Tearsheet

United Parcel Service (UPS)

Market Price (11/5/2025): $92.14 | Market Cap: $78.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

United Parcel Service (UPS)

Market Price (11/5/2025): $92.14
Market Cap: $78.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow

0	Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 6.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.7%	Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109%	Weak revenue growth Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7%
1	Attractive cash flow generation CFO LTM is 7.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil
2	Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 32%

0	Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 6.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.7%
1	Attractive cash flow generation CFO LTM is 7.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil
2	Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 32%
3	Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109%
4	Weak revenue growth Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

	11/5/25	2024	2023	2022	2021
Share Price CYE	$92.14	$120.04	$142.79	$151.83	$179.61
Market Cap CYE ($ Bil)	78.0	102.3	122.2	131.3	157.0
Total Debt ($ Bil)	28.9	25.7	26.7	23.5	25.5
Total Cash ($ Bil)	6.3	6.3	6.0	7.6	10.6
Enterprise Value ($ Bil)	100.7	128.0	148.9	154.8	182.5
Valuation Ratios
P/S TTM	0.9	1.2	1.5	1.5	1.9
P/EBIT TTM	9.6	13.0	14.4	9.8	10.8
P/E TTM	13.6	18.6	20.1	13.1	14.5
Sector Ratios
P/S TTM (Sector)	1.6	1.4	1.4	1.1	1.6
P/EBIT TTM (Sector)	11.3	10.1	10.2	8.3	12.1
P/E TTM (Sector)	16.1	13.8	14.2	11.2	15.6

	11/5/25	2024	2023
Share Price CYE	$92.14	$120.04	$142.79
Market Cap CYE ($ Bil)	78.0	102.3	122.2
Total Debt ($ Bil)	28.9	25.7	26.7
Total Cash ($ Bil)	6.3	6.3	6.0
Enterprise Value ($ Bil)	100.7	128.0	148.9
Valuation Ratios
P/S TTM	0.9	1.2	1.5
P/EBIT TTM	9.6	13.0	14.4
P/E TTM	13.6	18.6	20.1
Sector Ratios
P/S TTM (Sector)	1.6	1.4	1.4
P/EBIT TTM (Sector)	11.3	10.1	10.2
P/E TTM (Sector)	16.1	13.8	14.2

	UPS	S&P 500
REVENUE GROWTH	VERY POOR
Rev LTM ($ Bil)	90.3
Rev Chg Q	-2.7%	6.7%
Rev Chg LTM	0.9%	5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	-3.3%	5.3%
PROFITABILITY	POOR
Op Inc LTM ($ Bil)	8.4
CFO LTM ($ Bil)	7.5
Net Inc LTM ($ Bil)	5.7
Op Mgn LTM	9.3%	18.8%
CFO/Rev LTM	8.3%	20.4%
Net Inc Mgn	6.3%	12.9%
VALUATION	LOW
P/S	0.9	3.1
P/CFO	10.5	15.2
P/FCF	22.3	20.3
P/E	13.8	23.7
STABILITY	GOOD
Debt/Equity	0.37	0.21
Cash/Assets	0.09	0.07

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Metric

UPS Stock

Return (1M):

Factor Drivers of Stock Movement

The 9.5% change in UPS stock from 8/5/2025 to 11/4/2025 was primarily driven by a 11.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	8052025	11042025	Change
Stock Price ($)	85.17	93.25	9.48%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	90910.00	90313.00	-0.66%
Net Income Margin (%)	6.44%	6.34%	-1.50%
P/E Multiple	12.36	13.78	11.50%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	850.00	847.00	0.35%
Cumulative Contribution			9.48%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

The 2.9% change in UPS stock from 5/6/2025 to 11/4/2025 was primarily driven by a 3.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	5062025	11042025	Change
Stock Price ($)	90.58	93.25	2.95%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	91070.00	90313.00	-0.83%
Net Income Margin (%)	6.35%	6.34%	-0.07%
P/E Multiple	13.35	13.78	3.27%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	852.00	847.00	0.59%
Cumulative Contribution			2.94%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

The -25.4% change in UPS stock from 11/4/2024 to 11/4/2025 was primarily driven by a -32.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	11042024	11042025	Change
Stock Price ($)	125.07	93.25	-25.44%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	89502.00	90313.00	0.91%
Net Income Margin (%)	5.87%	6.34%	8.08%
P/E Multiple	20.38	13.78	-32.35%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	856.00	847.00	1.05%
Cumulative Contribution			-25.45%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

The -34.4% change in UPS stock from 11/5/2022 to 11/4/2025 was primarily driven by a -42.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).

	11052022	11042025	Change
Stock Price ($)	142.11	93.25	-34.38%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	101076.00	90313.00	-10.65%
Net Income Margin (%)	11.07%	6.34%	-42.68%
P/E Multiple	11.05	13.78	24.73%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	870.00	847.00	2.64%
Cumulative Contribution			-34.43%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Why The Stock Moved

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat.

United Parcel Service (UPS) reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 28, 2025, which significantly exceeded Wall Street expectations. The company announced diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.74, surpassing the forecasted $1.30 by 33.85%. Additionally, consolidated revenues reached $21.4 billion, exceeding the forecast of $20.84 billion. This strong performance led to a substantial positive market reaction, with UPS shares surging by 12.08% in pre-market trading following the announcement.

2. Effective Cost Management and Strategic Transformation.

UPS demonstrated resilience through its focused execution of a strategic transformation, which included significant cost management initiatives. The company achieved $2.2 billion in cost savings year-to-date and remains on track to meet its full-year expense reduction target of approximately $3.5 billion for 2025. This involved reducing approximately 48,000 positions, comprising 34,000 operational roles and 14,000 management roles, and closing 93 buildings in the first nine months of the year.

1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat.

2. Effective Cost Management and Strategic Transformation.

3. Improvement in U.S. Domestic Operating Margin and Revenue Per Piece.

Despite global economic challenges, UPS successfully improved its U.S. domestic operating margin. The company also reported a 9.8% increase in U.S. revenue per piece year-over-year, marking its best revenue per piece growth in three years. This growth indicates the success of UPS's strategy to prioritize value over volume.

4. Strategic Reduction of Amazon Volume and Network Reconfiguration.

UPS is actively reducing its volume from Amazon, its largest customer, as part of a strategic plan to reconfigure its U.S. network. In the third quarter of 2025, Amazon's total volume handled by UPS decreased by 21.2% year-over-year. This strategy, coupled with the deployment of additional automation through its Network of the Future initiative, contributed to strong expense control and improved revenue per piece.

5. Positive Analyst Revisions and Upbeat Outlook.

Following the impressive Q3 2025 results, Wall Street analysts reacted favorably to UPS's performance. On October 29, 2025, several firms, including Citigroup, Stifel, and UBS, either maintained or upgraded their ratings and raised their price targets for UPS stock. The company also provided confident financial guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, projecting consolidated revenue of $24 billion and a non-GAAP adjusted operating margin between 11.0% and 11.5%.

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Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	Total [1]
Returns
UPS Return	49%	30%	-15%	-6%	-16%	-22%	4%
Peers Return	48%	21%	-29%	66%	18%	4%	157%
S&P 500 Return	16%	27%	-19%	24%	23%	15%	112%
Monthly Win Rates [3]
UPS Win Rate	67%	58%	67%	50%	33%	50%
Peers Win Rate	65%	58%	35%	65%	52%	56%
S&P 500 Win Rate	58%	75%	42%	67%	75%	70%
Max Drawdowns [4]
UPS Max Drawdown	-26%	-8%	-24%	-20%	-20%	-31%
Peers Max Drawdown	-30%	-8%	-41%	-5%	-10%	-24%
S&P 500 Max Drawdown	-31%	-1%	-25%	-1%	-2%	-15%

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, FDX, EXPD, XPO, KNX. See UPS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique Key	Event	UPS	S&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock	2022 Inflation Shock
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss	% Loss	-41.9%	-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	72.2%	34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	Not Fully Recovered days	464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic	2020 Covid Pandemic
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss	% Loss	-27.4%	-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	37.6%	51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	125 days	148 days
2018 Correction	2018 Correction
2018 Correction% Loss	% Loss	-33.0%	-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	49.2%	24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	584 days	120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis	2008 Global Financial Crisis
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss	% Loss	-51.1%	-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	104.6%	131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	1100 days	1480 days

Compare to AMZN, FDX, EXPD, XPO, KNX

In The Past

United Parcel Service's stock fell -41.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2022. A -41.9% loss requires a 72.2% gain to breakeven.

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About United Parcel Service (UPS)

United Parcel Service, Inc. provides letter and package delivery, transportation, logistics, and related services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery of letters, documents, small packages, and palletized freight through air and ground services in the United States. The International Package segment provides guaranteed day and time-definite international shipping services in Europe, the Asia Pacific, Canada and Latin America, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, and Africa. This segment offers guaranteed time-definite express options. The company also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, distribution and post-sales, and mail and consulting services in approximately 200 countries and territories. In addition, it offers truckload brokerage services; supply chain solutions to the healthcare and life sciences industry; shipping, visibility, and billing technologies; and financial and insurance services. The company operates a fleet of approximately 121,000 package cars, vans, tractors, and motorcycles; and owns 59,000 containers that are used to transport cargo in its aircraft. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 analogies to describe UPS succinctly:

Like Amazon's vast global delivery network, but serving every business and individual, not just Amazon's own customers.
Essentially a global, private version of your national postal service, specializing in express package and freight delivery worldwide.

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Small Package Delivery: Provides time-definite shipping services for parcels and documents across ground and air networks, both domestically and internationally.
Freight Forward Services: Offers transportation for larger, palletized, or less-than-truckload (LTL) shipments via air, ocean, and ground modalities.
Contract Logistics and Supply Chain Solutions: Delivers comprehensive supply chain management, including warehousing, distribution, inventory management, and post-sales services for businesses.

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

United Parcel Service (symbol: UPS) primarily sells its services to **other companies (businesses)** rather than directly to individuals as its main source of revenue. Its business model focuses on providing logistics, package delivery, and supply chain solutions to a vast array of organizations. While UPS serves millions of businesses globally and does not publicly disclose individual major customer names due to the highly diversified nature of its client base and competitive reasons, its primary customer segments include: * **E-commerce Retailers (of all sizes):** Companies that sell goods online, ranging from large multinational corporations to small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs), rely on UPS for package delivery to their end consumers (B2C shipping) and for fulfilling business-to-business (B2B) orders. * **Traditional Retailers:** Brick-and-mortar stores, department stores, and other retail chains use UPS for inbound supply chain logistics (getting products to their stores), transferring inventory between locations, and facilitating returns. * **Manufacturing and Industrial Companies:** Businesses involved in production across various sectors (e.g., automotive, electronics, aerospace) utilize UPS for transporting raw materials, parts, and finished goods within their supply chains, both domestically and internationally. * **Healthcare and Life Sciences Companies:** This segment includes pharmaceutical companies, medical device manufacturers, and hospitals that require specialized logistics for temperature-sensitive products, urgent deliveries, and secure transportation of high-value goods. * **High-Tech Companies:** Technology firms often rely on UPS for rapid distribution of products, managing spare parts logistics, and supporting their global supply chains for electronics and components. * **Small and Medium-sized Businesses (SMBs):** Collectively, this vast segment represents a significant portion of UPS's customer base. SMBs across almost every industry use UPS for shipping documents, products, and managing their logistical needs.

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Boeing (BA)
Ford Motor Company (F)
Daimler Truck (DTRUY)
Microsoft (MSFT)
Cisco Systems (CSCO)

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Carol B. Tomé, Chief Executive Officer

Carol B. Tomé has served as the Chief Executive Officer of UPS since 2020, making her the first "outsider" to lead the company. Prior to joining UPS, she was the Chief Financial Officer of The Home Depot for nearly two decades, from 1995 to 2019. During her tenure as CFO, The Home Depot's sales doubled to over $108 billion, and its share price increased by more than 450%. Her earlier career roles included commercial lender at United Bank of Denver (now Wells Fargo), director of banking at Johns-Manville Corporation, and vice president and treasurer of Riverwood International Corporation.

Brian Dykes, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Brian Dykes was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of UPS in July 2024. He has been with UPS for over 25 years, starting his career in 1999. Before becoming CFO, he served as Senior Vice President, Global Finance and Planning since April 2023, and held various positions of increasing responsibility within finance and accounting, corporate treasury, mergers and acquisitions, business intelligence, and business development functions, both in the U.S. and internationally. He previously served on the board of Ware2Go, a UPS Company.

Norman M. Brothers, Jr., Executive Vice President & Chief Legal and Compliance Officer

Norman M. Brothers, Jr. is UPS's Executive Vice President and Chief Legal and Compliance Officer. In this role, he oversees global legal, internal audit, compliance, privacy, labor relations, security operations, and public affairs functions. Brothers joined UPS in 2000 as an attorney in the Corporate Legal Department and has led various legal practice areas. Prior to his time at UPS, he served on active duty as a military prosecutor in the U.S. Army Judge Advocate General's Corps and practiced at the international law firm King & Spalding.

Nando Cesarone, Executive Vice President & President U.S.

Nando Cesarone serves as Executive Vice President and President U.S., overseeing all U.S. small package, transportation, and UPS Airlines operations. He has held various leadership roles across different regions, including President of UPS International and President of UPS Europe, where he led significant business performance and expanded the company's presence in emerging markets. Cesarone began his career with UPS in 1990 as a preloader, utilizing the company's tuition reimbursement program.

Kate Gutmann, Executive Vice President & President International, Healthcare and Supply Chain Solutions

Kate Gutmann is Executive Vice President and President International, Healthcare and Supply Chain Solutions at UPS. She is responsible for all of the company's business operations outside of U.S. small package, including international small package operations, global healthcare, and global supply chain solutions. Gutmann started her UPS career in 1989 as a marketing intern. Her previous roles include Executive Vice President of Global Healthcare and Chief Sales and Solutions Officer, and President of Worldwide Sales, where she was instrumental in expanding the global healthcare business and deepening customer relationships.

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The aggressive expansion of Amazon's logistics network to offer third-party package delivery services beyond its own marketplace, directly competing with UPS for external business clients.
The accelerating development and deployment of autonomous last-mile delivery solutions, such as drones and ground robots, by technology companies and large retailers, which could significantly disrupt traditional package delivery models for lightweight and urgent shipments.

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

United Parcel Service (UPS) operates primarily in three main segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain & Freight. The addressable markets for their main products and services, primarily package delivery, logistics, and freight forwarding, are as follows:

Parcel Delivery (Courier, Express, and Parcel - CEP) Market: The global courier, express, and parcel market was valued at USD 461.69 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 925.48 billion by 2030. This market covers the time-definite delivery of packages and documents. Region: Global.
Logistics Market: The global logistics market size was valued at USD 3,794.4 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 5,951.0 billion by 2030. This encompasses the broader services related to the movement, storage, and flow of goods, including contract logistics and distribution. Region: Global.
Freight Forwarding Market: The global freight forwarding market size was estimated at USD 216.47 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 285.60 billion by 2030. Freight forwarding involves arranging the transportation of goods from one point to another using various carriers. Region: Global.

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

United Parcel Service (UPS) is focusing on several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years, as outlined in recent financial disclosures and analyst insights:

Strategic Shift to High-Margin Segments: UPS is actively repositioning its business to focus on more profitable market segments, notably healthcare logistics and small-to-medium businesses (SMBs). This strategy involves reducing reliance on lower-margin volumes, such as those from Amazon, to enhance overall profitability and capture higher-value opportunities. The company aims to generate approximately $20 billion in revenue from healthcare logistics by 2026.
Growth in International Package Delivery: The international segment is identified as a premium market with significant growth potential for UPS. The company has observed positive momentum in its international average daily volume, with international package revenue increasing by 5.9% year-over-year in Q3 2025. Strategic initiatives like UPS Global Checkout are designed to streamline international e-commerce, remove import cost uncertainties, and consequently boost cross-border shipping volumes and revenue.
Network Optimization and Automation (Network of the Future): UPS's "Network of the Future" initiative is a strategic effort to optimize and further automate its integrated network. While primarily focused on lowering the cost to serve and improving efficiency, this initiative is also expected to enable market share capture and expand UPS's addressable market, driving incremental revenue growth. Investments in advanced warehouse technologies, robotics, and digital platforms are central to this transformation.
Targeted E-commerce Growth: While recalibrating its approach to e-commerce by reducing lower-yielding business, UPS still sees the broader e-commerce sector as a revenue driver. The company's "better, not bigger" strategy in e-commerce emphasizes focusing on high-value segments and optimizing existing network capabilities to ensure profitable growth. Platforms like UPS Marketplace Shipping and the UPS Ready Program are designed to support customers' e-commerce activities and streamline operations.
Emphasis on Revenue Quality and Price Increases: UPS is prioritizing revenue quality, which includes strategic price adjustments and an improved customer and product mix. This focus has already shown results, with a 9.8% increase in U.S. revenue per piece in Q3 2025, driven by base rates and package characteristics. The company's commitment to "winning where it matters most, capturing high-value parts of the market" suggests a continued focus on pricing for value and improving profitability per package.

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

    UPS completed share repurchases of $3.5 billion in 2022, $2.25 billion in 2023, and $500 million in 2024.
    In January 2023, the board authorized a new share repurchase program of $5.0 billion, replacing a prior authorization from August 2021.
    The company repurchased $1.0 billion worth of shares in the first quarter of 2025 and anticipates total share repurchases of approximately $1.0 billion for the full year 2025.


Share Issuance

    Dividends settled in shares of Class A common stock amounted to $111 million as of June 30, 2024, and $153 million as of June 30, 2023.


Outbound Investments

    In January 2025, UPS acquired Frigo-Trans and Biotech & Pharma Logistics, healthcare cold-chain logistics providers based in Germany, for approximately $440 million to enhance its international cold-chain capabilities.
    In April 2025, UPS acquired Andlauer Healthcare Group, a supply chain management company, for $1.6 billion.
    During 2023, UPS acquired Happy Returns, a technology-focused company for end-to-end returns services, and MNX Global Logistics, a global time-critical and temperature-sensitive logistics provider, with the aggregate purchase price for acquisitions in 2023 being approximately $1.3 billion.


Capital Expenditures

    Capital expenditures were $4.769 billion in 2022, $5.158 billion in 2023, and $3.909 billion in 2024.
    For 2025, UPS plans capital expenditures of about $3.5 billion.
    The primary focus of capital expenditures includes incorporating AI and automation to lower costs, optimizing the core integrated network through initiatives like "Network of the Future," and increasing efficiency and capacity.





        Interactive Breakdown
        
        United Parcel Service Interactive Breakdown Analysis





  Better Bets than United Parcel Service (UPS)
  

       
            
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                Sector Best Bets
            
         

                  
        
            
                 UPS Better Performance than UPS
Metric Value Industry (Air Freight & Logistics)
Rev Chg LTM 0.9% FDX (1.1%), EXPD (23.7%), GXO (22.4%), FWRD (35.2%), CYRX (6.4%)
Rev Chg 3Y Avg -3.3% FDX (-2.2%), GXO (14.5%), FWRD (19.0%), CYRX (-3.2%), CIIT (591.1%)
Op Mgn LTM 9.3% EXPD (9.9%)
CFO/Rev LTM 8.3% FDX (8.5%), ATXG (16.3%)
FCF/Rev LTM 3.9% FDX (4.1%), EXPD (7.2%), CHRW (4.9%), ATXG (10.6%)
Total Yield 14.1% CYRX (16.3%)
            
        

        
            
                 UPS Better Performance than UPS
Metric Value Sector (Industrials)
Rev Chg LTM 0.9% GE (17.7%), RTX (8.8%), UBER (18.2%), BA (10.2%), GEV (9.4%)
Rev Chg 3Y Avg -3.3% GE (15.7%), CAT (5.8%), RTX (9.4%), UBER (23.2%), BA (10.1%)
Op Mgn LTM 9.3% GE (20.5%), CAT (18.2%), RTX (10.3%), UBER (9.5%), ETN (18.8%)
CFO/Rev LTM 8.3% GE (17.2%), CAT (18.0%), RTX (9.3%), UBER (18.6%), GEV (9.1%)
FCF/Rev LTM 3.9% GE (14.7%), CAT (12.3%), RTX (5.5%), UBER (18.0%), GEV (6.6%)
Total Yield 14.1% AER (17.7%), GFL (22.6%), FLR (54.2%), AL (15.1%), MATX (16.1%)
            
        

        
            
                 UPS Better Performance than UPS
Metric Value All Other Sectors
Rev Chg LTM 0.9% NVDA (71.6%), AAPL (6.0%), MSFT (15.6%), GOOGL (13.4%), AMZN (10.9%)
Rev Chg 3Y Avg -3.3% NVDA (92.0%), AAPL (1.8%), MSFT (13.2%), GOOGL (11.0%), AMZN (11.3%)
Op Mgn LTM 9.3% NVDA (58.1%), AAPL (31.9%), MSFT (46.3%), GOOGL (32.2%), AMZN (11.4%)
CFO/Rev LTM 8.3% NVDA (46.6%), AAPL (26.6%), MSFT (50.0%), GOOGL (39.3%), AMZN (18.1%)
FCF/Rev LTM 3.9% NVDA (43.6%), AAPL (23.5%), MSFT (26.6%), GOOGL (19.1%), AVGO (41.6%)
Total Yield 14.1% BABA (38.4%), TM (2051.5%), VZ (18.8%), TD (15.1%), CMCSA (27.2%)
            
        
        
        
            
                 Best Bets In Industrials Sector
  UPS GATX VRSK PAYX ADT AME NDSN TDG PCTY FTV VRRM 
What You Pay                      
P/E 13.8 17.5 33.3 25.0 10.8 31.1 28.6 38.9 36.3 27.6 71.8
P/EBIT 9.7 8.4 22.7 18.2 5.1 24.7 19.4 18.9 27.4 13.5 21.3
What You Get                      
Rev Chg Q -2.7% 8.4% 5.9% 10.2% 6.8% 10.8% 12.1% 9.3% 12.2% 2.3% 16.1%
Rev Chg LTM 0.9% 10.7% 7.3% 5.6% 6.6% 3.7% 4.5% 12.8% 7.0% 27.9% 8.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg -3.3% 10.3% 13.4% 6.5% 2.6% 5.9% 3.6% 18.2% 22.7% 9.4% 9.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg 5.2% 39.2% 33.2% 31.6% 24.1% 23.2% 21.5% 20.8% 20.5% 20.1% 19.0%

[1] Choosing top 10 best bets from each sector quarterly is an alpha producing strategy vs sector benchmark
[2] Historical annualized return of 16%, alpha of 4.2%, and sharpe of 0.76
            
        

     





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0 DASHBOARDS    
1 United Parcel Service Stock Jumped 7.7% in a Month, What Now? Return  
2 UPS Has Returned $54 Bil To Shareholders In A Decade    
3 United Parcel Service vs Merck: Which Is A Better Investment? Counter-Intuitive Comparisons  
4 United Parcel Service vs United Airlines: Which Is A Better Investment? Counter-Intuitive Comparisons  
5 How Does United Parcel Service Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? Peer Comparison  
6 Better Bet Than UPS Stock: Pay Less Than United Parcel Service To Get More From UNH, OKE     
7 Better Bet Than UPS Stock: Pay Less Than United Parcel Service To Get More From UAL, ADT     
8 Day 5 of Loss Streak for United Parcel Service Stock with -18% Return (vs. -31% YTD) [8/1/2025] Notification  
9 United Parcel Service vs. Devon Energy: UPS stock's significantly higher valuation vs. DVN appears counterintuitive Counter-Intuitive Comparisons  
10 United Parcel Service vs. Fox: UPS stock's significantly higher valuation vs. FOX appears counterintuitive Counter-Intuitive Comparisons  
11 ARTICLES    
12 S&P 500 Movers | Winners: REGN, MSCI, UPS | Losers: ARE, ZBRA, EG   October 29th, 2025
13 United Parcel Service Stock Has Paid Out $54 Bil to Investors in the Past Decade   October 10th, 2025
14 UPS Has Paid Out $54 Bil to Investors in the Past Decade   September 4th, 2025
15 UPS Stock Down -18% after 5-Day Loss Streak   August 2nd, 2025
16 S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low   July 31st, 2025
         Title
0 DASHBOARDS
1 S&P 500 Movers | Winners: REGN, MSCI, UPS | Losers: ARE, ZBRA, EG
2 United Parcel Service Stock Has Paid Out $54 Bil to Investors in the Past Decade
3 UPS Has Paid Out $54 Bil to Investors in the Past Decade
4 UPS Stock Down -18% after 5-Day Loss Streak
5 S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low
6 ARTICLES
7 United Parcel Service Stock Jumped 7.7% in a Month, What Now?
8 UPS Has Returned $54 Bil To Shareholders In A Decade
9 United Parcel Service vs Merck: Which Is A Better Investment?
10 United Parcel Service vs United Airlines: Which Is A Better Investment?
11 How Does United Parcel Service Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers?
12 Better Bet Than UPS Stock: Pay Less Than United Parcel Service To Get More From UNH, OKE 
13 Better Bet Than UPS Stock: Pay Less Than United Parcel Service To Get More From UAL, ADT 
14 Day 5 of Loss Streak for United Parcel Service Stock with -18% Return (vs. -31% YTD) [8/1/2025]
15 United Parcel Service vs. Devon Energy: UPS stock's significantly higher valuation vs. DVN appears counterintuitive
16 United Parcel Service vs. Fox: UPS stock's significantly higher valuation vs. FOX appears counterintuitive



        Trade Ideas
        
        Select past ideas related to UPS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
        
Unique Key Date Ticker Company Category Trade Strategy 6M Fwd Rtn 12M Fwd Rtn 12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield 10312025 GEO GEO Dip Buy DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin -0.9% -0.9% -0.9%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze 10312025 RUN Sunrun Special Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. -3.8% -3.8% -3.8%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10% 10312025 PLPC Preformed Line Products Quality Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run -0.4% -0.4% -0.4%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper 10172025 VRSK Verisk Analytics Monopoly MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple -7.3% -7.3% -10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy 10102025 CARR Carrier Global Dip Buy DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin 2.5% 2.5% -0.8%
UPS_10312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield 10312023 UPS United Parcel Service Dip Buy DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin 6.8% -0.8% -9.7%
        Unique Key Date Ticker Company Category Trade Strategy 6M Fwd Rtn 12M Fwd Rtn 12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield 10312025 GEO GEO Dip Buy DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin -0.9% -0.9% -0.9%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze 10312025 RUN Sunrun Special Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. -3.8% -3.8% -3.8%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10% 10312025 PLPC Preformed Line Products Quality Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run -0.4% -0.4% -0.4%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper 10172025 VRSK Verisk Analytics Monopoly MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple -7.3% -7.3% -10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy 10102025 CARR Carrier Global Dip Buy DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin 2.5% 2.5% -0.8%
UPS_10312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield 10312023 UPS United Parcel Service Dip Buy DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin 6.8% -0.8% -9.7%



