Tearsheet

AT&T (T)


Market Price (11/12/2025): $25.34 | Market Cap: $181.3 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services

AT&T (T)


Market Price (11/12/2025): $25.34
Market Cap: $181.3 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -19%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 77%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 41 Bil, FCF LTM is 20 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 41 Bil, FCF LTM is 20 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -19%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 77%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

T Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining why AT&T's stock moved by -7.1% between July 31, 2025, and November 12, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss on Revenue Estimates and Subsequent Analyst Downgrades. AT&T reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 22, 2025, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) meeting consensus estimates at $0.54. However, quarterly revenue of $30.71 billion, while up 1.7% year-over-year, fell short of the analyst consensus estimate of $30.85 billion. This revenue miss, coupled with decelerating wireless growth, led analysts from firms like Barclays and RBC Capital to lower their price targets for AT&T's stock following the announcement.

2. Significant Data Breach Settlement Amounting to $177 Million. In early August 2025, AT&T announced a proposed settlement in a class action lawsuit stemming from two data breaches that occurred in 2024. The company agreed to pay $177 million into settlement funds ($149 million for the first incident and $28 million for the second), allowing affected customers to claim compensation. This substantial financial outlay to resolve past data security issues likely weighed on investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
T Return-21%-8%5%-3%44%16%23%
Peers Return10%2%-14%-6%35%16%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
T Win Rate42%33%42%67%75%60% 
Peers Win Rate53%52%43%48%53%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
T Max Drawdown-31%-17%-16%-24%-2%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-10%-31%-29%-23%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TMUS, VZ, CMCSA, LUMN, ATNI. See T Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/11/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven573 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-49.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2670 days1480 days

Compare to TMUS, VZ, CMCSA, LUMN, ATNI


In The Past

AT&T's stock fell -45.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/10/2021. A -45.7% loss requires a 84.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About AT&T (T)

Interactive Breakdown

AT&T Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than AT&T (T)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to T. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-14.3%-14.3%-16.6%
CABO_10032025_Short_Squeeze10032025CABOCable OneSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-33.5%-33.5%-33.5%
DV_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025DVDoubleVerifyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.5%-16.5%-27.9%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.5%-16.5%-17.9%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-12.1%-12.1%-17.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-14.3%-14.3%-16.6%
CABO_10032025_Short_Squeeze10032025CABOCable OneSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-33.5%-33.5%-33.5%
DV_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025DVDoubleVerifyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.5%-16.5%-27.9%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.5%-16.5%-17.9%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-12.1%-12.1%-17.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AT&T

Financials

TTMUSVZCMCSALUMNATNIMedian
NameAT&T T-Mobile.Verizon .Comcast Lumen Te.ATN Inte. 
Mkt Price25.18211.9840.7027.459.2519.8326.31
Mkt Cap180.2238.2172.1102.19.20.3137.1
Rev LTM124,48085,847137,491124,18412,690720105,016
Op Inc LTM24,21819,40731,67622,5051703120,956
FCF LTM19,95613,80720,64916,5881,2263915,198
FCF 3Y Avg19,9859,99216,05213,380541-1811,686
CFO LTM40,86026,84538,45531,2104,86412929,028
CFO 3Y Avg38,78722,16137,11728,3713,83711725,266

Growth & Margins

TTMUSVZCMCSALUMNATNIMedian
NameAT&T T-Mobile.Verizon .Comcast Lumen Te.ATN Inte. 
Rev Chg LTM2.0%7.3%2.4%2.5%-4.6%-5.3%2.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.1%2.4%0.5%0.7%-11.6%0.8%0.7%
Rev Chg Q1.6%8.9%1.5%2.1%-4.2%-1.1%1.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%2.1%0.4%0.5%-1.0%-0.3%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM19.5%22.6%23.0%18.1%1.3%4.3%18.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.9%20.3%21.9%18.9%5.2%3.7%19.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.5%1.5%-0.6%-1.9%-0.0%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM32.8%31.3%28.0%25.1%38.3%18.0%29.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg31.6%27.1%27.4%23.2%28.9%15.8%27.3%
FCF/Rev LTM16.0%16.1%15.0%13.4%9.7%5.4%14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.3%12.2%11.8%10.9%4.4%-2.4%11.4%

Valuation

TTMUSVZCMCSALUMNATNIMedian
NameAT&T T-Mobile.Verizon .Comcast Lumen Te.ATN Inte. 
Mkt Cap180.2238.2172.1102.19.20.3137.1
P/S1.42.81.30.80.70.41.0
P/EBIT5.212.55.33.2-9.5-9.94.2
P/E8.120.18.74.5-5.6-6.76.3
P/CFO4.48.94.53.31.92.33.8
Total Yield12.3%6.7%18.2%27.2%-17.9%-10.1%9.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.7%6.6%4.8%0.0%4.8%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.7%4.4%9.5%9.3%-8.5%-1.2%6.8%
D/E0.90.51.01.01.92.41.0
Net D/E0.80.50.90.91.72.00.9

Returns

TTMUSVZCMCSALUMNATNIMedian
NameAT&T T-Mobile.Verizon .Comcast Lumen Te.ATN Inte. 
1M Rtn-2.7%-7.3%2.1%-6.8%40.6%39.8%-0.3%
3M Rtn-10.6%-15.7%-4.3%-13.6%134.2%27.5%-7.5%
6M Rtn-2.8%-10.0%-1.4%-19.5%110.7%38.3%-2.1%
12M Rtn17.9%-9.8%7.6%-35.5%-8.6%-5.3%-6.9%
3Y Rtn56.5%49.4%30.0%-11.2%45.9%-53.2%38.0%
1M Excs Rtn-4.5%-8.7%-0.5%-9.5%34.2%37.8%-2.5%
3M Excs Rtn-16.3%-21.1%-11.2%-21.7%108.7%19.7%-13.7%
6M Excs Rtn-19.1%-26.3%-17.7%-35.8%94.4%22.0%-18.4%
12M Excs Rtn4.7%-21.7%-7.4%-50.2%-14.0%-16.6%-15.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-18.9%-34.9%-47.8%-84.1%-25.3%-132.1%-41.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Communications118,038117,067114,730109,965142,359
Latin America3,9323,1442,7475,7166,963
Corporate458530   
Certain significant items00   
Corporate and Other  7312,2071,937
Eliminations and consolidation  -136-5,180-5,253
Held-for-sale and other reclassifications  453  
Video  15,51328,610 
WarnerMedia   30,44235,259
Acquisition-related items    -72
Total122,428120,741134,038171,760181,193


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Communications27,80126,73628,39328,31332,230
Latin America-141-326-510-753-662
Certain significant items-1,238-28,107-296-19,170-2,125
Corporate-2,961-2,890   
Corporate and Other  -1,644-2,308-1,978
Held-for-sale and other reclassifications  143  
Reclassification of prior service credits  -2,680  
Video  2,4912,174 
Acquisition-related items   -8,480-8,492
Eliminations and consolidation   -1,563-1,516
WarnerMedia   8,19210,498
Total23,461-4,58725,8976,40527,955


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Communications504,006471,444448,757506,102521,252
Latin America9,3148,4088,87415,81120,606
Corporate and eliminations-106,260-76,99993,991-144,189-133,681
WarnerMedia   148,037143,492
Total407,060402,853551,622525,761551,669


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity86,628,864
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520255.1%
Average Daily Volume83,302,498
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.04
Basic Shares Quantity7,156,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/2025-1.9%-1.3% 
7/23/20251.2%-0.0%6.8%
4/23/20250.9%1.3%1.9%
1/27/20256.3%4.4%17.3%
10/23/20244.6%3.2%6.2%
7/24/20245.2%4.2%7.3%
4/24/20241.9%2.4%6.1%
1/24/2024-3.0%2.0%-3.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161412
# Negative91113
Median Positive4.2%3.7%6.1%
Median Negative-2.1%-2.5%-3.6%
Max Positive7.7%16.7%21.9%
Max Negative-10.4%-12.7%-16.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023501202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022213202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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