Tearsheet

Tyson Foods (TSN)


Market Price (10/24/2025): $51.84 | Market Cap: $18.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Tyson Foods (TSN)


Market Price (10/24/2025): $51.84
Market Cap: $18.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

TSN Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TSN Return-27%38%-27%-10%10%-7%-32%
Peers Return7%2%-14%-15%12%-16%-25%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TSN Win Rate33%67%42%58%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate53%43%52%43%53%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TSN Max Drawdown-51%-2%-29%-26%-4%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-17%-27%-31%-17%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, HRL, PPC, CAG, BYND. See TSN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTSNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven119.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven667 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven224 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven447.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1547 days1480 days

Compare to K, HRL, PPC, CAG, BYND


In The Past

Tyson Foods's stock fell -54.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/7/2022. A -54.4% loss requires a 119.4% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Tyson Foods (TSN)

Better Bets than Tyson Foods (TSN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TSN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.0%3.0%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.1%-16.1%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.7%7.7%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-22.4%
TSN_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020TSNTyson FoodsDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
3.2%31.9%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.0%3.0%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.1%-16.1%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.7%7.7%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-22.4%
TSN_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020TSNTyson FoodsDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
3.2%31.9%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tyson Foods

Financials

TSNKHRLPPCCAGBYNDMedian
NameTyson Fo.KellanovaHormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Beyond M. 
Mkt Price51.8183.0323.7737.6118.472.8430.69
Mkt Cap18.428.713.18.98.80.211.0
Rev LTM54,14612,63212,05917,97911,45030112,345
Op Inc LTM1,8081,9109561,7561,348-1601,552
FCF LTM1,2988636281,3801,141-1251,002
FCF 3Y Avg8111,0057915711,133-137801
CFO LTM2,2371,5129311,8461,544-1101,528
CFO 3Y Avg2,2531,6151,0701,0791,520-1171,300

Growth & Margins

TSNKHRLPPCCAGBYNDMedian
NameTyson Fo.KellanovaHormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Beyond M. 
Rev Chg LTM2.0%-2.7%0.6%2.4%-4.1%-5.2%-1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.1%2.3%-1.5%4.6%-0.9%-13.0%0.1%
Rev Chg Q4.0%-3.7%4.6%2.3%-5.8%-19.6%-0.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%-0.9%1.1%0.6%-1.4%-5.7%-0.2%
Op Mgn LTM3.3%15.1%7.9%9.8%11.8%-53.0%8.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.4%11.8%8.6%6.4%15.1%-75.1%7.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%0.4%-0.1%0.8%-0.7%-3.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.1%12.0%7.7%10.3%13.5%-36.6%9.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.2%12.8%8.9%6.1%12.8%-35.4%7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM2.4%6.8%5.2%7.7%10.0%-41.6%6.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.5%7.9%6.5%3.2%9.6%-41.3%4.9%

Valuation

TSNKHRLPPCCAGBYNDMedian
NameTyson Fo.KellanovaHormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Beyond M. 
Mkt Cap18.428.713.18.98.80.211.0
P/S0.32.31.10.50.80.70.7
P/EBIT11.214.612.55.15.8-1.58.5
P/E23.520.817.37.410.4-1.413.9
P/CFO8.219.014.14.85.7-2.07.0
Total Yield7.1%7.5%10.6%13.5%17.2%-70.7%9.0%
Dividend Yield2.8%2.7%4.8%0.0%7.6%0.0%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.1%4.4%4.3%4.8%9.5%-29.7%4.4%
D/E0.50.20.20.40.95.90.4
Net D/E0.40.20.20.20.95.40.3

Returns

TSNKHRLPPCCAGBYNDMedian
NameTyson Fo.KellanovaHormel F.Pilgrims.Conagra .Beyond M. 
1M Rtn-3.8%7.8%-1.5%-7.5%1.5%-0.4%-0.9%
3M Rtn-3.2%4.7%-17.9%-20.5%-4.3%-26.2%-11.1%
6M Rtn-14.1%1.8%-19.5%-30.3%-23.4%11.4%-16.8%
12M Rtn-9.0%5.5%-20.6%-7.4%-33.5%-54.1%-14.8%
3Y Rtn-11.8%33.3%-41.5%93.8%-39.1%-77.2%-25.4%
1M Excs Rtn-6.4%6.4%-4.1%-10.5%-1.8%-3.6%-3.9%
3M Excs Rtn-8.6%-0.7%-23.2%-26.9%-9.3%-27.5%-16.2%
6M Excs Rtn-37.0%-21.1%-42.4%-53.2%-46.3%-11.5%-39.7%
12M Excs Rtn-24.5%-9.9%-36.0%-20.0%-48.8%-70.0%-30.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-93.7%-48.4%-123.5%11.5%-120.1%-160.2%-106.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,981,928
Short Interest: % Change Since 91520255.1%
Average Daily Volume2,866,244
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.48
Basic Shares Quantity355,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/20252.4%8.6%8.6%
5/5/2025-7.7%-9.0%-7.4%
2/3/20252.2%2.6%8.0%
11/12/20246.5%9.7%6.1%
8/5/20242.1%0.8%6.7%
5/6/2024-5.7%-3.8%-7.7%
2/5/20242.0%-6.7%-3.8%
11/13/2023-2.8%3.8%8.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131213
# Negative111211
Median Positive2.4%3.2%7.5%
Median Negative-5.7%-4.1%-7.4%
Max Positive12.2%15.2%10.2%
Max Negative-16.4%-19.5%-22.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025804202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024203202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241112202410-K 9/28/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023205202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231113202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023508202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022206202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-K 10/1/2022
6302022808202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022509202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021207202210-Q 1/1/2022
93020211115202110-K 10/2/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0White Noel W11202024Sell64.8930,0001,946,64972,350Form
1MORRIS WESGroup President Poultry11142024Sell61.562,425149,2682,234,362Form

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data