Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $17.76 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $17.76Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -71% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -71% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
SRPT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) stock movement by 9.6% from July 31, 2025, to November 13, 2025:
1. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) recommended lifting the voluntary hold on Elevidys for ambulatory patients. This significant positive development occurred around July 28-29, 2025, allowing Sarepta to resume shipments of its key gene therapy for Duchenne muscular dystrophy in this patient population. The news caused the stock to surge by over 40% in pre-market trading.
2. Sarepta Therapeutics reported strong second-quarter 2025 financial results. On August 6, 2025, the company announced robust financial performance for Q2, including both GAAP and non-GAAP operating profit and positive cash flow, which contributed to increased investor confidence.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SRPT Return | 32% | -47% | 44% | -26% | 26% | -85% | -86% |
| Peers Return | 75% | 15% | -13% | -22% | -18% | 47% | 64% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SRPT Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 83% | 50% | 58% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 47% | 52% | 38% | 32% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SRPT Max Drawdown | -36% | -61% | -30% | -48% | -3% | -90% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -44% | -24% | -43% | -46% | -48% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALNY, IONS, MRNA, ARWR, APM. See SRPT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SRPT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 265 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 566.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1385 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ALNY, IONS, MRNA, ARWR, APM
In The Past
Sarepta Therapeutics's stock fell -63.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -63.2% loss requires a 172.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SRPT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.2% | -9.2% | -10.1% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.4% | 2.4% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -25.6% | -25.6% | -25.6% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.6% | 13.6% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.2% | -9.2% | -10.1% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.4% | 2.4% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -25.6% | -25.6% | -25.6% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.6% | 13.6% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sarepta Therapeutics
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.4 |
| Rev LTM | 2,202 |
| Op Inc LTM | -108 |
| FCF LTM | -309 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -420 |
| CFO LTM | -245 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -379 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 47.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 40.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -18.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -55.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -10.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -52.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -16.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -57.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.4 |
| P/S | 10.1 |
| P/EBIT | -7.8 |
| P/E | -6.6 |
| P/CFO | -5.3 |
| Total Yield | -2.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -8.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 52.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 43.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -29.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 36.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 24.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -108.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -33.7% | ||
| 7/16/2025 | 19.5% | -27.5% | 10.4% |
| 1/13/2025 | 0.3% | -1.4% | -7.3% |
| 1/8/2024 | 16.7% | 12.5% | 22.8% |
| 1/9/2023 | 1.4% | 10.6% | 3.3% |
| 1/10/2022 | -10.9% | -16.8% | -11.8% |
| 10/15/2021 | -3.5% | -4.7% | -0.4% |
| 1/11/2021 | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| # Negative | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% |
| Median Negative | -7.2% | -4.7% | -5.6% |
| Max Positive | 19.5% | 12.5% | 22.8% |
| Max Negative | -33.7% | -27.5% | -11.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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