Tearsheet

Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $166.97 | Market Cap: $11.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $166.97
Market Cap: $11.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

TXRH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Texas Roadhouse reported a diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.25 for the third quarter of 2025, marking a 0.8% decrease year-over-year and falling short of the consensus analyst estimate of $1.28. This earnings miss was a direct factor contributing to the stock's decline.

2. The company experienced a significant decline in its restaurant margin percentage during Q3 2025, decreasing by 168 basis points. This was primarily attributed to substantial commodity inflation of 7.9% and wage and other labor inflation of 3.9%, which outpaced revenue growth in terms of impact on profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TXRH Return40%16%4%37%50%-6%226%
Peers Return15%17%-11%35%-1%-15%36%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TXRH Win Rate75%42%42%67%75%30% 
Peers Win Rate58%57%37%60%52%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TXRH Max Drawdown-46%-5%-21%0%-5%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-10%-28%-5%-20%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CMG, YUM, DRI, BJRI, BLMN. See TXRH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTXRHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven296 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven210 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven371 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven259.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven517 days1480 days

Compare to CMG, YUM, DRI, BJRI, BLMN


In The Past

Texas Roadhouse's stock fell -34.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/3/2021. A -34.9% loss requires a 53.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)

Better Bets than Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TXRH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-4.5%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.0%2.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.8%-1.8%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.5%-1.5%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-4.5%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.0%2.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.8%-1.8%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.5%-1.5%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Texas Roadhouse

Financials

TXRHCMGYUMDRIBJRIBLMNMedian
NameTexas Ro.Chipotle.Yum Bran.Darden R.BJ's Res.Bloomin . 
Mkt Price168.1031.38149.73175.4237.206.7993.47
Mkt Cap11.241.941.620.50.80.615.8
Rev LTM5,83411,7878,06112,3641,3883,9536,947
Op Inc LTM5171,9962,4851,46947135993
FCF LTM3411,5731,5641,06849100704
FCF 3Y Avg2911,4041,41394218111616
CFO LTM7472,2151,9061,7681242771,257
CFO 3Y Avg6481,9931,7121,5901063391,119

Growth & Margins

TXRHCMGYUMDRIBJRIBLMNMedian
NameTexas Ro.Chipotle.Yum Bran.Darden R.BJ's Res.Bloomin . 
Rev Chg LTM14.4%7.3%11.6%8.3%3.9%7.7%8.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.4%11.9%6.4%8.2%4.2%-2.9%7.3%
Rev Chg Q12.8%7.5%8.4%10.4%1.4%2.1%8.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%1.8%1.9%2.4%0.3%0.5%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM8.9%16.9%30.8%11.9%3.4%3.4%10.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.6%17.0%31.7%11.8%2.4%5.6%10.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.3%-0.0%-0.0%0.1%-0.5%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM12.8%18.8%23.6%14.3%8.9%7.0%13.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.6%18.6%23.0%13.8%7.8%8.5%13.2%
FCF/Rev LTM5.8%13.3%19.4%8.6%3.5%2.5%7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.6%13.1%18.9%8.1%1.3%2.8%6.9%

Valuation

TXRHCMGYUMDRIBJRIBLMNMedian
NameTexas Ro.Chipotle.Yum Bran.Darden R.BJ's Res.Bloomin . 
Mkt Cap11.241.941.620.50.80.615.8
P/S1.93.65.21.70.60.11.8
P/EBIT21.621.016.714.626.58.718.8
P/E25.527.328.818.626.4-10.025.9
P/CFO14.918.921.811.66.62.113.3
Total Yield4.7%3.7%5.3%8.6%3.8%0.2%4.3%
Dividend Yield0.8%0.0%1.9%3.3%0.0%10.1%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.0%2.4%3.6%4.5%2.4%9.4%3.3%
D/E0.10.10.30.30.63.80.3
Net D/E0.10.10.30.30.63.70.3

Returns

TXRHCMGYUMDRIBJRIBLMNMedian
NameTexas Ro.Chipotle.Yum Bran.Darden R.BJ's Res.Bloomin . 
1M Rtn-1.0%-25.5%4.0%-6.2%16.3%-11.7%-3.6%
3M Rtn-2.4%-27.3%2.5%-14.2%4.9%-6.5%-4.4%
6M Rtn-10.6%-39.7%2.8%-14.8%-17.0%-22.0%-15.9%
12M Rtn-15.0%-47.1%12.9%6.5%0.6%-46.1%-7.2%
3Y Rtn83.1%3.7%29.3%35.8%16.6%-68.0%23.0%
1M Excs Rtn-3.6%-25.9%2.6%-7.9%14.6%-11.7%-5.7%
3M Excs Rtn-6.8%-33.2%-2.9%-19.2%1.5%-7.5%-7.1%
6M Excs Rtn-24.5%-53.6%-11.0%-28.7%-30.9%-35.9%-29.8%
12M Excs Rtn-24.6%-59.3%-0.5%-5.5%-6.6%-59.1%-15.6%
3Y Excs Rtn5.1%-63.1%-46.4%-37.8%-56.4%-142.2%-51.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Texas Roadhouse4,3323,7633,254  
Bubba's 33247212174  
Royalties and franchise fees2726251822
Other261411  
Restaurant and other sales   2,3802,734
Total4,6324,0153,4642,3982,756


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Texas Roadhouse2,2902,0151,875  
Other271309457  
Bubba's 33232202180  
Total2,7932,5262,512  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,745,734
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520253.4%
Average Daily Volume907,222
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.03
Basic Shares Quantity66,358,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20252.7%  
8/7/2025-6.6%-6.5%-9.1%
5/8/20254.8%9.8%13.3%
2/20/2025-1.4%3.7%-0.6%
10/24/20243.6%5.6%7.7%
7/25/20242.0%4.3%1.5%
5/2/20243.6%5.4%7.3%
2/15/202410.3%11.2%14.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131413
# Negative111011
Median Positive3.6%4.6%9.4%
Median Negative-1.4%-2.5%-5.0%
Max Positive10.3%11.2%25.2%
Max Negative-6.6%-12.6%-45.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 7/1/2025
3312025509202510-Q 4/1/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/24/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/25/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/26/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/26/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/26/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/27/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/28/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/27/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/27/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/28/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/29/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/28/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Mujica Hernan E.CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER8222025Sell172.402,189377,3843,026,137Form
1Tobin Regina A.PRESIDENT8202025Sell173.533,153547,1402,648,241Form
2MOORE GREGORY N8202025Sell173.063,000519,1805,979,223Form
3EPPS DONNA E5232025Sell186.52800149,216863,961Form
4MOORE GREGORY N5132025Sell187.621,000187,6207,138,941Form