Tearsheet

Rockwell Automation (ROK)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $406.22 | Market Cap: $45.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Rockwell Automation (ROK)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $406.22
Market Cap: $45.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.9%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -6.0%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Factory Automation, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Factory Automation, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.9%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -6.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ROK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 18.4% stock movement for Rockwell Automation (ROK) from August 31, 2025, to December 13, 2025: 1. Strong Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results. Rockwell Automation reported robust results for its fiscal fourth quarter, which ended September 30, 2025. The company's sales increased by 13.8% year-over-year to $2.3 billion, surpassing analyst expectations by 4.6%. Additionally, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) soared 32% year-over-year to $3.34, significantly beating consensus estimates by 13.6%. The company's stock price gained 2.7% immediately following the announcement on November 6, 2025.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets. Throughout November and December 2025, numerous financial analysts reiterated "Buy" or "Overweight" ratings and increased their price targets for ROK shares. For instance, Citigroup raised its price target from $439.00 to $466.00 on December 8, 2025, while Jefferies increased its target from $450 to $470 on December 10, 2025. This consistent bullish outlook from leading institutions reflected strong market confidence in Rockwell Automation's future performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ROK Return26%41%-24%23%-6%47%127%
Peers Return24%21%-1%28%26%14%173%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ROK Win Rate50%67%33%50%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate55%65%37%53%57%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ROK Max Drawdown-40%-4%-45%0%-19%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-6%-23%-8%-5%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EMR, HON, ETN, PH, AME. See ROK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventROKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1125 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven64 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven424 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven325.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven686 days1480 days

Compare to HON, CAE, QS, ENVX, FCEL


In The Past

Rockwell Automation's stock fell -45.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/15/2021. A -45.6% loss requires a 83.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rockwell Automation (ROK)

Better Bets than Rockwell Automation (ROK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ROK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.9%22.9%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.9%22.9%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rockwell Automation

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ROKEMRHONETNPHAMEMedian
NameRockwell.Emerson .Honeywel.Eaton Parker H.AMETEK  
Mkt Price405.18136.64193.66331.98884.87201.74266.86
Mkt Cap39.376.9123.0129.1111.946.594.4
Rev LTM8,34218,01540,67026,63320,0307,16419,023
Op Inc LTM1,4233,5317,6925,0494,1371,8743,834
FCF LTM1,3582,6676,1643,3223,3851,6432,994
FCF 3Y Avg1,0701,9515,2123,1143,0811,5912,516
CFO LTM1,5443,0987,4854,1043,8141,7683,456
CFO 3Y Avg1,2612,3566,3363,8813,4881,7222,922

Growth & Margins

ROKEMRHONETNPHAMEMedian
NameRockwell.Emerson .Honeywel.Eaton Parker H.AMETEK  
Rev Chg LTM0.9%3.0%7.5%8.2%0.2%3.7%3.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.0%9.4%5.2%9.7%7.4%5.9%6.7%
Rev Chg Q13.8%5.1%7.0%10.1%3.7%10.8%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.5%1.3%1.7%2.5%0.9%2.6%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM17.1%19.6%18.9%19.0%20.7%26.2%19.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.7%17.7%19.5%17.8%19.1%25.7%18.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.6%0.8%-0.9%0.1%0.2%-0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM18.5%17.2%18.4%15.4%19.0%24.7%18.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.7%13.5%16.4%15.8%17.5%25.1%16.1%
FCF/Rev LTM16.3%14.8%15.2%12.5%16.9%22.9%15.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.5%11.1%13.5%12.6%15.5%23.2%13.1%

Valuation

ROKEMRHONETNPHAMEMedian
NameRockwell.Emerson .Honeywel.Eaton Parker H.AMETEK  
Mkt Cap39.376.9123.0129.1111.946.594.4
P/S4.74.33.35.54.86.14.7
P/EBIT-21.615.229.020.523.521.6
P/E45.233.521.837.126.329.531.5
P/CFO25.424.817.935.525.124.525.0
Total Yield3.7%3.4%6.8%3.0%4.7%4.0%3.9%
Dividend Yield1.5%0.4%2.2%0.3%0.9%0.6%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.9%4.0%2.7%4.3%4.1%4.0%
D/E-0.20.30.10.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.20.20.10.10.00.1

Returns

ROKEMRHONETNPHAMEMedian
NameRockwell.Emerson .Honeywel.Eaton Parker H.AMETEK  
1M Rtn3.1%3.6%-3.9%-10.1%3.6%2.7%2.9%
3M Rtn17.9%1.6%-2.3%-9.0%16.9%6.6%4.1%
6M Rtn28.4%9.7%-7.4%3.1%35.9%14.4%12.1%
12M Rtn35.9%6.0%-7.8%-6.2%30.9%7.8%6.9%
3Y Rtn57.1%47.8%1.9%111.8%207.6%43.4%52.4%
1M Excs Rtn3.4%4.0%-3.6%-9.8%3.9%3.0%3.2%
3M Excs Rtn14.2%-2.0%-5.6%-14.6%13.5%3.4%0.7%
6M Excs Rtn14.2%-4.5%-21.6%-11.1%21.7%0.1%-2.2%
12M Excs Rtn27.1%-5.5%-21.5%-19.3%18.7%-5.4%-5.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-6.0%-20.5%-70.9%46.8%140.6%-27.1%-13.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Intelligent Devices3,8044,0983,5453,312 
Lifecycle Services2,2732,0741,9031,738 
Software & Control2,1872,8862,3131,947 
Total8,2649,0587,7606,997 


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Intelligent Devices700828718702 
Software & Control530953667531 
Lifecycle Services365148158158 
Total1,5951,9301,5431,391 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Software & Control4,2934,2413,8884,0001,915
Intelligent Devices2,7982,6762,0702,1431,073
Corporate2,1052,5512,8332,4341,585
Lifecycle Services2,0361,8361,9682,1242,692
Total11,23211,30410,75910,7027,265


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,878,254
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202544.4%
Average Daily Volume1,253,644
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.30
Basic Shares Quantity112,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20252.7%8.8%11.3%
8/6/2025-5.0%-1.8%-0.8%
5/7/202511.9%21.9%27.2%
2/10/202512.6%9.7%-0.8%
11/7/2024-5.8%-2.5%0.9%
8/7/2024-0.6%4.3%3.0%
5/7/2024-1.9%-2.6%-6.0%
1/31/2024-17.6%-15.4%-6.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91114
# Negative161411
Median Positive7.4%4.9%5.6%
Median Negative-3.4%-3.1%-4.9%
Max Positive12.6%21.9%27.2%
Max Negative-17.6%-18.7%-12.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023131202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022126202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021127202210-Q 12/31/2021