Urban Outfitters (URBN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $77.79 | Market Cap: $7.0 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Urban Outfitters (URBN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $77.79Market Cap: $7.0 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%, FCF Yield is 6.1% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%, FCF Yield is 6.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
URBN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Surpassed Expectations.
Urban Outfitters reported record net income of $116.4 million, or $1.28 per diluted share, for the three months ended October 31, 2025, significantly beating Wall Street's consensus estimate of $1.19 per share. Total company net sales for the quarter also reached a record $1.53 billion, increasing by 12.3% year-over-year and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.49 billion.
2. Broad-Based Retail Segment Growth and Urban Outfitters Brand Turnaround.
The company experienced an 8.0% increase in comparable retail segment net sales, driven by strong high single-digit growth in both digital and physical store channels. Notably, the Urban Outfitters brand achieved a 12.5% increase in comparable sales, indicating a significant turnaround. Anthropologie and Free People also contributed with 7.6% and 4.1% comparable sales growth, respectively.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| URBN Return | -8% | 15% | -19% | 50% | 54% | 43% | 182% |
| Peers Return | 14% | 45% | -10% | 77% | 14% | -1% | 196% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| URBN Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 25% | 58% | 67% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 52% | 37% | 55% | 57% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| URBN Max Drawdown | -54% | -4% | -39% | 0% | -4% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -2% | -37% | -11% | -11% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ANF, AEO, ASO, LB, TJX. See URBN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | URBN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 625 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -59.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 145.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1936 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -65.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 190.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 491 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ANF, AEO, ASO, LB, TJX
In The Past
Urban Outfitters's stock fell -56.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -56.7% loss requires a 130.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to URBN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 05312019 | URBN | Urban Outfitters | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 14.2% | -24.6% | -43.2% |
| 12312016 | URBN | Urban Outfitters | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -34.9% | 23.1% | -42.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 05312019 | URBN | Urban Outfitters | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 14.2% | -24.6% | -43.2% |
| 12312016 | URBN | Urban Outfitters | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -34.9% | 23.1% | -42.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Urban Outfitters
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 69.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.4 |
| Rev LTM | 5,550 |
| Op Inc LTM | 522 |
| FCF LTM | 292 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 339 |
| CFO LTM | 518 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 531 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.4 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 8.4 |
| P/E | 11.0 |
| P/CFO | 9.0 |
| Total Yield | 13.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 17.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 95.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 17.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 22.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail operations | 4,679 | 4,415 | 4,249 | 3,228 | 3,649 |
| Wholesale operations | 239 | 250 | 268 | 217 | 341 |
| Subscription operations | 236 | 130 | 8 | ||
| Intersegment elimination | -15 | -20 | -14 | ||
| Nuuly operations | 48 | 24 | |||
| Total | 5,153 | 4,795 | 4,549 | 3,450 | 3,984 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail operations | 422 | 275 | 449 | 68 | 257 |
| Wholesale operations | 31 | 27 | 33 | -10 | 42 |
| Subscription operations | -17 | -14 | -20 | ||
| Intersegment elimination | -67 | -62 | 2 | -0 | 0 |
| General corporate expenses | -55 | -35 | -48 | ||
| Nuuly operations | -20 | -18 | |||
| Total | 370 | 227 | 409 | 4 | 232 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9092025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6092025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 4012025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12102024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9092024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6102024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 4012024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12112023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9112023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6092023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 4032023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12122022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9092022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6092022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 4012022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12102021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
