Tearsheet

Philip Morris International (PM)


Market Price (10/21/2025): $158.09 | Market Cap: $246.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Tobacco

Philip Morris International (PM)


Market Price (10/21/2025): $158.09
Market Cap: $246.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Tobacco

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.3x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 10 Bil, FCF LTM is 9.0 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 10 Bil, FCF LTM is 9.0 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.3x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PM Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PM Return4%21%12%-2%34%35%150%
Peers Return28%18%-19%-9%19%3%37%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PM Win Rate42%67%50%58%67%78% 
Peers Win Rate52%50%43%43%52%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PM Max Drawdown-28%-5%-9%-10%-5%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-7%-31%-27%-30%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MO, TPB, UVV, XXII, PM. See PM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/20/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventPMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven664 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven360 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2076 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven566 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Philip Morris International's stock fell -25.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2022. A -25.8% loss requires a 34.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Philip Morris International (PM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.0%3.0%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.5%-15.5%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.4%8.4%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.8%-11.8%-22.4%
PM_5312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312019PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.9%1.3%-17.2%
PM_8312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312018PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.7%-2.0%-12.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.0%3.0%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.5%-15.5%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.4%8.4%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.8%-11.8%-22.4%
PM_5312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312019PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.9%1.3%-17.2%
PM_8312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312018PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.7%-2.0%-12.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Philip Morris International

Financials

PMMOTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NamePhilip M.Altria Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
Mkt Price158.0664.4087.6853.351.5464.40
Mkt Cap246.1108.41.61.30.01.6
Rev LTM39,05820,2593782,94492,944
Op Inc LTM14,21011,96188261-13261
FCF LTM8,9898,72852132-14132
FCF 3Y Avg8,8408,7105627-3956
CFO LTM10,4068,87660184-14184
CFO 3Y Avg10,2158,8876287-3687

Growth & Margins

PMMOTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NamePhilip M.Altria Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
Rev Chg LTM7.2%-0.2%28.3%4.1%-41.9%4.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.1%-0.9%-1.1%10.7%-39.1%-0.9%
Rev Chg Q7.1%0.2%25.1%-0.6%-49.8%0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%0.1%6.6%-0.1%-20.0%0.1%
Op Mgn LTM36.4%59.0%23.4%8.9%-145.5%23.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg35.7%57.1%25.3%7.9%-156.9%25.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%1.7%-0.6%0.6%-37.5%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM26.6%43.8%15.9%6.3%-156.1%15.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.2%43.5%19.0%3.1%-196.6%19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM23.0%43.1%13.8%4.5%-158.2%13.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.4%42.7%17.2%0.9%-210.9%17.2%

Valuation

PMMOTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NamePhilip M.Altria Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
Mkt Cap246.1108.41.61.30.01.6
P/S6.35.44.20.50.04.2
P/EBIT16.79.217.65.3-0.09.2
P/E29.912.336.012.9-0.012.9
P/CFO23.612.226.17.2-0.012.2
Total Yield6.7%14.4%3.1%13.8%-95,730.3%6.7%
Dividend Yield3.4%6.3%0.3%6.0%0.0%3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.8%10.2%9.0%1.6%-5,876.7%4.8%
D/E0.20.20.21.0323.80.2
Net D/E0.20.20.10.8139.90.2

Returns

PMMOTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NamePhilip M.Altria Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
1M Rtn-2.1%-0.8%-14.2%-2.0%-21.8%-2.1%
3M Rtn-11.6%11.1%11.7%-1.4%-57.0%-1.4%
6M Rtn-0.9%15.5%55.3%6.1%-91.2%6.1%
12M Rtn36.4%39.3%104.9%12.6%-99.5%36.4%
3Y Rtn110.5%84.3%335.3%38.1%-100.0%84.3%
1M Excs Rtn-3.2%-1.8%-15.3%-3.0%-22.9%-3.2%
3M Excs Rtn-10.2%3.4%5.7%-8.0%-56.1%-8.0%
6M Excs Rtn-31.5%-15.0%24.7%-24.4%-121.7%-24.4%
12M Excs Rtn20.4%22.5%86.8%-4.1%-114.8%20.4%
3Y Excs Rtn25.2%-4.9%239.9%-46.2%-183.5%-4.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Combustible tobacco22,33421,57222,06721,86724,218
Smoke-free12,84010,1909,338  
Reduced-risk products   6,8275,587
Total35,17431,76231,40528,69429,805


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,096,218
Short Interest: % Change Since 91520250.1%
Average Daily Volume6,093,384
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.99
Basic Shares Quantity1,557,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/22/2025-8.4%-12.6%-6.5%
4/23/20252.4%3.7%6.4%
2/6/202510.9%14.4%15.2%
10/22/202410.5%9.7%8.9%
7/23/20242.2%6.7%11.0%
4/23/20243.8%1.6%6.6%
2/8/2024-2.7%-2.4%1.4%
10/19/2023-2.7%-3.4%-2.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141415
# Negative10109
Median Positive2.6%5.7%6.6%
Median Negative-2.9%-2.5%-5.4%
Max Positive10.9%14.4%15.2%
Max Negative-8.4%-12.6%-14.6%

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Dahlgren LarsPres. Smoke-Free Oral Products3072025Sell152.963,679562,7404,103,611Form
1Andolina MassimoPresident, Europe Region2252025Sell156.0517,5002,730,87513,535,309Form
2Dobrowolski ReginaldoVice President and Controller2132025Sell149.885,000749,4003,117,354Form
3Volpetti StefanoPr.SmokeFree&ChiefCons.Officer11012024Sell132.4810,0001,324,80012,159,014Form
4Calantzopoulos Andre 10252024Sell129.85101,91813,234,052124,624,966Form