Prothena (PRTA)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $11.19 | Market Cap: $602.4 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Prothena (PRTA)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $11.19Market Cap: $602.4 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -61% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1886% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 121% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1595%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1597% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 823% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -61% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1886% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 121% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1595%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1597% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 823% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PRTA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. ** Prothena reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 6, 2025, with an adjusted loss per share of 67 cents, which was wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a 60-cent loss. Additionally, revenues totaled $2.4 million, significantly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $25 million.
**2. ** Partner Roche is set to initiate the late-stage PARAISO study evaluating prasinezumab for early-stage Parkinson's disease by the end of 2025, with an expected peak sales potential exceeding $3.5 billion.
**3. ** Novo Nordisk initiated the late-stage CLEOPATTRA study for Coramitug (formerly PRX004), an amyloid depleter antibody for ATTR amyloidosis with cardiomyopathy.
**4. ** Prothena's partner Bristol Myers Squibb obtained Fast Track designation from the U.S. FDA for BMS-986446 (PRX005), an anti-MTBR-tau-targeting antibody, for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease on October 1, 2025.
**5. ** Prothena is convening an Extraordinary General Meeting on November 19, 2025, to seek shareholder approval for reducing share capital to create distributable reserves, which could support a potential share redemption program in 2026.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PRTA Return | -24% | 311% | 22% | -40% | -62% | -19% | -30% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 8% | -9% | 4% | -11% | 8% | -1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PRTA Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 25% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 48% | 50% | 55% | 43% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PRTA Max Drawdown | -52% | -8% | -54% | -46% | -67% | -67% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -10% | -23% | -19% | -26% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX. See PRTA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PRTA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 247.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 331 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -89.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 883.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 735 days | 120 days |
Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX
In The Past
Prothena's stock fell -71.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/23/2021. A -71.2% loss requires a 247.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PRTA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Prothena
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 26.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,287 |
| Op Inc LTM | 194 |
| FCF LTM | 231 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 192 |
| CFO LTM | 313 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 252 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 9.0 |
| P/E | 3.3 |
| P/CFO | 8.1 |
| Total Yield | 0.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -16.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -87.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | EcoR1 Capital, LLC | 5062025 | Sell | 8.36 | 3,317,938 | 27,744,929 | 69,123,978 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |