Synopsys (SNPS)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $389.41 | Market Cap: $62.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Synopsys (SNPS)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $389.41Market Cap: $62.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cybersecurity, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cybersecurity, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
SNPS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Synopsys (SNPS) experienced a significant stock price decline of 38.5% between July 31, 2025, and November 15, 2025, driven by several key factors:
1. Significant Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Weak Q4 Guidance: On September 9, 2025, Synopsys reported its third-quarter fiscal year 2025 results, which fell short of Wall Street expectations for both revenue ($1.74 billion reported vs. $1.77 billion estimated) and earnings per share ($2.30 reported vs. $3.75 estimated). The company also issued a weaker-than-expected revenue guidance for Q4 2025, below consensus estimates, leading to a sharp decline in its stock price of over 35%.
2. Decline in Design IP Segment Performance: A major contributor to the disappointing Q3 results was an 8% year-over-year decline in Synopsys' Design IP segment. This underperformance was attributed to stricter U.S. export controls affecting operations in China and broader challenges within the global foundry market. The company further indicated that Design IP revenues are expected to decline by at least 5% on a full-year basis in fiscal 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SNPS Return | 86% | 42% | -13% | 61% | -6% | -19% | 183% |
| Peers Return | 39% | 23% | -13% | 50% | -4% | 36% | 191% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SNPS Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 42% | 75% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 33% | 23% | 37% | 35% | 41% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SNPS Max Drawdown | -22% | -16% | -29% | -1% | -10% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -8% | -27% | -2% | -16% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMD, ADSK, RMBS, BIYA, BLIV. See SNPS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SNPS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 91 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -22.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 811 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AMD, ADSK, RMBS, BIYA, BLIV
In The Past
Synopsys's stock fell -30.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -30.6% loss requires a 44.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SNPS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| 02282025 | SNPS | Synopsys | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 32.0% | -14.8% | -16.7% |
| 10312022 | SNPS | Synopsys | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 27.0% | 60.5% | -5.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| 02282025 | SNPS | Synopsys | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 32.0% | -14.8% | -16.7% |
| 10312022 | SNPS | Synopsys | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 27.0% | 60.5% | -5.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Synopsys
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 171.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 63.1 |
| Rev LTM | 6,520 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,310 |
| FCF LTM | 1,575 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,502 |
| CFO LTM | 1,683 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,618 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 22.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 63.1 |
| P/S | 11.1 |
| P/EBIT | 43.9 |
| P/E | 53.0 |
| P/CFO | 38.2 |
| Total Yield | 1.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 37.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 88.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 10.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -24.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 21.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 29.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 9/9/2025 | -35.8% | -29.5% | -19.0% |
| 5/28/2025 | -1.6% | 2.3% | 8.7% |
| 2/26/2025 | -3.3% | -4.8% | -5.2% |
| 12/4/2024 | -12.4% | -12.9% | -14.8% |
| 8/21/2024 | -2.9% | -9.7% | -10.3% |
| 5/22/2024 | 2.3% | -1.5% | 3.9% |
| 2/21/2024 | 6.9% | 4.9% | 10.8% |
| 11/29/2023 | -1.7% | -4.5% | -6.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 5.4% | 5.0% | 10.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -5.3% | -10.3% |
| Max Positive | 10.3% | 11.8% | 17.0% |
| Max Negative | -35.8% | -29.5% | -30.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9092025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5282025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 2262025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12192024 | 10-K 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8232024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5242024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 2232024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12122023 | 10-K 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8182023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5192023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 2172023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12122022 | 10-K 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8192022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5202022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 2182022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12132021 | 10-K 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |