Tearsheet

UnitedHealth (UNH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $332.92 | Market Cap: $301.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Managed Health Care

UnitedHealth (UNH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $332.92
Market Cap: $301.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Managed Health Care

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UNH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

UnitedHealth (UNH) experienced notable stock movements between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. During this period, the stock showed a recovery and upward trend, influenced by several factors.

1. Reinstatement of Guidance and Analyst Optimism: UnitedHealth Group's stock began to recover significantly after the company reinstated its forward-looking guidance in July 2025, following an earlier suspension. Analysts expressed optimism about the company's margin recovery and projected earnings power, with some forecasting around $30 per share by 2028 or 2029. Wolfe Research, for instance, raised its price target to $375 from $330 in October 2025.

2. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: UnitedHealth reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.92, surpassing analyst expectations of $2.87. Revenue increased by 12% year-over-year, reaching $113.2 billion. This strong performance and an upward revision of its full-year 2025 earnings outlook to at least $16.25 adjusted EPS signaled confidence despite ongoing cost pressures.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UNH Return21%45%7%1%-2%-35%21%
Peers Return12%34%11%-6%-26%-2%14%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UNH Win Rate58%58%42%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate47%55%58%47%38%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UNH Max Drawdown-33%-8%-9%-15%-16%-52% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-5%-14%-24%-30%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CVS, CI, HUM, CNC, MOH. See UNH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUNHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-19.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven370 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven243 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven261.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1229 days1480 days

Compare to CVS, CI, HUM, CNC, MOH


In The Past

UnitedHealth's stock fell -19.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/31/2022. A -19.3% loss requires a 24.0% gain to breakeven.

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About UnitedHealth (UNH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UNH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
UNH_5312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG05312025UNHUnitedHealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%8.9%-20.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
UNH_5312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG05312025UNHUnitedHealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%8.9%-20.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for UnitedHealth

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UNHCVSCIHUMCNCMOHMedian
NameUnitedHe.CVS Heal.Cigna Humana Centene Molina H. 
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Growth & Margins

UNHCVSCIHUMCNCMOHMedian
NameUnitedHe.CVS Heal.Cigna Humana Centene Molina H. 
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QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
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FCF/Rev LTM-------
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Valuation

UNHCVSCIHUMCNCMOHMedian
NameUnitedHe.CVS Heal.Cigna Humana Centene Molina H. 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
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Returns

UNHCVSCIHUMCNCMOHMedian
NameUnitedHe.CVS Heal.Cigna Humana Centene Molina H. 
1M Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
UnitedHealthcare281,360249,741222,899200,875193,842
Optum Rx116,08799,77335,53535,07832,195
Optum Health95,31971,17424,83117,32712,351
Optum Insight18,93214,5814,3323,8613,767
Optum Eliminations-3,703-2,760   
Corporate and Eliminations-136,373-108,347   
Total371,622324,162287,597257,141242,155


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
UnitedHealthcare16,41514,37911,97512,35910,326
Optum Health6,5606,0324,4623,4342,963
Optum Rx5,1154,4364,1353,8873,902
Optum Insight4,2683,5883,3982,7252,494
Corporate and Eliminations00   
Optum Eliminations00   
Total32,35828,43523,97022,40519,685


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
UnitedHealthcare110,943107,094102,96798,22988,250
Optum Health89,43268,95060,47452,07340,444
Optum Rx51,26647,47640,18139,28036,346
Optum Insight34,17331,09016,86815,42515,181
Optum Eliminations00   
Corporate and Eliminations-12,094-8,905-8,284-7,718-6,332
Total273,720245,705212,206197,289173,889


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,327,679
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.1%
Average Daily Volume9,116,014
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.35
Basic Shares Quantity906,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Baker Charles D. 9152025Sell356.05279,613 Form
1Conway Patrick HughChief Executive Officer, Optum6122025Sell305.00589179,6453,171,528Form
2REX JOHN FPresident & CFO5162025Buy291.1217,1754,999,91959,328,308Form
3HEMSLEY STEPHEN JCEO, UHG5162025Buy288.5786,70025,019,019196,081,278Form
4FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK 5162025Buy320.801,533491,7861,935,386Form