  Recent Active Movers
  

       
            
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  Recent Active Movers
  

       
            
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  Peer Comparisons for United Parcel Service
  Financials
  
   UPS AMZN FDX EXPD XPO KNX Median
Name United P. Amazon.c. FedEx    Expedito. XPO      Knight-S.  
Mkt Price 93.25 249.32 251.88 135.73 140.66 44.79 138.19
Mkt Cap 79.0 2,652.0 59.4 18.5 16.6 7.3 39.0
Rev LTM 90,313 670,038 88,591 11,273 8,067 7,478 49,932
Op Inc LTM 8,399 76,190 6,084 1,116 706 321 3,600
FCF LTM 3,539 13,481 3,654 810 232 -62 2,175
FCF 3Y Avg 4,797 21,677 3,187 1,104 -206 -2 2,146
CFO LTM 7,479 121,137 7,565 862 949 818 4,214
CFO 3Y Avg 9,612 96,977 8,102 1,152 808 947 4,627


 
  Growth & Margins
  
   UPS AMZN FDX EXPD XPO KNX Median
Name United P. Amazon.c. FedEx    Expedito. XPO      Knight-S.  
Rev Chg LTM 0.9% 10.9% 1.1% 23.7% -0.3% -0.0% 1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg -3.3% 11.3% -2.2% -12.5% 38.4% 0.1% -1.0%
Rev Chg Q -2.7% 13.3% 3.1% 8.7% 2.8% 2.7% 3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM -0.7% 3.0% 0.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Op Mgn LTM 9.3% 11.4% 6.9% 9.9% 8.8% 4.3% 9.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg 9.9% 7.9% 6.7% 10.1% 8.0% 4.8% 7.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM -0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM 8.3% 18.1% 8.5% 7.6% 11.8% 10.9% 9.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg 10.4% 15.8% 9.2% 10.1% 10.1% 13.1% 10.3%
FCF/Rev LTM 3.9% 2.0% 4.1% 7.2% 2.9% -0.8% 3.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg 5.2% 3.5% 3.6% 9.7% -2.6% -0.0% 3.6%


 
  Valuation
  
   UPS AMZN FDX EXPD XPO KNX Median
Name United P. Amazon.c. FedEx    Expedito. XPO      Knight-S.  
Mkt Cap 79.0 2,652.0 59.4 18.5 16.6 7.3 39.0
P/S 0.9 4.0 0.7 1.6 2.1 1.0 1.3
P/EBIT 9.7 31.1 9.4 16.6 24.9 20.7 18.6
P/E 13.8 37.6 14.4 21.7 50.0 51.1 29.6
P/CFO 10.6 21.9 7.9 21.5 17.5 8.9 14.0
Total Yield 14.1% 2.7% 9.2% 5.7% 2.0% 3.2% 4.4%
Dividend Yield 6.8% 0.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.0% 1.2% 1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg 4.0% 1.1% 5.2% 6.4% -1.8% -0.1% 2.6%
D/E 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3
Net D/E 0.3 0.0 0.5 -0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3


 
  Returns
  
   UPS AMZN FDX EXPD XPO KNX Median
Name United P. Amazon.c. FedEx    Expedito. XPO      Knight-S.  
1M Rtn 7.5% 13.6% 3.0% 9.9% 9.5% 8.2% 8.8%
3M Rtn 9.5% 16.6% 14.0% 16.7% 16.8% 6.1% 15.3%
6M Rtn 2.9% 34.8% 19.5% 28.7% 30.6% 11.9% 24.1%
12M Rtn -25.4% 27.3% -4.9% 14.2% 5.4% -14.4% 0.2%
3Y Rtn -34.4% 174.0% 71.8% 48.4% 318.4% -3.8% 60.1%
1M Excs Rtn 7.2% 12.4% 1.5% 9.3% 4.9% 3.1% 6.1%
3M Excs Rtn 3.4% 5.4% 5.2% 7.6% 7.6% -1.0% 5.3%
6M Excs Rtn -17.8% 14.0% -1.2% 7.9% 9.8% -8.9% 3.4%
12M Excs Rtn -44.7% 15.1% -24.5% -3.1% -10.9% -31.4% -17.7%
3Y Excs Rtn -108.5% 67.5% -5.8% -29.7% 282.5% -76.2% -17.8%



  Comparison Analyses
  
  
 Title
0 How Does United Parcel Service Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers?
1 JBHT Could Deliver 6.0% Returns And Outperform UPS
2 DIS Could Deliver 9.7% Returns And Outperform UPS
3 ADM Looks Stronger Than UPS With 7.4% Return Potential
4 Why CMCSA With 6.4% Upside May Beat UPS?
5 FDX Looks Stronger Than UPS With 5.3% Return Potential
6 UNP Could Deliver 6.3% Returns And Outperform UPS
7 United Parcel Service vs. Amazon: With Return Forecast Of 70%, Amazon Is A Better Bet
8 CHRW or UPS - With 5.0% Return Forecast, UPS Probably Deserves Your Money
9 United Parcel Service vs. Comcast: With Return Forecast Of 31%, Comcast Is A Better Bet




  FDIC Bank Data
  

       
            
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  Financials


  
    Annual
  
  
    Quarterly
  



  
     
$ Mil | FY: 12/31 LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019
Period End 6/30/2025 12/31/2024 12/31/2023 12/31/2022 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2019
Filing Date 8/6/2025 2/18/2025 2/20/2024 2/21/2023 2/22/2022 2/22/2021 2/20/2020

Key Financials              
Total Revenue 90,313 91,070 90,958 100,338 97,287 84,628 74,094
EBITDA 11,813 11,917 12,726 18,717 20,242 5,243 8,665
Operating Income 8,399 8,468 9,141 13,094 12,810 7,684 7,798
Net Income 5,730 5,782 6,708 11,548 12,890 1,343 4,440
EPS 6.73 6.76 7.81 13.26 14.75 1.55 5.14

Growth Rates              
Total Revenue Growth 0.9% 0.1% -9.3% 3.1% 15.0% 14.2% 3.1%
EBITDA Growth 7.0% -6.4% -32.0% -7.5% 286.1% -39.5% -1.9%
Operating Income Growth 13.9% -7.4% -30.2% 2.2% 66.7% -1.5% 11.0%
Net Income Growth 9.1% -13.8% -41.9% -10.4% 859.8% -69.8% -7.3%

Margins              
EBITDA Margin 13.1% 13.1% 14.0% 18.7% 20.8% 6.2% 11.7%
Operating Income Margin 9.3% 9.3% 10.0% 13.0% 13.2% 9.1% 10.5%
Net Income Margin 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 11.5% 13.2% 1.6% 6.0%

Cash & Debt              
Total Cash 6,286 6,318 6,035 7,595 10,593 6,316 5,741
Total Debt 28,909 25,652 26,729 23,521 25,528 27,754 28,167
Net Debt / (Cash) 22,623 19,334 20,694 15,926 14,935 21,438 22,426

Cash Flows              
Net Cash from Operations 7,479 10,122 10,238 14,104 15,007 10,459 8,639
Free Cash from Operations 3,539 6,213 5,080 9,335 10,813 5,047 2,259

Returns to Shareholders              
Dividends 5,395 5,399 5,372 5,114 3,437 3,374 3,194
Share Repurchases 1,500 500 2,250 3,500 500 224 1,004

  

  
    
    
$ Mil | FY: 12/31 2025Q2 2025Q1 2024Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2023Q4 2023Q3 2023Q2 2023Q1 2022Q4 2022Q3
Period End 6/30/2025 3/31/2025 12/31/2024 9/30/2024 6/30/2024 3/31/2024 12/31/2023 9/30/2023 6/30/2023 3/31/2023 12/31/2022 9/30/2022
Filing Date 8/6/2025 5/7/2025 2/18/2025 11/6/2024 8/7/2024 5/3/2024 2/20/2024 11/1/2023 8/8/2023 5/3/2023 2/21/2023 11/2/2022

Key Financials Quarterly                        
Total Revenue 21,221 21,546 25,301 22,245 21,818 21,706 24,917 21,061 22,055 22,925 27,033 24,161
Ebitda 2,836 2,657 3,275 3,045 2,968 2,629 3,139 2,304 3,739 3,544 5,537 4,220
Operating Income 1,822 1,666 2,926 1,985 1,944 1,613 2,477 1,343 2,780 2,541 3,195 3,113
Net Income 1,283 1,187 1,721 1,539 1,409 1,113 1,605 1,127 2,081 1,895 3,453 2,584
EPS 1.51 1.40 2.02 1.80 1.65 1.30 1.88 1.31 2.42 2.20 3.98 2.97

Key Financials TTM                        
Total Revenue TTM 90,313 90,910 91,070 90,686 89,502 89,739 90,958 93,074 96,174 98,885 100,338 101,076
Ebitda TTM 11,813 11,945 11,917 11,781 11,040 11,811 12,726 15,124 17,040 17,931 18,717 18,069
Operating Income TTM 8,399 8,521 8,468 8,019 7,377 8,213 9,141 9,859 11,629 12,384 13,094 13,790
Net Income TTM 5,730 5,856 5,782 5,666 5,254 5,926 6,708 8,556 10,013 10,781 11,548 11,188

Growth Rates Quarterly                        
Total Revenue Growth -2.7% -0.7% 1.5% 5.6% -1.1% -5.3% -7.8% -12.8% -10.9% -6.0% -2.7% 4.2%
EBITDA Growth -4.4% 1.1% 4.3% 32.2% -20.6% -25.8% -43.3% -45.4% -19.2% -18.2% 13.3% 8.0%
Operating Income Growth -6.3% 3.3% 18.1% 47.8% -30.1% -36.5% -22.5% -56.9% -21.4% -21.8% -17.9% 7.5%
Net Income Growth -8.9% 6.6% 7.2% 36.6% -32.3% -41.3% -53.5% -56.4% -27.0% -28.8% 11.6% 10.9%

Margins Quarterly                        
EBITDA Margin 13.4% 12.3% 12.9% 13.7% 13.6% 12.1% 12.6% 10.9% 17.0% 15.5% 20.5% 17.5%
Operating Income Margin 8.6% 7.7% 11.6% 8.9% 8.9% 7.4% 9.9% 6.4% 12.6% 11.1% 11.8% 12.9%
Net Income Margin 6.0% 5.5% 6.8% 6.9% 6.5% 5.1% 6.4% 5.4% 9.4% 8.3% 12.8% 10.7%

Cash & Debt                        
Total Cash 6,286 5,065 6,318 6,060 6,532 4,513 6,035 7,278 7,883 9,398 7,595 11,376
Total Debt 28,909 25,594 25,652 26,242 26,449 24,397 26,729 25,440 25,116 26,395 23,521 23,870
Net Debt / (Cash) 22,623 20,529 19,334 20,182 19,917 19,884 20,694 18,162 17,233 16,997 15,926 12,494

Cash Flows Quarterly                        
FCF from Operations 348 2,318 3,315 1,498 1,993 3,316 2,411 2,233 3,237 2,357 3,332 2,479

Cash Flows TTM                        
FCF from Operations TTM 7,479 9,124 10,122 9,218 9,953 11,197 10,238 11,159 11,405 11,981 14,104 14,018

Returns to Shareholders Quarterly                        
Dividends 1,349 1,348 1,350 1,348 1,353 1,348 1,338 1,341 1,345 1,348 1,272 1,275
Share Repurchases -0 1,000 -0 500 -0 -0 -0 752 747 751 1,306 952

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Quarterly                        
ROIC 24.9% 25.3% 49.0% 31.7% 29.4% 23.5% 37.2% 26.3% 49.4% 44.9% 62.0% 78.8%

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) TTM                        
ROIC TTM 29.5% 32.7% 34.0% 30.5% 28.9% 32.3% 34.6% 42.3% 52.1% 56.3% 64.0% 86.2%

 







  
    
    Segment Financials
    Revenue by Segment
$ Mil 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020
Single Segment 90,958 100,338      
International Package     19,541 15,945 14,220
Supply Chain Solutions     17,429 15,184 13,381
United States (U.S.) Domestic Package     60,317 53,499 46,493
Total 90,958 100,338 97,287 84,628 74,094



  





  
  Price Behavior


  
    Behavior Stats
  
  
    Betas Matrix
  
  
    Behavior vs Other Asset Classes
  



  
     Price Behavior
Market Price $93.25  
Market Cap ($ Bil) 79.0  
First Trading Date 11/10/1999  
Distance from 52W High -28.8%  
    50 Days 200 Days
DMA Price $86.52 $97.23
DMA Trend down down
Distance from DMA 7.8% -4.1%
  3M 1YR
Volatility 25.0% 32.6%
Downside Capture 77.69 94.18
Upside Capture 95.00 48.90
Correlation (SPY) 36.5% 45.9%

  

  
    
