Tearsheet

Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)


Market Price (10/19/2025): $47.33 | Market Cap: $9.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Brewers

Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)


Market Price (10/19/2025): $47.33
Market Cap: $9.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Brewers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 10%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 10%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

TAP Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TAP Return-15%4%14%22%-3%-15%1%
Peers Return45%-19%-7%12%-13%-5%1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TAP Win Rate50%50%67%67%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate58%42%44%61%47%41% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TAP Max Drawdown-39%-3%0%-5%-18%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-27%-23%-8%-22%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SAM, BUD, TAP. See TAP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventTAPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven553 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven223 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven102.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1843 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Molson Coors Beverage's stock fell -28.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -28.3% loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TAP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.9%-15.9%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.5%-12.5%-22.4%
TAP_10312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312019TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.4%-31.6%-36.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.9%-15.9%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.5%-12.5%-22.4%
TAP_10312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312019TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.4%-31.6%-36.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Molson Coors Beverage

Financials

TAPSAMBUDMedian
NameMolson C.Boston B.Anheuser. 
Mkt Price47.33223.8362.1462.14
Mkt Cap9.52.5123.99.5
Rev LTM11,2832,05058,84811,283
Op Inc LTM1,69218315,0951,692
FCF LTM961222-591
FCF 3Y Avg1,144172-658
CFO LTM1,643286-965
CFO 3Y Avg1,817240-1,029

Growth & Margins

TAPSAMBUDMedian
NameMolson C.Boston B.Anheuser. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.5%2.5%-1.5%-1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.3%1.6%2.2%2.2%
Rev Chg Q-1.6%1.5%-6.3%-1.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.5%0.4%-1.5%-0.5%
Op Mgn LTM15.0%8.9%25.7%15.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.1%7.3%25.3%14.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.6%0.3%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM14.6%14.0%-14.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.8%11.8%-13.8%
FCF/Rev LTM8.5%10.8%-9.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.0%8.5%-9.2%

Valuation

TAPSAMBUDMedian
NameMolson C.Boston B.Anheuser. 
Mkt Cap9.52.5123.99.5
P/S0.81.22.11.2
P/EBIT5.713.68.08.0
P/E9.131.217.917.9
P/CFO5.88.7-7.2
Total Yield14.9%3.2%5.6%5.6%
Dividend Yield3.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.2%6.2%-8.2%
D/E0.70.00.00.0
Net D/E0.6-0.10.00.0

Returns

TAPSAMBUDMedian
NameMolson C.Boston B.Anheuser. 
1M Rtn0.9%0.1%6.1%0.9%
3M Rtn-4.6%16.4%-8.5%-4.6%
6M Rtn-17.9%-6.5%-3.8%-6.5%
12M Rtn-12.6%-25.1%-4.4%-12.6%
3Y Rtn7.4%-33.2%42.3%7.4%
1M Excs Rtn0.4%-0.3%5.6%0.4%
3M Excs Rtn-10.0%9.6%-14.5%-10.0%
6M Excs Rtn-44.1%-32.6%-29.9%-32.6%
12M Excs Rtn-24.8%-33.9%-18.1%-24.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.9%-125.5%-44.1%-79.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment11,70210,70110,2809,65410,579
Total11,70210,70110,2809,65410,579


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,986,583
Short Interest: % Change Since 91520251.3%
Average Daily Volume3,122,867
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.44
Basic Shares Quantity200,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/20251.3%3.5%3.4%
5/8/2025-4.5%-2.4%-7.7%
2/13/20259.5%13.0%12.4%
11/7/20240.4%13.0%8.9%
8/6/20245.4%1.7%9.9%
4/30/2024-9.9%-9.9%-16.6%
2/13/2024-1.3%1.0%7.4%
11/2/2023-0.6%1.4%7.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111313
# Negative121010
Median Positive3.1%3.7%8.9%
Median Negative-4.5%-6.1%-8.5%
Max Positive9.5%13.3%42.2%
Max Negative-11.2%-18.4%-33.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211028202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Winnefeld James A Jr5092025Buy54.0020010,8001,034,964Form
1Whitehead Philip MPres&CEO, MCBC EMEA&APAC3142025Sell59.613,491208,099575,415Form