Under Armour (UA)


Market Price (8/13/2026): $5.125 | Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Under Armour (UA)


Market Price (8/13/2026): $5.125
Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sports & Active Lifestyle. Themes include Performance Sportswear Innovation, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Eco-friendly Products.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.8

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 0.0%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.2%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27%

Key risks
UA key risks include [1] struggling brand relevance and heavy reliance on the North American market, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sports & Active Lifestyle. Themes include Performance Sportswear Innovation, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Eco-friendly Products.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.8
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 0.0%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.2%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27%
7 Key risks
UA key risks include [1] struggling brand relevance and heavy reliance on the North American market, Show more.

UA in ETFs

Weight = UA's share of each fund

IWM0.04%
IJR0.04%
VB0.01%
SLYV0.08%
IJS0.08%
VIOV0.08%
IWN0.07%
VTWO0.04%
+4 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/11/2026

Under Armour (UA) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Initial Weak Fiscal 2027 Outlook and Q4 Fiscal 2026 Performance.

Under Armour reported its fourth quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results on May 12, 2026. Revenue for Q4 Fiscal 2026 decreased by 1% to $1.2 billion (down 4% on a constant currency basis). The initial outlook for fiscal 2027 (ending March 31, 2027) projected revenue to be "down slightly overall," with North America expected to be "down low single digits." This conservative guidance was met with a significant negative market reaction, leading to a 17% drop in the stock price on the day of the announcement.

2. Downward Revision of Fiscal 2027 Revenue Expectations.

On August 7, 2026, Under Armour released its first quarter fiscal 2027 results (period ended June 30, 2026) and further lowered its full-year fiscal 2027 revenue outlook. [cite: 4 in prior step] The company now expects revenue to decline at a "mid-single-digit percentage rate" compared to the earlier projection of a "light decline." [cite: 4 in prior step] This updated outlook was primarily driven by a challenging consumer demand environment, particularly in the North America and Asia-Pacific markets. [cite: 4 in prior step]

Show more
Updated on 8/11/2026

Under Armour (UA) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Initial Weak Fiscal 2027 Outlook and Q4 Fiscal 2026 Performance.

Under Armour reported its fourth quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results on May 12, 2026. Revenue for Q4 Fiscal 2026 decreased by 1% to $1.2 billion (down 4% on a constant currency basis). The initial outlook for fiscal 2027 (ending March 31, 2027) projected revenue to be "down slightly overall," with North America expected to be "down low single digits." This conservative guidance was met with a significant negative market reaction, leading to a 17% drop in the stock price on the day of the announcement.

2. Downward Revision of Fiscal 2027 Revenue Expectations.

On August 7, 2026, Under Armour released its first quarter fiscal 2027 results (period ended June 30, 2026) and further lowered its full-year fiscal 2027 revenue outlook. [cite: 4 in prior step] The company now expects revenue to decline at a "mid-single-digit percentage rate" compared to the earlier projection of a "light decline." [cite: 4 in prior step] This updated outlook was primarily driven by a challenging consumer demand environment, particularly in the North America and Asia-Pacific markets. [cite: 4 in prior step]

3. Persistent Weakness in North America Sales.

A significant factor contributing to the stock's decline was the continued underperformance in Under Armour's largest market, North America. In Q1 Fiscal 2027, North America revenue declined by 9% to $610 million. [cite: 4 in prior step] This sustained weakness in a key region directly impacted the company's overall revenue, prompting the revised full-year forecast.

4. Negative Market Reaction to Earnings and Outlook Updates.

The combination of disappointing quarterly results and subsequent downward revisions to full-year guidance created a negative sentiment among investors. The stock experienced a notable decline of 17% following the Q4 Fiscal 2026 report and an additional 4.5% after the Q1 Fiscal 2027 report. [cite: 5, 12 in prior step] This compounded prior losses, as the stock was already down approximately 10% in the 30 days leading up to the Q1 announcement. [cite: 12 in prior step]

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -15.7% change in UA stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268122026Change
Stock Price ($)6.075.12-15.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,9764,930-0.9%
P/S Multiple0.50.4-14.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)425428-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution-15.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UA-15.7% 
Market (SPY)7.5%21.8%
Sector (XLY)-0.4%41.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -15.7% change in UA stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268122026Change
Stock Price ($)6.075.12-15.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,0494,930-2.4%
P/S Multiple0.50.4-13.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4284280.1%
Cumulative Contribution-15.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UA-15.7% 
Market (SPY)11.9%30.7%
Sector (XLY)-2.5%35.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.7% change in UA stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258122026Change
Stock Price ($)6.305.12-18.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,1644,930-4.5%
P/S Multiple0.50.4-15.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4294280.4%
Cumulative Contribution-18.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UA-18.7% 
Market (SPY)23.3%28.2%
Sector (XLY)7.1%33.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -31.0% change in UA stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238122026Change
Stock Price ($)7.425.12-31.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,9034,930-16.5%
P/S Multiple0.60.4-20.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4444283.8%
Cumulative Contribution-31.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UA-31.0% 
Market (SPY)74.7%37.0%
Sector (XLY)38.8%38.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
UA Return21%-51%-6%-11%-36%8%-65%
Peers Return18%-12%28%9%-35%-20%-25%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UA Win Rate58%33%50%50%33%62% 
Peers Win Rate56%35%67%50%42%41% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UA Max Drawdown-25%-67%-47%-28%-49%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-39%-22%-31%-52%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NKE, LULU, DECK, COLM. See UA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/12/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventUAS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-29.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-17.5%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven49 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-31.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.1%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven532 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-53.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven117.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven245 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-19.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven31 days105 days

Compare to NKE, LULU, DECK, COLM

In The Past

Under Armour's stock fell -29.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 41.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventUAS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-29.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-31.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.1%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven532 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-53.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven117.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven245 days140 days

Compare to NKE, LULU, DECK, COLM

In The Past

Under Armour's stock fell -29.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 41.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Under Armour (UA)

Under Armour, Inc. is a global company that designs, markets, and distributes performance-oriented athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories. The company focuses on equipping men, women, and youth with innovative products engineered to enhance athletic performance, comfort, and style.

Its core product lines include a wide array of apparel offered in various fits like compression, fitted, and loose. Footwear products cater to diverse sports and activities such as running, training, basketball, and recovery. Under Armour also provides essential accessories like gloves, bags, and headwear. Complementing its physical products, the company offers digital subscription and advertising services through its popular MapMyRun and MapMyRide platforms.

Under Armour primarily serves athletes and active individuals worldwide, operating across markets in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific region, and Latin America. Products are sold through a dual channel approach: wholesale to national and regional sporting goods chains, department stores, and institutional athletic programs, and directly to consumers via its network of brand and factory house stores and e-commerce websites.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Under Armour (UA):

  • Like Nike or Adidas, but with an intense focus on performance athletic gear.
  • A performance-focused rival to Nike and Adidas in athletic apparel and footwear.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Under Armour (UA) offers the following major products and services:

  • Performance Apparel: Clothing designed for athletic activities, available in compression, fitted, and loose styles.
  • Footwear: Athletic shoes tailored for various sports and applications, including running, training, and basketball.
  • Accessories: Supplementary items for athletes such as gloves, bags, headwear, and sports masks.
  • Digital Subscription and Advertising Services: Online platforms like MapMyRun and MapMyRide providing digital tracking and engagement services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Under Armour (UA) sells its products primarily through wholesale channels to other companies, which then resell to individual consumers. While it also sells directly to consumers through its own stores and e-commerce websites, its extensive wholesale network suggests a primary focus on business-to-business (B2B) distribution for broad market reach. Major categories of its wholesale customers include:

  • National and Regional Sporting Goods Chains: These are large retailers specializing in athletic apparel, footwear, and equipment. Examples of public companies in this category that are likely major customers include:
    • DICK'S Sporting Goods (NYSE: DKS)
    • Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASO)
    • Hibbett, Inc. (NASDAQ: HIBB)
  • Department Store Chains: General merchandise retailers that often feature athletic wear sections. Examples of public companies in this category that are likely major customers include:
    • Kohl's Corporation (NYSE: KSS)
    • Macy's, Inc. (NYSE: M)
  • Institutional Athletic Departments, Leagues, and Teams: These organizations purchase products directly for their athletes, staff, or members (e.g., colleges, universities, professional sports teams). These entities are typically not public companies with stock symbols.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Under Armour, Inc. (UA) has a robust management team leading its global operations.

Kevin Plank

President & Chief Executive Officer Kevin Plank is the founder of Under Armour, Inc. and returned as President and Chief Executive Officer on April 1, 2024. He previously served as the company's CEO from its founding in 1996 until 2019, and then as Executive Chair and Brand Chief from January 2020 to April 2024. Under his leadership, Under Armour grew into a multi-billion-dollar business. Plank's vision has been the driving force behind the brand's innovative products.

Reza Taleghani

Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer Reza Taleghani is set to join Under Armour as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in February 2026, succeeding David Bergman. He brings over twenty-five years of global financial and operational leadership experience. Prior to Under Armour, Taleghani served as Executive Vice President and CFO at Samsonite Group S.A. since 2018, where he oversaw global finance operations and led financial transformations resulting in record margins. Before Samsonite, he was President and CFO at Brightstar Corp., a SoftBank portfolio company, where he managed key international acquisitions. His career also includes more than 15 years at J.P. Morgan in various senior roles across investment banking, commercial banking, and asset management, and he served as President and CEO of Sterling Airlines A/S.

Kara Trent

Chief Merchandising Officer Kara Trent was appointed Chief Merchandising Officer, effective February 2, 2026. In this role, she is responsible for leading category management and go-to-market initiatives, overseeing product line architecture, assortment planning, and channel segmentation across Under Armour's global portfolio. Trent has 24 years of industry experience in buying, planning, merchandising, and regional leadership. She previously served as President, Americas, Under Armour's largest region, and as Managing Director for EMEA, where she delivered sustained growth and premium distribution. She also held roles at Puma and Reebok.

Adam Peake

President, Americas Adam Peake was named President, Americas, effective February 2, 2026. In this position, he leads Under Armour's business across North and South America, overseeing marketplace strategy, distribution, and omni-channel growth. Peake has over 25 years of leadership experience, including 16 years in various senior roles at Under Armour, spanning U.S. sales, global marketing, footwear, and sport category leadership.

Yassine Saidi

Senior Advisor, Design & Product Expression Effective February 2, 2026, Yassine Saidi will transition to a Senior Advisor role, focusing on design expression and creative continuity for Under Armour. He joined Under Armour in early 2024 as Product Director (also referred to as Chief Product Officer) and has been instrumental in evolving the brand's design language and elevating performance expression. Saidi is a veteran of the sportswear industry, with a career that includes significant roles at other major athletic apparel companies. Before Under Armour, he spent nine years at Puma, where he built the "Lab Puma" initiative, injecting fashion, music, and culture into performance and initiating major collaborations that contributed to substantial revenue growth. He also previously worked at Adidas, heading accessories and swimwear, and later became International Tennis Director.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Under Armour (UA) faces several key risks that could impact its business performance, primarily stemming from an intensely competitive market, challenges in its largest geographic segment, and ongoing supply chain vulnerabilities.

1. Intense Competitive Landscape and Brand Relevancy Challenges

Under Armour operates in a highly competitive sportswear industry, contending with established giants like Nike, Adidas, and Puma, as well as rapidly growing niche brands such as On, Hoka, New Balance, and Lululemon. These competitors often possess superior financial resources, broader product portfolios, faster innovation cycles, and stronger global brand recognition, enabling them to outspend Under Armour in marketing and secure a wider range of athlete and team sponsorships. The company faces significant challenges in regaining market share and cultural relevance, particularly among younger consumers. Under Armour's brand perception, its struggle to effectively compete in lifestyle and fashion segments, and the need for consistent product innovation and compelling brand storytelling are critical issues that have been highlighted. "Inconsistent execution" and "brand strength concerns" have directly contributed to revenue declines.

