Tearsheet

Rio Tinto (RIO)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $71.99 | Market Cap: $-
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Rio Tinto (RIO)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $71.99
Market Cap: $-
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5%
 
1  Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -18%
 
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -18%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

RIO Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RIO Return36%-1%18%11%-15%30%92%
Peers Return77%55%-12%-12%-16%39%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RIO Win Rate67%50%58%67%33%78% 
Peers Win Rate57%55%47%47%38%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RIO Max Drawdown-36%-11%-15%-14%-16%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-9%-28%-32%-38%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VALE, CLF, MDU, LAC, IPI. See RIO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRIOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven113 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven113 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven813.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to VALE, CLF, MDU, LAC, IPI


In The Past

Rio Tinto's stock fell -45.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/11/2021. A -45.9% loss requires a 84.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rio Tinto (RIO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RIO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AXTA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025AXTAAxalta Coating SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.8%
GPK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025GPKGraphic PackagingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-17.9%-17.9%-17.9%
FCX_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%-0.9%
KWR_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025KWRQuaker HoughtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.3%10.3%0.0%
TGLS_6302025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302025TGLSTecnoglassQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-23.9%-23.9%-23.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AXTA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025AXTAAxalta Coating SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.8%
GPK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025GPKGraphic PackagingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-17.9%-17.9%-17.9%
FCX_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%-0.9%
KWR_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025KWRQuaker HoughtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.3%10.3%0.0%
TGLS_6302025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302025TGLSTecnoglassQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-23.9%-23.9%-23.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rio Tinto

Financials

RIOVALECLFMDULACIPIMedian
NameRio TintoVale Clevelan.MDU Reso.Lithium .Intrepid. 
Mkt Price72.2011.8912.2619.445.6226.6715.85
Mkt Cap-50.86.14.01.20.34.0
Rev LTM-36,60018,6225230283523
Op Inc LTM-9,986-1,539183-3155
FCF LTM-1,957-1,54766-5122626
FCF 3Y Avg-4,51914149-395
CFO LTM-8,104-921536-585454
CFO 3Y Avg-10,455804520-57662

Growth & Margins

RIOVALECLFMDULACIPIMedian
NameRio TintoVale Clevelan.MDU Reso.Lithium .Intrepid. 
Rev Chg LTM--13.0%-6.8%143.2%-11.9%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--7.8%-7.2%6.6%--4.0%-5.6%
Rev Chg Q--11.2%3.6%1.9%-15.2%2.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--3.0%0.9%1.3%-3.4%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM-27.3%-8.3%35.0%-1.7%14.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-32.4%-1.9%40.2%-3.1%17.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--1.1%0.3%-2.2%-1.3%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-22.1%-4.9%102.5%-19.1%20.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-26.3%3.6%128.4%-20.9%23.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.3%-8.3%12.6%-9.1%7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-11.2%0.3%16.9%-2.0%6.6%

Valuation

RIOVALECLFMDULACIPIMedian
NameRio TintoVale Clevelan.MDU Reso.Lithium .Intrepid. 
Mkt Cap-50.86.14.01.20.34.0
P/S-1.40.37.6-1.21.3
P/EBIT-6.8-3.918.8-22.4-45.0-3.9
P/E-9.7-3.618.4-23.1-1.7-1.7
P/CFO-6.3-6.67.4-21.46.46.3
Total Yield-10.3%-27.5%8.1%-4.3%-58.0%-4.3%
Dividend Yield-0.0%0.0%2.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.9%0.5%1.2%--0.1%0.8%
D/E-0.41.30.50.20.00.4
Net D/E-0.31.30.5-0.2-0.20.3

Returns

RIOVALECLFMDULACIPIMedian
NameRio TintoVale Clevelan.MDU Reso.Lithium .Intrepid. 
1M Rtn9.4%9.5%0.5%9.2%-1.6%-12.8%4.8%
3M Rtn23.7%29.0%16.5%13.7%118.7%-19.9%20.1%
6M Rtn26.3%33.1%45.1%14.0%93.1%-18.9%29.7%
12M Rtn16.3%19.3%-7.1%29.3%36.7%6.6%17.8%
3Y Rtn63.5%17.5%-5.6%100.3%-77.4%-41.1%5.9%
1M Excs Rtn7.3%6.6%-3.1%8.9%-21.8%-10.5%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn14.6%17.2%12.5%5.3%111.0%-27.3%13.6%
6M Excs Rtn4.6%11.3%23.4%-7.8%71.4%-40.6%7.9%
12M Excs Rtn-1.3%-0.0%-27.5%9.1%18.6%-14.7%-0.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-18.3%-64.6%-91.1%28.3%-155.4%-117.9%-77.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Iron Ore32,24930,90639,58227,50824,075
Aluminium12,28514,10912,6959,31410,340
Copper6,6786,6997,8274,9695,196
Minerals5,9346,7546,4815,1705,394
Other Operations142192251321393
Inter-segment transactions-231-256-268-264-31
Share of equity accounted units-3,016-2,850-3,073-2,407-2,202
Total54,04155,55463,49544,61143,165


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,290,624
Short Interest: % Change Since 930202520.2%
Average Daily Volume3,637,547
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.10

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
123120242202025Annual 12/31/2024
123120232232024Annual 12/31/2023
12312021225202220-F 12/31/2021
630202172820216-K 6/30/2021
12312020302202120-F 12/31/2020
12312019228202020-F 12/31/2019
630201980120196-K 6/30/2019
12312018304201920-F 12/31/2018
630201880120186-K 6/30/2018
12312017301201820-F 12/31/2017
12312016302201720-F 12/31/2016
12312014306201520-F 12/31/2014
630201480820146-K 6/30/2014
630201381620136-K 6/30/2013
630201280920126-K 6/30/2012
12312011316201220-F 12/31/2011

Insider Activity

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