Rockwell Automation (ROK)
Market Price (11/21/2025): $368.31 | Market Cap: $41.4 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Rockwell Automation (ROK)
Market Price (11/21/2025): $368.31Market Cap: $41.4 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -5.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -20% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Factory Automation, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Factory Automation, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -5.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -20% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ROK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Rockwell Automation's (ROK) stock movement from July 31, 2025, to today:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Initial Stock Dip: Rockwell Automation reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.82 and revenues of $2.14 billion for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, both surpassing analyst expectations. Despite these strong results, the stock experienced a notable 9.9% drop in pre-market trading on August 6, 2025. This decline was partly attributed to ongoing trade uncertainty and a pull-forward of customer orders from Q4 to Q3.
2. Strong Q4 2025 Earnings and Positive FY2026 Guidance: On November 6, 2025, Rockwell Automation announced robust fourth-quarter earnings, with sales of $2.3 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase, and adjusted EPS jumping 32% to $3.34, exceeding consensus estimates. The company also provided optimistic fiscal year 2026 guidance, projecting 3-7% sales growth and adjusted EPS of $11.20-$12.20. Following this announcement, ROK shares rose by 2.7%.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ROK Return | 26% | 41% | -24% | 23% | -6% | 31% | 103% |
| Peers Return | 75% | -27% | -39% | -2% | -18% | 10% | -31% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 11% | 102% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ROK Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 49% | 38% | 48% | 32% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ROK Max Drawdown | -40% | -4% | -45% | 0% | -19% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -32% | -52% | -26% | -41% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, QS, CAE, ENVX, FCEL. See ROK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/20/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ROK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1125 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 64 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 424 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 325.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 686 days | 1480 days |
Compare to HON, QS, CAE, ENVX, FCEL
In The Past
Rockwell Automation's stock fell -45.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/15/2021. A -45.6% loss requires a 83.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ROK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.4% | -12.4% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -14.2% | -14.2% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -12.2% | -12.2% | -12.2% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.5% | -4.5% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.8% | -10.8% | -10.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.4% | -12.4% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -14.2% | -14.2% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -12.2% | -12.2% | -12.2% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.5% | -4.5% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.8% | -10.8% | -10.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Rockwell Automation
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 18.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,443 |
| Op Inc LTM | 241 |
| FCF LTM | 162 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 30 |
| CFO LTM | 405 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 286 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.6 |
| P/S | 2.9 |
| P/EBIT | 5.2 |
| P/E | 9.4 |
| P/CFO | 3.8 |
| Total Yield | -1.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.8% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -16.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -55.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 2.7% | 8.8% | |
| 8/6/2025 | -5.0% | -1.4% | -0.8% |
| 5/7/2025 | 11.9% | 21.9% | 27.2% |
| 2/10/2025 | 12.6% | 9.7% | -0.8% |
| 11/7/2024 | -5.8% | -2.5% | 0.9% |
| 8/7/2024 | -0.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| 5/7/2024 | -1.9% | -2.6% | -6.0% |
| 1/31/2024 | -17.6% | -15.4% | -6.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 11 | 13 |
| # Negative | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -3.1% | -4.9% |
| Max Positive | 12.6% | 21.9% | 27.2% |
| Max Negative | -17.6% | -18.7% | -12.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1312024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1262023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 1272022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | KEANE JAMES P | 8262025 | Sell | 356.05 | 2,795 | 995,160 | 3,345,802 | Form | |
| 1 | Bulho Matheus De A G Viera | SVP Software and Control | 6112025 | Sell | 325.35 | 526 | 171,134 | 319,819 | Form |
| 2 | Buttermore Robert L. | SVP,Chief Supply Chain Officer | 5122025 | Sell | 304.37 | 1,704 | 518,651 | 275,762 | Form |
| 3 | Bulho Matheus De A G Viera | SVP Software and Control | 5122025 | Sell | 304.24 | 939 | 285,682 | 299,068 | Form |
| 4 | Myers Tessa M. | SVP, Intelligent Devices | 3032025 | Sell | 285.43 | 1,231 | 351,364 | 1,041,820 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |