Tearsheet

Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)


Market Price (3/28/2026): $43.38 | Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Brewers

Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)


Market Price (3/28/2026): $43.38
Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Brewers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.4%, FCF Yield is 13%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
  Key risks
TAP key risks include [1] weakening demand and declining brand volumes in key markets, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.4%, FCF Yield is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25%
8 Key risks
TAP key risks include [1] weakening demand and declining brand volumes in key markets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Molson Coors Beverage (TAP) stock has lost about 5% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Weak 2025 Fourth Quarter Results and Bearish 2026 Outlook.

Molson Coors reported challenging Q4 2025 results on February 18, 2026, with net sales decreasing 2.7% reported and 4.0% in constant currency, falling short of analyst estimates of $2.71 billion. More significantly, the company issued a "sobering guidance" for 2026, forecasting adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to decline by 11% to 15%, contrary to analyst projections of a 1.9% increase to $5.48 EPS. This guidance contributed to a roughly 6% drop in shares in after-hours trading.

2. Persistent Commodity Inflation, Notably Rising Aluminum Costs.

The company cited commodity inflation as a significant headwind for 2026, with rising aluminum tariffs and an increase in the Midwest aluminum premium expected to negatively impact profits. Molson Coors anticipates aluminum costs alone to reduce 2026 profits by approximately $125 million, following an 8.1% increase in the cost of goods sold per hectoliter in Q4 2025 due to the Midwest aluminum premium.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.7% change in TAP stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -5.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253272026Change
Stock Price ($)45.5643.40-4.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,21411,141-0.7%
P/S Multiple0.80.8-5.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1981951.4%
Cumulative Contribution-4.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TAP-4.7% 
Market (SPY)-5.3%-8.8%
Sector (XLP)3.9%52.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.4% change in TAP stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253272026Change
Stock Price ($)48.9943.40-11.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,28311,141-1.3%
P/S Multiple0.90.8-12.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2001952.7%
Cumulative Contribution-11.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TAP-11.4% 
Market (SPY)0.6%-8.1%
Sector (XLP)2.8%52.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.4% change in TAP stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253272026Change
Stock Price ($)58.9443.40-26.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,62711,141-4.2%
P/S Multiple1.00.8-27.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2061955.3%
Cumulative Contribution-26.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TAP-26.4% 
Market (SPY)9.8%15.7%
Sector (XLP)1.1%55.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.3% change in TAP stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -21.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233272026Change
Stock Price ($)47.8743.40-9.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,70111,1414.1%
P/S Multiple1.00.8-21.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)21719511.0%
Cumulative Contribution-9.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TAP-9.3% 
Market (SPY)69.4%18.7%
Sector (XLP)23.1%48.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TAP Return4%14%22%-3%-16%-9%8%
Peers Return-7%-11%4%-11%-13%8%-27%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-5%72%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TAP Win Rate50%67%67%58%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate46%42%54%46%50%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TAP Max Drawdown-3%0%-5%-18%-23%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-22%-13%-17%-26%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BUD, STZ, SAM, KDP. See TAP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTAPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven553 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven223 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven102.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,843 days1,480 days

Compare to BUD, STZ, SAM, KDP

In The Past

Molson Coors Beverage's stock fell -28.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -28.3% loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)

Molson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, and sells beer and other malt beverage products under various brands in the Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. It offers flavored malt beverages, craft, and ready to drink beverages. The company was formerly known as Molson Coors Brewing Company and changed its name to Molson Coors Beverage Company in January 2020. Molson Coors Beverage Company was founded in 1774 and is based in Golden, Colorado.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Molson Coors Beverage (TAP):

  • Molson Coors is like Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) for beers such as Coors Light and Miller Lite.
  • Molson Coors is a Coca-Cola (KO) or PepsiCo (PEP) for beer and other alcoholic beverages.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Beer: Molson Coors manufactures, markets, and sells a wide variety of beer brands.
  • Flavored Malt Beverages: The company offers various beverages made with a malt base and infused with different flavors.
  • Craft Beverages: Molson Coors provides a selection of specialty and artisanal beverages, often including craft beers.
  • Ready to Drink (RTD) Beverages: The company sells pre-mixed, packaged beverages that are ready for immediate consumption.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) primarily sells its beer and other malt beverage products to other companies rather than directly to individual consumers. Due to the highly diversified nature of its global distribution and sales channels, Molson Coors does not disclose any single major customer (such as a specific distributor or large retail chain) that accounts for a material portion of its consolidated net sales in its public financial filings.

Instead, its customer base consists of a broad network of businesses that fall into the following categories:

  1. Wholesale Distributors: These companies purchase Molson Coors' products in large volumes and are responsible for distributing them to various retail outlets and on-premise accounts within specific geographic regions. This tier is particularly prominent in markets like the United States.
  2. Retail Chains (Off-Premise): This category includes major grocery store chains, supermarket groups, convenience store chains, and liquor store chains where consumers purchase beverages for consumption elsewhere. While Molson Coors may sell directly to some large chains in certain markets and indirectly through distributors to others, no single chain is identified as a major customer.
  3. On-Premise Accounts: These are establishments where beverages are sold and consumed on-site, such as bars, restaurants, pubs, hotels, and entertainment venues.

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Rahul Goyal, President and Chief Executive Officer

Rahul Goyal became the President and Chief Executive Officer of Molson Coors in October 2025. He has a long career within Molson Coors, joining Coors Brewing Company in 2001. Throughout his more than two decades at the company, he has held various leadership roles across the US, UK, and India, including Chief Information Officer for Molson Coors UK (2009-2011) and Chief Financial Officer and Board Member for Molson Coors Cobra India (2011-2015). Prior to his CEO appointment, he served as Chief Strategy Officer for Molson Coors Beverage Company since 2019, and before that, Chief Corporate Strategy, M&A, and Venturing Officer since 2015. Mr. Goyal has been instrumental in the company's "beyond beer" strategy, developing partnerships with companies like The Coca-Cola Company and Fever-Tree, and overseeing acquisitions such as ZOA and Naked Life. He also managed the commercial operations of Coors Distributing Company and was involved in the management of The Yuengling Company, a joint venture with D.G. Yuengling and Son. His career has been primarily forged within Molson Coors and its predecessor companies.

Tracey Joubert, Chief Financial Officer

Tracey Joubert has served as the Chief Financial Officer of Molson Coors Beverage Company since November 2016. Before this role, she was the Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President for MillerCoors from 2012 to November 2016. Ms. Joubert held several finance leadership positions at MillerCoors since its inception in 2008, including Vice President of finance, planning & analysis and controller. Her experience in the beer industry began with SAB Limited in Johannesburg, South Africa, where she held various finance roles, and later served as Director of finance and group services at Miller Brewing Company. Prior to entering the beer industry, she was a financial manager at Barloworld, Ltd. and completed her articles at KPMG South Africa. Ms. Joubert played a key role in the execution of the sale of MillerCoors to Molson Coors in 2016, which significantly impacted Molson Coors' revenue. She also serves on the Board of Directors for the Terrapin Beer Company and Coors Distributing Company. She previously served on the board of Cooper Tire & Rubber Company.

Brian Feiro, President of U.S. Sales

Brian Feiro has been the President of U.S. Sales and Distributor Operations and Chief Customer Officer at Molson Coors Beverage Company since January 2020. With over 20 years of experience within the company, he has held numerous positions across the sales organization, including regional vice president for the Central region and national accounts vice president for Walmart. Mr. Feiro started his career in the beer business by working for a distributor in Minnesota.

Sofia Colucci, Chief Marketing Officer

Sofia Colucci joined Molson Coors in 2017 and was promoted to North America Chief Marketing Officer in 2023. In her time at the company, she has held various roles focused on innovation and brand leadership. Before joining Molson Coors, Ms. Colucci spent eight years at PepsiCo, where she led nutrition and hydration brands across the United States and Canada. Her career also includes marketing and business management roles at Maple Leaf Foods in Canada.

Brian Erhardt, Chief Supply Chain Officer of Molson Coors North America

Brian Erhardt has served as the Chief Supply Chain Officer of Molson Coors North America. He joined the company in 2002 and previously held the role of executive vice president and chief supply chain officer for MillerCoors, the U.S. division of Molson Coors. His diverse experience at the company includes roles such as director of supply chain, director of strategy, vice president of strategy, sales and distributor operations chief of staff, vice president of revenue management, and regional vice president of sales. Before his tenure at Molson Coors, Mr. Erhardt held positions at Coopers & Lybrand Consulting, Seyfert Foods, and PricewaterhouseCoopers.

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Key Risks to Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)

Molson Coors Beverage Company faces several key risks that could impact its business performance, primarily driven by evolving consumer trends and market dynamics.

  1. Declining Beer Consumption and Shifting Consumer Preferences: The most significant risk to Molson Coors is the ongoing decline in traditional beer consumption, particularly among younger demographics. Consumers are increasingly opting for healthier alternatives, non-alcoholic beverages, spirits, and ready-to-drink cocktails. This shift directly leads to volume declines and impacts profitability, forcing the company to pivot its strategy towards "Beyond Beer" categories. The U.S. beer market, for instance, experienced an estimated volume decline of 4.7% in the third quarter of 2025.
  2. Intense Competition: Molson Coors operates within a highly competitive global beverage sector, facing significant pressure from major multinational brewing corporations such as Anheuser-Busch InBev, Heineken, and Carlsberg, as well as a growing number of craft breweries. Additionally, competition from the broader "Beyond Beer" market, including spirits producers, energy drinks, and ready-to-drink cocktails, further intensifies the competitive landscape. This intense competition makes it challenging to maintain market share and pricing power.
  3. Rising Input Costs and Inflation: The company is significantly exposed to the volatility and increases in input costs, most notably aluminum prices, exacerbated by tariffs. Given Molson Coors' heavy reliance on aluminum cans for packaging, these rising costs directly increase the cost of goods sold, putting pressure on profit margins. In 2026, commodity inflation, particularly from aluminum costs, is expected to be a meaningful headwind, with aluminum costs alone projected to reduce profit by approximately US$125 million.

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Increased legalization and social acceptance of cannabis products, offering an alternative recreational substance that competes for consumer spending and consumption occasions, potentially diverting consumers away from Molson Coors Beverage's core alcoholic beverage products.

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Molson Coors Beverage Company operates in several significant addressable markets for its main products, including beer, flavored malt beverages, and ready-to-drink (RTD) alcoholic beverages.

Beer Market

  • The North American beer market was estimated at USD 177.83 billion in 2024. It is expected to grow to USD 214 billion by 2029.
  • The European beer market size was estimated at USD 219.62 billion in 2024. Another estimate valued the market at approximately USD 150–155 billion.

Craft Beer Market

  • Globally, the craft beer market size was calculated to be USD 161.49 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to be worth USD 525.16 billion by 2034. Another report valued the global craft beer market at USD 142.6 billion in 2024, with projections to reach USD 329.7 billion by 2033.
  • North America led the global craft beer market with a 39.6% share in 2025. The U.S. craft beer market alone accounted for over 78% of the North American share in 2024.
  • Europe currently dominates the global craft beer market, holding a market share of over 38.1% in 2024.

Flavored Malt Beverages (FMBs) Market

  • The global Flavored Malt Beverage market was estimated to hit USD 23.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 36.2 billion by 2031.

Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Alcoholic Beverages Market

  • The global RTD alcoholic beverages market size was valued at USD 32.84 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach US$ 75.30 billion by 2031. Another estimate valued the global market at US$ 20.3 billion in 2025, expected to reach US$ 28.2 billion by 2032.
  • North America held a 28.6% market share of the global RTD alcoholic beverages market as of 2024. The ready-to-drink cocktails segment in North America accounted for over 32.5% of the global revenue in 2025.

Overall Malt Beverages Market

  • The global malt beverages market size was valued at USD 843.26 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 1,675.39 billion by 2033.
  • North America dominated the global malt beverages market, accounting for over 25% of the market share.
  • The European malt beverages market accounted for approximately 26% of the global market.

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Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) is strategically positioning itself for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:

  1. Aggressive Premiumization of its Portfolio: Molson Coors aims to significantly increase the contribution of its "Above Premium" brands across both beer and "Beyond Beer" categories. The company has a goal for its Above Premium portfolio to reach approximately one-third of its net sales revenue. This strategy includes popular brands like Madri Excepcional, Blue Moon, Miller Lite in Canada, and Peroni, with a particular focus on driving premiumization in the U.S. market.
  2. Expansion in "Beyond Beer" Categories: A significant driver of future revenue is the company's commitment to diversifying its portfolio beyond traditional beer. Molson Coors targets deriving 25% of its revenue from the "Beyond Beer" segment by 2027, up from approximately 18% in 2024. This expansion includes growth in hard seltzers, spirits-based ready-to-drink (RTD) cocktails, non-alcoholic beverages (such as its partnership with Fever-Tree and the upcoming Naked Life), and energy drinks like ZOA Energy.
  3. Continued Growth of Core "Power Brands": Despite the push into new categories, Molson Coors remains focused on strengthening and growing its established core brands. Key "Power Brands" like Coors Light, Miller Lite, and Coors Banquet in the U.S., as well as the Molson trademark in Canada, Carling in the U.K., and Ozujsko in Croatia, are expected to continue driving net revenue growth.
  4. Geographic Market Diversification: Molson Coors is actively expanding its footprint by targeting high-growth emerging markets. This includes strategic investments in new distribution hubs and modernizing breweries in regions such as Latin America and Asia-Pacific, with specific plans for markets like Mexico and India. The company has also secured deals to expand its brands across various countries in Europe and Asia.

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Share Repurchases

  • Molson Coors announced a $2 billion share repurchase program in October 2023, anticipated to span approximately five years.
  • In 2024, the company repurchased 10.9 million shares for $643 million.
  • By the end of September 2025, Molson Coors had repurchased 19,393,694 shares for $1,120.78 million under the October 2023 authorization.

Share Issuance

  • The company's basic shares outstanding declined year-over-year, from $0.217 billion in 2022 to $0.216 billion in 2023 and $0.209 billion in 2024, primarily due to share repurchases.

Outbound Investments

  • Effective February 1, 2025, Molson Coors secured exclusive rights to make, market, and sell Fever-Tree products in the United States, including the acquisition of shares in Fever-Tree USA, Inc., and an investment of nearly $90 million in Fever-Tree Drinks Plc.
  • In 2024, Molson Coors acquired Cruz Blanca and ZOA.
  • The company also acquired Blue Run Spirits in August 2023.

Capital Expenditures

  • Molson Coors reported capital expenditures of $661.4 million in 2022, $671.5 million in 2023, and $674.1 million in 2024.
  • For 2025, projected capital expenditures were adjusted from an initial guidance of $750 million to $650 million, plus or minus 5%.
  • Capital expenditures are focused on significant investments and infrastructure upgrades to improve capabilities and efficiencies, particularly across its UK network, supporting a commitment to reach carbon net zero in direct emissions by 2035 in the UK.

Better Bets vs. Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TAP.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRBR_2272026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG02272026BRBRBellRing BrandsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.0%0.0%0.0%
STZ_2132026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02132026STZConstellation BrandsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%0.0%
KMB_2132026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202132026KMBKimberly-ClarkInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-1.7%
AVO_2062026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202062026AVOMission ProduceInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
1.1%1.1%-2.7%
CALM_1022026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01022026CALMCal-Maine FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.0%12.0%-7.7%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.4%10.4%-3.6%
TAP_10312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312019TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.4%-31.6%-36.6%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TAPBUDSTZSAMKDPMedian
NameMolson C.Anheuser.Constell.Boston B.Keurig D. 
Mkt Price43.4067.57151.40229.7626.2367.57
Mkt Cap8.5134.126.42.435.626.4
Rev LTM11,14159,3209,3831,96516,60311,141
Op Inc LTM1,63115,8552,9411523,6532,941
FCF LTM1,068-1,7622161,4881,278
FCF 3Y Avg1,237-1,6751961,3111,274
CFO LTM1,784-2,7012701,9911,888
CFO 3Y Avg1,925-2,8382611,8461,885

Growth & Margins

TAPBUDSTZSAMKDPMedian
NameMolson C.Anheuser.Constell.Boston B.Keurig D. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.2%-0.7%-7.9%-2.4%8.2%-2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.5%0.9%-0.5%-2.0%5.7%0.9%
Rev Chg Q-2.7%4.8%-9.8%-4.1%10.5%-2.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%1.2%-2.5%-0.8%2.7%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM14.6%26.7%31.3%7.7%22.0%22.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.6%25.7%31.8%7.1%21.7%21.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.1%-0.3%-0.2%0.5%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM16.0%-28.8%13.7%12.0%14.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.7%-29.0%13.1%11.8%14.9%
FCF/Rev LTM9.6%-18.8%11.0%9.0%10.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.7%-17.1%9.9%8.4%10.3%

Valuation

TAPBUDSTZSAMKDPMedian
NameMolson C.Anheuser.Constell.Boston B.Keurig D. 
Mkt Cap8.5134.126.42.435.626.4
P/S0.82.32.81.22.12.1
P/EBIT-3.78.912.916.110.410.4
P/E-4.019.623.822.517.119.6
P/CFO4.7-9.89.017.99.4
Total Yield-20.8%5.1%5.6%4.4%7.6%5.1%
Dividend Yield4.4%0.0%1.4%0.0%1.8%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.0%-5.0%6.7%3.1%5.9%
D/E0.70.50.40.00.50.5
Net D/E0.60.50.4-0.10.40.4

Returns

TAPBUDSTZSAMKDPMedian
NameMolson C.Anheuser.Constell.Boston B.Keurig D. 
1M Rtn-7.7%-14.0%-2.4%5.5%-12.2%-7.7%
3M Rtn-5.5%5.2%9.3%16.6%-5.1%5.2%
6M Rtn-1.2%14.6%15.9%6.9%4.6%6.9%
12M Rtn-26.0%10.9%-15.7%-4.4%-20.3%-15.7%
3Y Rtn-6.9%11.7%-26.8%-29.1%-18.2%-18.2%
1M Excs Rtn-0.9%-7.2%5.0%9.7%-4.9%-0.9%
3M Excs Rtn2.8%14.0%16.6%25.2%3.4%14.0%
6M Excs Rtn3.3%17.0%19.4%10.7%8.1%10.7%
12M Excs Rtn-37.0%-0.1%-27.1%-14.9%-31.4%-27.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-66.1%-46.8%-86.8%-89.5%-78.8%-78.8%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment11,62711,70210,70110,2809,654
Total11,62711,70210,70110,2809,654


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$43.40 
Market Cap ($ Bil)8.5 
First Trading Date09/07/1984 
Distance from 52W High-27.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$47.33$46.92
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-8.3%-7.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility31.9%25.8%
Downside Capture-0.190.17
Upside Capture-79.93-10.99
Correlation (SPY)-7.3%16.5%
TAP Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.51-0.58-0.60-0.330.210.30
Up Beta1.971.071.100.730.410.38
Down Beta-0.18-0.80-0.88-0.410.100.24
Up Capture-118%-66%-65%-40%-3%7%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days12223365123378
Down Capture-151%-130%-130%-78%25%55%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days9192859124370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TAP
TAP-25.6%25.8%-1.17-
Sector ETF (XLP)4.6%13.9%0.0954.4%
Equity (SPY)14.5%18.9%0.5916.6%
Gold (GLD)50.2%27.7%1.465.6%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.6%0.850.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.4%16.4%-0.1537.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-21.0%44.0%-0.410.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TAP
TAP0.2%26.1%0.01-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.8%13.2%0.3049.6%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.0%0.5429.0%
Gold (GLD)20.7%17.7%0.967.5%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.9%0.507.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.0%18.8%0.0736.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.7%56.6%0.307.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TAP
TAP-5.0%28.4%-0.13-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.3%14.7%0.3753.7%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6740.8%
Gold (GLD)13.3%15.8%0.704.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%17.6%0.3915.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1944.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.9%66.8%1.064.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-0.3%
Average Daily Volume2.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity195.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares9.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/18/2026-4.9%-6.5%-15.9%
11/4/20251.0%8.4%5.4%
8/5/20251.3%3.5%2.5%
5/8/2025-4.5%-2.4%-7.7%
2/13/20259.5%13.0%12.4%
11/7/20240.4%13.0%8.9%
8/6/20245.4%1.7%9.9%
4/30/2024-9.9%-9.9%-16.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121414
# Negative1199
Median Positive2.5%5.2%8.1%
Median Negative-4.7%-6.8%-9.3%
Max Positive9.5%13.3%42.2%
Max Negative-11.2%-18.4%-17.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/18/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/20/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/21/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/18/2026 | Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue Growth-1.0%0.0%-1.0%-100.0%3.5%RaisedGuidance: -3.5% for 2025
2026 Operating Income-0.18-0.17-0.1522.2%-3.0%LoweredGuidance: -0.14 for 2025
2026 EPS-0.15-0.13-0.1152.9%-4.5%LoweredGuidance: -0.09 for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures617.50 Mil650.00 Mil682.50 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 650.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow990.00 Mil1.10 Bil1.21 Bil-15.4% LoweredGuidance: 1.30 Bil for 2025
2026 Underlying depreciation and amortization684.00 Mil720.00 Mil756.00 Mil6.7% RaisedGuidance: 675.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Consolidated net interest expense247.00 Mil260.00 Mil273.00 Mil15.6% RaisedGuidance: 225.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Underlying effective tax rate22.0%23.0%24.0%0.0%0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 23.0% for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Molson, Andrew ThomasDirectBuy1112202546.797,500350,9241,059,978Form
2Coors, David SDirectBuy1106202544.472,24599,8241,360,006Form
3Molson, Geoffrey EDirectSell521202556.291,33375,0361,553,347Form
4Winnefeld, James A JrDirectBuy509202554.0020010,8001,034,964Form
5Whitehead, Philip MPres&CEO, MCBC EMEA&APACDirectSell314202559.613,491208,099575,415Form