Tearsheet

AT&T (T)


Market Price (11/15/2025): $25.56 | Market Cap: $182.9 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services

AT&T (T)


Market Price (11/15/2025): $25.56
Market Cap: $182.9 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.0%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 41 Bil, FCF LTM is 20 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.0%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 41 Bil, FCF LTM is 20 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

T Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



AT&T (T) experienced a stock price decline of approximately -5.6% between July 31, 2025, and November 15, 2025, driven by several key factors:

1. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss: While AT&T's third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.54 met analyst forecasts, the company's revenue of $30.7 billion slightly missed the projected $30.89 billion. This revenue shortfall led to investor concerns and contributed to a stock decline in pre-market trading following the October 22, 2025, earnings release.

2. Analyst Downgrades and Lowered Price Targets: Throughout October 2025, several analysts adjusted their ratings and price targets for AT&T, reflecting mixed sentiments. For instance, Barclays maintained an "Equal-Weight" rating but lowered its price target, while RBC Capital and Wells Fargo also maintained ratings but reduced their price targets. Scotiabank downgraded AT&T from "Sector Outperform" to "Sector Perform" in early October.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
T Return-21%-8%5%-3%44%18%26%
Peers Return10%2%-14%-6%35%12%39%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
T Win Rate42%33%42%67%75%60% 
Peers Win Rate53%52%43%48%53%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
T Max Drawdown-31%-17%-16%-24%-2%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-10%-31%-29%-23%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TMUS, VZ, CMCSA, LUMN, ATNI. See T Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven573 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-49.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2670 days1480 days

Compare to TMUS, VZ, CMCSA, LUMN, ATNI


In The Past

AT&T's stock fell -45.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/10/2021. A -45.7% loss requires a 84.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About AT&T (T)

Interactive Breakdown

AT&T Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than AT&T (T)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to T. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-18.7%-18.7%-18.7%
CABO_10032025_Short_Squeeze10032025CABOCable OneSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-39.6%-39.6%-39.6%
DV_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025DVDoubleVerifyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.0%-20.0%-27.9%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.3%-16.3%-17.9%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-14.4%-14.4%-17.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-18.7%-18.7%-18.7%
CABO_10032025_Short_Squeeze10032025CABOCable OneSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-39.6%-39.6%-39.6%
DV_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025DVDoubleVerifyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.0%-20.0%-27.9%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.3%-16.3%-17.9%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-14.4%-14.4%-17.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AT&T

Financials

TTMUSVZCMCSALUMNATNIMedian
NameAT&T T-Mobile.Verizon .Comcast Lumen Te.ATN Inte. 
Mkt Price25.59216.0841.0627.517.9919.8526.55
Mkt Cap183.1242.8173.6102.38.00.3138.0
Rev LTM124,48085,847137,491124,18412,690720105,016
Op Inc LTM24,21819,40731,67622,5051703120,956
FCF LTM19,95613,80720,64916,5881,2263915,198
FCF 3Y Avg19,9859,99216,05213,380541-1811,686
CFO LTM40,86026,84538,45531,2104,86412929,028
CFO 3Y Avg38,78722,16137,11728,3713,83711725,266

Growth & Margins

TTMUSVZCMCSALUMNATNIMedian
NameAT&T T-Mobile.Verizon .Comcast Lumen Te.ATN Inte. 
Rev Chg LTM2.0%7.3%2.4%2.5%-4.6%-5.3%2.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.1%2.4%0.5%0.7%-11.6%0.8%0.7%
Rev Chg Q1.6%8.9%1.5%2.1%-4.2%-1.1%1.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%2.1%0.4%0.5%-1.0%-0.3%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM19.5%22.6%23.0%18.1%1.3%4.3%18.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.9%20.3%21.9%18.9%5.2%3.7%19.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.5%1.5%-0.6%-1.9%-0.0%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM32.8%31.3%28.0%25.1%38.3%18.0%29.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg31.6%27.1%27.4%23.2%28.9%15.8%27.3%
FCF/Rev LTM16.0%16.1%15.0%13.4%9.7%5.4%14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.3%12.2%11.8%10.9%4.4%-2.4%11.4%

Valuation

TTMUSVZCMCSALUMNATNIMedian
NameAT&T T-Mobile.Verizon .Comcast Lumen Te.ATN Inte. 
Mkt Cap183.1242.8173.6102.38.00.3138.0
P/S1.52.81.30.80.60.41.0
P/EBIT5.312.75.33.2-8.2-10.04.2
P/E8.220.58.84.5-4.8-6.76.4
P/CFO4.59.04.53.31.62.33.9
Total Yield12.1%6.5%18.0%27.1%-20.7%-10.1%9.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.6%6.6%4.7%0.0%4.8%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.7%4.4%9.5%9.3%-8.5%-1.2%6.8%
D/E0.90.51.01.02.32.41.0
Net D/E0.80.50.90.92.02.00.9

Returns

TTMUSVZCMCSALUMNATNIMedian
NameAT&T T-Mobile.Verizon .Comcast Lumen Te.ATN Inte. 
1M Rtn-1.8%-4.7%1.7%-7.4%9.9%31.8%-0.1%
3M Rtn-10.4%-14.8%-5.6%-16.9%80.4%31.3%-8.0%
6M Rtn-5.8%-10.3%-3.5%-20.9%94.9%41.0%-4.6%
12M Rtn20.2%-7.8%7.4%-34.3%-7.4%9.1%-0.0%
3Y Rtn59.3%53.5%33.3%-11.7%31.4%-54.8%32.3%
1M Excs Rtn-3.9%-6.2%0.1%-7.6%12.2%30.2%-1.9%
3M Excs Rtn-15.0%-19.4%-10.3%-21.3%65.9%22.6%-12.7%
6M Excs Rtn-18.8%-23.3%-16.5%-33.9%81.9%28.0%-17.7%
12M Excs Rtn8.2%-20.8%-3.9%-47.7%-26.0%-7.8%-14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-14.8%-29.9%-46.1%-83.2%-53.4%-131.6%-49.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Communications118,038117,067114,730109,965142,359
Latin America3,9323,1442,7475,7166,963
Corporate458530   
Certain significant items00   
Corporate and Other  7312,2071,937
Eliminations and consolidation  -136-5,180-5,253
Held-for-sale and other reclassifications  453  
Video  15,51328,610 
WarnerMedia   30,44235,259
Acquisition-related items    -72
Total122,428120,741134,038171,760181,193


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Communications27,80126,73628,39328,31332,230
Latin America-141-326-510-753-662
Certain significant items-1,238-28,107-296-19,170-2,125
Corporate-2,961-2,890   
Corporate and Other  -1,644-2,308-1,978
Held-for-sale and other reclassifications  143  
Reclassification of prior service credits  -2,680  
Video  2,4912,174 
Acquisition-related items   -8,480-8,492
Eliminations and consolidation   -1,563-1,516
WarnerMedia   8,19210,498
Total23,461-4,58725,8976,40527,955


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Communications504,006471,444448,757506,102521,252
Latin America9,3148,4088,87415,81120,606
Corporate and eliminations-106,260-76,99993,991-144,189-133,681
WarnerMedia   148,037143,492
Total407,060402,853551,622525,761551,669


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity86,628,864
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520255.1%
Average Daily Volume83,302,498
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.04
Basic Shares Quantity7,156,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/2025-1.9%-1.3% 
7/23/20251.2%-0.0%6.8%
4/23/20250.9%1.3%1.9%
1/27/20256.3%4.4%17.3%
10/23/20244.6%3.2%6.2%
7/24/20245.2%4.2%7.3%
4/24/20241.9%2.4%6.1%
1/24/2024-3.0%2.0%-3.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161412
# Negative91113
Median Positive4.2%3.7%6.1%
Median Negative-2.1%-2.5%-3.6%
Max Positive7.7%16.7%21.9%
Max Negative-10.4%-12.7%-16.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023501202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022213202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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