Teradata (TDC)
Market Price (5/16/2026): $33.82 | Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Teradata (TDC)
Market Price (5/16/2026): $33.82Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.1%, FCF Yield is 21% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6% Key risksTDC key risks include [1] losing legacy customers to intense competition during a slow and difficult cloud transition, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.1%, FCF Yield is 21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.6% |
| Key risksTDC key risks include [1] losing legacy customers to intense competition during a slow and difficult cloud transition, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Teradata reported stronger-than-expected Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 financial results on February 10, 2026. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 40% to $0.74, significantly surpassing the analyst consensus of $0.54. Additionally, public cloud Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew by 15% year-over-year. This strong performance, especially in cloud adoption, initially led to a stock jump of over 40% on February 11, 2026.
2. A favorable settlement in the SAP litigation provided a significant cash infusion and boosted earnings. On February 24, 2026, Teradata announced that SAP would pay $480 million to resolve all outstanding litigation. The pre-tax net benefit from this settlement was $359 million, which positively impacted GAAP diluted EPS by $2.90 in the first quarter of 2026. This news caused Teradata's shares to rise by 6% on the day of the announcement.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.5% change in TDC stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 248.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.52 | 33.81 | 18.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,651 | 1,689 | 2.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.1% | 24.9% | 248.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.8 | 7.5 | -67.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 94 | 93 | 1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TDC | 18.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.1% | 27.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 22.7% | 33.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 62.2% change in TDC stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 279.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.85 | 33.81 | 62.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,675 | 1,689 | 0.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.6% | 24.9% | 279.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.1 | 7.5 | -58.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 95 | 93 | 2.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 62.2% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TDC | 62.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.0% | 24.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 17.6% | 28.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 57.3% change in TDC stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 282.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.50 | 33.81 | 57.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,750 | 1,689 | -3.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.5% | 24.9% | 282.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.0 | 7.5 | -58.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 96 | 93 | 2.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 57.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TDC | 57.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 34.8% | 31.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 68.8% | 33.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -12.7% change in TDC stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -93.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 38.71 | 33.81 | -12.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,795 | 1,689 | -5.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.8% | 24.9% | 1255.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 119.3 | 7.5 | -93.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 102 | 93 | 9.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -12.7% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TDC | -12.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.7% | 39.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 138.6% | 37.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TDC Return | 89% | -21% | 29% | -28% | -2% | 10% | 49% |
| Peers Return | 35% | -36% | 53% | 26% | 29% | -0% | 117% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TDC Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 28% | 65% | 55% | 52% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TDC Max Drawdown | -30% | -43% | -26% | -50% | -41% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -46% | -19% | -25% | -32% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SNOW, AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, ORCL. See TDC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/15/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TDC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 212 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 86 days | 18 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -33.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 206 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -19.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -14.7% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.2% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 97 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -26.2% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 176 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Teradata's stock fell -21.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | TDC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 212 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 86 days | 18 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -33.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 206 days | 427 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -26.2% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 176 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -50.5% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.1% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1091 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -23.0% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.9% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2616 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -24.3% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.1% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.6% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Teradata's stock fell -21.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Teradata (TDC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Teradata (TDC):
- Snowflake for Fortune 500 data analytics.
- Oracle for multi-cloud enterprise data analytics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Teradata Vantage: A connected multi-cloud data platform designed for enterprise analytics, enabling companies to leverage their data and support their journey to the cloud.
- Business Consulting Services: Services provided to help organizations establish data and analytic visions, identify and operationalize analytical opportunities, and enable multi-cloud ecosystem architectures.
- Support and Maintenance Services: Ongoing services that provide support and maintenance for Teradata's data platforms and solutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Teradata (TDC) primarily sells its data platform and services to other companies, rather than individuals. Based on public information and industry mentions, some of its major customers, often cited for their large-scale data needs and long-standing relationships with Teradata, include:- Walmart (NYSE: WMT)
- AT&T (NYSE: T)
- Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC)
- FedEx (NYSE: FDX)
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- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
- Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
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Steve McMillan, President and Chief Executive Officer
Steve McMillan was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Teradata in June 2020. He has a career spanning over two decades in technology leadership. Prior to joining Teradata, McMillan served as Executive Vice President of Global Services for F5 Networks. He also held senior leadership positions at Oracle, including Senior Vice President of Customer Success and Managed Cloud Services, and spent an extended career at IBM, where he consistently exceeded revenue and profit targets and drove business transformation.
John Ederer, Chief Financial Officer
John Ederer was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Teradata, effective May 12, 2025. Before joining Teradata, Ederer served as CFO of Model N, a provider of cloud revenue management solutions. He was also CFO at K2 Software, Inc., where he led a business turnaround, transitioning to subscription revenue, achieving profitability, and ultimately guiding the company through a successful sale to Nintex. Earlier in his 25+ year career, he held financial leadership roles at enterprise software companies including TIBCO Software, SAP, Business Objects, and Ariba, and began his career in investment banking as an equity research analyst.
Sumeet Arora, Chief Product Officer
Sumeet Arora was appointed Chief Product Officer of Teradata, effective April 28, 2025. He leads the product organization, overseeing engineering, product management, and quality. Prior to Teradata, Arora was the Chief Development Officer at ThoughtSpot, where he led global engineering, product, and design teams, and helped fast-track the company's transition to a SaaS platform. Before ThoughtSpot, he served as Senior Vice President and General Manager of Service Provider Networking at Cisco, where he was responsible for managing a multi-billion-dollar product portfolio and achieving significant market share growth.
Richard Petley, Chief Revenue Officer
Richard Petley was appointed Chief Revenue Officer for Teradata, effective April 5, 2024. In this role, he is responsible for the company's global sales strategy and commercial execution. He previously served as Teradata's Executive Vice President of Global Sales. Petley brings more than 20 years of senior sales experience, with prior leadership roles at Oracle Cloud, including SVP, Western Europe, and Managing Director, Oracle UK, where he drove significant growth of Oracle's cloud portfolio. He also held sales leadership positions at IBM.
Scot Rogers, Chief Administrative Officer
Scot Rogers was appointed Chief Administrative Officer of Teradata, effective June 12, 2025, in a newly created role overseeing worldwide legal and human resources operations. Prior to joining Teradata, Rogers served as Executive Vice President and General Counsel at F5, Inc. since January 2014. He held various positions of increasing responsibility in F5's legal department since 2005 and served as interim Chief Human Resources Officer. Rogers also previously served as General Counsel for Xpediate Consulting, a healthcare technology and consulting company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Teradata's business:
- Intense Competition and Market Share Erosion: Teradata faces significant competition from cloud-native data warehousing providers like Snowflake and Databricks, as well as major hyperscale cloud vendors such as Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud, which aim to own the entire data stack. This competitive pressure impacts Teradata's market position, pricing strategies (with its offerings sometimes perceived as expensive), and the required pace of innovation.
- Challenges in Cloud Migration and Business Transformation: Teradata is undergoing a critical transition to a cloud-first, AI-driven data platform. The company faces challenges in successfully migrating customers to its cloud and hybrid deployments, which can lead to elongated sales cycles. There is also a risk that the contraction of its legacy on-premise revenue could outpace the growth of its cloud revenue, potentially leading to an overall decline in total revenue.
- Cybersecurity Exposure and Regulatory Uncertainty: Teradata's annual report explicitly highlights risks related to cybersecurity threats and regulatory uncertainties, particularly concerning AI/ML and data privacy. As a data platform provider, the company must continuously navigate evolving cybersecurity landscapes and comply with complex and changing data protection and AI governance regulations across various global markets.
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The primary emerging threat to Teradata comes from the comprehensive and integrated data analytics and warehousing services offered directly by hyperscale cloud providers such as Amazon Web Services (AWS) with Redshift, Google Cloud Platform (GCP) with BigQuery, and Microsoft Azure with Synapse Analytics. As enterprises accelerate their adoption of multi-cloud strategies and migrate data workloads to the cloud, these native cloud offerings provide direct competition to Teradata Vantage. These cloud-native solutions often benefit from seamless integration with other cloud services, elastic scalability, consumption-based pricing models, and continuous innovation from their respective platforms, potentially leading customers to prefer building new analytical environments directly within a hyperscaler's ecosystem rather than deploying or migrating a third-party platform like Teradata Vantage.
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Teradata Corporation (TDC) operates in several significant addressable markets related to its connected multi-cloud data platform for enterprise analytics, Teradata Vantage, and its associated consulting and support services. The key addressable markets for Teradata's main products and services include: * Cloud Data Warehouse Market: The global cloud data warehouse market was valued at USD 5.68 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23.5% from 2023 to 2030. Another estimate projects this market to grow from USD 36.31 billion in 2025 to USD 155.66 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 17.55%. * Enterprise Analytics Software Market: The global enterprise analytics software market is projected to grow from US$226.404 billion in 2025 to US$416.205 billion by the end of 2030, at a CAGR of 12.95%. The broader global Business Analytics & Enterprise Software market is expected to reach USD 1259.19 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 13.9%. * Multi-Cloud Management Market: The global multi-cloud management market size is estimated to be approximately USD 16.02 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 147.12 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 27.94%. North America held the largest revenue share in this market in 2024. * Data and Analytics Consulting Services Market: The global market for data and analytics service providers is estimated to reach between USD 150 billion and USD 250 billion by 2025. This market is projected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 4% to 10% from 2025 to 2030. A more specific segment, the global Big Data Consulting Market, is estimated at USD 7.38 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 13.97 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 13.6%. North America accounts for the largest share of this market in 2025.AI Analysis | Feedback
Teradata Corporation (TDC) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years, primarily centered around its cloud-first strategy, advanced AI capabilities, and its unique hybrid multi-cloud platform.
- Continued Growth in Public Cloud Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): Teradata's strategic shift to a cloud-first model is a significant growth engine. The company reported a 15% increase in public cloud ARR in Q4 2025, reaching $701 million. Teradata is targeting low double-digit percentage growth for public cloud ARR in 2026 and has set an objective to achieve over $1 billion in cloud ARR by fiscal 2025.
- Expansion and Adoption of AI-Powered Solutions: Teradata is heavily investing in and launching new AI capabilities that are resonating with customers. Its "Autonomous AI and Knowledge platform" and solutions like ClearScape Analytics are highlighted as key differentiators. The company has announced new AI initiatives including the MCP (Model Context Protocol) server, Agent Builder, prebuilt agents, and an AI Factory designed for hybrid and regulated environments. Teradata also introduced Enterprise Vector Store to facilitate the combination of structured and unstructured data for AI analysis and integrates with tools like LangChain. Over 150 customer engagements operationalizing AI were reported in 2025. These AI advancements are considered a significant catalyst for growth in 2026.
- Leveraging its Hybrid Multi-Cloud Analytics and Data Platform: Teradata's ability to offer a true hybrid, multi-cloud solution provides a competitive advantage. This platform allows enterprises to seamlessly integrate and analyze data across public cloud environments (Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud) and on-premises deployments, thereby reducing data silos. The company acknowledges the increasing customer interest in hybrid deployment options and prioritizes total ARR growth, which includes both cloud and on-premise subscriptions, demonstrating the traction of its flexible deployment model.
- Consistent Recurring Revenue Growth and Improved Go-to-Market Execution: Teradata has demonstrated consistent growth in recurring revenue, which constitutes a significant portion of its total revenue. In Q4 2025, recurring revenue grew by 5% year-over-year. For 2026, the company projects recurring revenue growth to be in the range of flat to 2% year-over-year, with a stronger anticipated growth of 6% to 8% in Q1. Management has also attributed recent growth inflections to enhanced go-to-market execution.
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Share Repurchases
- Teradata repurchased $140 million in shares during 2025, which represented 49% of its free cash flow. Approximately 5.8 million shares were repurchased at an average price of $24.34 per share under open market and dilution offset programs.
- A new stock repurchase program of up to $500 million was approved by the Board of Directors, becoming effective on January 1, 2026, and replaces an existing program that had approximately $242.7 million of remaining authorization as of November 7, 2025.
- For 2026, Teradata targets using 50% of its free cash flow for share repurchases.
Share Issuance
- Teradata maintains a dilution offset program, repurchasing shares in the open market to offset those purchased by employees through various benefit plans.
- The weighted average shares outstanding are expected to be approximately 97 million for the full year 2026 and 96.1 million for the first quarter of 2026.
- Executives received grants of restricted share units (RSUs) as part of equity compensation, with shares sometimes withheld by the company to cover tax obligations upon vesting.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were reported as $19 million in the last 12 months ended December 31, 2025.
- Historically, capital expenditures were $31 million in 2021, $16 million in 2022, $20 million in 2023, and $26 million in 2024.
- The company is investing in research and development to support AI/ML technologies, new AI-focused products and services, and shifting investment toward product engineering and development.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TDC.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | PLTR | Palantir Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | ADSK | Autodesk | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | BSY | Bentley Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | BL | BlackLine | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.2% | 3.2% | -3.0% |
| 01302026 | TDC | Teradata | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.6% | -7.6% | -13.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 228.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 1,696.1 |
| Rev LTM | 191,175 |
| Op Inc LTM | 53,050 |
| FCF LTM | 893 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11,132 |
| CFO LTM | 86,022 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 70,680 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 20.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 17.0% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 39.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 19.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1,696.1 |
| P/S | 9.2 |
| P/Op Inc | 28.7 |
| P/EBIT | 22.0 |
| P/E | 27.5 |
| P/CFO | 21.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 25.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 71.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -7.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $33.81 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/01/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -10.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $27.46 | $26.30 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 23.1% | 28.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 46.9% | 59.2% |
| Downside Capture | 176.66 | 155.50 |
| Upside Capture | 125.10 | 157.49 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 36.7% | 31.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.94 | 0.88 | 1.36 | 1.32 | 1.48 | 1.22 |
| Up Beta | 0.50 | 0.79 | 0.98 | 0.63 | 1.07 | 1.08 |
| Down Beta | -3.91 | -0.06 | 4.13 | 2.38 | 2.04 | 1.39 |
| Up Capture | 97% | 45% | 56% | 163% | 163% | 101% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 19 | 30 | 64 | 125 | 386 |
| Down Capture | 493% | 178% | 120% | 103% | 138% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 24 | 34 | 60 | 123 | 360 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TDC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDC | 47.4% | 59.2% | 0.86 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 51.7% | 20.5% | 1.93 | 32.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 27.4% | 12.1% | 1.71 | 30.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 42.5% | 26.8% | 1.30 | 0.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 45.4% | 18.5% | 1.88 | -2.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.5% | 13.5% | 0.56 | 7.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.4% | 41.7% | -0.47 | 15.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TDC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDC | -2.5% | 45.5% | 0.09 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.0% | 24.8% | 0.78 | 42.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.1% | 0.63 | 43.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.4% | 17.9% | 0.88 | 6.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 19.4% | 0.45 | 7.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.8% | 0.06 | 27.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.8% | 55.9% | 0.35 | 16.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TDC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDC | 2.0% | 45.2% | 0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 25.0% | 24.4% | 0.92 | 40.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 42.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.0% | 16.0% | 0.67 | 2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.9% | 0.38 | 13.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 29.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.9% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 11.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/5/2026 | 0.7% | 5.5% | |
| 2/10/2026 | 29.6% | 12.2% | -8.5% |
| 11/4/2025 | 32.6% | 35.4% | 44.2% |
| 8/5/2025 | 8.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| 5/6/2025 | 1.8% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| 2/11/2025 | -20.3% | -21.0% | -28.9% |
| 8/5/2024 | -14.1% | -11.4% | -4.2% |
| 5/6/2024 | -13.8% | -10.1% | -15.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% |
| Median Negative | -14.1% | -14.8% | -17.6% |
| Max Positive | 32.6% | 35.4% | 44.2% |
| Max Negative | -21.7% | -21.8% | -28.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Recurring Revenue Growth | -1.0% | -114.3% | -8.0% | Lowered | Actual: 7.0% for Q1 2026 | ||
| Q2 2026 Total Revenue Growth | -3.0% | -250.0% | -5.0% | Lowered | Actual: 2.0% for Q1 2026 | ||
| Q2 2026 GAAP Diluted EPS | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.26 | -36.8% | Lowered | Actual: 0.38 for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS | 0.53 | 0.55 | 0.57 | -28.6% | Lowered | Actual: 0.77 for Q1 2026 | |
| 2026 GAAP Diluted EPS | 4.22 | 4.27 | 4.32 | 226.0% | Raised | Guidance: 1.31 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Cash Flow from Operations | 642.00 Mil | 652.00 Mil | 662.00 Mil | 91.8% | Raised | Guidance: 340.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow | 320.00 Mil | 330.00 Mil | 340.00 Mil | 3.1% | Raised | Guidance: 320.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Total ARR Growth | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 3.0% for 2026 |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/10/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Recurring Revenue Growth | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | -450.0% | 9.0% | Raised | Guidance: -2.0% for Q4 2025 |
| Q1 2026 Total Revenue Growth | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | -166.7% | 5.0% | Raised | Guidance: -3.0% for Q4 2025 |
| Q1 2026 GAAP EPS | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.4 | 35.7% | Raised | Guidance: 0.28 for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Non-GAAP EPS | 0.75 | 0.77 | 0.79 | 40.0% | Raised | Guidance: 0.55 for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Total ARR Growth | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 200.0% | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 1.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 Recurring Revenue Growth | 0.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | -125.0% | 5.0% | Raised | Guidance: -4.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 Total Revenue Growth | -2.0% | -1.0% | 0.0% | -83.3% | 5.0% | Raised | Guidance: -6.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 GAAP EPS | 1.26 | 1.31 | 1.36 | 5.6% | Raised | Guidance: 1.24 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP EPS | 2.55 | 2.6 | 2.65 | 8.3% | Raised | Guidance: 2.4 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 310.00 Mil | 320.00 Mil | 330.00 Mil | 18.5% | Raised | Guidance: 270.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McMillan, Stephen | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 5132026 | 31.71 | 20,000 | 634,158 | 24,175,562 | Form |
| 2 | Arora, Sumeet | Chief Product Officer | Direct | Sell | 5082026 | 30.84 | 2,645 | 81,572 | 9,296,780 | Form |
| 3 | Petley, Richard J | Chief Revenue Officer | Direct | Sell | 5082026 | 30.84 | 34,317 | 1,058,336 | 6,403,217 | Form |
| 4 | McMillan, Stephen | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 2272026 | 30.26 | 50,000 | 1,513,125 | 20,069,787 | Form |
| 5 | Gianoni, Michael P | Direct | Sell | 2252026 | 29.96 | 25,000 | 749,125 | 944,587 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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