Prudential Financial (PRU)
Market Price (12/3/2025): $107.85 | Market Cap: $38.3 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Life & Health Insurance
Prudential Financial (PRU)
Market Price (12/3/2025): $107.85Market Cap: $38.3 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Life & Health Insurance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.1%, FCF Yield is 14% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.2% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -134% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 5.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.3 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Retirement & Longevity Planning, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.1%, FCF Yield is 14% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -134% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 5.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.3 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Retirement & Longevity Planning, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.2% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PRU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -0.4% stock movement of Prudential Financial (PRU) from August 31, 2025, to December 3, 2025:
1. Concerns over Q3 2025 Expenses Despite Earnings Beat: Despite Prudential Financial reporting better-than-expected adjusted operating income and revenue for the third quarter of 2025 on October 30, 2025, the company's shares experienced a decline of 3.3% the following day. This downturn was attributed to investor concerns regarding higher expenses across various business segments and a year-over-year decrease in adjusted operating income.
2. Broader Insurance Industry Headwinds: The global insurance sector faced several challenges in late 2025, including increasing difficulties in risk prediction and pricing due to more frequent and severe catastrophic events. Additionally, forecasts indicated a decline in global premium growth through 2026, driven by intense competition, reduced rate momentum, and rising cost pressures, all of which could have negatively impacted Prudential's stock performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PRU Return | -11% | 45% | -4% | 10% | 19% | -4% | 56% |
| Peers Return | -10% | 37% | 19% | 7% | 27% | 12% | 120% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PRU Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 67% | 62% | 62% | 65% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PRU Max Drawdown | -58% | -2% | -18% | -21% | -2% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -53% | -3% | -8% | -20% | -2% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRV, AFL, MET, AIG, HIG. See PRU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/2/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PRU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 421 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -59.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 147.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 387 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -39.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2031 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -89.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 813.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2833 days | 1480 days |
Compare to TRV, AFL, MET, AIG, HIG
In The Past
Prudential Financial's stock fell -36.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -36.2% loss requires a 56.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PRU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.6% | 2.6% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 8.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.1% | 0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.1% | -6.1% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.6% | 2.6% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 8.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.1% | 0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.1% | -6.1% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Prudential Financial
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 108.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 46.6 |
| Rev LTM | 38,050 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 5,570 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 5,351 |
| CFO LTM | 5,631 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,445 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 46.6 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 8.4 |
| P/E | 13.7 |
| P/CFO | 6.6 |
| Total Yield | 10.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 15.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -1.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 45.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -22.1% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Business- Retirement Strategies- Individual Retirement Strategies | 139,934 | 130,173 | 201,273 | 200,718 | 189,040 |
| U.S. Business- Individual Life | 116,449 | 102,445 | 118,237 | 110,953 | 96,072 |
| U.S. Business- Retirement Strategies- Institutional Retirement Strategies | 111,308 | 108,565 | 114,016 | 213,726 | 198,153 |
| International Businesses- Gibraltar Life and Other | 110,060 | ||||
| International Businesses- Life Planner | 81,164 | ||||
| Closed Block division | 51,088 | 50,934 | 59,979 | 62,089 | 61,327 |
| Prudential Investment Management, Inc (PGIM) | 42,064 | 48,364 | 53,566 | 48,680 | 47,655 |
| U.S Business- Group Insurance | 39,214 | 38,201 | 43,286 | 45,601 | 43,712 |
| Corporate and Other | 29,842 | 23,556 | 122,701 | 25,124 | 44,619 |
| International Businesses | 186,791 | 222,736 | 231,128 | 213,335 | |
| U.S. Business- Assurance IQ | 1,788 | 2,703 | 2,639 | ||
| Total | 721,123 | 689,029 | 937,582 | 940,722 | 896,552 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Life & Health Insurance Resources |
| Insurance Business America |
| A.M. Best |
| National Underwriter |
| Insurance News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
