Tearsheet

Seagate Technology (STX)


Market Price (10/30/2025): $269.0 | Market Cap: $57.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Seagate Technology (STX)


Market Price (10/30/2025): $269.0
Market Cap: $57.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 53x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 194%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 169%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 53x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 194%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 169%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

STX Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STX Return10%88%-51%69%4%213%387%
Peers Return72%42%-45%112%31%121%720%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STX Win Rate58%67%33%75%58%89% 
Peers Win Rate62%48%40%63%57%69% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STX Max Drawdown-32%-6%-56%-1%-6%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-15%-54%-5%-11%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, AMD, MU, WDC, LOGI. See STX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/29/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven936 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven259 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven395 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven819.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1181 days1480 days

Compare to NVDA, AMD, MU, WDC, LOGI


In The Past

Seagate Technology's stock fell -58.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -58.2% loss requires a 139.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Seagate Technology (STX)

Better Bets than Seagate Technology (STX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.2%-4.2%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.1%6.1%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
18.8%18.8%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-10.5%-10.5%-10.5%
STX_9302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09302022STXSeagate TechnologyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
27.4%29.8%-8.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.2%-4.2%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.1%6.1%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
18.8%18.8%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-10.5%-10.5%-10.5%
STX_9302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09302022STXSeagate TechnologyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
27.4%29.8%-8.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Seagate Technology

Financials

STXNVDAAMDMUWDCLOGIMedian
NameSeagate .NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Western .Logitech. 
Mkt Price265.62207.04264.33226.63141.38115.84216.83
Mkt Cap57.15,044.7429.0254.349.517.0155.7
Rev LTM9,097165,21829,60037,37813,2794,68421,440
Op Inc LTM1,91595,9812,4539,8092,8067092,630
FCF LTM81872,0234,0431,6681,2797951,474
FCF 3Y Avg70343,0442,422-1,443-244882792
CFO LTM1,08377,0354,87717,5251,6918543,284
CFO 3Y Avg98145,8663,0639,1973309462,022

Growth & Margins

STXNVDAAMDMUWDCLOGIMedian
NameSeagate .NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Western .Logitech. 
Rev Chg LTM38.9%71.6%27.2%48.9%39.2%4.8%39.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.0%92.0%11.7%20.3%8.3%-2.6%10.0%
Rev Chg Q29.5%55.6%31.7%46.0%30.0%6.3%30.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.5%11.2%6.7%10.5%4.7%1.5%6.6%
Op Mgn LTM21.1%58.1%8.3%26.2%21.1%15.1%21.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.4%51.0%3.4%-1.1%3.7%13.8%6.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.8%0.1%-2.0%3.7%2.4%0.5%1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM11.9%46.6%16.5%46.9%12.7%18.2%17.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.9%44.5%11.9%30.3%1.0%21.2%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM9.0%43.6%13.7%4.5%9.6%17.0%11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.2%41.3%9.3%-11.5%-6.1%19.8%9.3%

Valuation

STXNVDAAMDMUWDCLOGIMedian
NameSeagate .NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Western .Logitech. 
Mkt Cap57.15,044.7429.0254.349.517.0155.7
P/S6.330.514.56.83.73.66.5
P/EBIT31.150.0173.225.123.024.028.1
P/E38.958.3151.429.826.525.834.3
P/CFO52.765.588.014.529.319.941.0
Total Yield3.6%1.7%0.7%3.6%3.8%3.9%3.6%
Dividend Yield1.1%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.5%1.5%1.1%-2.4%-2.5%6.7%1.3%
D/E0.10.00.00.10.10.00.0
Net D/E0.1-0.0-0.00.00.1-0.10.0

Returns

STXNVDAAMDMUWDCLOGIMedian
NameSeagate .NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Western .Logitech. 
1M Rtn15.9%13.9%63.8%38.4%21.1%7.3%18.5%
3M Rtn80.7%15.5%47.3%97.6%98.2%29.1%64.0%
6M Rtn194.3%90.1%171.5%195.0%223.3%55.8%182.9%
12M Rtn168.5%46.6%59.0%110.4%177.7%38.8%84.7%
3Y Rtn470.9%1,398.4%326.3%326.3%434.2%137.4%380.3%
1M Excs Rtn9.5%7.9%60.4%32.5%14.7%2.6%12.1%
3M Excs Rtn61.0%7.7%41.2%99.1%71.2%17.8%51.1%
6M Excs Rtn170.5%66.4%147.8%171.2%199.6%32.1%159.2%
12M Excs Rtn145.5%27.7%50.6%92.3%154.4%26.9%71.4%
3Y Excs Rtn340.2%1,463.8%268.8%228.1%361.7%84.6%304.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,035,955
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-10.0%
Average Daily Volume5,553,084
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.71
Basic Shares Quantity215,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/202519.1%  
7/29/2025-3.4%-0.6%9.5%
4/29/202511.6%15.1%44.8%
1/21/20256.8%-1.0%1.4%
10/22/2024-8.1%-10.0%-13.0%
7/23/20244.0%-5.9%-0.8%
4/23/20240.7%-0.7%9.4%
1/24/20242.0%-3.9%-1.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121116
# Negative13149
Median Positive6.5%8.9%9.2%
Median Negative-5.6%-5.5%-4.9%
Max Positive19.1%15.2%44.8%
Max Negative-9.2%-12.0%-14.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025801202510-K 6/27/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/28/2025
12312024124202510-Q 12/27/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/27/2024
6302024802202410-K 6/28/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/29/2024
12312023126202410-Q 12/29/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/29/2023
6302023804202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022125202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-K 7/1/2022
3312022428202210-Q 4/1/2022
12312021127202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211028202110-Q 10/1/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Conyers Yolanda Lee 9042025Sell164.647412,183820,072Form
1MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEO9042025Sell164.80700115,36178,810,342Form
2Geldmacher Jay L 8072025Sell150.502,500376,25052,976Form
3Teh Ban SengEVP & Chief Commercial Officer8042025Sell155.005,905915,275952,785Form
4Lee James CIChief Legal Officer8042025Sell148.8720029,774684,355Form

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET