Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)
Market Price (3/28/2026): $43.38 | Market Cap: $8.5 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Brewers
Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)
Market Price (3/28/2026): $43.38Market Cap: $8.5 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Brewers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.4%, FCF Yield is 13% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. | Key risksTAP key risks include [1] weakening demand and declining brand volumes in key markets, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.4%, FCF Yield is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25% |
| Key risksTAP key risks include [1] weakening demand and declining brand volumes in key markets, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Weak 2025 Fourth Quarter Results and Bearish 2026 Outlook.
Molson Coors reported challenging Q4 2025 results on February 18, 2026, with net sales decreasing 2.7% reported and 4.0% in constant currency, falling short of analyst estimates of $2.71 billion. More significantly, the company issued a "sobering guidance" for 2026, forecasting adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to decline by 11% to 15%, contrary to analyst projections of a 1.9% increase to $5.48 EPS. This guidance contributed to a roughly 6% drop in shares in after-hours trading.
2. Persistent Commodity Inflation, Notably Rising Aluminum Costs.
The company cited commodity inflation as a significant headwind for 2026, with rising aluminum tariffs and an increase in the Midwest aluminum premium expected to negatively impact profits. Molson Coors anticipates aluminum costs alone to reduce 2026 profits by approximately $125 million, following an 8.1% increase in the cost of goods sold per hectoliter in Q4 2025 due to the Midwest aluminum premium.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.7% change in TAP stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -5.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 45.56 | 43.40 | -4.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,214 | 11,141 | -0.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 0.8 | -5.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 198 | 195 | 1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TAP | -4.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | -8.8% |
| Sector (XLP) | 3.9% | 52.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.4% change in TAP stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 48.99 | 43.40 | -11.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,283 | 11,141 | -1.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 0.8 | -12.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 200 | 195 | 2.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.4% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TAP | -11.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | -8.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.8% | 52.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.4% change in TAP stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 58.94 | 43.40 | -26.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,627 | 11,141 | -4.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.0 | 0.8 | -27.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 206 | 195 | 5.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TAP | -26.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 15.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 1.1% | 55.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.3% change in TAP stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -21.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 47.87 | 43.40 | -9.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,701 | 11,141 | 4.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.0 | 0.8 | -21.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 217 | 195 | 11.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TAP | -9.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 18.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 23.1% | 48.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TAP Return | 4% | 14% | 22% | -3% | -16% | -9% | 8% |
| Peers Return | -7% | -11% | 4% | -11% | -13% | 8% | -27% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TAP Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 67% | 58% | 42% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 42% | 54% | 46% | 50% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TAP Max Drawdown | -3% | 0% | -5% | -18% | -23% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -22% | -13% | -17% | -26% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BUD, STZ, SAM, KDP. See TAP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TAP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 553 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 223 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -50.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -46.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,843 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to BUD, STZ, SAM, KDP
In The Past
Molson Coors Beverage's stock fell -28.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -28.3% loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.
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About Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Molson Coors Beverage (TAP):
- Molson Coors is like Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) for beers such as Coors Light and Miller Lite.
- Molson Coors is a Coca-Cola (KO) or PepsiCo (PEP) for beer and other alcoholic beverages.
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- Beer: Molson Coors manufactures, markets, and sells a wide variety of beer brands.
- Flavored Malt Beverages: The company offers various beverages made with a malt base and infused with different flavors.
- Craft Beverages: Molson Coors provides a selection of specialty and artisanal beverages, often including craft beers.
- Ready to Drink (RTD) Beverages: The company sells pre-mixed, packaged beverages that are ready for immediate consumption.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) primarily sells its beer and other malt beverage products to other companies rather than directly to individual consumers. Due to the highly diversified nature of its global distribution and sales channels, Molson Coors does not disclose any single major customer (such as a specific distributor or large retail chain) that accounts for a material portion of its consolidated net sales in its public financial filings.
Instead, its customer base consists of a broad network of businesses that fall into the following categories:
- Wholesale Distributors: These companies purchase Molson Coors' products in large volumes and are responsible for distributing them to various retail outlets and on-premise accounts within specific geographic regions. This tier is particularly prominent in markets like the United States.
- Retail Chains (Off-Premise): This category includes major grocery store chains, supermarket groups, convenience store chains, and liquor store chains where consumers purchase beverages for consumption elsewhere. While Molson Coors may sell directly to some large chains in certain markets and indirectly through distributors to others, no single chain is identified as a major customer.
- On-Premise Accounts: These are establishments where beverages are sold and consumed on-site, such as bars, restaurants, pubs, hotels, and entertainment venues.
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Rahul Goyal, President and Chief Executive Officer
Rahul Goyal became the President and Chief Executive Officer of Molson Coors in October 2025. He has a long career within Molson Coors, joining Coors Brewing Company in 2001. Throughout his more than two decades at the company, he has held various leadership roles across the US, UK, and India, including Chief Information Officer for Molson Coors UK (2009-2011) and Chief Financial Officer and Board Member for Molson Coors Cobra India (2011-2015). Prior to his CEO appointment, he served as Chief Strategy Officer for Molson Coors Beverage Company since 2019, and before that, Chief Corporate Strategy, M&A, and Venturing Officer since 2015. Mr. Goyal has been instrumental in the company's "beyond beer" strategy, developing partnerships with companies like The Coca-Cola Company and Fever-Tree, and overseeing acquisitions such as ZOA and Naked Life. He also managed the commercial operations of Coors Distributing Company and was involved in the management of The Yuengling Company, a joint venture with D.G. Yuengling and Son. His career has been primarily forged within Molson Coors and its predecessor companies.
Tracey Joubert, Chief Financial Officer
Tracey Joubert has served as the Chief Financial Officer of Molson Coors Beverage Company since November 2016. Before this role, she was the Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President for MillerCoors from 2012 to November 2016. Ms. Joubert held several finance leadership positions at MillerCoors since its inception in 2008, including Vice President of finance, planning & analysis and controller. Her experience in the beer industry began with SAB Limited in Johannesburg, South Africa, where she held various finance roles, and later served as Director of finance and group services at Miller Brewing Company. Prior to entering the beer industry, she was a financial manager at Barloworld, Ltd. and completed her articles at KPMG South Africa. Ms. Joubert played a key role in the execution of the sale of MillerCoors to Molson Coors in 2016, which significantly impacted Molson Coors' revenue. She also serves on the Board of Directors for the Terrapin Beer Company and Coors Distributing Company. She previously served on the board of Cooper Tire & Rubber Company.
Brian Feiro, President of U.S. Sales
Brian Feiro has been the President of U.S. Sales and Distributor Operations and Chief Customer Officer at Molson Coors Beverage Company since January 2020. With over 20 years of experience within the company, he has held numerous positions across the sales organization, including regional vice president for the Central region and national accounts vice president for Walmart. Mr. Feiro started his career in the beer business by working for a distributor in Minnesota.
Sofia Colucci, Chief Marketing Officer
Sofia Colucci joined Molson Coors in 2017 and was promoted to North America Chief Marketing Officer in 2023. In her time at the company, she has held various roles focused on innovation and brand leadership. Before joining Molson Coors, Ms. Colucci spent eight years at PepsiCo, where she led nutrition and hydration brands across the United States and Canada. Her career also includes marketing and business management roles at Maple Leaf Foods in Canada.
Brian Erhardt, Chief Supply Chain Officer of Molson Coors North America
Brian Erhardt has served as the Chief Supply Chain Officer of Molson Coors North America. He joined the company in 2002 and previously held the role of executive vice president and chief supply chain officer for MillerCoors, the U.S. division of Molson Coors. His diverse experience at the company includes roles such as director of supply chain, director of strategy, vice president of strategy, sales and distributor operations chief of staff, vice president of revenue management, and regional vice president of sales. Before his tenure at Molson Coors, Mr. Erhardt held positions at Coopers & Lybrand Consulting, Seyfert Foods, and PricewaterhouseCoopers.
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Key Risks to Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)
Molson Coors Beverage Company faces several key risks that could impact its business performance, primarily driven by evolving consumer trends and market dynamics.
- Declining Beer Consumption and Shifting Consumer Preferences: The most significant risk to Molson Coors is the ongoing decline in traditional beer consumption, particularly among younger demographics. Consumers are increasingly opting for healthier alternatives, non-alcoholic beverages, spirits, and ready-to-drink cocktails. This shift directly leads to volume declines and impacts profitability, forcing the company to pivot its strategy towards "Beyond Beer" categories. The U.S. beer market, for instance, experienced an estimated volume decline of 4.7% in the third quarter of 2025.
- Intense Competition: Molson Coors operates within a highly competitive global beverage sector, facing significant pressure from major multinational brewing corporations such as Anheuser-Busch InBev, Heineken, and Carlsberg, as well as a growing number of craft breweries. Additionally, competition from the broader "Beyond Beer" market, including spirits producers, energy drinks, and ready-to-drink cocktails, further intensifies the competitive landscape. This intense competition makes it challenging to maintain market share and pricing power.
- Rising Input Costs and Inflation: The company is significantly exposed to the volatility and increases in input costs, most notably aluminum prices, exacerbated by tariffs. Given Molson Coors' heavy reliance on aluminum cans for packaging, these rising costs directly increase the cost of goods sold, putting pressure on profit margins. In 2026, commodity inflation, particularly from aluminum costs, is expected to be a meaningful headwind, with aluminum costs alone projected to reduce profit by approximately US$125 million.
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Increased legalization and social acceptance of cannabis products, offering an alternative recreational substance that competes for consumer spending and consumption occasions, potentially diverting consumers away from Molson Coors Beverage's core alcoholic beverage products.
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Molson Coors Beverage Company operates in several significant addressable markets for its main products, including beer, flavored malt beverages, and ready-to-drink (RTD) alcoholic beverages.
Beer Market
- The North American beer market was estimated at USD 177.83 billion in 2024. It is expected to grow to USD 214 billion by 2029.
- The European beer market size was estimated at USD 219.62 billion in 2024. Another estimate valued the market at approximately USD 150–155 billion.
Craft Beer Market
- Globally, the craft beer market size was calculated to be USD 161.49 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to be worth USD 525.16 billion by 2034. Another report valued the global craft beer market at USD 142.6 billion in 2024, with projections to reach USD 329.7 billion by 2033.
- North America led the global craft beer market with a 39.6% share in 2025. The U.S. craft beer market alone accounted for over 78% of the North American share in 2024.
- Europe currently dominates the global craft beer market, holding a market share of over 38.1% in 2024.
Flavored Malt Beverages (FMBs) Market
- The global Flavored Malt Beverage market was estimated to hit USD 23.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 36.2 billion by 2031.
Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Alcoholic Beverages Market
- The global RTD alcoholic beverages market size was valued at USD 32.84 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach US$ 75.30 billion by 2031. Another estimate valued the global market at US$ 20.3 billion in 2025, expected to reach US$ 28.2 billion by 2032.
- North America held a 28.6% market share of the global RTD alcoholic beverages market as of 2024. The ready-to-drink cocktails segment in North America accounted for over 32.5% of the global revenue in 2025.
Overall Malt Beverages Market
- The global malt beverages market size was valued at USD 843.26 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 1,675.39 billion by 2033.
- North America dominated the global malt beverages market, accounting for over 25% of the market share.
- The European malt beverages market accounted for approximately 26% of the global market.
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Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) is strategically positioning itself for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
- Aggressive Premiumization of its Portfolio: Molson Coors aims to significantly increase the contribution of its "Above Premium" brands across both beer and "Beyond Beer" categories. The company has a goal for its Above Premium portfolio to reach approximately one-third of its net sales revenue. This strategy includes popular brands like Madri Excepcional, Blue Moon, Miller Lite in Canada, and Peroni, with a particular focus on driving premiumization in the U.S. market.
- Expansion in "Beyond Beer" Categories: A significant driver of future revenue is the company's commitment to diversifying its portfolio beyond traditional beer. Molson Coors targets deriving 25% of its revenue from the "Beyond Beer" segment by 2027, up from approximately 18% in 2024. This expansion includes growth in hard seltzers, spirits-based ready-to-drink (RTD) cocktails, non-alcoholic beverages (such as its partnership with Fever-Tree and the upcoming Naked Life), and energy drinks like ZOA Energy.
- Continued Growth of Core "Power Brands": Despite the push into new categories, Molson Coors remains focused on strengthening and growing its established core brands. Key "Power Brands" like Coors Light, Miller Lite, and Coors Banquet in the U.S., as well as the Molson trademark in Canada, Carling in the U.K., and Ozujsko in Croatia, are expected to continue driving net revenue growth.
- Geographic Market Diversification: Molson Coors is actively expanding its footprint by targeting high-growth emerging markets. This includes strategic investments in new distribution hubs and modernizing breweries in regions such as Latin America and Asia-Pacific, with specific plans for markets like Mexico and India. The company has also secured deals to expand its brands across various countries in Europe and Asia.
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Share Repurchases
- Molson Coors announced a $2 billion share repurchase program in October 2023, anticipated to span approximately five years.
- In 2024, the company repurchased 10.9 million shares for $643 million.
- By the end of September 2025, Molson Coors had repurchased 19,393,694 shares for $1,120.78 million under the October 2023 authorization.
Share Issuance
- The company's basic shares outstanding declined year-over-year, from $0.217 billion in 2022 to $0.216 billion in 2023 and $0.209 billion in 2024, primarily due to share repurchases.
Outbound Investments
- Effective February 1, 2025, Molson Coors secured exclusive rights to make, market, and sell Fever-Tree products in the United States, including the acquisition of shares in Fever-Tree USA, Inc., and an investment of nearly $90 million in Fever-Tree Drinks Plc.
- In 2024, Molson Coors acquired Cruz Blanca and ZOA.
- The company also acquired Blue Run Spirits in August 2023.
Capital Expenditures
- Molson Coors reported capital expenditures of $661.4 million in 2022, $671.5 million in 2023, and $674.1 million in 2024.
- For 2025, projected capital expenditures were adjusted from an initial guidance of $750 million to $650 million, plus or minus 5%.
- Capital expenditures are focused on significant investments and infrastructure upgrades to improve capabilities and efficiencies, particularly across its UK network, supporting a commitment to reach carbon net zero in direct emissions by 2035 in the UK.
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| 02132026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -1.7% |
| 02062026 | AVO | Mission Produce | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.1% | 1.1% | -2.7% |
| 01022026 | CALM | Cal-Maine Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | -7.7% |
| 09262025 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.4% | 10.4% | -3.6% |
| 10312019 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.4% | -31.6% | -36.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 67.57 |
| Mkt Cap | 26.4 |
| Rev LTM | 11,141 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,941 |
| FCF LTM | 1,278 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,274 |
| CFO LTM | 1,888 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,885 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 26.4 |
| P/S | 2.1 |
| P/EBIT | 10.4 |
| P/E | 19.6 |
| P/CFO | 9.4 |
| Total Yield | 5.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -15.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -18.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -27.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -78.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $43.40 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 8.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/07/1984 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -27.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $47.33 | $46.92 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -8.3% | -7.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 31.9% | 25.8% |
| Downside Capture | -0.19 | 0.17 |
| Upside Capture | -79.93 | -10.99 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -7.3% | 16.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.51 | -0.58 | -0.60 | -0.33 | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| Up Beta | 1.97 | 1.07 | 1.10 | 0.73 | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| Down Beta | -0.18 | -0.80 | -0.88 | -0.41 | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| Up Capture | -118% | -66% | -65% | -40% | -3% | 7% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 22 | 33 | 65 | 123 | 378 |
| Down Capture | -151% | -130% | -130% | -78% | 25% | 55% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 28 | 59 | 124 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TAP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAP | -25.6% | 25.8% | -1.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 4.6% | 13.9% | 0.09 | 54.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 16.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 5.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 0.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 37.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.0% | 44.0% | -0.41 | 0.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TAP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAP | 0.2% | 26.1% | 0.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.8% | 13.2% | 0.30 | 49.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 29.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 7.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 7.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 36.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.7% | 56.6% | 0.30 | 7.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TAP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAP | -5.0% | 28.4% | -0.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.3% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 53.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 40.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 4.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 15.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 44.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.9% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 4.5% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/18/2026 | -4.9% | -6.5% | -15.9% |
| 11/4/2025 | 1.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| 8/5/2025 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| 5/8/2025 | -4.5% | -2.4% | -7.7% |
| 2/13/2025 | 9.5% | 13.0% | 12.4% |
| 11/7/2024 | 0.4% | 13.0% | 8.9% |
| 8/6/2024 | 5.4% | 1.7% | 9.9% |
| 4/30/2024 | -9.9% | -9.9% | -16.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| # Negative | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 2.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% |
| Median Negative | -4.7% | -6.8% | -9.3% |
| Max Positive | 9.5% | 13.3% | 42.2% |
| Max Negative | -11.2% | -18.4% | -17.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/18/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/21/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/18/2026 | Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | -1.0% | 0.0% | -1.0% | -100.0% | 3.5% | Raised | Guidance: -3.5% for 2025 |
| 2026 Operating Income | -0.18 | -0.17 | -0.15 | 22.2% | -3.0% | Lowered | Guidance: -0.14 for 2025 |
| 2026 EPS | -0.15 | -0.13 | -0.11 | 52.9% | -4.5% | Lowered | Guidance: -0.09 for 2025 |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 617.50 Mil | 650.00 Mil | 682.50 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 650.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 990.00 Mil | 1.10 Bil | 1.21 Bil | -15.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.30 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Underlying depreciation and amortization | 684.00 Mil | 720.00 Mil | 756.00 Mil | 6.7% | Raised | Guidance: 675.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Consolidated net interest expense | 247.00 Mil | 260.00 Mil | 273.00 Mil | 15.6% | Raised | Guidance: 225.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Underlying effective tax rate | 22.0% | 23.0% | 24.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 23.0% for 2025 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molson, Andrew Thomas | Direct | Buy | 11122025 | 46.79 | 7,500 | 350,924 | 1,059,978 | Form | |
| 2 | Coors, David S | Direct | Buy | 11062025 | 44.47 | 2,245 | 99,824 | 1,360,006 | Form | |
| 3 | Molson, Geoffrey E | Direct | Sell | 5212025 | 56.29 | 1,333 | 75,036 | 1,553,347 | Form | |
| 4 | Winnefeld, James A Jr | Direct | Buy | 5092025 | 54.00 | 200 | 10,800 | 1,034,964 | Form | |
| 5 | Whitehead, Philip M | Pres&CEO, MCBC EMEA&APAC | Direct | Sell | 3142025 | 59.61 | 3,491 | 208,099 | 575,415 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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