Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -18%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 9.4 Bil
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 9.4 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -18%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.3%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

SO Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SO Return1%16%8%2%23%13%80%
Peers Return-12%18%21%13%-11%17%50%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SO Win Rate67%50%67%50%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate52%58%63%50%50%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SO Max Drawdown-32%-7%-8%-12%-5%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-13%-14%-32%-23%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXC, FE, ES, HE, GNE. See SO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/6/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-23.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven600 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven732 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven457 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-32.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven783 days1480 days

Compare to EXC, FE, ES, HE, GNE


In The Past

Southern's stock fell -23.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/19/2022. A -23.3% loss requires a 30.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Southern (SO)

Better Bets than Southern (SO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.1%11.1%-3.2%
VST_5312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312025VSTVistraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
15.2%15.2%0.0%
SO_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022SOSouthernQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
4.5%-0.9%-9.6%
SO_2292020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02292020SOSouthernQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-11.1%-1.8%-28.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.1%11.1%-3.2%
VST_5312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312025VSTVistraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
15.2%15.2%0.0%
SO_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022SOSouthernQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
4.5%-0.9%-9.6%
SO_2292020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02292020SOSouthernQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-11.1%-1.8%-28.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Southern

Financials

SOEXCFEESHEGNEMedian
NameSouthern Exelon FirstEne.Eversour.Hawaiian.Genie En. 
Mkt Price90.9045.7145.4271.5411.5914.6745.57
Mkt Cap100.246.226.226.62.00.426.4
Rev LTM28,91224,31714,46913,1492,91645713,809
Op Inc LTM7,4265,0602,7442,9235262,834
FCF LTM-1,823-1,595-1,225-52417545-875
FCF 3Y Avg-1,031-2,186-1,411-1,78910060-1,221
CFO LTM9,3786,4363,6083,840497543,724
CFO 3Y Avg8,6105,3372,5632,572470682,567

Growth & Margins

SOEXCFEESHEGNEMedian
NameSouthern Exelon FirstEne.Eversour.Hawaiian.Genie En. 
Rev Chg LTM9.4%6.1%7.6%13.1%-4.4%3.8%6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%8.9%6.6%4.1%-2.6%14.1%5.4%
Rev Chg Q7.5%9.0%11.2%5.1%-6.2%16.0%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%2.3%3.0%1.2%-1.7%3.3%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM25.7%20.8%19.0%22.2%1.8%1.3%19.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.7%19.0%17.2%21.4%-13.4%7.0%18.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.8%0.2%0.3%57.9%-2.0%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM32.4%26.5%24.9%29.2%17.0%11.8%25.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg31.6%23.3%18.6%20.6%14.7%16.4%19.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-6.3%-6.6%-8.5%-4.0%6.0%9.9%-5.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.7%-9.9%-10.5%-14.9%3.0%14.8%-6.8%

Valuation

SOEXCFEESHEGNEMedian
NameSouthern Exelon FirstEne.Eversour.Hawaiian.Genie En. 
Mkt Cap100.246.226.226.62.00.426.4
P/S3.51.91.82.00.70.81.9
P/EBIT11.98.78.99.822.526.210.9
P/E22.516.419.719.8-16.946.219.8
P/CFO10.77.27.36.94.07.17.2
Total Yield7.4%9.6%8.9%9.1%-5.9%2.2%8.2%
Dividend Yield3.0%3.4%3.8%4.0%0.0%0.0%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.3%-5.5%-6.3%-7.9%2.2%14.2%-3.4%
D/E0.71.11.01.11.30.01.1
Net D/E0.71.01.01.11.2-0.31.0

Returns

SOEXCFEESHEGNEMedian
NameSouthern Exelon FirstEne.Eversour.Hawaiian.Genie En. 
1M Rtn-5.7%-2.3%-2.1%-1.8%2.4%-5.2%-2.2%
3M Rtn-3.9%0.4%4.6%9.7%5.0%-8.8%2.5%
6M Rtn2.3%3.2%8.0%16.8%11.2%-8.4%5.6%
12M Rtn7.5%23.8%13.9%23.6%9.0%-11.2%11.5%
3Y Rtn62.1%39.4%36.5%8.5%-67.3%61.9%37.9%
1M Excs Rtn-5.0%-1.5%-2.2%-2.2%4.9%-6.2%-2.2%
3M Excs Rtn-8.4%-4.3%-0.2%6.1%2.2%-14.5%-2.2%
6M Excs Rtn-16.3%-15.5%-10.6%-1.8%-7.4%-27.0%-13.1%
12M Excs Rtn-11.0%7.3%-3.7%0.7%-6.0%-20.1%-4.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-17.6%-42.4%-40.2%-68.5%-142.0%-23.4%-41.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Traditional Electric Operating Companies100,42995,86189,05185,48681,063
Southern Company Gas25,08324,62123,56022,63021,687
Southern Power12,76113,08113,39013,23514,300
All Other2,4462,6652,9753,1683,511
Electric Utilities-Eliminations-545-659-667-680-713
Eliminations-843-678-775-904-1,148
Total139,331134,891127,534122,935118,700


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity41,384,243
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020258.9%
Average Daily Volume5,051,478
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.19
Basic Shares Quantity1,102,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Spainhour Sterling A Jr.EVP & CLO8122025Sell95.022,380226,1481,651,638Form
1Greene Kimberly S,Chairman, President & CEO, GPC7222025Sell95.0013,1581,250,0108,897,795Form
2Cummiskey ChristopherEVP5272025Sell89.5412,3351,104,4762,014,869Form
3Connally Stan WEVP & COO4012025Sell92.2412,5001,153,00013,782,409Form
4Greene Kimberly S,Chairman, President & CEO, GPC3112025Sell93.1232,1902,997,5339,946,985Form