QuantumScape (QS)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $13.23 | Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
QuantumScape (QS)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $13.23Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -4.9% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -491 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 219%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 178% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.7% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -4.9% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -491 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 219%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 178% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.7% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
QS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining QuantumScape's (QS) stock movement of 57.8% from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 14, 2025:
1. Advancement to Cobra Separator Process and B1 Sample Shipments
QuantumScape successfully integrated its next-generation Cobra separator process into baseline production, a critical step that significantly boosted manufacturing speed and efficiency. Following this, in the third quarter of 2025, the company began shipping its QSE-5 B1 samples to automotive partners for testing, demonstrating tangible progress toward commercializing its solid-state battery technology.
2. Expanded Partnership with PowerCo and First Customer Revenue
The collaboration with Volkswagen's battery arm, PowerCo, deepened during this period, with PowerCo agreeing to milestone-based payments of up to $131 million to accelerate the development of the QSE-5 pilot line. QuantumScape also reported its first-ever customer billings of $12.8 million in the third quarter of 2025, largely attributed to the expanded agreement with PowerCo, signaling strong industry validation and an early monetization pathway.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| QS Return | - | -74% | -74% | 23% | -25% | 161% | -84% |
| Peers Return | 236% | 13% | -18% | 19% | -2% | 20% | 334% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| QS Win Rate | 75% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 56% | 40% | 50% | 48% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| QS Max Drawdown | - | -77% | -77% | -10% | -32% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -26% | -42% | -25% | -40% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSLA, EMR, ALB, FLUX, CREV. See QS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | QS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -94.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1559.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 28 days | 148 days |
Compare to TSLA, EMR, ALB, FLUX, CREV
In The Past
QuantumScape's stock fell -94.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -94.0% loss requires a 1559.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to QS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.0% | 2.0% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.8% | -1.8% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -2.5% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.0% | 2.0% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.8% | -1.8% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -2.5% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for QuantumScape
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 64.07 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.5 |
| Rev LTM | 4,946 |
| Op Inc LTM | 19 |
| FCF LTM | 121 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -3 |
| CFO LTM | 904 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,291 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.5 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/EBIT | 22.4 |
| P/E | -5.5 |
| P/CFO | 22.7 |
| Total Yield | 0.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -13.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 17.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 42.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -16.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -26.2% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | 8.0% | 16.6% | |
| 7/23/2025 | -1.6% | -31.6% | -38.7% |
| 4/23/2025 | -0.5% | -1.8% | -0.3% |
| 2/12/2025 | 7.0% | 10.4% | -9.7% |
| 10/23/2024 | 25.5% | 2.7% | -2.7% |
| 7/24/2024 | -7.8% | -13.4% | -22.0% |
| 4/24/2024 | -6.9% | -1.3% | 0.9% |
| 2/14/2024 | -5.9% | -19.0% | -25.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 13.0% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -13.1% | -20.5% |
| Max Positive | 31.4% | 18.6% | 25.6% |
| Max Negative | -17.1% | -31.6% | -38.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7252025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10252024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Sivaram Srinivasan | CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | 10282025 | Sell | 16.61 | 30,000 | 498,306 | 68,644,974 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |