Tearsheet

Twilio (TWLO)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $140.31 | Market Cap: $21.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Twilio (TWLO)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $140.31
Market Cap: $21.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 168x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 320x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Platform as a Service (PaaS), Show more.
Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%
3  Key risks
TWLO key risks include [1] significant profitability and margin pressures in its core messaging business, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Platform as a Service (PaaS), Show more.
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 168x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 320x
3 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%
5 Key risks
TWLO key risks include [1] significant profitability and margin pressures in its core messaging business, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TWLO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Twilio reported robust third-quarter 2025 results, with total revenue increasing 15% year-over-year to $1.3 billion and non-GAAP income from operations reaching a record $235 million. These figures surpassed analyst expectations for both revenue and adjusted earnings per share.

2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Guidance: Following the strong Q3 2025 performance, Twilio raised its full-year 2025 organic revenue growth guidance to 11.3% to 11.5% and its reported revenue growth to 12.4% to 12.6%. The company also increased its free cash flow target for fiscal year 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 37.2% change in TWLO stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 220.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
928202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)102.34140.4637.25%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4729.374896.123.53%
Net Income Margin (%)0.43%1.37%220.73%
P/E Multiple774.62319.96-58.69%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)153.23153.120.07%
Cumulative Contribution37.25%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TWLO37.2% 
Market (SPY)4.3%44.7%
Sector (XLK)5.1%42.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.4% change in TWLO stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 7.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
629202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)122.74140.4614.44%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4583.454896.126.82%
P/S Multiple4.114.396.97%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)153.35153.120.15%
Cumulative Contribution14.44%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TWLO14.4% 
Market (SPY)12.6%31.7%
Sector (XLK)17.0%33.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.5% change in TWLO stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 12.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1228202412282025Change
Stock Price ($)109.29140.4628.52%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4339.154896.1212.84%
P/S Multiple4.014.399.62%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)159.09153.123.75%
Cumulative Contribution28.34%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TWLO28.5% 
Market (SPY)17.0%50.4%
Sector (XLK)24.0%49.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 192.0% change in TWLO stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 81.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1229202212282025Change
Stock Price ($)48.11140.46191.96%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3644.494896.1234.34%
P/S Multiple2.424.3981.15%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)183.69153.1216.64%
Cumulative Contribution183.87%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TWLO85.1% 
Market (SPY)48.4%43.8%
Sector (XLK)54.0%41.4%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TWLO Return244%-22%-81%55%42%30%43%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TWLO Win Rate67%33%17%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TWLO Max Drawdown-27%-27%-84%-6%-30%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See TWLO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTWLOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-90.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven937.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven52 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven182 days120 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Twilio's stock fell -90.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/18/2021. A -90.4% loss requires a 937.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Twilio (TWLO)

Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a cloud communications platform that enables developers to build, scale, and operate customer engagement within software applications in the United States and internationally. Its customer engagement platform provides a set of application programming interfaces that handle the higher-level communication logic needed for nearly every type of customer engagement, as well as enable developers to embed voice, messaging, video, and email capabilities into their applications. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Twilio is like the **Stripe for communications**, providing APIs for developers to easily integrate voice, video, and messaging into their apps.
  • Think of Twilio as **AWS for communications infrastructure**, offering the cloud building blocks for companies to add calling, texting, and other communication features without managing complex telecom networks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Twilio Programmable Messaging (SMS): Provides APIs for sending and receiving text messages, enabling notifications, alerts, and conversational interfaces for businesses.
  • Twilio Programmable Voice (Voice): Offers APIs to embed voice calling capabilities into applications, facilitating features like call routing, IVRs, and conference calls.
  • Twilio SendGrid (Email): A cloud-based platform for sending transactional and marketing emails at scale, focusing on deliverability and performance.
  • Twilio Flex (Contact Center): A customizable cloud-based contact center platform, allowing businesses to build tailored customer service experiences across multiple communication channels.
  • Twilio Programmable Video (Video): Delivers APIs for integrating real-time video and audio communication into applications, supporting various use cases from telehealth to education.
  • Twilio Verify (Authentication): An API for implementing multi-factor authentication (MFA) and user verification via SMS, voice, or email to enhance security and prevent fraud.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Twilio (symbol: TWLO) primarily sells its communication platform and services to other companies (Business-to-Business, or B2B). It provides developers with APIs to embed voice, video, messaging, and email capabilities into their applications. While Twilio has a highly diversified customer base and typically does not have individual customers representing a significant percentage of its total revenue, certain prominent public companies are widely known to be major users of its platform for their communication needs. These companies exemplify the types of organizations that rely on Twilio's services. Here are examples of such customer companies:
  • Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE: UBER) - Utilizes Twilio for connecting riders and drivers, sending notifications, and managing support communications.
  • Lyft, Inc. (NASDAQ: LYFT) - Similar to Uber, uses Twilio for facilitating communication between passengers and drivers, and for service alerts.
  • DoorDash, Inc. (NASDAQ: DASH) - Employs Twilio for coordinating deliveries between customers, dashers, and restaurants.
  • Block, Inc. (NYSE: SQ) - Formerly Square, uses Twilio for customer notifications, account verification, and other secure communications across its ecosystem of services (e.g., Square, Cash App).
  • Airbnb, Inc. (NASDAQ: ABNB) - Relies on Twilio for facilitating communication between hosts and guests, and for booking notifications.
  • Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) - Uses Twilio for critical customer interactions such as account verification, password resets, and service notifications.
  • Shopify Inc. (NYSE: SHOP) - While merchants on Shopify's platform might directly integrate Twilio, Shopify itself, or its larger partners, use Twilio for various communication features related to e-commerce and customer engagement.
  • HubSpot, Inc. (NYSE: HUBS) - Integrates Twilio's capabilities to enhance communication features within its CRM, marketing, sales, and customer service platforms.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
  • Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Khozema Shipchandler Chief Executive Officer

Khozema Shipchandler was appointed CEO of Twilio in January 2024. He has over 25 years of experience in growing businesses and driving financial performance across global public organizations. Prior to his CEO appointment, he served as President of Twilio Communications from March 2023 to January 2024. He also held the roles of Chief Operating Officer at Twilio from October 2021 to October 2021 and Chief Financial Officer from November 2018 to October 2021. Before joining Twilio, Shipchandler spent over two decades at GE, where he held various financial and operating roles across Industrial Internet, Aviation, and Corporate Audit in the U.S., Middle East, and Singapore. His roles at GE included Chief Commercial Officer and Executive Vice President of Corporate Development at GE Digital, and Chief Financial Officer for the Middle East, North Africa & Turkey. He currently serves on the boards of Smartsheet and Ethos.

Aidan Viggiano Chief Financial Officer

Aidan Viggiano became Twilio's Chief Financial Officer in March 2023. She joined Twilio in 2019 as Vice President of Corporate Finance and was promoted to Senior Vice President of Finance in 2021, a role she held until 2023. Before her tenure at Twilio, Viggiano spent 16 years at General Electric, from 2003 to 2019, where she held various finance leadership positions, including Investor Relations and Chief of Staff to the CFO. She holds a B.S. in Economics from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.

Jeff Lawson Co-Founder (Former CEO and Chairman)

Jeff Lawson co-founded Twilio in 2008 and served as its CEO and Chairman until stepping down in January 2024. He is a serial entrepreneur, having founded Versity.com in 1998, which was later sold. He was also the founding CTO of StubHub and a co-founder and CTO of NineStar. Additionally, he contributed to the development of Amazon Web Services (AWS) during his time at Amazon. Lawson led Twilio through its initial public offering in 2016. In 2024, he acquired the satirical news site The Onion.

Christy Lake Chief People Officer

Christy Lake serves as the Chief People Officer at Twilio. In this role, she is responsible for the company's human resources strategies, which include driving talent acquisition, employee engagement, and organizational development initiatives. With a career spanning over two decades, Lake has held significant HR leadership roles at several companies, including Box, Medallia, and Hewlett-Packard.

Chris Koehler Chief Marketing Officer

Chris Koehler is the Chief Marketing Officer at Twilio, a position he assumed in May 2024. He oversees the company's global marketing strategies and is responsible for driving brand growth. Koehler brings a strong background in marketing and customer success, having held significant roles at companies such as Box and Adobe before joining Twilio.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Twilio (TWLO) Business:
  1. Profitability and Margin Pressures: Twilio faces challenges with thin profit margins, particularly in its core messaging business, which is impacted by rising carrier fees and cloud infrastructure costs. The company's profitability is also affected by slowing revenue growth and difficulties in improving overall margins, leading to investor concern regarding its long-term financial performance.
  2. Intense Competition and Commoditization: The Communications Platform as a Service (CPaaS) market is highly competitive, leading to pricing pressure and the commoditization of Twilio's foundational SMS offerings. Twilio competes with various CPaaS providers, over-the-top (OTT) messaging applications, and major cloud infrastructure providers, making it challenging to differentiate its services and sustain market share and revenue growth.
  3. Regulatory and Compliance Complexity: Operating across numerous international markets exposes Twilio to a dynamic and intricate web of data privacy laws (such as GDPR and CCPA), telecommunications regulations, and evolving mandates like Know Your Customer (KYC) requirements. Non-compliance with these diverse regulatory frameworks can lead to substantial financial penalties and operational disruptions, necessitating continuous investment in legal and compliance resources.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The primary clear emerging threat to Twilio comes from major cloud hyperscalers like Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft Azure directly competing in the Communications Platform as a Service (CPaaS) space.

AWS offers services such as AWS Chime SDK (for voice, video, and messaging capabilities) and AWS Pinpoint (for marketing and transactional SMS, voice, and email). Microsoft Azure provides Azure Communication Services (ACS), which offers similar APIs for voice, video, chat, and SMS.

These hyperscalers present a threat because they can offer deeply integrated communication services within their existing cloud ecosystems. Customers already heavily invested in AWS or Azure infrastructure may find it simpler, potentially more cost-effective (due to unified billing and reduced egress costs), and more efficient to leverage native communication services from their primary cloud provider rather than integrating a third-party CPaaS like Twilio. This trend could lead to Twilio being disintermediated from new projects, particularly for enterprises already deeply embedded in a specific cloud ecosystem, as the cloud providers build their own compelling communication layers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Twilio (symbol: TWLO) operates within large and expanding addressable markets for its main products and services, primarily globally.

  • Overall Total Addressable Market (TAM): Twilio's total addressable market for communications and data is projected to reach approximately $119 billion by 2028, growing at an annual rate of 11% globally.

  • Expanded Total Addressable Market (TAM) with AI and CXaaS: By focusing on conversational AI and the Customer Experience as a Service (CXaaS) market, Twilio aims to expand its total addressable market to $158 billion by 2028 globally. This expansion includes an additional $39 billion driven by conversational AI and orchestration, covering areas such as Communications Platform as a Service (CPaaS), Contact Center as a Service (CCaaS), and Customer Data Platform (CDP).

While specific market sizes for individual products are often integrated into these broader categories, Twilio's main offerings contribute to these substantial global markets:

  • Communications Platform (CPaaS): This core offering includes programmable messaging (SMS, MMS, WhatsApp), voice, video, and email APIs. This is a significant component of the $119 billion global "communications and data" TAM.

  • Twilio Segment (Customer Data Platform - CDP): Segment helps businesses collect, clean, and activate customer data to create unified customer profiles. It underpins Twilio's customer engagement strategy and contributes to the larger CXaaS market.

  • Twilio Flex (Contact Center as a Service - CCaaS): Flex is a customizable cloud contact center platform. As part of the CXaaS market, it contributes to the projected $158 billion global TAM by 2028.

  • Twilio SendGrid (Email API and Marketing Campaigns): SendGrid provides email API services and marketing campaign tools, reliably delivering billions of emails monthly. Its market size is embedded within the broader communications and customer engagement markets, operating globally.

  • Twilio Engage (Marketing Automation Platform): Built on Twilio Segment and communication APIs, Engage is a growth automation platform for marketers. Its market size is part of the larger customer engagement and CXaaS markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Twilio (TWLO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
  • Expansion of AI-Powered Products and Solutions: Twilio is heavily focused on integrating artificial intelligence into its offerings, with management seeing sustained revenue growth potential from increased adoption of AI-powered voice, conversation management, and authentication tools. The company has reported explosive voice AI revenue growth, with voice AI adoption growing 60% year-over-year. These higher-margin AI use cases are expected to become a larger portion of the revenue mix, directly boosting overall profitability. Twilio's acquisition of Stytch, an identity platform, is also aimed at accelerating capabilities in digital trust and expanding into identity solutions for AI agents.
  • Growth in Customer Accounts and Increased Spending from Existing Customers: Twilio has demonstrated strong performance in growing its customer base, achieving a notable 22.5% year-over-year growth in customer accounts in Q3 2025. Furthermore, the company's Dollar-Based Net Expansion Rate (DBNER) of 109% in Q3 2025 (up from 108% in the previous quarter and 102% in Q2 2024) indicates that existing customers are increasing their spending on Twilio's platform. This expansion within the existing customer base, along with attracting new customers through self-serve and Independent Software Vendor (ISV) channels, is a significant driver.
  • Acceleration of Core Communication Services (Messaging and Voice): Despite the focus on AI, Twilio's core messaging and voice services continue to be strong revenue drivers. Messaging revenue grew in the high teens for the second consecutive quarter in Q3 2025, and voice revenue growth accelerated to the mid-teens, its fastest growth rate in over three years. The company continues to see broad-based strength across its product suite, with significant growth in both voice services and messaging.
  • International Expansion: Twilio's CEO, Khozema Shipchandler, has emphasized the company's strategic focus on international expansion as a key driver for future growth. This is further supported by strong growth observed in messaging internationally.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Twilio authorized a $1.0 billion share repurchase program in February 2023, set to expire on December 31, 2024.
  • An additional $2.0 billion share repurchase program was authorized in March 2024, also expiring by December 31, 2024. By that time, nearly $800 million had already been repurchased from the initial program, with a target to complete both programs, totaling approximately $2.2 billion in further repurchases, by the end of 2024.
  • In January 2025, a new $2.0 billion share repurchase program was authorized, slated to expire on December 31, 2027. By September 30, 2025, Twilio had repurchased $670.5 million under this program, with approximately $1.3 billion remaining.

Share Issuance

  • In August 2020, Twilio commenced an underwritten public offering of $1.25 billion of Class A common stock.
  • Twilio announced the pricing of an upsized $1.54 billion public offering of Class A common stock in February 2021.
  • A follow-on offering in May 2021 raised an additional $1.8 billion.

Outbound Investments

  • Twilio acquired Segment, a customer data platform, for approximately $3.2 billion in an all-stock deal in October 2020.
  • In May 2021, Twilio acquired Ionic Security, a cloud data security solutions provider, and Zipwhip, a text messaging platform, for undisclosed amounts.
  • Twilio has made 25 investments across various sectors, with its most recent being a Series B round in Hyro on December 10, 2024.

Better Bets than Twilio (TWLO)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TWLO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
14.4%14.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.1%13.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.3%17.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
12.0%12.0%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Twilio

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TWLOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTwilio HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price140.4623.2624.49305.0978.16273.40109.31
Mkt Cap21.521.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM4,89655,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM1283,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM7832,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg5452,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM8403,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg6013,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

TWLOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTwilio HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM12.8%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.4%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q14.7%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.5%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM2.6%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.5%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM17.2%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%18.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.2%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%17.3%
FCF/Rev LTM16.0%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%17.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.9%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%15.3%

Valuation

TWLOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTwilio HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap21.521.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S4.40.41.04.45.410.04.4
P/EBIT168.06.819.925.122.531.323.8
P/E320.08.6572.736.029.941.038.5
P/CFO25.65.911.221.122.537.521.8
Total Yield0.3%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.4%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.10.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.10.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

TWLOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTwilio HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn8.3%-3.6%12.7%-1.1%1.6%-2.0%0.2%
3M Rtn37.2%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%7.5%
6M Rtn14.4%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%14.8%
12M Rtn28.5%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%22.3%
3Y Rtn192.0%-3.7%67.3%141.3%79.6%114.1%96.9%
1M Excs Rtn6.8%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn32.9%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%3.2%
6M Excs Rtn2.2%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%2.6%
12M Excs Rtn12.1%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%5.7%
3Y Excs Rtn117.8%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%13.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Twilio Communications (Communications)3,8593,5502,411  
Twilio Segment (Segment)295276   
Other  105  
Software  326  
Single segment   1,7621,134
Total4,1543,8262,8421,7621,134


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Twilio Communications (Communications)842    
Acquisition and divestiture related expenses-6    
Payroll taxes related to stock-based compensation-13    
Charitable contributions-17    
Loss on net assets divested-32    
Twilio Segment (Segment)-72    
Restructuring costs-166    
Amortization of acquired intangibles-192    
Corporate costs not allocated to segments-237    
Impairment of long-lived assets-321    
Stock-based compensation-663    
Total-877    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$140.46 
Market Cap ($ Bil)21.5 
First Trading Date06/23/2016 
Distance from 52W High-5.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$126.20$112.98
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA11.3%24.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility54.2%58.4%
Downside Capture144.09150.18
Upside Capture268.52152.18
Correlation (SPY)45.0%50.5%
TWLO Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.292.202.031.751.521.44
Up Beta0.440.771.381.691.351.31
Down Beta2.461.861.981.891.691.58
Up Capture412%420%285%160%224%412%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days12243362129391
Down Capture198%198%186%171%128%107%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days8183063119357

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of TWLO With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 TWLOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return30.1%25.0%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility57.9%27.5%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.670.790.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 49.3%50.6%1.1%16.8%36.4%25.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of TWLO With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 TWLOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-17.2%18.8%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility58.7%24.7%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio-0.080.690.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 49.9%49.1%2.8%5.9%34.3%24.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of TWLO With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 TWLOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return18.2%22.5%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility60.5%24.2%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.530.850.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 47.0%43.3%4.1%10.5%27.4%17.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,444,359
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-18.4%
Average Daily Volume2,111,476
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.10
Basic Shares Quantity153,119,639
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/202519.5%13.0%15.0%
8/7/2025-19.4%-17.6%-10.9%
5/1/20252.3%7.5%22.2%
1/23/202520.1%30.8%4.1%
10/30/202414.3%28.0%48.1%
8/1/202411.7%7.7%11.5%
5/7/2024-7.5%-1.8%-9.5%
2/14/2024-15.4%-21.8%-17.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11910
# Negative131514
Median Positive7.7%13.0%14.7%
Median Negative-9.4%-11.7%-14.3%
Max Positive39.6%53.1%60.7%
Max Negative-34.6%-22.4%-34.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q (09/30/2025)
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q (06/30/2025)
03/31/202505/02/202510-Q (03/31/2025)
12/31/202402/26/202510-K (12/31/2024)
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q (09/30/2024)
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q (06/30/2024)
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q (03/31/2024)
12/31/202302/27/202410-K (12/31/2023)
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q (09/30/2023)
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q (06/30/2023)
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q (03/31/2023)
12/31/202202/27/202310-K (12/31/2022)
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q (09/30/2022)
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q (06/30/2022)
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q (03/31/2022)
12/31/202102/22/202210-K (12/31/2021)