Tearsheet

Viasat (VSAT)


Market Price (11/15/2025): $35.94 | Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

Viasat (VSAT)


Market Price (11/15/2025): $35.94
Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -111 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.4%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Wireless Services, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 125%
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 230%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 366%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 73%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Wireless Services, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -111 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.4%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 125%
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 230%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 366%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 73%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

VSAT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Viasat (VSAT) stock experienced significant movements between July 31, 2025, and November 15, 2025. While a 120% increase for this specific period is not directly confirmed, available information indicates substantial growth and analyst optimism during this broader timeframe.

1. Strong Stock Performance and Analyst Optimism: Raymond James noted "very strong stock performance over the past ~6 months" as of November 14, 2025, with Viasat's stock having a year-to-date gain of 320% at that time. Analysts also maintained a "Buy" rating on VSAT stock and suggested substantial upside potential. Several analysts reiterated "Buy" ratings and upward revised price targets for Viasat in November 2025.

2. Potential Spin-Out of Defense & Advanced Technologies (DAT) Business: Raymond James highlighted that investors were recognizing the significant value of Viasat's Defense & Advanced Technologies (DAT) business. A strategic review for a possible spin-out of this segment was ongoing, which could better realize its valuation, as comps in this sector traded at much higher EV/EBITDA multiples compared to satellite businesses.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VSAT Return-55%36%-29%-12%-70%320%-51%
Peers Return39%30%-23%15%13%2%84%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VSAT Win Rate25%67%50%50%17%60% 
Peers Win Rate60%63%32%45%50%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VSAT Max Drawdown-62%-3%-41%-51%-76%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-8%-31%-17%-19%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, MSI, NTAP, QRVO, ADTN. See VSAT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVSATS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven332.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven168.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven134.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven549 days1480 days

Compare to QCOM, MSI, NTAP, QRVO, ADTN


In The Past

Viasat's stock fell -76.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -76.9% loss requires a 332.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Viasat (VSAT)

Better Bets than Viasat (VSAT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VSAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%
VSAT_7312025_Short_Squeeze07312025VSATViasatSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
119.5%119.5%0.0%
VSAT_1312025_Short_Squeeze01312025VSATViasatSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
72.3%274.8%-20.0%
VSAT_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE06302022VSATViasatDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%34.7%-14.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%
VSAT_7312025_Short_Squeeze07312025VSATViasatSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
119.5%119.5%0.0%
VSAT_1312025_Short_Squeeze01312025VSATViasatSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
72.3%274.8%-20.0%
VSAT_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE06302022VSATViasatDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%34.7%-14.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Viasat

Financials

VSATQCOMMSINTAPQRVOADTNMedian
NameViasat Qualcomm Motorola.NetApp Qorvo Adtran  
Mkt Price36.06173.98379.98109.4484.987.4797.21
Mkt Cap4.7187.663.422.07.90.614.9
Rev LTM4,56444,28411,0946,5903,6631,0355,577
Op Inc LTM-11112,3942,7851,436365-37901
FCF LTM8812,8202,3841,658535261,096
FCF 3Y Avg-49311,2772,0471,380537-7959
CFO LTM1,01614,0122,6121,838680901,427
CFO 3Y Avg72812,5042,2931,563675491,146

Growth & Margins

VSATQCOMMSINTAPQRVOADTNMedian
NameViasat Qualcomm Motorola.NetApp Qorvo Adtran  
Rev Chg LTM-1.4%13.7%6.4%3.3%-7.2%14.3%4.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.8%1.2%9.5%0.8%-3.7%13.7%5.3%
Rev Chg Q4.0%10.0%5.2%1.2%1.1%22.7%4.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%2.4%1.3%0.3%0.3%5.3%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM-2.4%28.0%25.1%21.8%10.0%-3.6%15.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.2%25.9%23.8%20.2%5.1%-11.5%12.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.2%0.1%0.1%0.9%2.6%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM22.3%31.6%23.5%27.9%18.6%8.7%22.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.9%31.5%21.9%24.4%18.5%5.3%20.2%
FCF/Rev LTM1.9%28.9%21.5%25.2%14.6%2.5%18.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.7%28.4%19.6%21.5%14.6%-0.1%17.1%

Valuation

VSATQCOMMSINTAPQRVOADTNMedian
NameViasat Qualcomm Motorola.NetApp Qorvo Adtran  
Mkt Cap4.7187.663.422.07.90.614.9
P/S1.04.25.73.32.20.62.7
P/EBIT-31.614.121.115.024.1-17.714.5
P/E-7.933.830.018.836.2-6.824.4
P/CFO4.713.424.312.011.66.611.8
Total Yield-12.6%5.0%4.4%7.2%2.8%-14.8%3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.0%1.1%1.9%0.0%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-20.9%7.0%3.1%6.6%5.8%-0.8%4.5%
D/E1.50.10.10.10.20.40.2
Net D/E1.20.00.1-0.00.10.30.1

Returns

VSATQCOMMSINTAPQRVOADTNMedian
NameViasat Qualcomm Motorola.NetApp Qorvo Adtran  
1M Rtn-1.2%6.8%-13.4%-9.9%-5.5%-19.2%-7.7%
3M Rtn33.1%10.8%-17.3%1.0%-4.9%-15.5%-1.9%
6M Rtn230.2%15.4%-10.0%9.9%6.7%-8.1%8.3%
12M Rtn366.5%8.5%-22.3%-5.4%28.2%-6.3%1.5%
3Y Rtn0.3%48.0%56.9%58.4%-13.9%-64.2%24.1%
1M Excs Rtn-1.9%4.4%-14.7%-9.9%-8.9%-22.2%-9.4%
3M Excs Rtn27.2%5.7%-21.8%-3.5%-9.2%-19.8%-6.3%
6M Excs Rtn217.2%2.4%-23.0%-3.2%-6.3%-21.1%-4.7%
12M Excs Rtn316.2%-3.7%-35.4%-20.2%13.8%-20.0%-11.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-58.1%-10.8%-24.7%-7.4%-79.6%-137.3%-41.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Communication services3,1421,705   
Defense and advanced technologies1,142851   
Elimination of intersegment revenues0000 
Commercial networks  512321345
Government systems  7167311,138
Satellite services  1,189869827
Total4,2842,5562,4171,9212,309


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Defense and advanced technologies15463   
Elimination of intersegment operating profits (losses)0000 
Amortization of acquired intangible assets-227-30-29-5-8
Communication services-817-189   
Commercial networks  -209-206-187
Corporate  00 
Government systems  93140226
Satellite services  32267
Total-890-156-113-4638


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,423,853
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-2.7%
Average Daily Volume2,150,874
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.71
Basic Shares Quantity131,578,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/7/2025   
8/5/202530.7%21.0%41.4%
5/20/2025-4.9%-12.3%22.4%
2/6/202519.5%-3.0%1.2%
11/6/2024-7.8%-23.2%-14.4%
8/7/202437.8%-5.6%-3.9%
5/21/2024-16.5%-16.1%-28.7%
2/6/2024-18.2%-16.6%-15.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121012
# Negative121412
Median Positive7.1%13.5%5.3%
Median Negative-11.1%-6.0%-18.4%
Max Positive37.8%26.4%41.4%
Max Negative-19.3%-23.2%-31.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025527202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024529202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023522202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022531202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021207202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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