2. Declining North American Wholesale Revenue and Market Dependence

Under Armour exhibits a substantial dependence on the North American market, which generates approximately two-thirds of its revenue and is described as nearing saturation. The North American wholesale market, a crucial distribution channel for Under Armour, is currently struggling with declining sales and cautious ordering patterns from retailers. This downturn poses a significant threat to the company's recovery efforts. Under Armour has experienced overall revenue declines, particularly in North America, as it implements a strategic reset to focus on higher-quality sales and reduce promotional activities. Fiscal year 2025 projections anticipate low double-digit revenue declines, with a more pronounced 15-17% decrease expected in North America. This concentrated geographic exposure makes the company vulnerable to economic downturns, evolving retail trends, and shifts in consumer preferences within that specific region.

3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Cost Pressures

Under Armour continues to grapple with persistent supply chain challenges, including elevated freight costs, capacity constraints, and operational delays. Disruptions, such as those caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in China and operational hurdles in Vietnam (a key sourcing region for about a third of its goods), have resulted in product delays and cancellations. These issues directly impact the company's profitability and gross margins due to increased freight and product inflation, often necessitating the costly use of air freight. Historically, Under Armour has faced inventory management issues that have led to lower operating margins. Furthermore, uncertainties surrounding tariff policies introduce additional risks that can directly affect its margins and pricing strategies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Under Armour operates in several large addressable markets, primarily focusing on performance apparel, athletic footwear, and sports accessories.
  • Performance Apparel: The global performance apparel market was valued at approximately USD 10.76 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to about USD 17.27 billion by 2032. North America held the largest share of this market, accounting for 35% in 2024.
  • Athletic Footwear: The global athletic footwear market was estimated at USD 132.5 billion in 2024 and is forecast to reach USD 191.2 billion by 2033. The U.S. athletic footwear market alone is projected to reach USD 33.3 billion in 2024.
  • Sports Equipment and Accessories: The global sports equipment and accessories market was valued at USD 95.986 billion by the end of 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 159.109 billion by 2033. North America holds a significant share of this global market, at 34.70% in 2025.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Under Armour (UA)

Over the next 2-3 years, Under Armour (UA) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key strategic initiatives:

  1. International Expansion: Under Armour is prioritizing growth in international markets, particularly EMEA (Europe, the Middle East, and Africa) and Asia-Pacific. The company aims for mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth in select international markets. China is also a focus for rebuilding distribution, elevating its outlet mix, and focusing on digital marketplaces, with a medium-term goal to return to double-digit constant-currency growth once macroeconomic conditions stabilize. For example, EMEA revenue grew 6% and Latin America revenue increased 20% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.
  2. Shift to Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Model: The company is pivoting towards a disciplined direct-to-consumer model, moving away from discount-heavy wholesale. Under Armour aims for its DTC channels, including owned e-commerce and Brand Houses, to account for 50% of its revenue by 2026. This strategic shift is anticipated to enhance brand equity and improve gross margins.
  3. Product Innovation and Focus on Key Categories: Under Armour plans to concentrate its research and development on fewer, larger product franchises to drive measurable performance gains and pricing power. Specific areas of focus include increasing the share of footwear revenue from 25% to 30% by 2027, with an emphasis on technical running and basketball products, including the Curry Brand. Additionally, the company intends to double the contribution from its women's segment through dedicated design, marketing, and assortment investments. Overall, growth is being refocused on core training, running, and basketball franchises.

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Share Repurchases

  • In February 2022, Under Armour's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $500 million of its Class C common stock over two years.
  • By March 31, 2023, the company had repurchased $425 million of Class C stock under this program.
  • A new three-year, $500 million share repurchase program for Class C common stock was approved in May 2024, under which $90 million had been repurchased as of March 31, 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $69.8 million in Fiscal 2021, $98.787 million in Fiscal 2022, $158.1 million in Fiscal 2023, and $150.3 million in Fiscal 2024.
  • For Fiscal 2025, capital expenditures reached $168.7 million, with an earlier expectation of $170 million to $180 million.
  • The company has focused its capital investments on its global direct-to-consumer and e-Commerce capabilities.

Better Bets vs. Under Armour (UA)

Peer Outperformance in Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

UA has trailed 81% of its 26 Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods peers over 5Y. Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods ranks 16th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods constituents that UA has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
39%
of 28 industry peers · 4.9% return
3Y
36%
of 28 industry peers · -28.4% return
5Y
19%
of 26 industry peers · -76.3% return
No Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten UA by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods is UA's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -3.4%98.5%62.1% LINC 326% · UTI 277% · CVSA 240%
Homebuilding 18 2.4%26.5%53.3% GRBK 171% · TOL 156% · PHM 149%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 22 22.4%44.4%16.0% RCL 301% · MAR 175% · HLT 167%
Specialty Stores 7 17.8%23.5%7.5% DKS 117% · SIG 43% · ASO 39%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -11.0%1.2%6.3% LOW 25% · HD 17% · HVT 6%
Automotive Retail 18 -9.7%-1.0%6.0% MUSA 267% · PAG 173% · ORLY 132%
Home Furnishings 4 8.2%36.7%-3.2% SGI 54% · LZB 28% · MHK -35%
Casinos & Gaming 21 -7.5%-18.5%-6.2% BRAG 1221% · MCRI 113% · RRR 87%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -11.5%15.3%-6.6% HRB 150% · FTDR 99% · SCI 41%
Distributors 4 -5.8%-25.8%-10.1% ARMK 150% · GPC 24% · LKQ -44%
Footwear 9 67.7%38.0%-10.9% WEYS 147% · SHOO 27% · DECK 26%
Restaurants 34 -3.6%-14.1%-14.9% EAT 361% · CAKE 199% · TXRH 164%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -2.0%-4.9%-32.6% MOD 1297% · GTX 310% · STRT 91%
Leisure Products 13 0.3%-21.7%-33.1% GOLF 79% · HAS 15% · MCFT -4%
Apparel Retail 25 12.1%5.6%-38.3% ANF 199% · DXLG 181% · TJX 131%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods ← 27 12.1%-2.4%-41.0% TPR 296% · ELA 270% · RL 252%
Household Appliances 18 0.7%33.3%-43.3% KEQU 168% · FLXS 128% · HBB 116%
Leisure Facilities 12 -11.9%-12.0%-44.7% OSW 178% · JAKK 117% · ESCA 11%
Broadline Retail 16 3.8%6.8%-52.5% DDS 317% · AMZN 62% · M 52%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -8.8%-8.2%-54.4% BBY -8% · GME -54% · UPBD -60%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -71.2%-68.0%-69.9% GM 68% · F 39% · TSLA 37%
Consumer Electronics 11 -25.6%-31.1%-78.6% AXIL 2015% · GRMN 105% · TBCH -52%
Other Specialty Retail 18 -25.4%-48.6%-80.7% BBW 206% · WINA 99% · TLF 99%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UANKELULUDECKCOLMMedian
NameUnder Ar.Nike Lululemo.Deckers .Columbia. 
Mkt Price5.1240.51120.8791.2056.3056.30
Mkt Cap2.260.114.012.62.912.6
Rev LTM4,93046,39811,2045,5273,4075,527
Op Inc LTM-13,7972,0491,2532861,253
FCF LTM-812,1841,2801,1183211,118
FCF 3Y Avg-184,0231,443979418979
CFO LTM-152,8681,9361,1943831,194
CFO 3Y Avg1124,6652,1131,0614791,061

Growth & Margins

UANKELULUDECKCOLMMedian
NameUnder Ar.Nike Lululemo.Deckers .Columbia. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.6%0.2%4.2%7.9%-0.1%0.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.6%-3.1%9.8%14.5%-1.5%-1.5%
Rev Chg Q-3.2%-1.1%4.3%5.7%1.5%1.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%-0.3%0.9%1.0%0.3%0.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM-100.5%2.6%-18.4%3.4%4.8%2.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg38.6%-10.7%4.6%24.7%-9.5%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-0.0%8.2%18.3%22.7%8.4%8.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.7%9.5%21.5%22.9%8.4%9.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%2.1%-1.6%-0.4%1.6%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-0.3%6.2%17.3%21.6%11.2%11.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.9%9.5%20.1%21.2%14.1%14.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.6%4.7%11.4%20.2%9.4%9.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.6%8.2%13.8%19.5%12.3%12.3%

Valuation

UANKELULUDECKCOLMMedian
NameUnder Ar.Nike Lululemo.Deckers .Columbia. 
Mkt Cap2.260.114.012.62.912.6
P/S0.41.31.22.30.81.2
P/Op Inc-2,748.015.86.810.110.110.1
P/EBIT-2,748.015.86.89.610.19.6
P/E-4.419.39.612.414.012.4
P/CFO-148.020.97.210.67.57.5
Total Yield-22.5%9.2%10.5%8.0%9.4%9.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.0%0.0%0.0%2.2%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.8%4.2%6.3%5.9%10.8%5.9%
D/E0.60.20.20.00.20.2
Net D/E0.40.00.0-0.1-0.10.0

Returns

UANKELULUDECKCOLMMedian
NameUnder Ar.Nike Lululemo.Deckers .Columbia. 
1M Rtn-22.5%-7.4%0.5%-15.4%-11.6%-11.6%
3M Rtn2.6%-3.5%-0.3%-2.9%-2.5%-2.5%
6M Rtn-24.1%-34.0%-31.3%-20.9%-8.5%-24.1%
12M Rtn4.9%-44.4%-37.4%-12.1%13.8%-12.1%
3Y Rtn-28.4%-60.1%-68.3%-0.9%-21.7%-28.4%
1M Excs Rtn-23.6%-8.2%0.3%-17.2%-12.9%-12.9%
3M Excs Rtn-0.2%-8.2%-8.1%-8.6%-8.1%-8.1%
6M Excs Rtn-36.8%-46.4%-44.7%-32.7%-20.5%-36.8%
12M Excs Rtn-18.6%-65.3%-56.7%-30.8%-5.2%-30.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-99.0%-132.5%-139.9%-74.7%-92.2%-99.0%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232021
Apparel3,3953,4513,7893,8713,840
Footwear1,0761,2061,3841,4551,264
Accessories414411406409462
License revenues10795111117113
Corporate Other-27112514
Total4,9665,1645,7025,9035,683


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20152014
North America461372
International9 
Connected Fitness-61 
Other foreign countries and businesses -18
Total409354


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$5.12 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.2 
First Trading Date11/18/2005 
Distance from 52W High-35.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$6.24$5.72
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-17.9%-10.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility50.1%52.1%
Downside Capture124.42151.42
Upside Capture114.04123.54
Correlation (SPY)21.9%30.8%
UA Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.430.770.891.311.191.21
Up Beta-2.66-0.000.381.521.411.41
Down Beta1.441.200.120.410.920.99
Up Capture137%133%148%169%113%110%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days12233662118345
Down Capture70%44%130%140%120%107%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days9192662126379

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with UA
UA3.0%52.0%0.23-
Sector ETF (XLY)5.7%19.4%0.1635.8%
Equity (SPY)22.6%12.8%1.3230.7%
Gold (GLD)31.4%28.4%0.957.4%
Commodities (DBC)37.9%20.1%1.48-19.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.3%13.8%0.7335.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.5%42.9%-1.3327.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with UA
UA-23.8%50.7%-0.35-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.3%24.0%0.2249.6%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.2%0.6048.7%
Gold (GLD)19.0%18.6%0.835.7%
Commodities (DBC)9.8%19.6%0.395.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.2%18.9%0.0143.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.9%52.8%0.3724.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with UA
UA-17.1%50.6%-0.17-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.5%22.2%0.5149.9%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7347.4%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.2%0.613.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%18.0%0.3612.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1942.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.9%66.1%1.0115.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity25.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-6.3%
Average Daily Volume2.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity427.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.9%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/12/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/7/2026-5.4%  
5/12/2026-16.7%-16.2%-6.0%
2/6/202619.3%11.1%1.8%
11/6/2025-1.6%3.6%-5.0%
8/8/2025-17.2%-24.1%-21.5%
5/13/20251.7%5.3%11.4%
2/6/2025-4.6%-10.4%-12.7%
11/7/202423.3%9.1%12.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121511
# Negative13913
Median Positive6.6%8.0%11.4%
Median Negative-5.5%-13.1%-9.2%
Max Positive23.3%22.2%42.1%
Max Negative-25.9%-27.1%-24.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/7/2026-5.4%  
5/12/2026-16.7%-16.2%-6.0%
2/6/202619.3%11.1%1.8%
11/6/2025-1.6%3.6%-5.0%
8/8/2025-17.2%-24.1%-21.5%
5/13/20251.7%5.3%11.4%
2/6/2025-4.6%-10.4%-12.7%
11/7/202423.3%9.1%12.3%
8/8/202418.3%22.2%19.6%
5/16/2024-0.3%1.4%-2.0%
2/8/2024-0.3%8.0%7.5%
11/8/20234.5%6.7%18.7%
8/8/20230.6%1.6%-4.1%
5/9/2023-5.5%-9.5%-9.2%
2/8/2023-8.4%-13.1%-24.3%
11/3/202210.6%9.1%42.1%
8/3/20222.5%1.3%-8.0%
5/6/2022-25.9%-27.1%-24.0%
2/11/2022-11.4%-16.5%-18.5%
11/2/202113.9%11.0%2.7%
8/3/20216.2%17.7%10.8%
5/4/2021-0.8%-3.1%-1.7%
2/10/20217.0%6.4%8.6%
10/30/20201.6%9.5%20.8%
7/31/2020-6.8%-11.2%-10.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121511
# Negative13913
Median Positive6.6%8.0%11.4%
Median Negative-5.5%-13.1%-9.2%
Max Positive23.3%22.2%42.1%
Max Negative-25.9%-27.1%-24.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/07/202610-Q
03/31/202605/19/202610-K
12/31/202502/06/202610-Q
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/22/202510-K
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/29/202410-K
12/31/202302/08/202410-Q
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/24/202310-K
12/31/202202/08/202310-Q
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/07/202610-Q
03/31/202605/19/202610-K
12/31/202502/06/202610-Q
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/22/202510-K
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/29/202410-K
12/31/202302/08/202410-Q
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/24/202310-K
12/31/202202/08/202310-Q
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-QT
12/31/202102/23/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/07/202110-Q
12/31/202002/24/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/11/202010-Q
12/31/201902/26/202010-K
09/30/201911/08/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/8/2026

Latest: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 8/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2027 Operating Income-11.00 Mil-6.00 Mil-1.00 Mil-125.0% Lower NewActual: 24.00 Mil for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 Adjusted Operating Income10.00 Mil15.00 Mil20.00 Mil-57.1% Lower NewActual: 35.00 Mil for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 Diluted Loss Per Share-0.06-0.04-0.03350.0% Lower NewActual: -0.01 for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share-0.03-0.02-0.01-300.0% Lower NewActual: 0.01 for Q1 2027
2027 Operating Income96.00 Mil106.00 Mil116.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 106.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Adjusted Operating Income140.00 Mil150.00 Mil160.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 150.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Diluted Loss Per Share-0.05-0.03-0.0150.0% LoweredGuidance: -0.02 for 2027
2027 Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share0.080.10.120.0% AffirmedGuidance: 0.1 for 2027

Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2027 Operating Income19.00 Mil24.00 Mil29.00 Mil   
Q1 2027 Adjusted Operating Income30.00 Mil35.00 Mil40.00 Mil   
Q1 2027 Diluted Earnings Per Share-0.02-0.010   
Q1 2027 Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share00.010.02   
2027 Operating Income96.00 Mil106.00 Mil116.00 Mil-3.6% LoweredGuidance: 110.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Adjusted Operating Income140.00 Mil150.00 Mil160.00 Mil   
2027 Diluted Loss Per Share-0.04-0.020-98.4% RaisedGuidance: -1.25 for 2026
2027 Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share0.080.10.12-4.8% LoweredGuidance: 0.1 for 2026

Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 2/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue Growth -4.0%  0.5%RaisedGuidance: -4.5% for 2026
2026 Gross Margin Change -1.9%  0.1%RaisedGuidance: -2.0% for 2026
2026 Operating Loss -154.00 Mil    
2026 Operating Income 110.00 Mil 315.1% RaisedGuidance: 26.50 Mil for 2026
2026 EPS-1.25-1.25 678.1% LoweredGuidance: -0.16 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPS0.10.1 162.5% RaisedGuidance: 0.04 for 2026

Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue Growth-5.0%-4.5%-4.0%   
2026 Gross Margin Change-2.1%-2.0%-1.9%   
2026 Operating Income19.00 Mil26.50 Mil34.00 Mil   
2026 Adjusted Operating Income90.00 Mil97.50 Mil105.00 Mil   
2026 Diluted EPS-0.17-0.16-0.15   
2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS0.030.040.05   

Insider Activity

Updated 8/12/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Taleghani, RezaChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy81220265.3718,656100,181470,516Form
2Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy51420265.00100500220,896,080Form
3Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy51420264.97739,5213,677,860219,715,998Form
4Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy51420264.99438,7232,190,719216,911,274Form
5Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12920266.201,022,3336,337,647136,376,994Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Taleghani, RezaChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy81220265.3718,656100,181470,516Form
2Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy51420265.00100500220,896,080Form
3Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy51420264.97739,5213,677,860219,715,998Form
4Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy51420264.99438,7232,190,719216,911,274Form
5Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12920266.201,022,3336,337,647136,376,994Form
6Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12920266.2989,786564,942270,565,787Form
7Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12920266.20842,4815,219,928129,970,124Form
8Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12920266.30686,5054,323,197270,228,273Form
9Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12620266.18730,2384,514,477124,474,356Form
10Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12620266.30265,6581,672,795265,879,742Form
11Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12620266.15928,3975,705,278119,243,868Form
12Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12620266.15411,0572,527,672113,610,645Form
13Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12120265.895,000,00029,461,500106,442,172Form
14Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12120265.621,769,5819,940,62173,390,514Form
15Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy12120265.601,837,68610,282,40463,199,143Form
16Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy10220265.1411,504,47859,142,221215,702,431Form
17Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy10220264.951,677,9918,301,69346,789,318Form
18Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy122920254.731,763,3968,343,508144,095,207Form
19Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy122920254.48734,4303,288,48434,832,880Form
20Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy122920254.641,000,0004,638,400133,080,562Form
21Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy122920254.42385,8501,705,45731,138,608Form
22Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy122920254.62875,5484,048,359128,037,872Form
23Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy122920254.40438,3331,927,35029,279,992Form
24Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy122920254.542,124,4529,654,147121,857,681Form
25Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy122920254.38620,8012,716,93627,225,117Form
26Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy122920254.535,383,51324,379,239111,813,415Form
27Watsa, V Prem ET ALSee FootnoteBuy122920254.362,355,64110,261,64324,394,502Form
28Sweeney, Robert John DirectBuy82120254.88100,000488,200652,703Form
29El-Erian, Mohamed DirectBuy81920255.20100,000519,960580,535Form
30Aumen, Eric JChief Accounting OfficerDirectBuy81420254.892,04510,000448,872Form
31Fitzpatrick, Dawn N DirectBuy81420254.93100,000493,000659,120Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 13, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Fairfax Financial Holdings LTD/ Can$380.6 Mil19.6%29ADD +26.4%13F
Kettle Hill Capital Management, LLC$10.5 Mil2.6%45New13F
Deltroit Asset Management (UK) LLP$14.9 Mil2.6%39ADD +26.6%13F
Ovata Capital Management Ltd$8.3 Mil1.2%38Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Kettle Hill Capital Management, LLC$10.5 Mil2.6%45New13F
Deltroit Asset Management (UK) LLP$14.9 Mil2.6%39ADD +26.6%13F
Fairfax Financial Holdings LTD/ Can$380.6 Mil19.6%29ADD +26.4%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Fairfax Financial Holdings LTD/ Can$380.6 Mil19.6%29ADD +26.4%13F
Deltroit Asset Management (UK) LLP$14.9 Mil2.6%39ADD +26.6%13F
Kettle Hill Capital Management, LLC$10.5 Mil2.6%45New13F
Ovata Capital Management Ltd$8.3 Mil1.2%38Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/12/2026