UBS (UBS)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $38.93 | Market Cap: $122.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks
UBS (UBS)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $38.93Market Cap: $122.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 90% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 4.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 4.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Show more. |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 90% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
UBS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why UBS stock moved by approximately 4.3% from July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results: UBS reported robust performance for the third quarter of 2025, with net profit attributable to shareholders significantly increasing to $2.481 billion from $1.425 billion in the prior year period. The company achieved a return on equity of 11.1% and a return on tangible equity of 12.0%, indicating improved profitability and growth. Revenue reached $12.76 billion, with all core businesses contributing to growth.
2. Significant Litigation Reserve Releases: The Q3 2025 financial results were positively impacted by net litigation reserve releases of $668 million. These releases stemmed primarily from the resolution of legal matters related to Credit Suisse's Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) business and UBS Group AG's legacy cross-border activities in France, directly boosting the company's net profit.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UBS Return | 19% | 28% | 6% | 70% | 1% | 33% | 267% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 35% | -15% | 17% | 42% | 36% | 167% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UBS Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 63% | 42% | 50% | 65% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UBS Max Drawdown | -39% | 0% | -21% | -3% | -13% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -2% | -29% | -14% | -4% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, MS, GS, C. See UBS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UBS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -51.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 105.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 909 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 388.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5800 days | 1480 days |
Compare to JPM, BAC, MS, GS, C
In The Past
UBS's stock fell -34.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -34.3% loss requires a 52.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UBS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.2% | 1.2% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -6.9% | -7.4% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.2% | 1.2% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -6.9% | -7.4% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for UBS
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 132.08 |
| Mkt Cap | 251.1 |
| Rev LTM | 74,746 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | -2,344 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -27,669 |
| CFO LTM | 308 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -24,915 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -37.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -3.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -40.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 251.1 |
| P/S | 3.8 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 14.6 |
| P/CFO | 1.9 |
| Total Yield | 6.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -11.5% |
| D/E | 1.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 27.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 125.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 15.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 61.6% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Wealth Management | 567,648 | 388,530 | 395,235 | 367,714 | 309,766 |
| Personal & Corporate Banking | 483,794 | 235,226 | 225,370 | 231,657 | 209,405 |
| Investment Bank | 428,269 | 391,320 | 346,431 | 369,683 | 315,855 |
| Non-core and Legacy | 201,453 | ||||
| Asset Management | 21,804 | 17,348 | 25,639 | 28,589 | 34,565 |
| Group Items | 14,277 | 71,940 | 124,507 | 128,122 | 102,603 |
| Total | 1,717,245 | 1,104,364 | 1,117,182 | 1,125,765 | 972,194 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 3312021 | 4272021 | 6-K 3/31/2021 |
| 12312020 | 3052021 | 20-F 12/31/2020 |
| 9302020 | 10202020 | 6-K 9/30/2020 |
| 6302020 | 7212020 | 6-K 6/30/2020 |
| 3312020 | 4282020 | 6-K 3/31/2020 |
| 12312019 | 3032020 | 20-F 12/31/2019 |
| 9302019 | 10222019 | 6-K 9/30/2019 |
| 6302019 | 7232019 | 6-K 6/30/2019 |
| 3312019 | 4252019 | 6-K 3/31/2019 |
| 12312018 | 3152019 | 20-F 12/31/2018 |
| 9302018 | 10252018 | 6-K 9/30/2018 |
| 6302018 | 7242018 | 6-K 6/30/2018 |
| 3312018 | 4232018 | 6-K 3/31/2018 |
| 12312017 | 3092018 | 20-F 12/31/2017 |
| 9302017 | 10272017 | 6-K 9/30/2017 |
| 6302017 | 7282017 | 6-K 6/30/2017 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
