Tearsheet

SAP (SAP)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $271.69 | Market Cap: $316.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

SAP (SAP)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $271.69
Market Cap: $316.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 7.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.4 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 7.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.4 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

SAP Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SAP Return-1%9%-24%52%61%11%118%
Peers Return31%27%-22%57%23%16%191%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SAP Win Rate58%58%33%58%92%44% 
Peers Win Rate63%63%35%62%58%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SAP Max Drawdown-30%-7%-42%0%-4%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-8%-35%-5%-10%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, ORCL, IBM, CRM, ADBE. See SAP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/15/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventSAPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven419 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1178 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-50.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven813 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

SAP's stock fell -47.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/14/2021. A -47.3% loss requires a 89.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Interactive Breakdown

SAP Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than SAP (SAP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SAP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.3%-6.3%-6.3%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
22.0%22.0%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-0.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.3%-6.3%-6.3%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
22.0%22.0%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-0.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SAP

Financials

SAPMSFTORCLIBMCRMADBEMedian
NameSAP MicrosoftOracle Internat.Salesfor.Adobe  
Mkt Price271.64513.43303.62280.75236.58330.63292.19
Mkt Cap316.73,814.8858.0261.3226.2139.9289.0
Rev LTM35,887281,72459,01864,03839,50223,18149,260
Op Inc LTM9,309128,52818,66710,9298,3818,40210,119
FCF LTM6,39971,611-5,88011,64612,4979,59910,622
FCF 3Y Avg6,13268,3864,94911,34610,5067,9259,216
CFO LTM7,189136,16221,53413,28213,1699,79213,226
CFO 3Y Avg6,935114,09719,46813,10411,2148,18512,159

Growth & Margins

SAPMSFTORCLIBMCRMADBEMedian
NameSAP MicrosoftOracle Internat.Salesfor.Adobe  
Rev Chg LTM10.3%14.9%9.7%2.7%8.3%10.7%10.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.7%12.5%10.2%2.4%10.5%10.5%10.3%
Rev Chg Q8.9%18.1%12.2%7.7%9.8%10.7%10.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%4.3%2.8%1.9%2.4%2.6%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM25.9%45.6%31.6%17.1%21.2%36.2%28.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg22.1%44.0%30.3%15.9%17.8%35.4%26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%0.4%0.2%0.7%0.7%-0.1%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM20.0%48.3%36.5%20.7%33.3%42.2%34.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.0%46.0%35.6%21.0%30.6%39.0%33.1%
FCF/Rev LTM17.8%25.4%-10.0%18.2%31.6%41.4%21.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg18.6%27.9%9.8%18.2%28.6%37.7%23.2%

Valuation

SAPMSFTORCLIBMCRMADBEMedian
NameSAP MicrosoftOracle Internat.Salesfor.Adobe  
Mkt Cap316.73,814.8858.0261.3226.2139.9289.0
P/S8.813.514.54.15.76.07.4
P/EBIT30.430.347.532.427.016.130.3
P/E48.437.569.044.833.920.141.1
P/CFO44.128.039.819.717.214.323.8
Total Yield2.1%3.3%2.0%4.6%3.5%5.0%3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.6%2.4%0.5%0.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.6%2.2%1.6%6.8%4.4%4.0%3.3%
D/E0.00.00.10.30.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.10.2-0.00.00.0

Returns

SAPMSFTORCLIBMCRMADBEMedian
NameSAP MicrosoftOracle Internat.Salesfor.Adobe  
1M Rtn7.6%-0.4%0.7%9.6%-2.4%-4.7%0.1%
3M Rtn-11.2%1.7%26.0%0.3%-8.1%-8.6%-3.9%
6M Rtn5.2%38.6%134.9%19.3%-5.0%-3.9%12.2%
12M Rtn19.4%23.5%76.1%23.9%-17.5%-34.9%21.5%
3Y Rtn233.4%130.2%390.0%162.6%68.1%14.8%146.4%
1M Excs Rtn6.1%-0.1%-1.8%8.0%-2.1%-7.2%-1.0%
3M Excs Rtn-17.9%-5.4%16.3%-5.7%-14.7%-15.7%-10.2%
6M Excs Rtn-19.0%10.0%103.9%-5.4%-30.5%-29.3%-12.2%
12M Excs Rtn5.4%9.5%59.7%9.0%-32.1%-48.0%7.2%
3Y Excs Rtn150.9%44.9%321.5%83.0%-20.5%-69.0%64.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment31,20729,52026,170  
Adjustment for currency impact  0  
Other revenue  783319405
Adjustment of revenue under fair value accounting   -5-81
Applications, Technology & Support (ATS)   22,96521,664
Qualtrics   681508
Services   3,3793,447
Concur    1,609
Total31,20729,52026,95327,33927,552


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,078,167
Short Interest: % Change Since 915202512.9%
Average Daily Volume1,839,973
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.67
Basic Shares Quantity1,166,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202572520256-K 6/30/2025
331202542520256-K 3/31/2025
12312024227202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024102320246-K 9/30/2024
630202472420246-K 6/30/2024
331202442420246-K 3/31/2024
12312023229202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023102020236-K 9/30/2023
630202372520236-K 6/30/2023
331202342420236-K 3/31/2023
12312022302202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022102620226-K 9/30/2022
630202272620226-K 6/30/2022
331202242520226-K 3/31/2022
12312021303202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021102620216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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