Snap (SNAP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.695 | Market Cap: $13.1 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Snap (SNAP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.695Market Cap: $13.1 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -609 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms, Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms, Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -609 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SNAP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The search results provide information about Snap Inc. (SNAP) for the specified period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. It includes financial results, news, analyst ratings, and some mentions of stock movement. While the initial request was about a 7.3% move, the search results do not explicitly state a 7.3% movement for SNAP in the requested period. However, they do provide reasons for stock fluctuations, including drops. I need to synthesize these points and present them according to the user's formatting requirements, focusing on movements and related news, and excluding insider transactions unless they exceed $5 million. Here are the key points identified from the search results: 1. **Weak Second-Quarter Results (Q2 2025)**: Snap Inc. reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results around August 5, 2025. The company's sales grew by 9% year-over-year, which was its slowest revenue growth in over a year. While revenue was in line with analyst expectations, average revenue per user (ARPU) fell short. The company reported a net loss of $262.6 million, worse than predictions, causing Snap's shares to drop nearly 15% after the announcement. This significant drop occurred just before the requested period begins. 2. **Third-Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Stock Repurchase Program**: On November 5, 2025, Snap Inc. announced its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. Revenue increased by 10% year-over-year to $1.507 billion, exceeding guidance. Daily Active Users (DAU) grew by 8% to 477 million, and Monthly Active Users (MAU) increased by 7% to 943 million. The company also announced a stock repurchase program of up to $500 million of its Class A common stock. These results, particularly the revenue growth and the stock repurchase authorization, could have a positive impact on investor sentiment. 3. **Legal Challenges and Investor Concerns**: Throughout the period, Snap Inc. faced several legal challenges. A securities class action lawsuit alleged the company misled investors about its advertising revenue growth, resulting in substantial stock drops following discrepancies from Q2 2025 results. Additionally, New York City filed a lawsuit alleging the platform contributes to mental health issues among youth, which added complexity to Snap's legal troubles. These legal battles created investor uncertainty and put pressure on the stock price, with reports of shares trending down due to these concerns. 4. **Partnerships and Product Innovations in AI/AR**: Snap continued to invest in and announce developments in AI and augmented reality (AR). In November 2025, Snap partnered with Perplexity AI to integrate conversational AI search into Snapchat, expected to launch in early 2026. Other innovations included the launch of Topic Chats and Snapchat being made available on Amazon Fire Tablets in November 2025. These strategic initiatives in AI and AR, along with updates to its ad platform, aimed to drive revenue growth and user engagement. 5. **Analyst Ratings and Price Targets**: Analysts generally held a "Hold" consensus rating for SNAP stock during this period. While some analysts raised short-term price targets (e.g., to $9-$10), the average price target from a broader set of analysts indicated a significant potential upside, but also reflected mixed sentiment and expected volatility. The company's ongoing unprofitability and recovery from technical issues with its ad platform contributed to this mixed sentiment. Regarding insider selling/buying: Source mentions a CTO selling 1,000,000 shares for about $8.0 million and other insiders disposing of roughly 1,426,728 shares worth $11.46 million over the last 90 days. These amounts exceed USD 5 million and thus should be included. Let's refine the points to be exactly 5, bolded, numbered, and separated by two HTML breaks, and ensure no apologies or disclaimers. I will incorporate the insider selling as it exceeds the threshold. Given that the request asks "why the stock moved by 7.3%", and the search results don't explicitly show a 7.3% move up or down over the *entire* specified period, but rather provide reasons for *fluctuations* including significant drops, I will focus on the factors influencing its movement generally within that period. The initial large drop after Q2 results is a key factor. Then, other news and earnings could have influenced subsequent movements.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SNAP Return | 207% | -6% | -81% | 89% | -36% | -29% | -53% |
| Peers Return | 74% | 25% | -41% | 88% | 35% | 21% | 292% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SNAP Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 68% | 30% | 72% | 58% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SNAP Max Drawdown | -49% | -11% | -83% | -12% | -51% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -18% | -48% | -3% | -11% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, META, Z. See SNAP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SNAP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -90.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 971.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -81.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 442.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 654 days | 120 days |
Compare to AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, META, Z
In The Past
Snap's stock fell -90.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/24/2021. A -90.7% loss requires a 971.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Snap Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Snap Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Is The 22.6% Decline In Snap (SNAP) Stock A Dip Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| Is The 27.9% Decline In Snap (SNAP) Stock A Dip Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| Is The 29.8% Decline In Snap (SNAP) Stock A Dip Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| Is The 24.8% Decline In Snap (SNAP) Stock A Dip Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| SNAP Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Snap Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -36.4% in 2024 and -38.8% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Snap (SNAP) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Snap (SNAP) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Should You Buy or Sell SNAP Stock At $8? | September 17th, 2025 | ||
| SNAP Shares Tumbled 23%, Opportunity Or Trap? | September 2nd, 2025 | ||
| SNAP Shares Tumbled 28%, Opportunity Or Trap? | August 27th, 2025 | ||
| Only One Stock Trading At 52-Week Low | August 27th, 2025 | ||
| SNAP Shares Tumbled 32%, Opportunity Or Trap? | August 21st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SNAP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Snap
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 301.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 2,580.4 |
| Rev LTM | 241,634 |
| Op Inc LTM | 102,986 |
| FCF LTM | 59,196 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 57,021 |
| CFO LTM | 108,070 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 98,536 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 32.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 30.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2,580.4 |
| P/S | 8.5 |
| P/EBIT | 20.5 |
| P/E | 27.6 |
| P/CFO | 23.7 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 95.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 36.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10252023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10212022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7222022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4222022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
