Textron (TXT)
Market Price (10/17/2025): $81.66 | Market Cap: $14.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Textron (TXT)
Market Price (10/17/2025): $81.66Market Cap: $14.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51% | |
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6% |
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
TXT Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
TXT Return | 9% | 60% | -8% | 14% | -5% | 7% | 84% |
Peers Return | 6% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 31% | 32% | 181% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
TXT Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 56% | |
Peers Win Rate | 52% | 50% | 53% | 53% | 67% | 64% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
TXT Max Drawdown | -51% | -6% | -25% | -13% | -6% | -21% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -10% | -8% | -9% | -8% | -7% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LMT, GD, HWM, HEI, TDY. See TXT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/16/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | TXT | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -26.0% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 35.1% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | 414 days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -57.5% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 135.1% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 330 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -40.8% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 69.0% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 710 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -94.9% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 1846.7% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 4540 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
Textron's stock fell -26.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2022. A -26.0% loss requires a 35.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TXT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | FCN | FTI Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -6.2% |
09122025 | ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.7% | -4.7% | -7.3% |
08312025 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.8% | -7.8% | -8.5% |
08312025 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.8% | -2.8% | -5.6% |
08312025 | BWXT | BWX Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 29.0% | 29.0% | -1.2% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | FCN | FTI Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -6.2% |
09122025 | ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.7% | -4.7% | -7.3% |
08312025 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.8% | -7.8% | -8.5% |
08312025 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.8% | -2.8% | -5.6% |
08312025 | BWXT | BWX Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 29.0% | 29.0% | -1.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Textron
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 318.98 |
Mkt Cap | 60.2 |
Rev LTM | 10,805 |
Op Inc LTM | 1,424 |
FCF LTM | 984 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 841 |
CFO LTM | 1,213 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 1,091 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
Rev Chg Q | 7.7% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
Op Mgn LTM | 14.4% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 13.9% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 10.8% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 60.2 |
P/S | 3.1 |
P/EBIT | 22.2 |
P/E | 29.0 |
P/CFO | 23.9 |
Total Yield | 4.4% |
Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
D/E | 0.1 |
Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | 1.5% |
3M Rtn | 1.0% |
6M Rtn | 22.6% |
12M Rtn | 13.3% |
3Y Rtn | 59.2% |
1M Excs Rtn | 1.6% |
3M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
6M Excs Rtn | -2.5% |
12M Excs Rtn | 0.5% |
3Y Excs Rtn | -23.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Textron Aviation | 5,373 | 5,073 | 4,566 | 3,974 | 5,187 |
Industrial | 3,841 | 3,465 | 3,130 | 3,000 | 3,798 |
Bell | 3,147 | 3,091 | 3,364 | 3,309 | 3,254 |
Textron Systems | 1,235 | 1,172 | 1,273 | 1,313 | 1,325 |
Finance | 55 | 52 | 49 | 55 | 66 |
Textron eAviation | 32 | 16 | 0 | ||
Total | 13,683 | 12,869 | 12,382 | 11,651 | 13,630 |
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Textron Aviation | 4,542 | 4,380 | 4,692 | ||
Corporate | 3,969 | 2,587 | 1,446 | ||
Bell | 2,869 | 2,984 | 2,783 | ||
Industrial | 2,520 | 2,500 | 2,781 | ||
Textron Systems | 2,008 | 2,054 | 2,352 | ||
Finance | 661 | 938 | 964 | ||
Textron eAviation | 287 | ||||
Total | 16,856 | 15,443 | 15,018 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
7/24/2025 | -7.2% | -10.5% | -8.9% |
4/24/2025 | 2.6% | 6.3% | 10.9% |
1/22/2025 | -3.4% | -5.4% | -10.8% |
10/24/2024 | -6.2% | -5.5% | -3.3% |
7/18/2024 | 0.6% | -2.1% | -4.6% |
4/25/2024 | -9.7% | -9.8% | -6.7% |
1/24/2024 | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
10/26/2023 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.4% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 14 | 14 | 13 |
# Negative | 9 | 9 | 10 |
Median Positive | 2.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% |
Median Negative | -7.1% | -7.3% | -5.6% |
Max Positive | 11.9% | 18.6% | 46.1% |
Max Negative | -12.2% | -16.5% | -10.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
12312024 | 2062025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
12312023 | 2122024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 1/1/2022 |
9302021 | 10282021 | 10-Q 10/2/2021 |
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