Southern (SO)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $90.57 | Market Cap: $99.8 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
Southern (SO)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $90.57Market Cap: $99.8 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -9.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 9.4 Bil | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.3% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 18% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Electrification of Everything, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 9.4 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Electrification of Everything, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -9.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.3% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
SO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Lower Year-over-Year Q2 2025 Earnings
Southern Company reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings on July 31, 2025. The company announced earnings of $0.80 per share, a decrease from $1.10 per share in the second quarter of 2024. Even when excluding certain items, adjusted earnings per share were $0.92, down from $1.10 in the prior year period. While operating revenues increased, the decline in year-over-year earnings per share could have exerted downward pressure on the stock.
2. Significant Increase in Capital Expenditure Plan
On August 17, 2025, Southern Company expanded its five-year base capital plan by $13 billion, bringing the total to $76 billion through 2029. This plan includes approximately 10 gigawatts of new generation requests and up to $5 billion in additional capital investments for gas pipeline expansions through 2029. While this signals long-term growth and a benefit from surging electricity demand, particularly from data centers, substantial capital outlays can sometimes lead to investor caution regarding immediate returns or potential financing needs.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SO Return | 1% | 16% | 8% | 2% | 23% | 14% | 81% |
| Peers Return | -12% | 18% | 21% | 13% | -11% | 19% | 51% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SO Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 58% | 63% | 50% | 50% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SO Max Drawdown | -32% | -7% | -8% | -12% | -5% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -13% | -14% | -32% | -23% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXC, FE, ES, HE, GNE. See SO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 600 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 732 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 457 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 783 days | 1480 days |
Compare to EXC, FE, ES, HE, GNE
In The Past
Southern's stock fell -23.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/19/2022. A -23.3% loss requires a 30.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.1% | 7.1% | -3.2% |
| 05312025 | VST | Vistra | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| 09302022 | SO | Southern | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 4.5% | -0.9% | -9.6% |
| 02292020 | SO | Southern | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -11.1% | -1.8% | -28.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.1% | 7.1% | -3.2% |
| 05312025 | VST | Vistra | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| 09302022 | SO | Southern | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 4.5% | -0.9% | -9.6% |
| 02292020 | SO | Southern | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -11.1% | -1.8% | -28.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Southern
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 45.58 |
| Mkt Cap | 26.9 |
| Rev LTM | 13,809 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,834 |
| FCF LTM | -875 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,221 |
| CFO LTM | 3,724 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,567 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -5.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 26.9 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/EBIT | 9.5 |
| P/E | 21.5 |
| P/CFO | 7.2 |
| Total Yield | 8.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.4% |
| D/E | 1.1 |
| Net D/E | 1.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 17.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 36.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -5.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -39.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traditional Electric Operating Companies | 100,429 | 95,861 | 89,051 | 85,486 | 81,063 |
| Southern Company Gas | 25,083 | 24,621 | 23,560 | 22,630 | 21,687 |
| Southern Power | 12,761 | 13,081 | 13,390 | 13,235 | 14,300 |
| All Other | 2,446 | 2,665 | 2,975 | 3,168 | 3,511 |
| Electric Utilities-Eliminations | -545 | -659 | -667 | -680 | -713 |
| Eliminations | -843 | -678 | -775 | -904 | -1,148 |
| Total | 139,331 | 134,891 | 127,534 | 122,935 | 118,700 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Spainhour Sterling A Jr. | EVP & CLO | 8122025 | Sell | 95.02 | 2,380 | 226,148 | 1,651,638 | Form |
| 1 | Greene Kimberly S, | Chairman, President & CEO, GPC | 7222025 | Sell | 95.00 | 13,158 | 1,250,010 | 8,897,795 | Form |
| 2 | Cummiskey Christopher | EVP | 5272025 | Sell | 89.54 | 12,335 | 1,104,476 | 2,014,869 | Form |
| 3 | Connally Stan W | EVP & COO | 4012025 | Sell | 92.24 | 12,500 | 1,153,000 | 13,782,409 | Form |
| 4 | Greene Kimberly S, | Chairman, President & CEO, GPC | 3112025 | Sell | 93.12 | 32,190 | 2,997,533 | 9,946,985 | Form |
External Quote Links
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