UPS Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2025


  1M 2M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y
Beta 1.00 0.95 0.88 1.26 0.76 0.86
Up Beta -1.04 -0.21 0.40 1.15 0.83 0.89
Down Beta 1.46 1.41 1.25 1.06 0.68 0.69
Up Capture 218% 119% 104% 113% 39% 44%
Bmk +ve Days 14 27 37 74 145 425
Stock +ve Days 16 26 38 66 124 373
Down Capture 47% 80% 66% 165% 95% 103%
Bmk -ve Days 9 17 28 53 106 327
Stock -ve Days 7 18 27 61 126 374


[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
 



  

  
  
  1Y

  
  5Y

  
  10Y

  
  
    Based On 1-Year Data
    
  Comparison of UPS With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
  UPS Sector ETF Equity Gold Commodities Real Estate Bitcoin
Annualized Return -25.9% 14.0% 17.5% 40.7% 2.0% -4.1% 45.5%
Annualized Volatility 32.4% 19.3% 19.7% 19.9% 16.3% 18.0% 36.9%
Sharpe Ratio -0.89 0.55 0.70 1.60 -0.06 -0.38 0.80
Correlation With Other Assets   48.1% 45.8% -8.7% 9.8% 39.8% 11.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
  

  
    Based On 5-Year Data
    
  Comparison of UPS With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
  UPS Sector ETF Equity Gold Commodities Real Estate Bitcoin
Annualized Return -7.7% 16.2% 16.4% 15.1% 12.9% 6.6% 50.5%
Annualized Volatility 28.4% 17.5% 17.2% 15.6% 18.9% 19.1% 49.2%
Sharpe Ratio -0.25 0.76 0.78 0.77 0.57 0.26 0.77
Correlation With Other Assets   55.5% 52.0% 2.7% 14.3% 44.2% 12.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
  

  
    Based On 10-Year Data
    
  Comparison of UPS With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
  UPS Sector ETF Equity Gold Commodities Real Estate Bitcoin
Annualized Return 2.7% 12.9% 14.5% 12.5% 5.3% 5.1% 80.1%
Annualized Volatility 26.9% 19.9% 18.0% 14.7% 17.7% 20.9% 56.2%
Sharpe Ratio 0.13 0.58 0.69 0.69 0.23 0.22 0.97
Correlation With Other Assets   58.6% 57.2% -2.2% 17.9% 44.7% 7.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
  







  
  Short Interest
  
Short Interest: As Of Date 10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity 20,041,959
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025 -5.7%
Average Daily Volume 6,566,522
Days-to-Cover Short Interest 3.05
Basic Shares Quantity 847,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares 2.4%






    Returns Analyses
    
 Title
0 United Parcel Service Stock Jumped 7.7% in a Month, What Now?
1 United Parcel Service During 2008 Recession vs. 2022 Inflation Shock: UPS Stock Has 109% Upside If It Recovers To Pre-Inflation Shock Levels 
2 UPS YTD Stock Return Of -2.9% Underperforms XPO by -46% and Underperforms XPO by -46%
3 United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Has 73% Chance Of Rise In The Next One Month
4 United Parcel Service Stock Return Comparison




  
    Earnings Returns History
    
    
        
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    SEC Filings
        
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Report Date Filing Date Filing
6302025 8062025 10-Q 6/30/2025
3312025 5072025 10-Q 3/31/2025
12312024 2182025 10-K 12/31/2024
9302024 11062024 10-Q 9/30/2024
6302024 8072024 10-Q 6/30/2024
3312024 5032024 10-Q 3/31/2024
12312023 2202024 10-K 12/31/2023
9302023 11012023 10-Q 9/30/2023
6302023 8082023 10-Q 6/30/2023
3312023 5032023 10-Q 3/31/2023
12312022 2212023 10-K 12/31/2022
9302022 11022022 10-Q 9/30/2022
6302022 8032022 10-Q 6/30/2022
3312022 5042022 10-Q 3/31/2022
12312021 2222022 10-K 12/31/2021
9302021 11042021 10-Q 9/30/2021

        

        
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Report Date Filing Date Filing
6302025 8062025 10-Q 6/30/2025
3312025 5072025 10-Q 3/31/2025
12312024 2182025 10-K 12/31/2024
9302024 11062024 10-Q 9/30/2024
6302024 8072024 10-Q 6/30/2024
3312024 5032024 10-Q 3/31/2024
12312023 2202024 10-K 12/31/2023
9302023 11012023 10-Q 9/30/2023
6302023 8082023 10-Q 6/30/2023
3312023 5032023 10-Q 3/31/2023
12312022 2212023 10-K 12/31/2022
9302022 11022022 10-Q 9/30/2022
6302022 8032022 10-Q 6/30/2022
3312022 5042022 10-Q 3/31/2022
12312021 2222022 10-K 12/31/2021
9302021 11042021 10-Q 9/30/2021
6302021 8062021 10-Q 6/30/2021
3312021 5052021 10-Q 3/31/2021
12312020 2222021 10-K 12/31/2020
9302020 11022020 10-Q 9/30/2020
6302020 8042020 10-Q 6/30/2020
3312020 5082020 10-Q 3/31/2020
12312019 2202020 10-K 12/31/2019
9302019 10292019 10-Q 9/30/2019
6302019 7302019 10-Q 6/30/2019
3312019 4302019 10-Q 3/31/2019
12312018 2212019 10-K 12/31/2018
9302018 10302018 10-Q 9/30/2018

        
  




  
    
    Insider Activity
        
            Expand for More
            
  Owner Title Filing Date Action Price Shares Transacted
Value Value of
Held Shares Form
0 Shi Christiana Smith   8262025 Buy 88.17 500 44,084 44,084 Form
1 Cesarone Nando President, US Operations 11262024 Sell 137.10 10,000 1,371,022 5,041,178 Form
2 Brothers Norman M. Jr Chief Legal & Compliance Off 11262024 Sell 138.57 7,325 1,015,009   Form

        

        
            Collapse to Preview
            
  Owner Title Filing Date Action Price Shares Transacted
Value Value of
Held Shares Form
0 Shi Christiana Smith   8262025 Buy 88.17 500 44,084 44,084 Form
1 Cesarone Nando President, US Operations 11262024 Sell 137.10 10,000 1,371,022 5,041,178 Form
2 Brothers Norman M. Jr Chief Legal & Compliance Off 11262024 Sell 138.57 7,325 1,015,009   Form

        
  




  
    
      
      Industry Resources
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      External Quote Links
      
      
0 Y Finance Barrons
1 TradingView Morningstar
2 SeekingAlpha ValueLine
3 Motley Fool Robinhood
4 CNBC Etrade
5 MarketWatch Unusual Whales
6 YCharts Perplexity Finance
7 FinViz  


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	Title	Topic	Date
0	DASHBOARDS
1	United Parcel Service Stock Jumped 7.7% in a Month, What Now?	Return
2	UPS Has Returned $54 Bil To Shareholders In A Decade
3	United Parcel Service vs Merck: Which Is A Better Investment?	Counter-Intuitive Comparisons
4	United Parcel Service vs United Airlines: Which Is A Better Investment?	Counter-Intuitive Comparisons
5	How Does United Parcel Service Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers?	Peer Comparison
6	Better Bet Than UPS Stock: Pay Less Than United Parcel Service To Get More From UNH, OKE
7	Better Bet Than UPS Stock: Pay Less Than United Parcel Service To Get More From UAL, ADT
8	Day 5 of Loss Streak for United Parcel Service Stock with -18% Return (vs. -31% YTD) [8/1/2025]	Notification
9	United Parcel Service vs. Devon Energy: UPS stock's significantly higher valuation vs. DVN appears counterintuitive	Counter-Intuitive Comparisons
10	United Parcel Service vs. Fox: UPS stock's significantly higher valuation vs. FOX appears counterintuitive	Counter-Intuitive Comparisons
11	ARTICLES
12	S&P 500 Movers \| Winners: REGN, MSCI, UPS \| Losers: ARE, ZBRA, EG		October 29th, 2025
13	United Parcel Service Stock Has Paid Out $54 Bil to Investors in the Past Decade		October 10th, 2025
14	UPS Has Paid Out $54 Bil to Investors in the Past Decade		September 4th, 2025
15	UPS Stock Down -18% after 5-Day Loss Streak		August 2nd, 2025
16	S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low		July 31st, 2025

Unique Key	Date	Ticker	Company	Category	Trade Strategy	6M Fwd Rtn	12M Fwd Rtn	12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	10312025	GEO	GEO	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	-0.9%	-0.9%	-0.9%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze	10312025	RUN	Sunrun	Special	Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.	-3.8%	-3.8%	-3.8%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%	10312025	PLPC	Preformed Line Products	Quality	Q \| Momentum \| UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run	-0.4%	-0.4%	-0.4%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper	10172025	VRSK	Verisk Analytics	Monopoly	MY \| Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple	-7.3%	-7.3%	-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy	10102025	CARR	Carrier Global	Dip Buy	DB \| P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin	2.5%	2.5%	-0.8%
UPS_10312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	10312023	UPS	United Parcel Service	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	6.8%	-0.8%	-9.7%

	UPS	AMZN	FDX	EXPD	XPO	KNX	Median
Name	United P.	Amazon.c.	FedEx	Expedito.	XPO	Knight-S.
Mkt Price	93.25	249.32	251.88	135.73	140.66	44.79	138.19
Mkt Cap	79.0	2,652.0	59.4	18.5	16.6	7.3	39.0
Rev LTM	90,313	670,038	88,591	11,273	8,067	7,478	49,932
Op Inc LTM	8,399	76,190	6,084	1,116	706	321	3,600
FCF LTM	3,539	13,481	3,654	810	232	-62	2,175
FCF 3Y Avg	4,797	21,677	3,187	1,104	-206	-2	2,146
CFO LTM	7,479	121,137	7,565	862	949	818	4,214
CFO 3Y Avg	9,612	96,977	8,102	1,152	808	947	4,627

	Title
0	How Does United Parcel Service Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers?
1	JBHT Could Deliver 6.0% Returns And Outperform UPS
2	DIS Could Deliver 9.7% Returns And Outperform UPS
3	ADM Looks Stronger Than UPS With 7.4% Return Potential
4	Why CMCSA With 6.4% Upside May Beat UPS?
5	FDX Looks Stronger Than UPS With 5.3% Return Potential
6	UNP Could Deliver 6.3% Returns And Outperform UPS
7	United Parcel Service vs. Amazon: With Return Forecast Of 70%, Amazon Is A Better Bet
8	CHRW or UPS - With 5.0% Return Forecast, UPS Probably Deserves Your Money
9	United Parcel Service vs. Comcast: With Return Forecast Of 31%, Comcast Is A Better Bet

$ Mil	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020
Single Segment	90,958	100,338
International Package			19,541	15,945	14,220
Supply Chain Solutions			17,429	15,184	13,381
United States (U.S.) Domestic Package			60,317	53,499	46,493
Total	90,958	100,338	97,287	84,628	74,094

Short Interest: As Of Date	10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity	20,041,959
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025	-5.7%
Average Daily Volume	6,566,522
Days-to-Cover Short Interest	3.05
Basic Shares Quantity	847,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares	2.4%

	Title
0	United Parcel Service Stock Jumped 7.7% in a Month, What Now?
1	United Parcel Service During 2008 Recession vs. 2022 Inflation Shock: UPS Stock Has 109% Upside If It Recovers To Pre-Inflation Shock Levels
2	UPS YTD Stock Return Of -2.9% Underperforms XPO by -46% and Underperforms XPO by -46%
3	United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Has 73% Chance Of Rise In The Next One Month
4	United Parcel Service Stock Return Comparison

Report Date	Filing Date	Filing
6302025	8062025	10-Q 6/30/2025
3312025	5072025	10-Q 3/31/2025
12312024	2182025	10-K 12/31/2024
9302024	11062024	10-Q 9/30/2024
6302024	8072024	10-Q 6/30/2024
3312024	5032024	10-Q 3/31/2024
12312023	2202024	10-K 12/31/2023
9302023	11012023	10-Q 9/30/2023
6302023	8082023	10-Q 6/30/2023
3312023	5032023	10-Q 3/31/2023
12312022	2212023	10-K 12/31/2022
9302022	11022022	10-Q 9/30/2022
6302022	8032022	10-Q 6/30/2022
3312022	5042022	10-Q 3/31/2022
12312021	2222022	10-K 12/31/2021
9302021	11042021	10-Q 9/30/2021

	Owner	Title	Filing Date	Action	Price	Shares	Transacted Value	Value of Held Shares	Form
0	Shi Christiana Smith		8262025	Buy	88.17	500	44,084	44,084	Form
1	Cesarone Nando	President, US Operations	11262024	Sell	137.10	10,000	1,371,022	5,041,178	Form
2	Brothers Norman M. Jr	Chief Legal & Compliance Off	11262024	Sell	138.57	7,325	1,015,009		Form

0	Y Finance	Barrons
1	TradingView	Morningstar
2	SeekingAlpha	ValueLine
3	Motley Fool	Robinhood
4	CNBC	Etrade
5	MarketWatch	Unusual Whales
6	YCharts	Perplexity Finance
7	FinViz

United Parcel Service (UPS)

Market Price (11/5/2025): $92.14 | Market Cap: $78.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

United Parcel Service (UPS)

Market Price (11/5/2025): $92.14Market Cap: $78.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Air Freight & Logistics

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UPS Stock

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Market Price (11/5/2025): $92.14 | Market Cap: $78.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

Market Price (11/5/2025): $92.14
Market Cap: $78.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Air Freight & Logistics