Tyson Foods (TSN)
Market Price (4/4/2026): $64.63 | Market Cap: $22.7 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Tyson Foods (TSN)
Market Price (4/4/2026): $64.63Market Cap: $22.7 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 2.1 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Vegan Products, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -42% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 27x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 114x Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 1.0% Key risksTSN key risks include [1] significant legal exposure from ongoing class-action lawsuits and federal investigations related to alleged price-fixing, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 2.1 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Vegan Products, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -42% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 27x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 114x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 1.0% |
| Key risksTSN key risks include [1] significant legal exposure from ongoing class-action lawsuits and federal investigations related to alleged price-fixing, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Strong Q1 2026 performance in Chicken and Prepared Foods segments, exceeding overall market trends.
Tyson Foods reported first-quarter 2026 sales of $14,313 million, marking a 5.1% increase from the prior year. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.97 met analyst expectations. The company's Prepared Foods segment delivered both top and bottom-line growth, while its Chicken segment achieved its fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year volume gains. Tyson's retail branded products significantly outperformed the broader food and beverage sector, growing 2.5% in volume and 3.6% in dollars, compared to the overall sector's 1.8% volume decline for the 13 weeks ending December 27, 2025.
2. Positive analyst sentiment and upgraded price targets.
Several financial analysts issued optimistic reports and raised price targets for Tyson Foods. On January 8, 2026, BMO upgraded Tyson Foods to "Outperform" and increased its price target to $67, citing an anticipated recovery in U.S. beef margins and solid fundamentals in chicken and pork. Barclays also raised its price target from $75.00 to $78.00 on February 3, 2026, maintaining an "overweight" rating. More recently, on March 26, 2026, Mizuho initiated coverage with an "Outperform" rating and a $72.00 price target, highlighting the company's position to benefit from structural growth in protein demand.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.1% change in TSN stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 161.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 58.15 | 64.63 | 11.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 54,441 | 55,131 | 1.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.9% | 0.4% | -58.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 43.6 | 113.7 | 161.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 355 | 352 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.1% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSN | 11.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 11.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.4% | 33.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 21.0% change in TSN stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 370.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.39 | 64.63 | 21.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 54,146 | 55,131 | 1.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.4% | 0.4% | -74.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.2 | 113.7 | 370.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 355 | 352 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 21.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSN | 21.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 14.9% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.3% | 35.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.9% change in TSN stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 446.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 61.63 | 64.63 | 4.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 53,613 | 55,131 | 2.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.0% | 0.4% | -81.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.8 | 113.7 | 446.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 355 | 352 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSN | 4.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 27.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.5% | 51.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 21.0% change in TSN stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 1355.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.42 | 64.63 | 21.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 53,609 | 55,131 | 2.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.5% | 0.4% | -92.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.8 | 113.7 | 1355.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 356 | 352 | 1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 21.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSN | 21.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 13.8% |
| Sector (XLP) | 18.3% | 42.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TSN Return | 38% | -27% | -10% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 17% |
| Peers Return | 20% | -2% | -10% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 27% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TSN Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 56% | 46% | 52% | 42% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TSN Max Drawdown | -2% | -29% | -26% | -4% | -9% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -7% | -14% | -21% | -13% | -19% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HRL, PPC, CAG, SEB. See TSN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TSN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 119.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 667 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 224 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 447.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,547 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HRL, PPC, CAG, SEB
In The Past
Tyson Foods's stock fell -54.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/7/2022. A -54.4% loss requires a 119.4% gain to breakeven.
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About Tyson Foods (TSN)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Tyson Foods (TSN):
- The Anheuser-Busch InBev of meat products.
- A Kraft Heinz specializing in meat, poultry, and protein products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Beef Products: Tyson Foods processes live cattle into fresh, frozen, and value-added beef cuts, including primal, sub-primal, case-ready, and fully cooked meats.
- Pork Products: The company processes live market hogs into fresh, frozen, and value-added pork cuts, including primal, sub-primal, case-ready, and fully cooked meats.
- Chicken Products: Tyson Foods raises and processes chickens into fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken products, encompassing various cuts and prepared items.
- Prepared & Processed Foods: Manufactures and markets a wide array of branded frozen and refrigerated food products, such as ready-to-eat sandwiches, hamburgers, hot dogs, bacon, breakfast sausage, and prepared meals.
- Poultry Breeding Stock: Supplies live chickens for poultry breeding purposes to other operations.
- Hides: Sells specialty products like hides, which are by-products of its beef processing operations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Tyson Foods (TSN) sells primarily to other companies and institutions. Its major customers fall into the following categories, with representative public companies listed:
-
Grocery Retailers and Wholesalers: These include supermarket chains, warehouse clubs, and distributors that supply grocery stores.
- Walmart Inc. (WMT)
- The Kroger Co. (KR)
- Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)
- Sysco Corporation (SYY)
- US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD)
-
Chain Restaurants and Food Service Operations: This category includes various restaurant chains and distributors serving institutional food service (e.g., schools, hospitals, corporate cafeterias).
- McDonald's Corporation (MCD)
- Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM)
- Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR)
- Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI)
-
Industrial Food Processing Companies: Companies that utilize Tyson's processed meats or other products as ingredients for their own manufactured food items.
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nullAI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlDonnie King President & CEO
Donnie King began his career at Tyson Foods in 1982 within the Poultry segment and has since held numerous leadership positions across the company. He served as Chief Operating Officer, International Business Group President, President of North American Operations (responsible for Poultry, Fresh Meats, International, and Prepared Foods operations), and Group President and Chief Administration Officer. King was appointed President and CEO of Tyson Foods in June 2021.
Curt Calaway Chief Financial Officer
Curt Calaway was named Chief Financial Officer of Tyson Foods, effective August 29, 2024. He has been with the company since 2006, serving in various financial leadership roles including Controller, Chief Accounting Officer, Vice President of Audit and Compliance, CFO for the Prepared Foods Business Unit, and Senior Vice President of Finance and Treasurer. Calaway possesses nearly 30 years of experience in finance, audit, and accounting.
John H. Tyson Chairman of the Board
John H. Tyson, the grandson of Tyson Foods' founder, has dedicated his entire working career to the company, serving as Chairman since 1998 and a Director since 1984. He previously held the position of CEO from 2000 to 2006. He holds a substantial financial interest in Tyson Foods through the Tyson Limited Partnership, which maintains control of the company. Under his leadership, Tyson Foods expanded significantly through major acquisitions, including IBP, Inc. (beef and pork processor) in 2001 and The Hillshire Brands Company (prepared foods) in 2014.
Devin Cole Chief Operating Officer
Devin Cole serves as the Chief Operating Officer for Tyson Foods, a role he assumed in September 2025. In this capacity, he oversees the company's beef, pork, poultry, prepared foods, and international business segments. Cole rejoined Tyson Foods after previously serving as chief operating officer for George's Inc.
Adam Deckinger Chief Legal & Administrative Officer
Adam Deckinger is the Chief Legal & Administrative Officer at Tyson Foods. He succeeded Amy Tu as the company's general counsel.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Tyson Foods (TSN) include:
- Commodity Price Volatility and Supply Chain Disruptions: Tyson Foods' profitability is highly susceptible to significant fluctuations in the prices of key raw materials such as live fed cattle, live market hogs, feed grains (like corn and soybean meal), and energy. This volatility can lead to increased operational costs and pressure on margins. The company's beef segment, in particular, faces considerable challenges due to record-low cattle supplies, which have resulted in deepening losses and are expected to continue for several years. Furthermore, Tyson's extensive supply chain is vulnerable to disruptions caused by various external factors, including natural disasters, pandemics (such as COVID-19, which previously led to plant closures and labor challenges), and geopolitical events, potentially leading to limited product supply and higher costs.
- Labor-Related Regulatory and Reputational Risks: Tyson Foods is under scrutiny and investigation regarding its labor practices, including allegations of employing minors in hazardous conditions at its processing plants. Specifically, federal investigations have focused on reports of migrant children working overnight shifts and in dangerous environments, which poses significant financial, legal, regulatory, and reputational risks for the company. Broader human rights concerns within its supply chain, inadequate monitoring of grower compliance, and issues related to worker health and safety, discrimination, and potential forced labor also represent ongoing challenges. These labor challenges, including recruitment, retention, disputes, and rising wage and overtime expenses, can hinder full operational capacity and increase overall labor costs.
- Shifting Consumer Demand and Intense Market Competition: Tyson Foods operates in a highly competitive market and faces evolving consumer preferences. There is a growing consumer trend towards healthier eating, a demand for plant-based alternative proteins, and a focus on more affordable protein options, which impacts the company's sales growth and overall profitability. For example, consumers have been observed shifting away from more expensive beef cuts towards relatively cheaper proteins like chicken. The company's reliance on a few large customers is also a risk, with sales to Walmart Inc. alone accounting for 18.7% of its consolidated sales in fiscal year 2025. This competitive landscape, combined with generally thin margins in the commodity meat business, limits Tyson's pricing power and necessitates continuous adaptation and innovation.
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The clear emerging threat for Tyson Foods is the rapid development and increasing consumer adoption of **alternative protein sources, including plant-based meats and cultivated (lab-grown) meat**. Companies like Beyond Meat and Impossible Foods have already established a significant presence in the plant-based market, offering products directly competitive with Tyson's traditional beef, pork, and chicken offerings, as well as its prepared foods segment. Furthermore, the cultivated meat industry is progressing towards commercial scalability and regulatory approval, with companies aiming to produce real meat without animal slaughter. If these alternative protein sources continue to improve in taste, texture, price, and availability, and if consumer preferences shift due to environmental, ethical, or health concerns, they could significantly erode demand for Tyson's core animal-based products, fundamentally disrupting its established market leadership in traditional meat processing and sales.
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```htmlTyson Foods (TSN) operates within several large addressable markets for its main products and services, primarily in the United States.
- Beef: The U.S. beef market was valued at approximately USD 96.53 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 137.37 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2% from 2024 to 2030. Other estimates place the U.S. beef market size at USD 108.14 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 157.36 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 4.82% from 2025–2032.
- Pork: The North American pork meat market was valued at USD 51.81 billion in 2023. The U.S. processed pork meat market was valued at approximately USD 5 billion based on a five-year historical analysis. The global pork meat market size was estimated at USD 293.18 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 424.44 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 5.5% from 2024 to 2030.
- Chicken: The U.S. chicken market size was approximately USD 43.5 billion in 2023 and is predicted to grow to around USD 77.9 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of roughly 6.7% between 2024 and 2032. Another report valued the United States poultry meat market at USD 40.97 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 43.64 billion by 2031 at a CAGR of 1.06% during the forecast period (2026-2031). The processed poultry meat market in the U.S. was valued at USD 28.45 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 38.65 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 5.2%.
- Prepared Foods: This segment encompasses a variety of products:
- Processed Meat: The U.S. processed meat market size was valued at USD 128.28 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 235.60 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.25% during 2025-2032.
- Ready Meals: The U.S. ready meals market size is expected to reach USD 58.7 billion by 2030, rising at a market growth of 6.8% CAGR during the forecast period. The prepared meals market in the United States, specifically, accounted for USD 27.9 billion in 2023. The U.S. also holds approximately 21.5% market share in the ready-to-eat meals sector, valued at around USD 45 billion.
- Hot Dogs and Sausages: The Hot Dog & Sausage Production market size in the U.S. was USD 26.9 billion in 2026. In 2025, Americans spent over USD 11 billion on hot dogs and sausages in U.S. supermarkets. The North America hot dog and sausages market was valued at USD 39.85 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 51.39 billion by the end of 2030, growing at a CAGR of 3.7%.
- Breakfast Food: The global breakfast food market is projected to grow from USD 465.19 billion in 2024 to USD 636.65 billion by 2032, reflecting a CAGR of 4%. North America held a dominant share of 38% in the global breakfast food market in 2024. The breakfast food market size in 2026 is estimated at USD 223.11 billion and is projected to reach USD 276.81 billion by 2031.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Tyson Foods (TSN) over the next 2-3 years:- Growth in Prepared Foods Segment and Value-Added Products: Tyson Foods anticipates continued strong performance in its Prepared Foods segment, which includes popular brands like Jimmy Dean and Hillshire Farm. This growth is expected to be fueled by an emphasis on value-added products, innovation, and strategic marketing, reflecting a focus on capturing higher margins and adapting to evolving consumer preferences for convenient and high-protein options. The segment experienced an 8.1% year-over-year sales increase in Q1 2026, driven by volume, channel mix, and pass-through pricing. The company recently launched Simple Ingredient Nuggets in July 2025 to meet demand for simplified labels and high-protein options.
- Volume Expansion in the Chicken Segment: The Chicken segment is expected to be a significant driver of revenue growth, benefiting from consistent year-over-year volume gains. In Q1 2026, the Chicken segment reported its fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year volume increases, with sales rising 3.6% driven by a 3.7% increase in volume. This growth is anticipated as consumers increasingly opt for value proteins, positioning chicken favorably in the current economic environment. The USDA projects a 1% increase in domestic chicken production for fiscal 2026.
