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Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $435.33 | Market Cap: $111.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $435.33
Market Cap: $111.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -29%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -92 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.8%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 25x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 30x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 30x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -29%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -92 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.8%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 25x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 30x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 30x

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

VRTX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) stock moved by -5% for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 13, 2025: 1. Discontinuation of Acute Pain Drug Candidate VX-993.

On August 4, 2025, Vertex Pharmaceuticals announced the discontinuation of its investigational acute pain drug candidate, VX-993. This decision followed the failure of VX-993 to meet its primary efficacy endpoint in a Phase 2 study for treating acute pain after bunionectomy surgery. The news led to a significant market reaction, with Vertex's stock plummeting approximately 13% in after-hours trading, indicating substantial investor disappointment regarding this pipeline setback. 2. Narrowed Full-Year 2025 Revenue Guidance.

Despite reporting strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 3, 2025, which included an 11% increase in revenue and beating analysts' EPS estimates, Vertex Pharmaceuticals' stock experienced a decline of approximately 4% in after-hours trading. This negative movement was primarily attributed to the company's decision to narrow its full-year 2025 revenue guidance range from $11.85 billion-$12 billion to $11.9 billion-$12.0 billion. While the updated guidance still reflected growth, the market reacted negatively to the tighter range, suggesting concerns about potentially slowing growth momentum or a more cautious outlook than previously anticipated by investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VRTX Return8%-7%32%41%-1%8%98%
Peers Return-16%-29%-8%12%-26%16%-47%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VRTX Win Rate67%42%67%58%50%80% 
Peers Win Rate43%43%50%47%27%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VRTX Max Drawdown-9%-25%0%-2%-3%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-38%-32%-26%-49%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BIIB, IONS, BMRN, ACAD, APM. See VRTX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVRTXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven115 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven655 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven25 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven178.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven610 days1480 days

Compare to BIIB, IONS, BMRN, ACAD, APM


In The Past

Vertex Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -26.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -26.6% loss requires a 36.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)

Better Bets than Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VRTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-15.4%-15.4%-15.4%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-33.1%-33.1%-33.1%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.3%-3.3%-3.3%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-7.0%
VRTX_12312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312022VRTXVertex PharmaceuticalsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
21.9%40.9%-1.9%
VRTX_10312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312020VRTXVertex PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%-11.2%-15.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-15.4%-15.4%-15.4%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-33.1%-33.1%-33.1%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.3%-3.3%-3.3%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-7.0%
VRTX_12312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312022VRTXVertex PharmaceuticalsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
21.9%40.9%-1.9%
VRTX_10312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312020VRTXVertex PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%-11.2%-15.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vertex Pharmaceuticals

Financials

VRTXBIIBIONSBMRNACADAPMMedian
NameVertex P.Biogen Ionis Ph.BioMarin.ACADIA P.Aptorum  
Mkt Price434.02164.6873.2654.4624.011.3563.86
Mkt Cap110.924.111.710.54.1-11.7
Rev LTM11,72310,0669673,0941,047-3,094
Op Inc LTM-922,492-27861594-94
FCF LTM3,3372,262-30982699-826
FCF 3Y Avg2,0641,686-42038670-386
CFO LTM3,7182,454-247914199-914
CFO 3Y Avg2,4191,980-380489103-489

Growth & Margins

VRTXBIIBIONSBMRNACADAPMMedian
NameVertex P.Biogen Ionis Ph.BioMarin.ACADIA P.Aptorum  
Rev Chg LTM10.3%4.8%20.4%12.4%12.7%-12.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.5%-0.9%7.1%15.5%27.8%-10.5%
Rev Chg Q11.0%2.8%17.1%4.1%11.3%-11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%0.7%2.4%1.0%2.8%-2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-0.8%24.8%-28.8%19.9%9.0%-9.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg26.2%22.5%-55.1%13.5%-1.1%-13.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%0.7%-0.5%-5.4%0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM31.7%24.4%-25.5%29.5%19.0%-24.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.1%20.0%-52.4%16.9%8.7%-16.9%
FCF/Rev LTM28.5%22.5%-32.0%26.7%9.5%-22.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.8%17.0%-57.4%13.0%5.5%-13.0%

Valuation

VRTXBIIBIONSBMRNACADAPMMedian
NameVertex P.Biogen Ionis Ph.BioMarin.ACADIA P.Aptorum  
Mkt Cap110.924.111.710.54.1-11.7
P/S9.52.412.13.43.9-3.9
P/EBIT24.911.2-67.215.242.9-15.2
P/E30.215.0-45.720.115.5-15.5
P/CFO29.89.8-47.411.420.4-11.4
Total Yield3.3%6.7%-2.2%5.0%6.4%-5.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.3%6.7%-6.0%3.5%2.7%-2.7%
D/E0.00.30.10.10.0-0.1
Net D/E-0.00.1-0.1-0.1-0.2--0.1

Returns

VRTXBIIBIONSBMRNACADAPMMedian
NameVertex P.Biogen Ionis Ph.BioMarin.ACADIA P.Aptorum  
1M Rtn4.1%15.2%0.2%2.2%14.9%-12.9%3.2%
3M Rtn11.3%21.2%68.7%-5.2%-4.2%-0.7%5.3%
6M Rtn-1.5%27.2%115.3%-8.3%9.2%46.7%18.2%
12M Rtn-6.8%2.9%113.3%-14.1%43.2%97.9%23.1%
3Y Rtn37.9%-45.6%70.0%-38.3%58.5%-78.6%-0.2%
1M Excs Rtn4.0%15.0%0.1%2.1%14.8%-13.0%3.0%
3M Excs Rtn7.0%14.5%68.4%-9.0%-7.9%-1.8%2.6%
6M Excs Rtn-13.4%15.3%103.4%-20.2%-2.7%34.8%6.3%
12M Excs Rtn-23.7%-12.1%82.4%-29.8%25.0%1.0%-5.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-29.1%-112.0%-7.5%-103.3%-22.4%-148.3%-66.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
TRIKAFTA/KAFTRIO8,9457,6875,6973,864420
Other product revenues924    
KALYDECO 553684803991
ORKAMBI 5117729081,332
Other revenues 0132
SYMDEKO/SYMKEVI 1804206291,418
Total9,8698,9317,5746,2064,163


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,131,677
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202516.2%
Average Daily Volume1,281,366
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.22
Basic Shares Quantity255,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-1.0%-1.1% 
8/4/2025-20.6%-20.7%-16.0%
5/5/2025-10.0%-12.2%-10.9%
2/10/2025-3.1%-1.7%5.4%
11/4/20245.7%6.1%-1.9%
8/1/2024-2.2%-7.9%-2.0%
5/6/20241.9%6.8%20.0%
2/5/2024-3.0%-2.4%-4.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121111
# Negative121313
Median Positive2.5%6.1%5.4%
Median Negative-3.1%-2.4%-5.1%
Max Positive9.0%11.9%20.0%
Max Negative-20.6%-20.7%-16.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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