketing and Finance from The Ohio State University's Fisher College of Business.
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Here are the key risks to The Wendy's Company (WEN):
- Consumer Spending Softness and Intense Competition: Wendy's is significantly impacted by economic pressures, particularly affecting lower-income consumers who are reducing discretionary spending on dining out and opting for more budget-friendly alternatives. This trend has led to declines in U.S. comparable sales and reduced customer traffic. The highly competitive quick-service restaurant industry further exacerbates this risk, with major rivals like McDonald's and Burger King constantly vying for market share through aggressive marketing and value offerings.
- Rising Operating Costs: The company faces persistent challenges from increasing commodity costs, such as beef, and higher labor expenses. These inflationary pressures squeeze profit margins for both company-operated restaurants and franchisees, impacting overall profitability despite efforts to implement price increases.
- Franchise Model Risks: Wendy's predominantly franchised business model, while asset-light, introduces risks tied to the performance and financial health of its franchisees. The ability to identify, attract, and retain qualified franchisees is crucial. The financial well-being of franchisees and their capacity to meet their commitments are vital to the brand's success and its plans for expansion and development.
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The addressable markets for Wendy's main products and services are primarily within the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) and Fast Food industry, with a significant focus on hamburger sandwiches.For the global Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) market, the size was valued at approximately USD 1.06 trillion in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 2.46 trillion by 2035. Another estimate placed the global quick service restaurants market size at USD 1.055 trillion in 2025, with projections to grow to USD 2.31 trillion by 2034.
Specifically for the global market for burgers and sandwiches, this segment accounted for a significant portion of the fast-food market. In 2025, the burgers/sandwich segment held between 43% and 51.2% of the global fast food market revenue share. Based on a 2025 global QSR market size of approximately USD 1.06 trillion, the addressable market for hamburger sandwiches globally is estimated to be between USD 455.8 billion and USD 542.7 billion.
In the U.S. Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) market, the market was valued at USD 447.20 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 789.65 billion by 2031. Another estimate indicated the U.S. fast food market was valued at USD 360 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 522 billion by 2033.
For the U.S. market for hamburgers, this product segment held a substantial share of the U.S. fast food and quick service restaurants market. In 2024, the hamburger segment accounted for a market share of between 38.96% and 42.0%. Using the 2025 U.S. QSR market size of USD 447.20 billion, the addressable market for hamburgers in the U.S. is estimated to be between approximately USD 174.2 billion and USD 187.8 billion.
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Wendy's (WEN) is focusing on several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, as outlined in recent investor communications and earnings reports:
- Accelerated Global Unit Growth: Wendy's plans to significantly expand its restaurant footprint, aiming to add 1,000 net new restaurants globally by 2028. Approximately 70% of this expansion is targeted for international markets, including entry into new countries and scaling in existing stronghold markets. The company expects to achieve 3-4% annual net unit growth.
- Enhanced Technology and Digital Integration: The company is investing in technology to create a seamless customer experience and drive digital sales. Initiatives include improving the Wendy's mobile app, expanding its loyalty program, rolling out digital menu boards, and implementing FreshAI automated ordering technology. These efforts contributed to a U.S. digital mix reaching an all-time high of 20.6% in the fourth quarter of 2025.
- Menu Innovation and Core Product Development: Wendy's is committed to "Doubling Down on Fresh, Famous Food" by updating core menu items, introducing impactful innovations, and expanding into high-opportunity market segments. This strategy includes emphasizing its fresh, never-frozen beef, growing its chicken offerings, and launching new products and collaborations, such as Frosty Fusions™ and partnerships with brands like Takis®. The company has also introduced a permanent tiered value platform called "Biggie Deals."
- Operational Excellence and Improved Customer Experience: As a core pillar of its "Project Fresh" initiative, Wendy's is intensifying its focus on operational execution to deliver a consistently high-quality customer experience. This involves prioritizing convenience, elevating hospitality, and ensuring consistency across its global system, both in-restaurant and through digital channels.
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The following summarizes Wendy's capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:Share Repurchases
- In January 2023, Wendy's announced a new share repurchase authorization of $500 million, set to expire in February 2027.
- The company repurchased 14.4 million shares for approximately $200 million in 2025.
- As of February 13, 2026, approximately $35 million remained available under the existing share repurchase authorization.
Capital Expenditures
- For 2025, capital expenditures were projected to be between $100 million and $110 million, with $70 million specifically allocated to the build-to-suit program to accelerate new unit development.
- Actual capital expenditures for 2025 included $52.4 million for technology initiatives, such as digital menu boards and app/digital enhancements, and $69.6 million for restaurant development.
- In 2023, over $53 million was allocated to digital initiatives, including AI-powered ordering systems, self-service kiosks, and mobile app enhancements. For 2026, capital expenditures and franchise development fund investments are projected to be $120 million to $130 million.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Time To Buy Wendy's Stock? | 03/05/2026 | |
| Can Wendy's Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | 03/05/2026 | |
| Where Does Wendy's Stock Rank Among Competitors? | 02/19/2026 | |
| Wendy's Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Wendy's (WEN) Debt Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| Wendy's (WEN) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| Wendy's (WEN) Net Income Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| Wendy's (WEN) EBITDA Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| Wendy's (WEN) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| Wendy's (WEN) Operating Income Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 05/02/2026 | |
| Wendy’s Stock To $5? | 03/05/2026 | |
| Would You Still Hold Wendy’s Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | 03/05/2026 | |
| Is Wendy’s Stock Outperforming Its Rivals? | 02/19/2026 | |
| Big Decline for ACI, but Do WEN’s Margins and Growth Give It the Edge? | 07/16/2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to WEN.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04242026 | MGM | MGM Resorts International | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 04242026 | WEN | Wendy's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -2.5% | -2.5% | -5.3% |
| 04102026 | WHR | Whirlpool | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -0.8% | -0.8% | -4.8% |
| 04022026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | -1.2% |
| 04302025 | WEN | Wendy's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -29.2% | -40.8% | -43.0% |
| 04302022 | WEN | Wendy's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 15.3% | -18.7% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 117.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 34.7 |
| Rev LTM | 8,824 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,215 |
| FCF LTM | 1,478 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,379 |
| CFO LTM | 1,862 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,640 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 4.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 34.7 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/Op Inc | 14.0 |
| P/EBIT | 14.3 |
| P/E | 25.6 |
| P/CFO | 17.5 |
| Total Yield | 6.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -18.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 7.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -15.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -16.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -46.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -67.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $6.61 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/17/1992 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -44.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.05 | $8.28 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -6.2% | -20.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 51.7% | 39.5% |
| Downside Capture | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| Upside Capture | -5.97 | -4.88 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 14.4% | 15.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.08 | 0.36 | 0.49 | 0.44 | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| Up Beta | 1.37 | 1.38 | 0.97 | 0.39 | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| Down Beta | -1.05 | -0.19 | 0.95 | 0.38 | 0.82 | 0.60 |
| Up Capture | 34% | -19% | -10% | 17% | -3% | 4% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 19 | 28 | 53 | 106 | 342 |
| Down Capture | 238% | 36% | 48% | 76% | 87% | 86% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 24 | 36 | 72 | 145 | 403 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with WEN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEN | -44.2% | 39.5% | -1.38 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 18.2% | 18.7% | 0.76 | 28.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 27.8% | 12.5% | 1.73 | 16.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 40.6% | 27.2% | 1.23 | -1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.1% | 18.0% | 2.16 | -1.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.4% | 0.53 | 23.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.3% | 42.2% | -0.34 | -3.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with WEN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEN | -18.0% | 31.9% | -0.58 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.7% | 23.8% | 0.24 | 34.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 33.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.2% | 17.9% | 0.92 | 1.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.0% | 19.1% | 0.60 | 5.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 33.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.9% | 56.2% | 0.35 | 9.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with WEN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEN | -1.9% | 36.7% | 0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.7% | 22.0% | 0.53 | 43.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 41.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.6% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 15.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 42.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 10.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/13/2026 | 2.9% | 11.3% | -1.4% |
| 11/7/2025 | 1.6% | -1.4% | -6.0% |
| 8/8/2025 | 1.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| 5/2/2025 | 0.5% | -3.0% | -6.1% |
| 2/13/2025 | 3.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% |
| 10/31/2024 | -5.9% | 0.4% | -9.6% |
| 8/1/2024 | 0.2% | 0.2% | -1.7% |
| 5/2/2024 | 1.5% | -1.2% | -11.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 8 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.9% |
| Median Negative | -3.8% | -2.1% | -5.0% |
| Max Positive | 7.4% | 11.3% | 16.9% |
| Max Negative | -11.2% | -7.4% | -11.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/23/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/13/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Global systemwide sales growth | 0.0% | -1 | Raised | Guidance: -4.0% for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 460.00 Mil | 470.00 Mil | 480.00 Mil | -8.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 515.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted earnings per share | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.6 | -32.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 0.85 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital expenditures and franchise development fund investments | 120.00 Mil | 125.00 Mil | 130.00 Mil | -10.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 140.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Free cash flow | 190.00 Mil | 197.50 Mil | 205.00 Mil | -2.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 202.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/7/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Global systemwide sales growth | -5.0% | -4.0% | -3.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: -4.0% for 2025 |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 505.00 Mil | 515.00 Mil | 525.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 515.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted earnings per share | 0.82 | 0.85 | 0.89 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.85 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Global net new unit growth | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.5% for 2025 |
| 2025 Capital expenditures and franchise development fund investments | 135.00 Mil | 140.00 Mil | 145.00 Mil | -17.6% | Lowered | Guidance: 170.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Free cash flow | 195.00 Mil | 202.50 Mil | 210.00 Mil | 20.9% | Raised | Guidance: 167.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suerken, Peter J JR | President, U.S. | Direct | Buy | 11212025 | 7.88 | 500 | 3,940 | 9,484 | Form |
| 2 | Min, John | Chief Legal Ofcr & Secretary | Direct | Buy | 11212025 | 8.18 | 1,700 | 13,906 | 24,580 | Form |
| 3 | Radkoski, Lindsay J | CMO, U.S. | Direct | Buy | 6032025 | 11.68 | 5,050 | 58,984 | 338,206 | Form |
| 4 | Cook, Kenneth M | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 5272025 | 11.35 | 1,500 | 17,025 | 17,025 | Form |
| 5 | O'Brien, Matthew Coley | Chief People Officer | Direct | Buy | 5232025 | 11.60 | 1,750 | 20,300 | 992,519 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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