Under Armour (UA)
Market Price (11/17/2025): $4.12 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Under Armour (UA)
Market Price (11/17/2025): $4.12Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 81% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sports & Active Lifestyle. Themes include Performance Sportswear Innovation, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Eco-friendly Products. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 51x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.9% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sports & Active Lifestyle. Themes include Performance Sportswear Innovation, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Eco-friendly Products. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 81% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 51x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.9% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
UA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Under Armour (UA) experienced a notable decline in its stock price, dropping by approximately 31% between July 31, 2025, and November 15, 2025, primarily due to several key factors related to its financial performance, strategic decisions, and market sentiment.
1. Under Armour reported weak financial results and provided a negative outlook for fiscal year 2026. The company's Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings, released on August 8, 2025, included a revenue decline and a projection of operating income at roughly half of the previous year's levels, citing $100 million in incremental tariff-related costs and softer consumer demand as significant headwinds for fiscal 2026. This negative outlook extended to Q2 fiscal 2026, released on November 6, 2025, which showed a 5% decrease in overall revenue and an 8% decline in North American revenue, with footwear revenue dropping by 16%.
2. The company announced an expansion of its restructuring plan, leading to increased charges and a projected GAAP operating loss. On November 13, 2025, Under Armour expanded its fiscal 2025 restructuring plan, increasing the anticipated pre-tax charges by an additional $95 million, bringing the total estimated charges up to $255 million. This expanded plan, on a GAAP basis, led the company to anticipate an operating loss of $56 million to $71 million for fiscal year 2026, a significant downgrade from its previous expectation of operating income.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UA Return | -22% | 21% | -51% | -6% | -11% | -42% | -77% |
| Peers Return | 12% | 10% | -30% | 28% | 2% | -16% | -6% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UA Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 48% | 32% | 58% | 52% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UA Max Drawdown | -64% | -1% | -67% | -33% | -26% | -42% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -13% | -47% | -16% | -31% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NKE, LULU, RL, VFC, PVH. See UA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 282.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -64.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 179.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 335 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -61.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 158.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to NKE, LULU, RL, VFC, PVH
In The Past
Under Armour's stock fell -73.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -73.8% loss requires a 282.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| 05312022 | UA | Under Armour | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -32.2% | -39.0% |
| 03312020 | UA | Under Armour | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 21.2% | 129.0% | -14.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| 05312022 | UA | Under Armour | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -32.2% | -39.0% |
| 03312020 | UA | Under Armour | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 21.2% | 129.0% | -14.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Under Armour
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 70.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.1 |
| Rev LTM | 9,159 |
| Op Inc LTM | 900 |
| FCF LTM | 592 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 593 |
| CFO LTM | 873 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 833 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.1 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 17.7 |
| P/E | 17.6 |
| P/CFO | 17.1 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -23.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -41.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -36.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -111.1% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -1.6% | 3.6% | |
| 8/8/2025 | -17.2% | -24.1% | -21.5% |
| 5/13/2025 | 1.7% | 5.3% | 11.4% |
| 2/6/2025 | -4.6% | -10.4% | -12.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% |
| 8/8/2024 | 18.3% | 22.2% | 19.6% |
| 5/16/2024 | -0.3% | 1.4% | -2.0% |
| 2/8/2024 | -0.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| # Negative | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.4% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -14.8% | -11.5% |
| Max Positive | 23.3% | 22.2% | 42.1% |
| Max Negative | -25.9% | -27.1% | -45.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5222025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5292024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5242023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-QT 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Sweeney Robert John | 8212025 | Buy | 4.88 | 100,000 | 488,200 | 652,703 | Form | |
| 1 | El-Erian Mohamed | 8192025 | Buy | 5.20 | 100,000 | 519,960 | 580,535 | Form | |
| 2 | Aumen Eric J | Chief Accounting Officer | 8142025 | Buy | 4.89 | 2,045 | 10,000 | 448,872 | Form |
| 3 | Fitzpatrick Dawn N. | 8142025 | Buy | 4.93 | 100,000 | 493,000 | 659,120 | Form | |
| 4 | Bergman David | Chief Financial Officer | 12032024 | Sell | 9.09 | 30,000 | 272,604 | 4,490,787 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
