QuantumScape (QS)
Market Price (11/25/2025): $11.86 | Market Cap: $7.0 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
QuantumScape (QS)
Market Price (11/25/2025): $11.86Market Cap: $7.0 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -4.4% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -491 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 198%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 129% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -4.4% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -491 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 198%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 129% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
QS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between July 31, 2025, and November 25, 2025, QuantumScape (QS) experienced a significant upward movement in its stock, driven by several key developments in its technology and strategic partnerships.
1. Expanded PowerCo Collaboration and Real-World Battery Demonstration: QuantumScape expanded its strategic agreement with PowerCo SE (Volkswagen's battery company) in July 2025, allowing PowerCo to produce additional QSE-5-based cells and license future technology, contingent on milestone payments of $131 million over two years. This collaboration was highlighted by the debut of a Ducati V21L electric motorcycle equipped with QuantumScape's QSE-5 solid-state batteries at the IAA Mobility show in September 2025, marking the first public demonstration of its battery technology in an electric vehicle. News of this demonstration contributed to a 55.4% stock gain in September and an additional 29% in October.
2. Positive Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Extended Liquidity: On October 22, 2025, QuantumScape reported its third-quarter 2025 business and financial results, announcing an EPS of -$0.18, which met consensus estimates. The company introduced "customer billings" as a new metric, reaching $12.8 million for the quarter, and reported strong liquidity of $1.0 billion, extending its cash runway through the end of the decade. Investors responded positively, with the stock jumping 8% post-earnings.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| QS Return | - | -74% | -74% | 23% | -25% | 128% | -86% |
| Peers Return | 197% | 16% | -23% | 15% | -8% | 13% | 214% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| QS Win Rate | 75% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 58% | 37% | 48% | 47% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| QS Max Drawdown | - | -77% | -77% | -10% | -32% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -21% | -44% | -25% | -40% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSLA, EMR, ALB, FLUX, APTV. See QS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | QS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -94.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1559.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 28 days | 148 days |
Compare to TSLA, EMR, ALB, FLUX, APTV
In The Past
QuantumScape's stock fell -94.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -94.0% loss requires a 1559.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to QS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.2% | -7.2% | -7.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.0% | 2.0% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -8.8% | -8.8% | -8.8% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -7.7% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.2% | -7.2% | -7.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.0% | 2.0% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -8.8% | -8.8% | -8.8% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -7.7% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for QuantumScape
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 95.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.0 |
| Rev LTM | 11,363 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,054 |
| FCF LTM | 889 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 669 |
| CFO LTM | 1,623 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,728 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 15.0 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/EBIT | 15.4 |
| P/E | 6.1 |
| P/CFO | 18.9 |
| Total Yield | 0.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 6.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -62.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | 8.0% | 16.6% | -13.7% |
| 7/23/2025 | -1.6% | -31.6% | -38.7% |
| 4/23/2025 | -0.5% | -1.8% | -0.3% |
| 2/12/2025 | 7.0% | 10.4% | -9.7% |
| 10/23/2024 | 25.5% | 2.7% | -2.7% |
| 7/24/2024 | -7.8% | -13.4% | -22.0% |
| 4/24/2024 | -6.9% | -1.3% | 0.9% |
| 2/14/2024 | -5.9% | -19.0% | -25.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 13.0% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -13.1% | -19.1% |
| Max Positive | 31.4% | 18.6% | 25.6% |
| Max Negative | -17.1% | -31.6% | -38.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7252025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10252024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Sivaram Srinivasan | CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | 10282025 | Sell | 16.61 | 30,000 | 498,306 | 68,644,974 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |