Tearsheet

SunPower (SPWR)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $1.81 | Market Cap: $146.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

SunPower (SPWR)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $1.81
Market Cap: $146.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 308%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -53 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%
1   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 101%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -36%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 308%
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -53 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 101%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -36%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

SPWR Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SPWR Return------0%
Peers Return143%-15%9%-14%49%62%365%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SPWR Win Rate-----40% 
Peers Win Rate47%20%30%31%28%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SPWR Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-24%-22%-30%-47%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FSLR, RUN, SEDG, AMBQ, LAES. See SPWR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SPWR has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1183 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SunPower (SPWR)

Better Bets than SunPower (SPWR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SPWR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.8%-3.8%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.3%8.3%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
18.1%18.1%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-11.0%-11.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.8%-3.8%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.3%8.3%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
18.1%18.1%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-11.0%-11.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SunPower

Financials

SPWRFSLRRUNSEDGAMBQLAESMedian
NameSunPower First So.Sunrun SolarEdg.Ambiq Mi.SEALSQ  
Mkt Price1.80233.5819.6234.3429.726.8924.67
Mkt Cap0.125.04.52.0--3.3
Rev LTM2444,2572,12994169-941
Op Inc LTM-531,373-489-1,319-38--53
FCF LTM-54-976-3,716-96-21--96
FCF 3Y Avg--548-3,367-246---548
CFO LTM-54342-811-26-16--26
CFO 3Y Avg-741-793-117---117

Growth & Margins

SPWRFSLRRUNSEDGAMBQLAESMedian
NameSunPower First So.Sunrun SolarEdg.Ambiq Mi.SEALSQ  
Rev Chg LTM308.5%19.4%3.3%-37.8%--11.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-19.8%4.1%-15.9%--4.1%
Rev Chg Q1,403.2%6.4%8.7%9.1%--8.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM34.7%1.2%2.2%2.6%--2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-21.7%32.3%-23.0%-140.2%-54.6%--23.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-49.6%18.7%-29.4%-54.5%---39.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM11.3%-0.9%1.3%13.4%--6.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-22.1%8.0%-38.1%-2.7%-22.6%--22.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-22.8%-35.5%-8.5%---8.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-22.2%-22.9%-174.5%-10.3%-29.7%--22.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--14.2%-153.5%-15.8%---15.8%

Valuation

SPWRFSLRRUNSEDGAMBQLAESMedian
NameSunPower First So.Sunrun SolarEdg.Ambiq Mi.SEALSQ  
Mkt Cap0.125.04.52.0--3.3
P/S0.65.92.12.1--2.1
P/EBIT-7.417.8-1.2-1.3---1.3
P/E-3.219.8-1.8-1.2---1.5
P/CFO-2.773.1-5.5-78.9---4.1
Total Yield-31.1%5.1%-57.1%-86.6%---44.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--2.8%-133.5%-14.8%---14.8%
D/E1.10.03.10.4--0.7
Net D/E1.0-0.03.00.0--0.5

Returns

SPWRFSLRRUNSEDGAMBQLAESMedian
NameSunPower First So.Sunrun SolarEdg.Ambiq Mi.SEALSQ  
1M Rtn2.3%5.9%13.5%-7.2%-0.7%84.2%4.1%
3M Rtn14.6%33.7%91.2%33.8%-32.2%123.0%33.8%
6M Rtn-7.2%84.5%172.9%173.8%-176.7%172.9%
12M Rtn-18.3%39.2%103.3%-1,653.2%71.3%
3Y Rtn-60.5%-12.8%-85.1%---12.8%
1M Excs Rtn-3.3%2.2%5.3%-12.7%-2.2%71.0%0.0%
3M Excs Rtn12.3%17.6%89.8%25.0%-34.1%121.8%21.3%
6M Excs Rtn-29.0%62.8%151.1%152.1%-155.0%151.1%
12M Excs Rtn--3.2%18.8%79.5%-1,514.0%49.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-6.9%-84.0%-160.9%---84.0%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,682,676
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-8.1%
Average Daily Volume1,880,416
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.68
Basic Shares Quantity80,827,976
Short % of Basic Shares13.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/202514.3%16.6% 
7/22/20252.8%-3.4%-6.8%
4/30/20252.6%-6.3%-26.5%
1/27/2025   
11/18/2024   
11/16/2023   
8/28/2023   
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive310
# Negative467
Median Positive2.8%16.6% 
Median Negative -4.9%-16.6%
Max Positive14.3%16.6% 
Max Negative -6.3%-26.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025519202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024430202510-K 12/29/2024
93020241118202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 10/1/2023
33120236272023S-4/A 4/2/2023
123120224102023S-4/A 12/31/2022

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Rodgers Thurman JChief Executive Officer6052025Buy1.68303,000509,040778,830Form
1Rodgers Thurman JChief Executive Officer6042025Buy1.4910,58915,778239,278Form
2Rodgers Thurman JChief Executive Officer6032025Buy1.38150,000207,000207,000Form
3Gishen Adam5282025Sell1.8820,00037,600277,755Form
4Gishen Adam12192024Sell2.6850,000134,000771,149Form