Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.7%

Key risks
W key risks include [1] its ongoing inability to achieve sustained profitability due to significant marketing and fulfillment costs, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
3 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.7%
4 Key risks
W key risks include [1] its ongoing inability to achieve sustained profitability due to significant marketing and fulfillment costs, Show more.

W in ETFs

Weight = W's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
VB0.09%
SCHA0.21%
VBK0.21%
SCHM0.19%
DFAS0.13%
+10 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/8/2026

Wayfair (W) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance and Positive Guidance: Wayfair reported better-than-expected revenue of $2.9 billion for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), marking a 7.4% year-over-year increase and surpassing analyst estimates of $2.89 billion. The company achieved its best fiscal Q1 Adjusted EBITDA margin in five years at 5.2% and reported a return to active customer growth, with an increase of 1.4% year-over-year to 21.4 million. Management further guided for mid-single-digit revenue growth and an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 6%-7% for fiscal Q2 2026.

2. Multiple Analyst Upgrades and Positive Price Targets: Several prominent financial institutions issued bullish ratings and increased price targets for Wayfair. Evercore ISI raised its price target to $100 from $80 on June 23, 2026, citing favorable online retail trends. Piper Sandler reiterated an "Overweight" rating with a $115 price target, projecting approximately 20% annual sales growth driven by physical store expansion. Additionally, Zacks upgraded Wayfair to a "Strong Buy" rating.

Show more
Updated on 7/8/2026

Wayfair (W) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance and Positive Guidance: Wayfair reported better-than-expected revenue of $2.9 billion for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), marking a 7.4% year-over-year increase and surpassing analyst estimates of $2.89 billion. The company achieved its best fiscal Q1 Adjusted EBITDA margin in five years at 5.2% and reported a return to active customer growth, with an increase of 1.4% year-over-year to 21.4 million. Management further guided for mid-single-digit revenue growth and an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 6%-7% for fiscal Q2 2026.

2. Multiple Analyst Upgrades and Positive Price Targets: Several prominent financial institutions issued bullish ratings and increased price targets for Wayfair. Evercore ISI raised its price target to $100 from $80 on June 23, 2026, citing favorable online retail trends. Piper Sandler reiterated an "Overweight" rating with a $115 price target, projecting approximately 20% annual sales growth driven by physical store expansion. Additionally, Zacks upgraded Wayfair to a "Strong Buy" rating.

3. Strategic Omnichannel Expansion, AI Integration, and Credit Rating Upgrade: Wayfair's commitment to an omnichannel strategy was reinforced by the announcement of a new 135,000-square-foot large-format store in Princeton, New Jersey. Concurrently, UBS research highlighted Wayfair as a retailer well-positioned to leverage artificial intelligence (AI) for enhanced demand generation and marketing efficiency. Further bolstering investor confidence, Fitch Ratings upgraded Wayfair's Long-Term Issuer Default Ratings to 'BB-' from 'B' on May 13, 2026, citing progress in market share gains and profitability, which are expected to lead to accelerated free cash flow generation.

4. Significant Insider Buying Activity: Jon Blotner, President, Commercial & Operations at Wayfair, executed a substantial purchase of Wayfair stock valued at $5.87 million on May 1, 2026. This insider buying activity, exceeding the USD 5 million threshold, likely signaled strong internal confidence in the company's future performance and strategic direction to investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.6% change in W stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267102026Change
Stock Price ($)75.2189.2318.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,45712,6581.6%
P/S Multiple0.80.919.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)128131-2.3%
Cumulative Contribution18.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
W18.6% 
Market (SPY)16.1%47.5%
Sector (XLY)7.6%61.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.1% change in W stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257102026Change
Stock Price ($)100.4189.23-11.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,24112,6583.4%
P/S Multiple1.10.9-13.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)130131-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution-11.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
W-11.1% 
Market (SPY)11.0%55.8%
Sector (XLY)-1.6%62.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 74.5% change in W stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 68.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257102026Change
Stock Price ($)51.1489.2374.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,85212,6586.8%
P/S Multiple0.50.968.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)127131-3.1%
Cumulative Contribution74.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
W74.5% 
Market (SPY)23.2%48.4%
Sector (XLY)8.5%50.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 37.3% change in W stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237102026Change
Stock Price ($)65.0189.2337.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,99912,6585.5%
P/S Multiple0.60.954.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)110131-16.0%
Cumulative Contribution37.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
W37.3% 
Market (SPY)76.3%55.4%
Sector (XLY)41.2%58.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
W Return-16%-83%88%-28%127%-10%-60%
Peers Return32%-25%24%29%-1%7%67%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
W Win Rate50%17%58%50%67%43% 
Peers Win Rate62%38%62%67%48%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
W Max Drawdown-45%-86%-57%-48%-52%-52% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-38%-22%-18%-27%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMZN, HD, LOW, WMT, TGT. See W Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventWS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-47.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven91.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven62 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-28.5%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.8%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven38 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-42.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven194 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-41.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven69.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven86 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-70.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven242.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven25 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-41.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven60 days105 days

Compare to AMZN, HD, LOW, WMT, TGT

In The Past

Wayfair's stock fell -47.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 91.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventWS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-47.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven91.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven62 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-28.5%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.8%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven38 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-42.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven194 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-41.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven69.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven86 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-70.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven242.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven25 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-41.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven60 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-21.1%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.8%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven69 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-36.7%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.0%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven454 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-51.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven105.0%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven185 days15 days

Compare to AMZN, HD, LOW, WMT, TGT

In The Past

Wayfair's stock fell -47.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 91.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Wayfair (W)

Wayfair Inc. is a leading e-commerce company focused on the home goods market. It operates an extensive online retail platform that provides a wide array of products specifically for furnishing, decorating, and improving homes.

The company offers approximately thirty-three million products, encompassing furniture, décor, housewares, and home improvement items. Wayfair serves a broad customer base in the United States and internationally through a portfolio of distinct brands, including its flagship Wayfair site, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, and Perigold, each targeting various styles and segments within the home sector.

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1. Amazon for home goods

2. The Zappos of home furniture and decor

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  • Furniture: Wayfair offers a wide online selection of furniture for various rooms and styles within the home.
  • Décor: The company provides an extensive range of decorative items to furnish and enhance home interiors.
  • Housewares: Wayfair sells a variety of essential and specialized products for the home, including kitchenware, bedding, and bath items.
  • Home Improvement Products: Customers can find products for renovating and upgrading their homes, such as lighting, fixtures, and building materials.

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Major Customers of Wayfair (W)

Wayfair Inc. primarily sells directly to individual consumers rather than other businesses. Its e-commerce model serves a diverse customer base looking to furnish, decorate, and improve their homes. Based on its multi-brand strategy, Wayfair caters to several categories of customers:

  • General Home Shoppers: This broad category includes individuals and families seeking a wide range of furniture, decor, and home improvement products for various rooms and purposes. These customers often prioritize convenience, selection, and a balance of style and affordability, typically shopping across the Wayfair platform itself.

  • Design-Conscious & Style-Specific Buyers: This segment comprises customers with particular aesthetic preferences, such as modern, contemporary, or farmhouse styles. They look for curated collections and specific design trends, often gravitating towards brands like AllModern (for modern design), Joss & Main (for timeless and on-trend styles), and Birch Lane (for classic and farmhouse aesthetics).

  • Luxury & High-End Purchasers: This category serves affluent customers who are seeking premium, designer-quality furniture, decor, and home improvement items. These buyers prioritize exclusivity, superior craftsmanship, and sophisticated design, and they are typically drawn to Wayfair's luxury brand, Perigold.

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Niraj Shah, Chief Executive Officer, Co-Founder and Co-Chairman
Niraj Shah co-founded Wayfair with Steve Conine in 2002 and has served as CEO since its inception. Before establishing Wayfair, he co-founded and was CEO of Spinners, an IT consulting company that was acquired by iXL in 1998. He also served as CEO and co-founder of Simplify Mobile, an enterprise software company that was sold in 2001. Additionally, he was an Entrepreneur-in-Residence at Greylock Partners and served as COO and a board member of iXL.

Kate Gulliver, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer
Kate Gulliver serves as Wayfair's Chief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer, overseeing finance, investor relations, talent management, legal, real estate, and corporate affairs. She joined Wayfair in 2006 and has been instrumental in the company's growth, including leading its Investor Relations team through its initial public offering. Prior to her current role, she led Wayfair's Talent function as Chief People Officer. Her career also includes experience as a Vice President at private investment firm Bain Capital and as an analyst at McKinsey & Company.

Fiona Tan, Chief Technology Officer
Fiona Tan is Wayfair's Chief Technology Officer, overseeing a global innovation team responsible for the company's e-commerce platform. She joined Wayfair in September 2020 as Global Head of Customer and Supplier Technology and was promoted to CTO in March 2022. With over 25 years of experience, she previously held several senior positions at Walmart, including Senior Vice President of U.S. Technology. Before Walmart, she held leadership roles at Ariba, where she led its global engineering organization, and at TIBCO Software.

Steve Conine, Co-Chairman and Co-Founder
Steve Conine is the co-founder and co-chairman of Wayfair, which he co-founded with Niraj Shah in 2002. He leads many of Wayfair's innovations, particularly in architecting software systems and leveraging next-generation technologies. Before co-founding Wayfair, he co-founded Spinners Incorporated, an IT services firm that was acquired by iXL in 1998.

Jon Blotner, President
Jon Blotner is the President of Wayfair, overseeing its global retail businesses, including specialty brands like Birch Lane, Joss & Main, AllModern, and Perigold, as well as the B2B business. He is responsible for all commercial functions, including Marketing, Retail Media, Merchandising, Pricing, Category Management, and Physical Retail, and directs Wayfair's Operations, encompassing its global supply chain, logistics network, and customer service. He has been with Wayfair since 2016 and is currently the company's Chief Commercial Officer. From January 1, 2025, he will assume the role of President of Commercial and Operations.

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Wayfair (symbol: W) faces several key risks to its business:

Macroeconomic Pressures and Shifting Consumer Spending

Wayfair's business is highly susceptible to broader macroeconomic conditions, including economic instability, inflationary pressures, and elevated interest rates. These factors directly influence consumer behavior, particularly impacting discretionary spending on home furnishings and décor. Recent reports indicate lower order volumes and a decrease in net revenue attributed to these macroeconomic headwinds, affecting consumer spending patterns and housing market conditions.

Supply Chain Vulnerabilities

As an e-commerce company dealing with physical goods, Wayfair is exposed to significant risks related to global supply chain disruptions. These vulnerabilities include port congestion, inventory shortages, increased shipping costs, and geopolitical events that can delay product deliveries. While Wayfair has implemented strategies to mitigate these issues, such as diversifying suppliers and optimizing inventory, its reliance on a complex global supply chain remains a structural risk that can affect product availability, delivery times, and overall profitability.

Intense Competition and Profitability Challenges

Wayfair operates within a highly competitive e-commerce landscape, facing rivalry from large players like Amazon, Walmart, and traditional furniture retailers. This intense competition can lead to pressure on pricing and market share. Additionally, the cost of acquiring new customers in a crowded digital advertising market continues to rise, impacting profitability. Wayfair has historically faced challenges in achieving consistent profitability, and the competitive environment exacerbates these difficulties, making sustained financial performance a significant concern.

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The emergence of advanced generative AI tools that enable consumers to create highly personalized home designs and custom furniture pieces, potentially facilitating direct-to-manufacturer sourcing, poses a clear emerging threat. This technology could disintermediate Wayfair's role as a vast online retailer of pre-existing products by shifting the consumer journey from browsing curated selections to actively designing and directly procuring unique items.

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Wayfair Inc. (W) operates within the expansive home goods sector, offering a wide range of products including furniture, decor, housewares, and home improvement items. The addressable markets for these main product categories demonstrate significant scale both in the U.S. and globally.

Global Addressable Market

  • The global home furnishings market was estimated at approximately USD 1,018.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1,703.86 billion by 2030.
  • Another estimate places the global home furnishings market at USD 864.21 billion in 2024, with a projection to grow to USD 1,247.89 billion by 2032.
  • The total addressable market for home goods globally is expected to surpass USD 1 trillion by 2030, increasing from around USD 800 billion in 2023.
  • The global home decor market was valued at USD 960.14 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1,622.90 billion by 2030.
  • The global home improvement market was valued at approximately USD 894.20 billion in 2024 and is predicted to grow to around USD 1,320.00 billion by 2034.
  • The global online furniture market size was valued at USD 245.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 439.32 billion by 2030.

U.S. Addressable Market

  • Wayfair's internal estimates suggest the U.S. home goods market size is approximately USD 460 billion, with about 20% of that market being online.
  • The U.S. home furnishing market generated a revenue of USD 252,268.9 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 412,138.7 million by 2030.
  • The U.S. home decor market generated a revenue of USD 237,874.2 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 392,556.1 million by 2030.
  • The U.S. furniture market size was valued at USD 195.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 256.9 billion by 2034. Online stores hold a significant share, leading with 41% in 2025.
  • The U.S. online household furniture sales market size is projected at USD 74.3 billion in 2025.
  • The U.S. home improvement market was valued at USD 522.25 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 615.58 billion by 2029.

Canada and EU Addressable Market

  • Wayfair estimates the addressable market size for home goods in Canada and the European Union combined to be around USD 350 billion.

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Wayfair Inc. (W) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:

  1. Expanding Customer Growth and Loyalty Programs: Wayfair anticipates continued revenue growth by increasing its customer base and fostering customer loyalty. The Wayfair Rewards paid program has already attracted over one million members, contributing to more than 15% of U.S. revenue, with members converting on furniture purchases at nearly three times the rate of non-members.
  2. Strategic Expansion of Physical Retail Stores: The company is actively opening new large-format physical retail stores in major metropolitan areas such as Atlanta, Columbus, and Denver. These stores serve as crucial channels for acquiring new customers, with over half of store visitors often being new to Wayfair, and are strategically located near distribution centers to enhance delivery efficiency.
  3. Leveraging Technology and AI for Enhanced Operations and Customer Experience: Wayfair is investing in technological advancements, particularly AI-driven enhancements, to improve the overall shopping experience, optimize internal operations, and boost efficiency. These initiatives are expected to reduce operational costs and enhance supplier capabilities and customer engagement.
  4. Improving Core Value Proposition (Selection, Pricing, Availability, and Delivery): A key driver involves continuously enhancing Wayfair's fundamental offerings, including a broader selection of products, competitive pricing, improved product availability, and faster delivery speeds. This focus, supported by its extensive manufacturer network and efficient logistics like CastleGate, aims to meet consumer demand for value and quality. The introduction of programs such as Wayfair Delivery Plus further supports this strategy.
  5. Aggressive Market Share Expansion and Operational Efficiency: Wayfair is focused on outpacing the market by growing its Adjusted EBITDA faster than its revenue, targeting a potential organic growth rate exceeding 20%. This aggressive market share capture is supported by ongoing improvements in operational efficiencies, stringent cost controls, and leveraging fixed costs, which contribute to sustained margin expansion.

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Share Repurchases

  • Wayfair had a $700 million share repurchase program authorized in August 2020 and a new $1.0 billion program authorized in August 2021.
  • The company did not repurchase any shares of Class A Common stock under these authorized programs during the years ended December 31, 2023, 2024, and 2025.
  • However, Wayfair repurchased over $200 million of principal on its 2027 convertible notes in late 2025 and also repurchased 2028 convertible notes to offset potential dilution. In February 2026, Wayfair announced a $250 million redemption of its 3.25% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2027.

Share Issuance

  • Wayfair's shares outstanding have shown an increasing trend; for instance, 2025 shares outstanding were 0.128 billion, a 4.07% increase from 2024.
  • Shares outstanding in 2024 increased by 7.89% from 2023, and 2023 shares outstanding increased by 7.55% from 2022.
  • Wayfair issued $700 million in senior secured notes due 2030 in March 2025 and $700 million in senior secured notes due 2032 in November 2025, with proceeds partly intended to repurchase convertible notes.

Outbound Investments

  • Wayfair has not made any significant acquisitions or divestitures in the last 3-5 years, with annual net acquisitions/divestitures reported as $0B or $0M for the period ending September 30, 2025.
  • The company's most recent acquisition, Trumpit, occurred in August 2016.

Capital Expenditures

  • Wayfair's capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were -$70 million, and $25 million in Q4 2025.
  • Capital expenditures decreased in 2021 ($101 million), 2023 ($148 million), and 2024 ($73 million), after peaking at $186 million in 2022.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be in the range of $55 million to $65 million, primarily focused on software development, supply chain initiatives, and physical store expansion, including new stores in Atlanta, Columbus, and Denver.

Better Bets vs. Wayfair (W)

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WAMZNHDLOWWMTTGTMedian
NameWayfair Amazon.c.Home Dep.Lowe's C.Walmart Target  
Mkt Price89.23245.34343.30211.63113.90135.14173.38
Mkt Cap11.72,635.7341.2118.3907.761.3229.8
Rev LTM12,658742,776166,59288,435725,305106,377136,484
Op Inc LTM14985,42220,73810,21230,1834,78015,475
FCF LTM362-2,47214,3157,61912,5523,0315,325
FCF 3Y Avg17921,34615,7997,54313,5183,71610,530
CFO LTM578148,53118,0329,83540,8927,00313,934
CFO 3Y Avg432120,52719,2429,62437,9467,33414,433

Growth & Margins

WAMZNHDLOWWMTTGTMedian
NameWayfair Amazon.c.Home Dep.Lowe's C.Walmart Target  
Rev Chg LTM6.8%14.2%2.2%6.2%5.9%0.5%6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.9%12.3%2.3%-2.4%5.3%-0.9%2.1%
Rev Chg Q7.4%16.6%4.8%10.3%7.3%6.7%7.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%3.6%1.2%2.5%1.7%1.5%1.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM164.2%19.2%-3.9%-0.9%1.8%-16.8%0.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg92.7%108.4%-4.2%0.4%12.8%10.9%11.9%
Op Mgn LTM1.2%11.5%12.4%11.5%4.2%4.5%8.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.0%10.2%13.2%12.2%4.2%5.1%7.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.0%-0.4%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.6%20.0%10.8%11.1%5.6%6.6%8.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.5%18.1%12.0%11.2%5.5%6.9%9.1%
FCF/Rev LTM2.9%-0.3%8.6%8.6%1.7%2.8%2.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.4%3.5%9.9%8.8%2.0%3.5%3.5%

Valuation

WAMZNHDLOWWMTTGTMedian
NameWayfair Amazon.c.Home Dep.Lowe's C.Walmart Target  
Mkt Cap11.72,635.7341.2118.3907.761.3229.8
P/S0.93.52.01.31.30.61.3
P/Op Inc78.530.916.511.630.112.823.3
P/EBIT-71.722.316.411.527.112.614.5
P/E-38.329.024.417.839.917.821.1
P/CFO20.217.718.912.022.28.818.3
Total Yield-2.6%3.4%6.8%7.9%3.3%9.0%5.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.7%2.3%0.8%3.4%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.5%1.1%4.4%5.5%2.1%6.2%3.5%
D/E0.30.10.20.40.10.30.2
Net D/E0.20.00.20.40.10.20.2

Returns

WAMZNHDLOWWMTTGTMedian
NameWayfair Amazon.c.Home Dep.Lowe's C.Walmart Target  
1M Rtn29.9%3.1%7.6%-2.1%-5.5%5.6%4.3%
3M Rtn24.5%2.9%2.5%-12.9%-10.0%11.9%2.7%
6M Rtn-23.0%-0.8%-7.1%-20.1%-0.2%30.6%-3.9%
12M Rtn51.7%10.4%-5.6%-5.3%21.1%34.7%15.7%
3Y Rtn31.2%90.5%18.1%-2.2%128.3%13.2%24.7%
1M Excs Rtn22.5%-2.1%4.3%-5.2%-6.7%4.2%1.0%
3M Excs Rtn11.1%-6.0%-9.1%-25.2%-22.6%-1.0%-7.6%
6M Excs Rtn-28.3%-7.9%-9.7%-23.0%-8.0%23.5%-8.9%
12M Excs Rtn36.8%-10.7%-26.0%-25.3%-2.3%16.8%-6.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-30.6%17.8%-51.2%-70.8%52.9%-56.5%-40.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment12,45711,85112,00312,21813,708
Total12,45711,85112,00312,21813,708


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$89.23 
Market Cap ($ Bil)11.7 
First Trading Date10/02/2014 
Distance from 52W High-25.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$74.49$86.76
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA19.8%2.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility71.5%65.7%
Downside Capture172.70249.63
Upside Capture187.90242.94
Correlation (SPY)46.8%48.4%
W Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.732.892.552.782.542.56
Up Beta4.635.243.893.352.942.72
Down Beta4.103.462.842.512.222.30
Up Capture378%355%187%320%585%4316%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days11223259125371
Down Capture40%95%157%218%167%113%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days10193166126377

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with W
W58.0%65.6%0.95-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.7%18.7%0.2650.2%
Equity (SPY)22.1%12.5%1.3148.3%
Gold (GLD)23.5%27.8%0.7517.4%
Commodities (DBC)23.6%18.7%0.99-26.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.4%13.9%0.6721.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-43.4%42.8%-1.2125.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with W
W-21.5%80.4%0.05-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.3%23.9%0.2262.5%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.1%0.6156.5%
Gold (GLD)17.8%18.3%0.799.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%19.5%0.275.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.0543.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.5%53.4%0.4429.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with W
W8.9%75.1%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.9%22.1%0.5356.6%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7550.8%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.1%0.5910.1%
Commodities (DBC)6.0%18.0%0.2610.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2136.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.3%66.2%0.9819.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 531202615.6%
Average Daily Volume3.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity131.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares12.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/30/2026-12.7%-9.9%-1.4%
2/19/2026-13.0%-17.2%-16.6%
10/28/202523.2%19.5%27.0%
8/4/202512.7%11.0%19.1%
5/1/20253.5%1.0%36.7%
2/20/2025-0.6%-8.0%-31.9%
11/1/2024-6.3%-7.1%12.3%
8/1/2024-8.1%-25.7%-22.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141414
# Negative999
Median Positive8.6%10.8%18.8%
Median Negative-6.3%-10.4%-16.6%
Max Positive23.2%35.0%38.1%
Max Negative-23.0%-25.7%-31.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/30/2026-12.7%-9.9%-1.4%
2/19/2026-13.0%-17.2%-16.6%
10/28/202523.2%19.5%27.0%
8/4/202512.7%11.0%19.1%
5/1/20253.5%1.0%36.7%
2/20/2025-0.6%-8.0%-31.9%
11/1/2024-6.3%-7.1%12.3%
8/1/2024-8.1%-25.7%-22.6%
5/2/202416.0%35.0%17.7%
2/22/202410.8%18.3%34.7%
11/1/20234.2%8.7%31.0%
8/3/202316.2%2.4%-5.2%
5/4/202315.8%14.6%38.1%
2/23/2023-23.0%-21.0%-31.3%
11/3/20225.2%-19.2%18.3%
8/4/2022-2.4%0.9%-20.8%
2/24/20224.7%8.0%0.0%
11/4/2021-5.0%-10.4%-12.8%
8/5/202110.0%23.5%9.3%
5/6/20215.6%10.6%18.5%
2/25/2021-0.0%14.5%27.5%
11/3/20207.2%-7.9%-5.1%
8/5/20203.6%6.3%3.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141414
# Negative999
Median Positive8.6%10.8%18.8%
Median Negative-6.3%-10.4%-16.6%
Max Positive23.2%35.0%38.1%
Max Negative-23.0%-25.7%-31.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/24/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/25/202110-K
09/30/202011/03/202010-Q
06/30/202008/05/202010-Q
03/31/202005/05/202010-Q
12/31/201902/28/202010-K
09/30/201910/31/201910-Q
06/30/201908/01/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 7/6/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Blotner, JonPres., Commercial & OperationsDirectSell706202696.295,925570,51811,299,054Form
2Conine, Steven DirectSell427202678.557,139560,77633,704,152Form
3Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell427202678.626,137482,47833,737,875Form
4Conine, Steven DirectSell427202677.50112,8618,746,54333,805,718Form
5Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell427202677.49113,8638,823,10533,728,850Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Blotner, JonPres., Commercial & OperationsDirectSell706202696.295,925570,51811,299,054Form
2Conine, Steven DirectSell427202678.557,139560,77633,704,152Form
3Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell427202678.626,137482,47833,737,875Form
4Conine, Steven DirectSell427202677.50112,8618,746,54333,805,718Form
5Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell427202677.49113,8638,823,10533,728,850Form
6Blotner, JonPres., Commercial & OperationsDirectSell403202672.194,790345,7908,024,496Form
7Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell325202677.181,571121,2504,611,351Form
8Conine, Steven DirectSell325202677.141,687130,1354,587,284Form
9Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell325202677.19107,8188,322,9964,733,512Form
10Conine, Steven DirectSell325202677.20107,9198,330,8234,720,792Form
11Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell227202678.8626,9502,125,37713,333,722Form
12Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell227202678.8827,0002,129,85013,342,092Form
13Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell225202674.6393,0506,944,26114,629,069Form
14Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell225202674.6393,0006,940,21414,636,911Form
15Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell1272026108.87150,00016,330,55331,471,480Form
16Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1272026108.87150,00016,331,18431,479,663Form
17Tan, FionaChief Technology OfficerRevocable TrustSell1152026119.009,0001,071,00023,839,032Form
18Blotner, JonPres., Commercial & OperationsDirectSell1052026105.844,997528,88211,230,365Form
19Gulliver, KateCFO and Chief Admin OfficerDirectSell1052026106.5036,4973,886,93015,893,847Form
20Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell12292025102.3330,0003,069,90044,930,340Form
21Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell12292025102.3230,0003,069,60044,932,498Form
22Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell12292025100.28120,00012,033,15547,036,900Form
23Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell12292025100.27120,00012,032,90547,042,341Form
24Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell11262025105.92150,00015,888,27377,224,739Form
25Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell11262025105.91150,00015,887,17677,226,186Form
26Blotner, JonPres., Commercial & OperationsDirectSell11122025108.154,061439,18910,925,001Form
27Tan, FionaChief Technology OfficerRevocable TrustSell11122025110.595,441601,71523,149,384Form
28Tan, FionaChief Technology OfficerRevocable TrustSell11072025100.546,347638,12719,993,384Form
29Gulliver, KateCFO and Chief Admin OfficerDirectSell11062025102.209,612982,34617,935,793Form
30Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell10292025105.0930,0003,152,70614,615,212Form
31Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell10292025105.1030,0003,152,98514,623,228Form
32Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell1024202582.17120,0009,860,48813,892,852Form
33Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1024202582.17120,0009,860,29013,897,832Form
34Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1022202582.8585,0007,042,03723,954,275Form
35Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell1022202582.8585,0007,042,03323,948,961Form
36Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell924202586.7985,0007,377,16832,471,430Form
37Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell924202586.7985,0007,377,48432,467,264Form
38Kumin, Michael Andrew DirectBuy904202574.9716011,99519,535,458Form
39Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell821202580.0785,0006,805,90336,757,723Form
40Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell821202580.0785,0006,806,08436,763,824Form
41Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell815202578.40199,47315,637,73042,652,724Form
42Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell815202578.40199,42215,634,14242,658,861Form
43Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell808202577.2917,7421,371,27911,095,675Form
44Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell808202577.2917,7521,372,05211,094,670Form
45Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell808202577.037,836603,60712,425,016Form
46Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell808202577.027,775598,83012,423,172Form
47Tan, FionaChief Technology OfficerRevocable TrustSell805202573.007,009511,65714,980,111Form
48Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell723202556.0260,0003,361,2939,471,731Form
49Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell723202556.0360,0003,361,8699,476,941Form
50Blotner, JonPres., Commercial & OperationsDirectSell717202556.4513,857782,2285,151,796Form
51Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell707202555.217,094391,66012,647,135Form
52Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell707202555.217,713425,80412,649,751Form
53Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell702202552.59180,9439,515,10612,419,127Form
54Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell702202552.58179,7079,449,76612,454,590Form
55Conine, StevenCo-FounderDirectSell702202552.0121,9631,142,29621,693,891Form
56Shah, NirajChief Executive OfficerDirectSell702202552.0122,5801,174,38621,665,130Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 11, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank and community-bank filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Prescott General Partners LLC$174.7 Mil12.8%10TRIM -20.5%13F
Spruce House Investment Management LLC$195.5 Mil7.0%11TRIM -11.1%13F
Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP$78.2 Mil6.9%39ADD +20.5%13F
Goodnow Investment Group, LLC$48.0 Mil5.3%29Hold13F
Nishkama Capital, LLC$18.3 Mil2.6%39New13F
Anomaly Capital Management, LP$35.1 Mil2.1%21New13F
Portman Square Capital LLP$13.7 Mil2.1%44ADD +540.5%13F
Cypress Point Investment Management LP$8.3 Mil2.0%32ADD +226.8%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$50.0 Mil1.0%41TRIM -55.7%13F
BloombergSen Inc.$6.0 Mil0.7%27ADD +30.4%13F
Rothschild & Co Wealth Management UK Ltd$22.4 Mil0.3%25ADD +13.2%13F
Elliott Investment Management L.P.$26.2 Mil0.2%19Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Anomaly Capital Management, LP$35.1 Mil2.1%21New13F
Nishkama Capital, LLC$18.3 Mil2.6%39New13F
Portman Square Capital LLP$13.7 Mil2.1%44ADD +540.5%13F
Cypress Point Investment Management LP$8.3 Mil2.0%32ADD +226.8%13F
BloombergSen Inc.$6.0 Mil0.7%27ADD +30.4%13F
Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP$78.2 Mil6.9%39ADD +20.5%13F
Rothschild & Co Wealth Management UK Ltd$22.4 Mil0.3%25ADD +13.2%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP$127.8 Mil14.9%22ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Benchstone Capital Management LP$22.9 Mil2.6%43ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$50.0 Mil1.0%41TRIM -55.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Prescott General Partners LLC$174.7 Mil12.8%10TRIM -20.5%Mar 31, 202613F
Spruce House Investment Management LLC$195.5 Mil7.0%11TRIM -11.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Spruce House Investment Management LLC$195.5 Mil7.0%11TRIM -11.1%13F
Prescott General Partners LLC$174.7 Mil12.8%10TRIM -20.5%13F
Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP$78.2 Mil6.9%39ADD +20.5%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$50.0 Mil1.0%41TRIM -55.7%13F
Goodnow Investment Group, LLC$48.0 Mil5.3%29Hold13F
Anomaly Capital Management, LP$35.1 Mil2.1%21New13F
Elliott Investment Management L.P.$26.2 Mil0.2%19Hold13F
Rothschild & Co Wealth Management UK Ltd$22.4 Mil0.3%25ADD +13.2%13F
Nishkama Capital, LLC$18.3 Mil2.6%39New13F
Portman Square Capital LLP$13.7 Mil2.1%44ADD +540.5%13F
Cypress Point Investment Management LP$8.3 Mil2.0%32ADD +226.8%13F
BloombergSen Inc.$6.0 Mil0.7%27ADD +30.4%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/10/2026