- Strategic Pricing and Market Share Gains: Tyson Foods demonstrates its ability to implement strategic price increases across its segments, contributing to revenue growth. In Q1 2026, overall revenue strength was partially driven by higher pricing, with beef pricing up 17.2%, and average pricing across the company up 6.5%. Despite some volume declines in certain segments, the company's diversified portfolio and strong brand presence allow for effective price realization and continued market share capture in its core categories.
- Operational Efficiencies and Network Optimization: Initiatives focused on operational excellence, network optimization, and automation are expected to drive improved efficiencies and profitability, which indirectly supports revenue growth by enhancing competitiveness and freeing up capital for strategic investments. The Pork segment, for example, saw a 52% surge in adjusted operating income in Q1 2026, with margins improving due to network optimization and operational efficiencies. The company is undertaking "network design change" initiatives, including strategic facility closures, aiming for annual savings of approximately $200 million by 2030.
- International Market Expansion: Tyson Foods is actively pursuing a multi-protein, multi-channel approach that includes expanding its reach in international markets. The company's international segment demonstrated robust growth, with sales increasing 9.43% in fiscal 2023 compared to the previous year. This expansion aims to secure a larger share of the global protein market, particularly in regions like Asia-Pacific where protein demand is growing rapidly.
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Share Repurchases
- Tyson Foods authorized an additional 43 million shares for repurchase in August 2025, bringing the total authorization to approximately 50 million shares.
- In November 2025, the company repurchased 3.5 million of its own shares for $196 million.
- Quarterly share repurchases included $348.44 million in December 2021, $313.43 million in December 2022, $15.40 million in December 2024, and $153.52 million in September 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In the third quarter of fiscal 2023, Tyson Foods acquired Williams Sausage Company for $223 million, net of cash acquired, as part of its growth strategy to increase capacity and product portfolio.
Capital Expenditures
- Tyson Foods' capital expenditures averaged $1.429 billion for fiscal years ending October 2021 to 2025.
- Capital expenditures peaked at $1.939 billion in September 2023, while decreasing to $1.132 billion in 2024 and $978 million in 2025.
- For fiscal year 2026, the company expects capital expenditures to be between $700 million and $1.0 billion, focusing on profit improvement projects as well as maintenance and repair.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 03202026 | KHC | Kraft Heinz | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -1.7% |
| 03202026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 03202026 | MKC | McCormick | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 05312023 | TSN | Tyson Foods | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.2% | 16.0% | -10.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 37.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.9 |
| Rev LTM | 12,145 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,163 |
| FCF LTM | 661 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 812 |
| CFO LTM | 1,241 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,347 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.9 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 13.7 |
| P/E | 11.4 |
| P/CFO | 10.0 |
| Total Yield | 8.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -8.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -26.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 20.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -41.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -41.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beef | 20,479 | 19,325 | 19,854 | 17,999 | 15,742 |
| Chicken | 16,425 | 17,060 | 16,961 | 13,733 | 13,234 |
| Prepared Foods | 9,851 | 9,845 | 9,689 | 8,853 | 8,532 |
| Pork | 5,903 | 5,768 | 6,414 | 6,277 | 5,128 |
| International/Other | 2,353 | 2,515 | 2,355 | 1,990 | 1,856 |
| Intersegment Sales | -1,702 | -1,632 | -1,991 | -1,803 | -1,307 |
| Total | 53,309 | 52,881 | 53,282 | 47,049 | 43,185 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicken | 988 | -770 | 955 | -625 | 122 |
| Prepared Foods | 879 | 823 | 746 | 1,456 | 743 |
| Intersegment Sales | 0 | ||||
| International/Other | -37 | -218 | 14 | -3 | -2 |
| Pork | -40 | -139 | 193 | 328 | 565 |
| Beef | -381 | -91 | 2,502 | 3,240 | 1,580 |
| Total | 1,409 | -395 | 4,410 | 4,396 | 3,008 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prepared Foods | 15,138 | 15,198 | 14,920 | 14,630 | 14,883 |
| Chicken | 12,121 | 12,143 | 12,386 | 11,373 | 11,028 |
| International/Other | 4,541 | 3,442 | 3,935 | 5,045 | 3,806 |
| Beef | 3,730 | 3,772 | 3,883 | 3,678 | 3,223 |
| Pork | 1,570 | 1,696 | 1,697 | 1,583 | 1,516 |
| Intersegment Sales | 0 | ||||
| Total | 37,100 | 36,251 | 36,821 | 36,309 | 34,456 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $64.63 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 22.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/09/1986 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -0.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $62.79 | $56.51 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 2.9% | 14.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 24.2% | 24.1% |
| Downside Capture | 0.05 | 0.29 |
| Upside Capture | 86.83 | 41.27 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 11.4% | 27.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.49 | 0.35 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| Up Beta | 2.61 | 0.61 | -0.13 | 0.96 | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| Down Beta | -1.11 | -0.24 | -0.09 | -0.23 | 0.16 | 0.01 |
| Up Capture | 115% | 55% | 78% | 60% | 30% | 5% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 21 | 34 | 68 | 127 | 380 |
| Down Capture | 79% | 50% | 21% | 18% | 54% | 33% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 21 | 29 | 55 | 121 | 363 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TSN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSN | 6.1% | 24.0% | 0.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 2.3% | 13.8% | -0.07 | 51.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 19.0% | 0.67 | 27.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.5% | 28.0% | 1.46 | 9.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.2% | 17.7% | 0.77 | 11.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 16.5% | 0.04 | 41.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.5% | 44.0% | -0.42 | 9.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TSN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSN | -0.2% | 24.2% | -0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.3% | 13.1% | 0.26 | 47.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.6% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 27.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.7% | 17.8% | 1.00 | 5.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 7.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 37.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.9% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 13.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TSN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSN | 2.2% | 27.8% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.4% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 43.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 35.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 14.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 42.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 13.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/2/2026 | 0.6% | -0.1% | -2.8% |
| 11/10/2025 | 2.3% | 2.5% | 10.4% |
| 8/4/2025 | 2.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| 5/5/2025 | -7.7% | -9.0% | -7.4% |
| 2/3/2025 | 2.2% | 2.6% | 8.0% |
| 11/12/2024 | 6.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% |
| 8/5/2024 | 2.1% | 0.8% | 6.7% |
| 5/6/2024 | -5.7% | -3.8% | -7.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 2.5% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -5.7% | -3.3% | -6.8% |
| Max Positive | 12.2% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
| Max Negative | -16.4% | -19.5% | -16.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/02/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/2/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Beef Segment Operating Loss | -500.00 Mil | -375.00 Mil | -250.00 Mil | -25.0% | Raised | Guidance: -500.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Pork Segment Operating Income | 250.00 Mil | 275.00 Mil | 300.00 Mil | 37.5% | Raised | Guidance: 200.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Chicken Segment Operating Income | 1.65 Bil | 1.77 Bil | 1.90 Bil | 29.1% | Raised | Guidance: 1.38 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Prepared Foods Segment Operating Income | 1.25 Bil | 1.30 Bil | 1.35 Bil | 30.0% | Raised | Guidance: 1.00 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Operating Income | 2.10 Bil | 2.20 Bil | 2.30 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.20 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 3.0% for 2026 |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 700.00 Mil | 850.00 Mil | 1.00 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 850.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net Interest Expense | 370.00 Mil | -5.1% | Lowered | Guidance: 390.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 1.10 Bil | 1.40 Bil | 1.70 Bil | 33.3% | Raised | Guidance: 1.05 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Tax Rate | 25.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 25.0% for 2026 | ||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 11/10/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Beef Adjusted Operating Loss | -600.00 Mil | -500.00 Mil | -400.00 Mil | 17.6% | Lowered | Guidance: -425.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Pork Adjusted Operating Income | 150.00 Mil | 200.00 Mil | 250.00 Mil | 6.7% | Raised | Guidance: 187.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Chicken Adjusted Operating Income | 1.25 Bil | 1.38 Bil | 1.50 Bil | 1.8% | Raised | Guidance: 1.35 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Prepared Foods Adjusted Operating Income | 950.00 Mil | 1.00 Bil | 1.05 Bil | 3.9% | Raised | Guidance: 962.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Total Company Adjusted Operating Income | 2.10 Bil | 2.20 Bil | 2.30 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.20 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 20.0% | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 2.5% for 2025 |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 700.00 Mil | 850.00 Mil | 1.00 Bil | -15.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.00 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Net Interest Expense | 390.00 Mil | 4.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 375.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 800.00 Mil | 1.05 Bil | 1.30 Bil | -8.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.15 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Effective Tax Rate | 25.0% | ||||||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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